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林川chocolate
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林川chocolate

公众号,林中有川。在币圈,赚钱是运气,不亏是本事。我把亏过的钱写成复盘,你省下的学费就是赚的。每日只讲三件事:趋势、纪律、活着 。
Occasional Trader
3.3 Years
227 Following
2.8K+ Followers
1.3K+ Liked
Posts
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$BTC $ETH First keep it empty and then add more later, and once again give it precisely. Feels so comfortable 😌
$BTC $ETH First keep it empty and then add more later, and once again give it precisely. Feels so comfortable 😌
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Bullish
On Thursday, the intraday market continued to trade in a choppy, slightly bearish pattern. Late in the evening, the low for the BTC reached as low as the 76634 level. In the afternoon, the strategy was executed with precision: short BTC around 78500 and short ETH around 2475—both targets were successfully hit and closed as planned by the evening. The way to trade is to be guided by noble support, to grow through experience, and to rely on yourself as you walk. Treat every pullback as tuition, and every rise as a reward. Though the road is long, if you keep walking, you will get there; though the task is difficult, if you act, it will be accomplished. From a technical perspective, the current K-line is moving within a standard descending channel. What’s worth noting is that the late-session low has precisely touched the lower boundary of the channel and the prior low support area. This spot forms a multi-support confluence zone, with extremely strong defensive attributes for the bulls. As confirmation of the lower channel support strengthens, the bullish logic in the coming period is gradually playing out—just wait for the bulls to launch their counterattack. Long BTC 77000-76600, long ETH 2430-2400 $BTC $ETH #苹果发布首款折叠屏手机
On Thursday, the intraday market continued to trade in a choppy, slightly bearish pattern. Late in the evening, the low for the BTC reached as low as the 76634 level. In the afternoon, the strategy was executed with precision: short BTC around 78500 and short ETH around 2475—both targets were successfully hit and closed as planned by the evening. The way to trade is to be guided by noble support, to grow through experience, and to rely on yourself as you walk. Treat every pullback as tuition, and every rise as a reward. Though the road is long, if you keep walking, you will get there; though the task is difficult, if you act, it will be accomplished.

From a technical perspective, the current K-line is moving within a standard descending channel. What’s worth noting is that the late-session low has precisely touched the lower boundary of the channel and the prior low support area. This spot forms a multi-support confluence zone, with extremely strong defensive attributes for the bulls. As confirmation of the lower channel support strengthens, the bullish logic in the coming period is gradually playing out—just wait for the bulls to launch their counterattack.

Long BTC 77000-76600, long ETH 2430-2400 $BTC $ETH #苹果发布首款折叠屏手机
78500 trips to thousands of points again, what’s next?
78500 trips to thousands of points again, what’s next?
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Bearish
Thursday: Yesterday’s market action bottomed around the 77,600 area and rebounded. In the afternoon it reached around 79,700, then faced selling pressure and pulled back. In the evening, the second rebound was still capped, and afterward the price fell again, continuing into today’s early hours and dropping to the 77,880 area. Short-term, it is currently trading around 78,400. Yesterday, whether it was suggested to short around 79,500 or to short around 78,600, overall it still provided a solid amount of room. For Bitcoin, it was nearly a 2,000-point move, and for Ethereum, close to 100 points. In terms of intraday走势, price is still consolidating within a range. Whether you go long or short, both can offer decent profit space. Our main intraday approach remains: short on rebounds under resistance. Multiple rebounds failed to hold and stabilize above the 80,000 level, which dealt a blow to buyers’ confidence. As the swing high gradually moves lower, today is still set up according to bearish pressure, and positioning should follow the downward pressure. Bitcoin: short the 78,500–79,000 range; target 76,000. Ethereum: short the 2,475–2,500 range; target 2,400.$BTC $ETH #伊朗称已准备升级对美战争
Thursday: Yesterday’s market action bottomed around the 77,600 area and rebounded. In the afternoon it reached around 79,700, then faced selling pressure and pulled back. In the evening, the second rebound was still capped, and afterward the price fell again, continuing into today’s early hours and dropping to the 77,880 area. Short-term, it is currently trading around 78,400.

Yesterday, whether it was suggested to short around 79,500 or to short around 78,600, overall it still provided a solid amount of room. For Bitcoin, it was nearly a 2,000-point move, and for Ethereum, close to 100 points.

In terms of intraday走势, price is still consolidating within a range. Whether you go long or short, both can offer decent profit space. Our main intraday approach remains: short on rebounds under resistance. Multiple rebounds failed to hold and stabilize above the 80,000 level, which dealt a blow to buyers’ confidence. As the swing high gradually moves lower, today is still set up according to bearish pressure, and positioning should follow the downward pressure.

Bitcoin: short the 78,500–79,000 range; target 76,000.
Ethereum: short the 2,475–2,500 range; target 2,400.$BTC $ETH #伊朗称已准备升级对美战争
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Bearish
On Wednesday, after yesterday’s dip to the 77,600 level, price gradually crept back up. It has now broken through the 79,000 threshold again and is stuck in a choppy, range-bound cycle. On the smaller time frame, the market is currently in a slow upward consolidation. The key resistance above to watch is around 79,500, which corresponds to the earlier breakdown level; the next resistance is near the 80,000 psychological level. If price can break above and stabilize over 79,500, the upside may then test resistance around 80,500. If it fails to break through and keeps facing pressure, then short-term selling pressure can be traded around 79,500. Overall, the rebound highs during the week are gradually trending lower, while the lows keep pushing down in search of further breakdown—suggesting the market is in a downward channel. For today, focus on potential resistance around 79,500 and mainly look for a pullback to the downside; only consider adjustments if a breakout occurs. Bitcoin: Short from the 79,500–79,100 range; target 77,000. Ethereum: Short from the 2,500–2,530 range; target 2,430. $BTC $ETH #美军打击霍尔木兹岛及贾斯克目标
On Wednesday, after yesterday’s dip to the 77,600 level, price gradually crept back up. It has now broken through the 79,000 threshold again and is stuck in a choppy, range-bound cycle.

On the smaller time frame, the market is currently in a slow upward consolidation. The key resistance above to watch is around 79,500, which corresponds to the earlier breakdown level; the next resistance is near the 80,000 psychological level. If price can break above and stabilize over 79,500, the upside may then test resistance around 80,500. If it fails to break through and keeps facing pressure, then short-term selling pressure can be traded around 79,500.

Overall, the rebound highs during the week are gradually trending lower, while the lows keep pushing down in search of further breakdown—suggesting the market is in a downward channel. For today, focus on potential resistance around 79,500 and mainly look for a pullback to the downside; only consider adjustments if a breakout occurs.

Bitcoin: Short from the 79,500–79,100 range; target 77,000.
Ethereum: Short from the 2,500–2,530 range; target 2,430.
$BTC $ETH #美军打击霍尔木兹岛及贾斯克目标
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Bearish
Tuesday overall is relatively weak! In the afternoon, around 78600, the second downward move from the short side has played out as expected, BTC dropped by more than a thousand points, and ETH by forty points. There hasn’t been any major change to the evening outlook: Short Bitcoin around 78600, and short Ethereum around 2480 $BTC $ETH #美加关税战升级
Tuesday overall is relatively weak!

In the afternoon, around 78600, the second downward move from the short side has played out as expected,

BTC dropped by more than a thousand points, and ETH by forty points.

There hasn’t been any major change to the evening outlook:

Short Bitcoin around 78600, and short Ethereum around 2480 $BTC $ETH #美加关税战升级
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Bearish
On Tuesday, after the morning’s peak rebound reached the 79,409 area, price gradually weakened. In the afternoon, the low dropped to the 78,133 area. Breaking below the prior low also became an intraday short-term support; meanwhile, the bullish view near 79,300 did not play out as expected. At present, in terms of price action, with the break of 78,600, the short-term rhythm is a bit weaker. Even the pullback upward failed to hold and break through. In the afternoon, we can continue to look for the bears to make a second downward move around the 78,600 area. $BTC BTC short at 78,600, $ETH ETH short at 2480 #美加关税战升级
On Tuesday, after the morning’s peak rebound reached the 79,409 area, price gradually weakened. In the afternoon, the low dropped to the 78,133 area. Breaking below the prior low also became an intraday short-term support; meanwhile, the bullish view near 79,300 did not play out as expected.

At present, in terms of price action, with the break of 78,600, the short-term rhythm is a bit weaker. Even the pullback upward failed to hold and break through. In the afternoon, we can continue to look for the bears to make a second downward move around the 78,600 area.

$BTC BTC short at 78,600, $ETH ETH short at 2480
#美加关税战升级
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Bullish
Tuesday: the intraday price action continues to follow a choppy, ranging rhythm. Yesterday, after giving a short signal from 80,000, a backtest at midnight reached the previous low around 78,618, but it did not break down. From around 78,636, price gradually moved into a rebound, and it is currently trading around 79,300. Whether on the short side or the long side, overall the pace is still playing out as expected. Today, pay close attention to the move around 80,500 (the level of yesterday’s breakdown gap) and the 80,000 psychological support for whether they can be broken. The short-term pullback did not break below, which also confirms that support is still effective. There is an expectation that price may rise further in the short term. However, the rebound strength is currently a bit weak, so patience is needed and we should wait for the bulls to gain momentum. In the morning, I am long around 79,300 for Bitcoin and around 2,500+ for Ethereum. $BTC $ETH #比特币走势分析
Tuesday: the intraday price action continues to follow a choppy, ranging rhythm. Yesterday, after giving a short signal from 80,000, a backtest at midnight reached the previous low around 78,618, but it did not break down. From around 78,636, price gradually moved into a rebound, and it is currently trading around 79,300.

Whether on the short side or the long side, overall the pace is still playing out as expected.

Today, pay close attention to the move around 80,500 (the level of yesterday’s breakdown gap) and the 80,000 psychological support for whether they can be broken. The short-term pullback did not break below, which also confirms that support is still effective. There is an expectation that price may rise further in the short term. However, the rebound strength is currently a bit weak, so patience is needed and we should wait for the bulls to gain momentum.

In the morning, I am long around 79,300 for Bitcoin and around 2,500+ for Ethereum. $BTC $ETH #比特币走势分析
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Bearish
On Monday, the current trend has not yet shown a significant fluctuation, and it remains mainly range-bound. For range-bound trading, the most mentioned approach is precise timing entries. Previously, a long position was taken around 79000, and the intraday rebound high reached around 80500, giving more than a thousand points of room. However, after the rebound, the follow-through was insufficient and it gradually weakened. It was again suggested to short around 80000, and the afternoon sell-off again gave more than a thousand points of downside space. The bullish rebound momentum is insufficient. After rebounding from lower levels and rising to the high of 80536, it failed to continue, weakening further upward rebound momentum and forming short-term resistance. The hourly chart has entered a dull consolidation phase. Although it is currently in a rebound wave, it is not strong; the rebound is clearly being resisted, and there is still a need for a pullback in the short term. Continue to look for a pullback in the afternoon. Short Bitcoin around 79500, short Ethereum around 2500 $BTC $ETH #美伊互袭油轮冲突升级
On Monday, the current trend has not yet shown a significant fluctuation, and it remains mainly range-bound. For range-bound trading, the most mentioned approach is precise timing entries. Previously, a long position was taken around 79000, and the intraday rebound high reached around 80500, giving more than a thousand points of room. However, after the rebound, the follow-through was insufficient and it gradually weakened. It was again suggested to short around 80000, and the afternoon sell-off again gave more than a thousand points of downside space.

The bullish rebound momentum is insufficient. After rebounding from lower levels and rising to the high of 80536, it failed to continue, weakening further upward rebound momentum and forming short-term resistance. The hourly chart has entered a dull consolidation phase. Although it is currently in a rebound wave, it is not strong; the rebound is clearly being resisted, and there is still a need for a pullback in the short term. Continue to look for a pullback in the afternoon.

Short Bitcoin around 79500, short Ethereum around 2500 $BTC $ETH #美伊互袭油轮冲突升级
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Bearish
On Monday, 9.7, weekend price action continued to revolve around consolidation, with the main trend being narrow-range fluctuations. Yesterday, when it pulled back to around 79000, we suggested going long, and the short-term high reached around 80500, also giving nearly 1500 points of room. During the day, the rebound was blocked at 80500 and then fell back. In the short term, there is still an expectation of further adjustment. Intraday, focus on support around 79000 and the low near 78618. If the pullback does not break below, continue to look bullish around the lower low. In the morning, short-term around 80000, first look to short for a pullback. $BTC $ETH #美国空袭伊朗油轮德黑兰限制霍尔木兹海峡
On Monday, 9.7, weekend price action continued to revolve around consolidation, with the main trend being narrow-range fluctuations. Yesterday, when it pulled back to around 79000, we suggested going long, and the short-term high reached around 80500, also giving nearly 1500 points of room. During the day, the rebound was blocked at 80500 and then fell back. In the short term, there is still an expectation of further adjustment. Intraday, focus on support around 79000 and the low near 78618. If the pullback does not break below, continue to look bullish around the lower low. In the morning, short-term around 80000, first look to short for a pullback. $BTC $ETH #美国空袭伊朗油轮德黑兰限制霍尔木兹海峡
Article
The bullish structure remains intact, and pullbacks are opportunities to build positionsOver the past week, Bitcoin has completed a full bullish move of accumulation, breakout, push to the top, and pullback. Overall, market sentiment has shifted from cautious to proactively bullish, the price base has steadily moved higher, and the bullish structure remains intact. Throughout the week, I stuck to a buy-the-dip approach, accurately building long positions in the 76800-77300 range, actively reducing positions at higher levels to lock in profits, and the 81500 swing target was successfully achieved. By the end of the week, the target in the 82000-83000 range had also been met. Whether long or short, each move in the market was basically timed right on point. On the current trend, the convergence of three technical signals — ascending triangle, stepwise higher support, and lighter volume on pullbacks — points to an intact bullish structure. The short-term overbought condition has been sufficiently reset by Friday's pullback. The 78500—79000 range is the optimal area to enter longs in terms of risk-reward. On the upside, closely watch the validity of the breakout at 82282; once it holds with increased volume, the measured target of the pattern points above 86500.

The bullish structure remains intact, and pullbacks are opportunities to build positions

Over the past week, Bitcoin has completed a full bullish move of accumulation, breakout, push to the top, and pullback. Overall, market sentiment has shifted from cautious to proactively bullish, the price base has steadily moved higher, and the bullish structure remains intact. Throughout the week, I stuck to a buy-the-dip approach, accurately building long positions in the 76800-77300 range, actively reducing positions at higher levels to lock in profits, and the 81500 swing target was successfully achieved. By the end of the week, the target in the 82000-83000 range had also been met. Whether long or short, each move in the market was basically timed right on point.
On the current trend, the convergence of three technical signals — ascending triangle, stepwise higher support, and lighter volume on pullbacks — points to an intact bullish structure. The short-term overbought condition has been sufficiently reset by Friday's pullback. The 78500—79000 range is the optimal area to enter longs in terms of risk-reward. On the upside, closely watch the validity of the breakout at 82282; once it holds with increased volume, the measured target of the pattern points above 86500.
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Bullish
Boasting is boasting, staying clear-headed is staying clear-headed. The market never lacks slaps in the face; real skill is not getting one trade exactly right, but repeating the right actions for a lifetime. Yesterday BTC surged to 82000 and then consolidated. The rhythm of pulling back after breaking highs has not changed: don’t chase highs, wait for a stop in the decline before going long. In the U.S. session, the 81000 short position took profit; after the pullback to 79000, we reversed to long and gained nearly 700 points again. With a quiet weekend, it’s best to take profits and stay safe. Get the rhythm right, put the profits in your pocket, and that’s enough. At present, the trend has not been damaged, but the short term needs a correction. The 80000 level defines the battle between bulls and bears. If 79000 holds, look to buy on dips; if it breaks, fall back to 77000 and wait on the sidelines. Be patient and wait for a breakout confirmation before increasing position size. In line with the trend, the main approach is still to buy on dips. Long around 79000 for Bitcoin, long around 2435 for Ethereum$BTC $ETH #比特币ETF创1月以来最大单日流入
Boasting is boasting, staying clear-headed is staying clear-headed. The market never lacks slaps in the face; real skill is not getting one trade exactly right, but repeating the right actions for a lifetime.

Yesterday BTC surged to 82000 and then consolidated. The rhythm of pulling back after breaking highs has not changed: don’t chase highs, wait for a stop in the decline before going long. In the U.S. session, the 81000 short position took profit; after the pullback to 79000, we reversed to long and gained nearly 700 points again. With a quiet weekend, it’s best to take profits and stay safe.

Get the rhythm right, put the profits in your pocket, and that’s enough.

At present, the trend has not been damaged, but the short term needs a correction. The 80000 level defines the battle between bulls and bears. If 79000 holds, look to buy on dips; if it breaks, fall back to 77000 and wait on the sidelines. Be patient and wait for a breakout confirmation before increasing position size. In line with the trend, the main approach is still to buy on dips.

Long around 79000 for Bitcoin, long around 2435 for Ethereum$BTC $ETH #比特币ETF创1月以来最大单日流入
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Bullish
On Friday, the intraday rebound reached above 82000 before oscillating and pulling back again. Yesterday, I kept suggesting longs around 77000, and it also reached the expected level, fully capturing the move. Although today’s trend is still bullish, short-term shorts were already positioned at high levels. The non-farm payroll release directly broke below the 80000 mark and reached the expected pullback target, once again taking profits precisely. You can appreciate the rhythm and timing yourself. The pullback correction has already been given, and its magnitude is also in line with correction expectations. It is a relatively healthy adjustment. For the evening, the idea is to turn bullish and look for a second rebound. Bitcoin longs around 79000, Ethereum longs around 2435 $BTC $ETH #比特币以太坊触及数月高点
On Friday, the intraday rebound reached above 82000 before oscillating and pulling back again. Yesterday, I kept suggesting longs around 77000, and it also reached the expected level, fully capturing the move. Although today’s trend is still bullish, short-term shorts were already positioned at high levels. The non-farm payroll release directly broke below the 80000 mark and reached the expected pullback target, once again taking profits precisely. You can appreciate the rhythm and timing yourself.

The pullback correction has already been given, and its magnitude is also in line with correction expectations. It is a relatively healthy adjustment. For the evening, the idea is to turn bullish and look for a second rebound.

Bitcoin longs around 79000, Ethereum longs around 2435 $BTC $ETH #比特币以太坊触及数月高点
Buy now or wait for a pullback before following up? Watch around 79500 and then go long. For intraday short-term, it's better to look for short setups with a stop-loss first; just wait for the pullback and then decide, $BTC $ETH #美国初请失业金人数升至20.6万
Buy now or wait for a pullback before following up? Watch around 79500 and then go long. For intraday short-term, it's better to look for short setups with a stop-loss first; just wait for the pullback and then decide, $BTC $ETH #美国初请失业金人数升至20.6万
Yesterday saw a one-sided rally of 5,000 points—timing was spot on. 77000 is a bullish target to realize profits at 78500; 78300 long—if it breaks 80,000, realize at 81500–83000. Above 80,000, volume energy directly hits your face; 81000/82000 resistance tests landed precisely. Long ETH at 2380–2350; on a pullback to 2420/2480, go long again—creating room alongside. The market is strongly breaking out; bottom support is solid. After a brief consolidation, it keeps pushing higher. It broke above 81500 and rushed to 82282, setting a new multi-month high. The earlier pullback was just a continuation within the uptrend—trend unchanged. After breaking above, the consecutive rise with no decent retracement shows the bulls’ momentum is clear. After a big surge, the technical repair in the morning is a normal rhythm—wait for the pullback to stabilize, then follow and go long. BTC: Long 80500–80000, target 83000 ETH: Long 2490–2460, target 2600$BTC $ETH #美国初请失业金人数升至20.6万
Yesterday saw a one-sided rally of 5,000 points—timing was spot on.

77000 is a bullish target to realize profits at 78500; 78300 long—if it breaks 80,000, realize at 81500–83000. Above 80,000, volume energy directly hits your face; 81000/82000 resistance tests landed precisely. Long ETH at 2380–2350; on a pullback to 2420/2480, go long again—creating room alongside.

The market is strongly breaking out; bottom support is solid. After a brief consolidation, it keeps pushing higher. It broke above 81500 and rushed to 82282, setting a new multi-month high. The earlier pullback was just a continuation within the uptrend—trend unchanged. After breaking above, the consecutive rise with no decent retracement shows the bulls’ momentum is clear. After a big surge, the technical repair in the morning is a normal rhythm—wait for the pullback to stabilize, then follow and go long.

BTC: Long 80500–80000, target 83000
ETH: Long 2490–2460, target 2600$BTC $ETH #美国初请失业金人数升至20.6万
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Bullish
BTC bottoming out and rebounding, with the 40,000-point mark safely locked in In the morning, we directly entered BTC in the 77,000–76,500 range, with a target of 78,500, and took profit in the afternoon. In the evening, we issued a second bullish call—so how will the price action look afterward? This rally has already pushed toward the 81,000 area and delivered the expected take-profit again. Now it has broken above 80,000, and the volume is strong. The market moved from the 77,500 consolidation range into an expansion-led breakout; around 81,000 is the previous key psychological/positioning test zone. If it can push through, that’s a signal that the structure is strengthening. Buy BTC on a pullback near 80,000, targeting 82,000–83,000. Buy ETH on a pullback near 2,480, targeting 2,530–2,560. $BTC $ETH #美国初请失业金人数升至20.6万
BTC bottoming out and rebounding, with the 40,000-point mark safely locked in

In the morning, we directly entered BTC in the 77,000–76,500 range, with a target of 78,500, and took profit in the afternoon. In the evening, we issued a second bullish call—so how will the price action look afterward? This rally has already pushed toward the 81,000 area and delivered the expected take-profit again.

Now it has broken above 80,000, and the volume is strong. The market moved from the 77,500 consolidation range into an expansion-led breakout; around 81,000 is the previous key psychological/positioning test zone. If it can push through, that’s a signal that the structure is strengthening.

Buy BTC on a pullback near 80,000, targeting 82,000–83,000.
Buy ETH on a pullback near 2,480, targeting 2,530–2,560. $BTC $ETH #美国初请失业金人数升至20.6万
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Bullish
Intraday low-buy strategy realizes gains. Both BTC and ETH go long at the support zones and take profit at the resistance zones, with the pace matching expectations. The current 79500 level is not the peak of this market cycle; it is a key pressure point. Once there is a valid breakout, the upside room will open directly to the 81500-83000 range. From the structure, this leg of the upward move has likely not finished yet, and the main breakout wave is probably still ahead. The essence of consolidation is to shake out positions. After the shakeout, price often continues moving higher. For pullbacks, the correct way to respond is to treat them as an opportunity to add to positions, not as a reason to panic and exit. The trend remains unchanged—hold your positions and wait for the rise. Tonight, bought more Bitcoin around the 78300 area, and bought more Ethereum around the 2420 area $BTC $ETH #比特币难破8万美元
Intraday low-buy strategy realizes gains. Both BTC and ETH go long at the support zones and take profit at the resistance zones, with the pace matching expectations.

The current 79500 level is not the peak of this market cycle; it is a key pressure point. Once there is a valid breakout, the upside room will open directly to the 81500-83000 range. From the structure, this leg of the upward move has likely not finished yet, and the main breakout wave is probably still ahead.

The essence of consolidation is to shake out positions. After the shakeout, price often continues moving higher. For pullbacks, the correct way to respond is to treat them as an opportunity to add to positions, not as a reason to panic and exit. The trend remains unchanged—hold your positions and wait for the rise.

Tonight, bought more Bitcoin around the 78300 area, and bought more Ethereum around the 2420 area
$BTC $ETH #比特币难破8万美元
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