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Kalshi Traders See $85,000 as September’s High-Water Mark That is a forecast, not a lock. According to Kalshi’s “How high will Bitcoin get in September?” market, the crowd’s forecast is $85,000, up $3,090 on the session, with about $752,482 in volume. Bitcoin is still working around $80,000, so the market is pricing a test of the mid-$80,000s before month-end — not a guaranteed close there. Key Details: > Kalshi September high forecast: $85,000. > Volume on the contract: about $752,000. > $85,000 sits just above the May-highs zone near $82,000–$83,000. > Friday’s CPI is still the main macro event this week and can move that forecast quickly. An $85,000 September high would mean the rebound clears the first major resistance shelf. It would not, by itself, confirm $100,000. If CPI comes in hot, this number can be marked down in a day. Kalshi: September Bitcoin High Forecast at $85,000 Do you think $85,000 gets tagged this month, or does CPI cap the move back under $80,000 first? #BTC Price Analysis# #Bitcoin Price Prediction: What is Bitcoins next move?# $BTC $SOL

SOL-2.48%

$320M in Bitcoin Left Liquid. The Takers Say They’re White Hats. About 4,000 $BTC , worth roughly $320 million, left Blockstream’s Liquid federation wallet on September 6. That was about 95% of the bitcoin backing L-BTC. Liquid paused the sidechain. Exchanges halted L-BTC deposits and withdrawals. No federation keys were reported stolen. SideSwap said a customer sent 4,000 L-BTC through a normal peg-out. The L-BTC was created by a bug in Elements, Liquid’s software. The federation then paid out about 3,996 real BTC. What is on chain so far: > 4,000 BTC withdrawn, $320 million > wallet fell from 4,200 BTC to 200 BTC > message: “we are whitehats. contact us on chain” > they offered to return “most” after a patch > coins were still sitting in one address That matters because Liquid is a bitcoin sidechain used for faster settlement. If the reserve is gone, L-BTC is no longer fully backed until the coins come back. Calling yourself a white hat is not the same as returning the funds. They said “most,” not all. Until the bitcoin moves back, it is still $320 million sitting outside the bridge. #BTC Price Analysis# #Bitcoin Price Prediction: What is Bitcoins next move?# $BTC $XRP

ethereum is making one of crypto’s biggest ux problems much simpler. starting with the planned Hegotá upgrade in 2027, users could make ethereum transactions without having to hold $ETH just to pay gas. the change comes through Frame Transactions (EIP-8141), which separates the account authorizing a transaction from the account paying the network fee. so if you’re holding USDC or USDT, a wallet or payment app could take the stablecoin from you and handle the ETH gas payment in the background. no more: “i have $100 in usdc but can’t move it because i don’t have $2 of eth.” this could make ethereum much easier for stablecoin users, especially as stablecoins become a bigger part of payments and everyday transactions. $ETH would still be used to pay the network. the difference is that users may no longer need to hold it themselves just to transact. that’s a pretty big improvement for the ethereum user experience. #Macro Insights# #Bitcoin Price Prediction: What is Bitcoins next move?# #Bullish $BTC

Bitcoin’s Weekly Supertrend Is Flipping Back to Green The same indicator that marked prior cycle turns is being tested again. According to the weekly Supertrend chart, $BTC is near $79,490. The line has shifted from red to a new green mark at the latest low — the same style of flip that appeared in 2015, 2019, 2020, and late 2022. Those earlier green turns lined up with the start of multi-month advances. Key Details: > Supertrend on the weekly is a trend overlay. Green means the model is treating the market as up. Red means down. > Prior green flips on this chart sat near the 2015, 2019, 2020, and 2022 lows. > The latest arrow is under the 2026 low, with price back toward $80,000. > A flip is only useful if the week holds. Lose the Supertrend line again and it can turn back to resistance. This is a timing tool, not a promise. It caught the last four major recoveries on this view. It does not guarantee the next one. The confirmation is a weekly close that keeps the line green and price above it — not the first green dot alone. Weekly Supertrend Turns Green Near $79,500 — Same Signal That Marked Prior Cycle Lows Do you treat this flip as the official trend change, or wait for a second weekly close still above the line? #BTC Price Analysis# #Bitcoin Price Prediction: What is Bitcoins next move?# $BTC $ETH

The Next Bitcoin Halving Is About 585 Days Away The old calendar trade is coming back into view. According to the long-term weekly chart, prior cycles often saw strength when $BTC was bought roughly 500 days before a halving and sold roughly 500 days after. The next halving is marked for 2028. From today that is about 585 days, so the historical “buy window” is not far off. Key Details: > Next halving: about 585 days out (2028). > The chart marks 500-day spans before each halving (green) and 500-day spans after (red). > Those post-halving windows captured the 2017 and 2021 run-ups. The latest cycle has already seen a large advance and a deep 2026 drawdown. > Bitcoin is near $80,300 on this weekly, still below the last cycle high. A 500-day rule is a calendar overlay, not a guarantee. It worked when liquidity and new demand lined up with the issuance cut. This cycle already spent a lot of that energy early. The clean version of the trade would start closer to 500 days before 2028 — not because history must repeat, but because that is when the pattern says positioning usually begins. $BTC Halving in ~585 Days — Historical 500-Day Pre/Post Windows Are Back on the Chart Do you start a pre-halving bid this far out, or wait until the 500-day mark actually arrives? #Bitcoin Price Prediction: What is Bitcoins next move?# #BTC Price Analysis# $XRP #Altcoin Season#

Vitalik Says AI Is Unlikely to Break Bitcoin Investor Liron Shapira put 50% odds on $BTC falling 50% or more in two years. His reason: AI would weaken trust in Bitcoin’s security. Ethereum co-founder Vitalik Buterin said he disagrees. Buterin split the risk in two. Software around the network — clients and mining pools — can be upgraded if AI finds bugs. A real break of Bitcoin’s hashes or proof-of-work is much harder. He called that chance “tiny.” The two sides: > Shapira: 50% chance of a 50%+ crash in two years > reason: AI hurts Bitcoin’s security story > Buterin: the opposite view > patches can fix network-layer attacks > breaking hashes or PoW is “tiny” > about 90% of his net worth is already on that view That matters because “AI finds a bug” is not the same as “AI breaks SHA-256.” Only the second one would force a hard change to Bitcoin itself. He is not saying the price cannot drop. He is saying he does not expect AI to crack the core. #BTC Price Analysis# #Bitcoin Price Prediction: What is Bitcoins next move?# $BTC $ETH #Macro Insights#

$DIAM is starting to show some strength. the token is trading around $0.0056 and is up roughly 10% this month, with buyers slowly pushing price higher. the move is still relatively early, but rising demand around these levels could be a sign that momentum is starting to shift. if $BTC continues moving up, that could give altcoins more room to run. but the next thing i’d watch is volume and liquidity. if both start increasing alongside price, $DIAM could have more room to continue the move. keeping @Diam on the radar. #BTC #AltcoinSeason #MacroInsights

NEW: This Week’s Calendar Is Built Around Friday CPI The jobs print already landed hot. Inflation is the next test. According to the week ahead, U.S. markets are closed Monday. The data stack then builds toward Friday’s CPI. After a strong 162,000 jobs report, another firm inflation number would make a September rate hike easier to defend — and that usually means higher yields, a stronger dollar, and pressure on stocks and crypto. Key Details: > Monday: U.S. markets closed. > Tuesday: Fed closed-board meeting and consumer credit. > Wednesday: Employer labor costs. > Thursday: PPI, Fed balance sheet, and Adobe earnings. > Friday: CPI and real earnings — the main event. Bitcoin is sitting on $80,000 with ETF inflows finally green again. That bid can fade if Friday CPI comes in hot and hike odds jump. A cooler print would do the opposite and give the $83,000 test more room. This Week: Closed Monday, CPI Friday — The Print That Can Make or Break the $80K Hold Do you reduce risk into Friday CPI, or wait for the number before touching the $80,000 level? #BTC Price Analysis# #Bitcoin Price Prediction: What is Bitcoins next move?# $ZEC $BTC

ZEC-5.14%

NEW: Arthur Hayes Expects $ETH to Beat $BTC Over the Next Two Years The call is relative performance, not a Bitcoin dump. According to recent comments from the BitMEX co-founder, Ethereum is Maelstrom’s largest directional bet and he expects it to outperform Bitcoin over the next couple of years. He has also said ETH is the only major coin that has not taken out its 2021 high, which is part of why he likes the setup. Key Details: Hayes: ETH “will significantly outperform Bitcoin over the next few years.” He still describes the Bitcoin holding as structural. The outperformance call is about ETH catching up, not abandoning BTC. Separate notes this month have included a $10,000 Ether target by end-2026. ETH remains below its 2021 peak; Bitcoin is also below its own cycle high, but ETH’s relative lag is the trade. This is a liquidity-and-catch-up argument. If Bitcoin holds $80,000 and risk rotates, ETH can move more in percentage terms because it is further from its old high. If Bitcoin fails $80,000, that relative bet usually gets hit first on the way down. Hayes: $ETH to Outperform $BTC Over the Next Two Years Do you buy the ETH/BTC catch-up trade from here, or do you stay in Bitcoin until dominance stops falling? #BTC Price Analysis# #Bitcoin Price Prediction: What is Bitcoins next move?# #Altcoin Season#

Bitcoin Is Back Within 0.4% of Its 50-Week Average The rebound has reached the line that defined the last cycle’s trend. According to Galaxy Research, Bitcoin was $80,718 on September 3. The 50-week moving average stood at $81,041. The 350-day average was $80,995. Price is 0.4% below the 50-week line and 0.3% below the 350-day line. Key Details: > A 50-week average is the typical price of the last 50 weekly closes. In prior bull phases Bitcoin spent most of its time above it. > That average is still sloping down after the drop from above $100,000. > Current price: $80,718. 50-week: $81,041. 350-day: $80,995. > The last completed week used in the 50-week print was August 30. This is a test, not a confirmed reclaim. Holding above $81,000 on a weekly close would put Bitcoin back on the right side of the medium-term trend. Failing here keeps the 50-week average as resistance, the same role it played on the way down. Bitcoin $80,718 vs 50-Week Average $81,041 — Closest Re-Test Since the Breakdown Do you need a weekly close above $81,000 to call the trend repaired, or is tagging the 50-week average enough? #BTC Price Analysis# #Bitcoin Price Prediction: What is Bitcoins next move?# $BTC $ETH

Trump Says He Made Hundreds of Billions in Stocks — For the Country President Trump said he generated hundreds of billions of dollars from stocks, and that the money was for the United States, not for him. The line is a bigger version of a claim he has made before: that government equity stakes, including a 10% holding in Intel, have marked up by tens of billions on paper. This is not the same number as his personal finances. His 2025 disclosure showed about $2.2 billion in reported income, with more than $1 billion of that from crypto-related ventures, not from a public stock-picking account. He has also said his stock and bond portfolio is run by third-party managers. What is actually on the table: > the new claim: “hundreds of billions” from stocks, “for the country”
> prior version: the Intel stake alone was “worth $80 billion”
> personal 2025 disclosure: about $2.2 billion in income
> largest disclosed personal slice: crypto businesses, not the S&P
> White House line: the personal portfolio is independently managed

That matters because a mark-to-market gain on a government stake is not cash in the Treasury, and it is not the president’s paycheck. A stock can fall and wipe the paper gain. Personal crypto and licensing income is a separate ledger. He is drawing a line between the country and himself. The public filings still show a large private haul. The “hundreds of billions” figure has not been published as a Treasury profit.

#Bitcoin Price Prediction: What is Bitcoins next move?# #BTC Price Analysis# $BTC $ZEC #Bullish

ZEC-5.14%

Bitcoin’s 4-Hour RSI Is Making Lower Highs While Price Holds Near $80,000 The chart has a split signal. According to the 4-hour $BTC chart, price is still inside a rising range after the mid-August rally, last seen near $79,700. The upper edge of that range is around $82,000–$83,000. RSI, which measures how stretched recent buying has been, is making lower highs — a bearish divergence. Key Details: > Price: about $79,700, mid-range after tagging the $82,000 area.
> Range: roughly $77,000 on the low side and $82,000–$83,000 on the high side.
> RSI peaked near the first push into the range, then printed weaker highs even as price retested the top.
> Bearish divergence means momentum is fading while price has not yet broken down.
Divergence is a warning, not a trigger. It fails if $BTC closes through $83,000 with RSI turning up. It matters if $77,000 gives way while RSI stays soft. Until one of those lines breaks, this is still a range with weaker internal strength. Bitcoin 4H: Price Near $80K, RSI Lower Highs — Bearish Divergence Inside the Range Do you fade the next trip into $82,000 because of the RSI, or wait for a 4-hour close below $77,000 first?

#BTC Price Analysis# #Bitcoin Price Prediction: What is Bitcoins next move?# $XRP

robinhood chain just became the highest-fee network among major chains. the network generated $16.8m in fees over the past 7 days, putting it ahead of other major networks. and the activity behind that number is getting pretty serious. > 1.49m active addresses > $16.8m in weekly fees > $47b+ cumulative dex volume a lot of the recent activity has been driven by the memecoin season on Robinhood Chain, with traders pushing more volume through the network. but memecoins aren't the only thing happening there. tokenized stocks and other real-world assets are also being built into the ecosystem, giving the chain another source of activity beyond pure speculation. Robinhood Chain only launched a few months ago. seeing it already compete with established networks on fees shows just how much demand is flowing through the chain. the real test now is whether the activity stays strong after the memecoin hype cools down. #BTC Price Analysis# #Macro Insights# #Bitcoin Price Prediction: What is Bitcoins next move?# $BTC $ETH

A Whale Just Put On a $112 Million Ether Long The account is long only. The week is already red. According to the Hyperliquid-style book, the wallet holds a 5x cross long of 45,087 $ETH worth about $111.9 million. Account equity is $15.74 million. Free margin is $1.72 million. Liquidation sits at $2,176.49. Key Details: > Size: 45,087 ETH. Notional: $111.90 million.
> Entry $2,486.37. Mark price about $2,482.70. Unrealized PnL: −$206,369.
> Liquidation price: $2,176.49. Margin in the trade: $13.99 million.
> Funding paid: about −$307,536. One-week perp PnL: −$1.66 million.
> Leverage on the account: 7.12×. Long exposure: 100%.
This is a large directional bet that Ether holds the mid-$2,400s. The long can absorb a drop toward $2,176 before it is forced out. That is a wide buffer versus the ultra-tight 25x books seen on other wallets. It is still a $112 million position on a $16 million account. If $ETH breaks down, this size becomes extra supply. $112M ETH Long: 45,087 ETH, Entry $2,486, Liquidation $2,176

#BTC Price Analysis# #Bitcoin Price Prediction: What is Bitcoins next move?# $BTC

Bitcoin’s Share of the Crypto Market Is Falling as Smaller Coins Gain Ground Money is rotating out of $BTC slice of the pie.According to the latest dominance charts, Bitcoin dominance (BTC.D) has dropped from about 60.50% to about 59.62% since September 3. Others dominance (OTHERS.D) — the share of the market outside the top 10 coins — has risen from about 7.45% to about 7.88% over the same stretch. Key Details: > Dominance is each asset’s market cap as a percent of the whole crypto market.
> BTC.D falling means Bitcoin is growing slower than the rest of the market, or shrinking faster.
> OTHERS.D rising means coins outside the top 10 are taking a larger share.
> This is a few days of rotation, not a confirmed altseason by itself.
A drop in Bitcoin dominance with a rise in “others” is what people mean when they say alts are catching a bid. It can last if Bitcoin holds $80,000 and traders reach for higher-beta names. It can reverse fast if Bitcoin breaks down and liquidity leaves the small caps first. $BTC Dominance Slides Toward 59.6% as Others Dominance Pushes Toward 7.9%

Do you rotate into alts while Bitcoin holds $80,000, or wait to see if this dominance shift survives next week? #Bitcoin Price Prediction: What is Bitcoins next move?# #BTC Price Analysis# $XRP #Macro Insights#

Spot ETFs Took In $1.2B Last Week US spot Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs recorded $1.202 billion of net inflows from August 31 to September 4, according to Farside Investors. Bitcoin products took $986.7 million. Ethereum products took $215.3 million. This was not a quiet week. The same stretch included Friday’s jobs report, when August payrolls printed 162,000 versus about 56,000 expected and Bitcoin sold through $80,000. The ETF tape still finished the week in the green. Where the money went: > combined net inflows: $1.202 billion
> Bitcoin ETFs: $986.7 million
> Ethereum ETFs: $215.3 million
> window: August 31–September 4
> source: Farside daily net flows

That matters because ETF creations are actual cash coming into regulated products, not social-media volume. Almost $1 billion of the week went to Bitcoin. Ether got a smaller, still-positive slice. The catch: one strong week does not cancel a jobs-driven selloff, and Friday can leak some of that flow. It does show that the accounts buying spot ETFs were still adding while the market was arguing about rate hikes. Price can drop in an hour. These products still took in $1.2 billion over five sessions.

#BTC Price Analysis# #Bitcoin Price Prediction: What is Bitcoins next move?# $BTC $ETH

Tokenized Stock DEX Volume Hit $15.9 Billion in 90 Days — Three Venues Took Almost All of It On-chain stock trading is no longer a rounding error. According to Token Terminal, tokenized-stock DEX volume reached $15.9 billion over the past 90 days, up 1,250.8%. Uniswap processed $6.6 billion across V3 and V4. PancakeSwap processed $5.5 billion. Raydium processed $2.0 billion. Together those three venues did $14.1 billion, or 88.7% of the total. Key Details: > 90-day tokenized-stock DEX volume: $15.9 billion.
> Uniswap (V3 + V4): $6.6 billion.
> PancakeSwap: $5.5 billion.
> Raydium: $2.0 billion.
> The latest weekly bar is the largest on the chart, above $3.5 billion.
Volume is activity, not the same thing as new long-term holders. Still, $16 billion in three months shows tokenized stocks have a real trading venue now, and it is concentrated on Uniswap, PancakeSwap, and Raydium. The next question is whether that flow stays after the first burst of listings. Tokenized Stocks: $15.9B DEX Volume in 90 Days, 89% on Uniswap, PancakeSwap, and Raydium

#BTC Price Analysis# #Bitcoin Price Prediction: What is Bitcoins next move?# $BTC $ETH

Kalshi Now Gives Bitcoin Only a 16% Chance of Seeing $50,000 Before $100,000 Prediction-market traders are leaning harder toward $100,000 as the next round number. According to Kalshi, the contract “Will $BTC hit $50,000 before $100,000?” is at 15.9%, down 18.4 points. That means the crowd assigns about 84% odds that $100,000 prints first — or that $50,000 does not come first. Key Details: > Current Kalshi probability: 15.9%.
> Bitcoin is trading near $80,000, so $50,000 would be a deep drawdown and $100,000 would be a break of the old range.
> The probability has fallen sharply on the latest chart as price recovered from the mid-year lows.
> This is a market price from traders, not a bank forecast.
An 16% reading is not a guarantee. It is the crowd saying a crash to $50,000 before a run to $100,000 looks unlikely from here. That view can change quickly if $80,000 fails and weekly support goes with it. Kalshi: 15.9% Chance Bitcoin Hits $50K Before $100K Do you agree $100,000 comes first, or is 16% still too low after this year’s drawdown?

#Bitcoin Price Prediction: What is Bitcoins next move?# #BTC Price Analysis# $BTC $ETH

A 2010-Era Wallet Just Moved $75M of Bitcoin On-chain trackers flagged about 940 $BTC leaving an early miner cluster, worth roughly $75 million at current prices. The stack includes 41 Casascius coins — physical bitcoins minted by Mike Caldwell from 2011 to 2013, each with a private key under a hologram. Analyst SaniExp
said 100 BTC went to BitGo. The same entity has sold coins before. This is not a new whale appearing from nowhere. Casascius coins are old cold storage you can hold in your hand. Redeeming them means peeling the hologram and sweeping the coins on-chain. That is why these transfers get watched: the addresses have been public for more than a decade. What was reported: > size: about 940 BTC, ~$75 million
> 41 Casascius coins in the cluster
> 100 BTC sent to BitGo
> the holder has moved or sold coins previously

That matters because early miner coins are treated as potential supply. A transfer to a custodian can mean a sale, a custody upgrade, or estate planning. Only the 100 $BTC leg is clearly pointed at BitGo so far. A wake-up is not automatically a dump. Until those coins hit an exchange, this is old Bitcoin changing wallets — rare metal included.

#Bitcoin Price Prediction: What is Bitcoins next move?# #BTC Price Analysis# $ETH

The Crypto Market Is Worth About $14.5 Billion More Than Yesterday The total value of all coins rose in one session. According to the TOTAL market-cap chart, crypto went from a previous close of $2.66 trillion to $2.67 trillion, a gain of $14.53 billion, or 0.55%. That is the combined price of Bitcoin, Ethereum, and the rest of the market moving higher together — not $14 billion of new cash deposited in one day. Key Details: > Current total market cap: $2.67 trillion.
> Change: +$14.53 billion, +0.55%.
> The session dipped first, then recovered through the afternoon and evening.
> A 0.55% move on a $2.66 trillion market is enough to create a $14 billion headline.
Market cap going up means prices went up. It does not mean $14 billion of fresh buying showed up as cash. Still, a green day after the recent $80,000 tests on Bitcoin keeps the rebound intact heading into the weekend. Crypto Market Cap: $2.67T, Up $14.5B on the Day What is your thought on this $14 billion bounce as confirmation the dip buyers are still there, or as too small to matter until the market holds above $2.67 trillion?

#BTC Price Analysis# #Bitcoin Price Prediction: What is Bitcoins next move?# $BTC $ETH