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Bitcoin surpassed yesterday the US$87,000 after a weak jobs report in the US, then fell again when Treasury bond yields rebounded. BTC’s behavior reflects how tightly it is tied to traditional macro markets—especially bond yields and expectations for interest rates from the US Federal Reserve.
US$87,300 for now is the ceiling of the recent range: either a definitive easing in sovereign debt markets or a steady stream of capital into spot BTC ETFs that manages to absorb sell pressure. If there’s a breakout with volume, the path will be clear to once again test the psychological barrier of US$90,000. Conversely, if it loses support at US$83,500, it would invalidate the short-term bullish momentum, triggering an accelerated drop toward the US$80,000 area. $BTC
🚨🚨 Something VERY STRANGE is happening on Wall Street! 🇺🇸📉
The S&P 500 remains near all-time highs. 📈
But at the same time…
🔴 The S&P 500 short interest has just risen to 3.8% ⚠️ Similar levels to those seen around the 2008 crash 📉 SPY short interest → +21.5% in ONLY one month
🤯 WHY is bearish leverage increasing so fast while the stock market is at its HIGHS?
And here comes the interesting part… 👀
🔥 All those shorts could become the fuel for the LAST bullish squeeze.
🐻 Shorts close positions 📈 Stocks jump 🤑 Retail jumps in with FOMO 🚨 And then… the forced buying disappears.
💥 Could this dynamic be setting up the market’s FINAL top?
👀 Because after every top… a new opportunity appears. $NVDAB
The treasury firm of the XRP Evernorth token obtained shareholder approval for its merger with Armada II, paving the way to debut on Nasdaq as XRPN on October 8. This event marks an important milestone for the institutional and regulated adoption of XRP in traditional financial markets. The associated transaction and private placements have raised more than one billion dollars, backed by major players in the industry.
Like treasury vehicles focused on other cryptocurrencies, such as the popular model pioneered by Strategy with Bitcoin, Evernorth offers traditional investors a regulated and direct route to gain exposure to the price of the XRP token without needing to trade on crypto exchanges. Its initial reserve has a significant base of approximately 473 million XRP. $XRP
THE LABOR REPORT KEEPS US STRONGLY AWAY FROM A RATE HIKE IN OCTOBER ($BTC IS RISING).
What does this mean and how does it impact your investments?
▫️The US economy went from adding 133K jobs outside the agricultural sector in August to adding 29K in September, a figure WELL BELOW expectations (expected +89K) ▫️On the other hand, the UNEMPLOYMENT RATE INCREASED from 4.1% to 4.2% (above the expected 4.1%) ▫️Lastly, the GROWTH in AVERAGE HOURLY INCOME FELL from 0.3% to 0.1% (it was expected to remain at 0.3%)
👀With a WEAK labor market, the chances that the FED will RAISE the rate in October are getting slimmer 👀Especially considering that PCE INFLATION came in LOWER than expected...
📍After the report, #Bitcoin briefly surpassed $87,000
BTC has just made a strong upward move and, far from losing structure, it continues to hold above the ascending trendline.
But there’s something even more important:
📈 Open Interest is rising strongly, moving from the 252K zone to surpass 261K.
💰 At the same time, the Open Interest-weighted Funding Rate remains positive, currently around 0.0087%.
This indicates that the futures market is gaining activity and that there is significant position accumulation while BTC stays near $86,000–$86,500.
The key now is here:
🔹 BTC maintains the uptrend 🔹 Open Interest continues to grow 🔹 Positive funding 🔹 Price is consolidating after the strong push
⚠️ That said: a rapid increase in Open Interest alongside positive funding also means there is more and more leverage building up in the market.
That’s why the next moves could be especially violent.
As long as BTC respects the structure and the uptrend, the bulls remain in control.
Now it’s time to watch whether BTC manages to break through and consolidate above the recent highs, or whether it first does a cleanup of leveraged positions.
TOMORROW WE HAVE A DATA RELEASE THAT WILL MOVE ALL FINANCIAL MARKETS (INCLUDING $BTC Y #CRYPTO)
👉In the current situation, in which bond yields keep rising 👉And in which PCE inflation came in lower than expected and reduced the odds of a rate hike 👉What will likely define what happens with interest rates in October is tomorrow’s JOBS REPORT at 09:30 ARG
How would this impact financial markets and why?
▪️A WEAK jobs report would be positive for financial markets, since it TAKES US AWAY from a rate hike by the FED ▪️It is expected that new jobs outside the agricultural sector will fall from 162K to 89K ▪️That the unemployment rate remains at 4.1% ▪️And that average hourly earnings remain at 0.3%
📍If the jobs report comes STRONGER than expected, financial markets could react to the downside. Including $BTC
The market intelligence and on-chain research platform for cryptoassets and digital assets, Glassnode, indicated that the Bitcoin rebound is still early and speculative, with average daily volume of around US$6.4 billion, near the bottom of its range since the launch of US spot ETFs.
This type of context usually aligns with major resistance zones, such as the sell walls in order books on exchanges, where price struggles to move higher without an additional volume catalyst. With no surge of fresh capital and more moderate ETF flows, the current move is classified as early and speculative, driven more by internal market dynamics than by broad adoption of new liquidity. $BTC