TVBee
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A truly good article is not what is commonly referred to as a "good article"!
A truly good article makes people feel after reading it:
This coin is good,
This reasoning is correct,
This content is useful, interesting, or resonates with them...
A truly good article has no traces of being polished!
If after reading an article, the only feeling others have is that the article is well-written, then this article is definitely not a good article!
A truly good article makes people feel after reading it:
This coin is good,
This reasoning is correct,
This content is useful, interesting, or resonates with them...
A truly good article has no traces of being polished!
If after reading an article, the only feeling others have is that the article is well-written, then this article is definitely not a good article!
On February 9, MegaETH was launched, and debridge has supported cross-chain for MegaETH.
Since its launch, $94,865.46 has flowed out from MegaETH through deBridge, and $242,756.91 has flowed into MegaETH through deBridge.
In less than 2 days, deBridge has brought a net inflow of $147,891.45 to MegaETH.
Since its launch, $94,865.46 has flowed out from MegaETH through deBridge, and $242,756.91 has flowed into MegaETH through deBridge.
In less than 2 days, deBridge has brought a net inflow of $147,891.45 to MegaETH.
Future Finance (WLFI) airdrops, there’s always one that suits you!
WLFI+USD1 has continuously launched 4 major events in the Binance ecosystem, which can be said that everyone can participate and everyone has the opportunity to make money.
┈┈➤ First type of event: Financial Management
In this type of event, users only need to hold USD1, transfer it to financial management, or hold USD1 in the contract account to participate.
The 1st event with capital preservation and profit has ended, with an annualized return rate of up to 20%.
The 2nd event is currently ongoing, it has already been 2 weeks since it ended, and there’s less than 2 weeks left, with an estimated annualized return rate of around 15%.
This type of event is suitable for friends with large capital, exchange it for USD1, and then transfer it to the U-denominated contract account to earn passively.
┈┈➤ Second type of event: Trading
Using USD1 to participate in designated trading pairs can earn points. Based on the points, rewards can be shared.
This type of event is suitable for friends with time, you can look for stable market conditions, earn points, and share WLFI.
┈┈➤ Third type of event: Live Broadcast
Live broadcasts related to WLFI USD1 are conducted in Binance Square, @mscryptojiayi plus Goddess, rewards will be given based on the content of the live broadcast and the number of audience.
Brother Bee just received a reward of 230USD1, thanks to Goddess Jia.
直播：拆解总统的加密蓝图 WLFI+USD1
Influential and expressive friends can give it a try.
Brother Bee kindly reminds you to prepare a PPT with care, conduct a well-organized and high-quality live broadcast, and pair it with some red envelopes for better effects.
WLFI+USD1 has continuously launched 4 major events in the Binance ecosystem, which can be said that everyone can participate and everyone has the opportunity to make money.
┈┈➤ First type of event: Financial Management
In this type of event, users only need to hold USD1, transfer it to financial management, or hold USD1 in the contract account to participate.
The 1st event with capital preservation and profit has ended, with an annualized return rate of up to 20%.
The 2nd event is currently ongoing, it has already been 2 weeks since it ended, and there’s less than 2 weeks left, with an estimated annualized return rate of around 15%.
This type of event is suitable for friends with large capital, exchange it for USD1, and then transfer it to the U-denominated contract account to earn passively.
┈┈➤ Second type of event: Trading
Using USD1 to participate in designated trading pairs can earn points. Based on the points, rewards can be shared.
This type of event is suitable for friends with time, you can look for stable market conditions, earn points, and share WLFI.
┈┈➤ Third type of event: Live Broadcast
Live broadcasts related to WLFI USD1 are conducted in Binance Square, @mscryptojiayi plus Goddess, rewards will be given based on the content of the live broadcast and the number of audience.
Brother Bee just received a reward of 230USD1, thanks to Goddess Jia.
直播：拆解总统的加密蓝图 WLFI+USD1
Influential and expressive friends can give it a try.
Brother Bee kindly reminds you to prepare a PPT with care, conduct a well-organized and high-quality live broadcast, and pair it with some red envelopes for better effects.
Judgment of the Two Foolish Ideas at the Bottom
The first wrong idea is the刻舟 cycle, which rigidly states the cycle is 4 years and claims we are now at the beginning of a bear market.
From October 10th until now, it has already dropped for 4 months; can this be called the beginning of a bear market?!
The correct刻舟 should involve some technical indicators, such as EMA, RSI, etc.?!
Currently, the EMA and RSI are in a bear market, similar to the state in May-June 2022 and October 2018.
This round of rhythm is clearly ahead of schedule and accelerating. Therefore, the remaining bear market time may not be too long. If we only consider the U.S. cycle, after Walsh takes office in the second half of the year, it should be relatively loose, and the bear market may end around June-July. However, considering Japan's monetary policy, we cannot rule out the possibility of the bear market lasting until September-October.
The second wrong idea is calculating price retracement, directly calculating retracement based on BTC price.
When BTC reaches 1 million in the future, can we directly calculate retracement based on the price?!
The correct calculation of retracement should be based on the magnitude of the increase when calculating the retracement magnitude?!
In the past, calculating retracement could be done directly on the highest price because the starting point was too low.
From 2014 to 2017, BTC rose from 172 to 19665, 172 can of course be ignored,
From 2018 to 2021, BTC rose from 3217 to 67617, 3217 actually cannot be ignored,
From 2022 to 2025, BTC rose from 15742 to 124773.5, 15742 really cannot be ignored.
If we calculate BTC dropping from 124773.5 to 60000, it would be approximately only a 52% drop, which would make people feel that BTC still has a large drop space.
However, if we calculate BTC rising from 15742 to 124773.5, then dropping to 60000:
(124773.5-60000)/(124773.5-15742)=59.4%
So, BTC has actually dropped by about 60%, so the space for BTC to continue dropping may not be very large.
Of course, whether analyzing the cycle or the price retracement magnitude, 60000 cannot be determined as the bottom of this bear market.
It is just that the wrong analysis method leads people to mistakenly believe that the bear market will last for a long time and that the drop will be significant.
In fact, this round of cycles is ahead of schedule and accelerating, leaving little time for the bear market and not much room for BTC's drop.
The first wrong idea is the刻舟 cycle, which rigidly states the cycle is 4 years and claims we are now at the beginning of a bear market.
From October 10th until now, it has already dropped for 4 months; can this be called the beginning of a bear market?!
The correct刻舟 should involve some technical indicators, such as EMA, RSI, etc.?!
Currently, the EMA and RSI are in a bear market, similar to the state in May-June 2022 and October 2018.
This round of rhythm is clearly ahead of schedule and accelerating. Therefore, the remaining bear market time may not be too long. If we only consider the U.S. cycle, after Walsh takes office in the second half of the year, it should be relatively loose, and the bear market may end around June-July. However, considering Japan's monetary policy, we cannot rule out the possibility of the bear market lasting until September-October.
The second wrong idea is calculating price retracement, directly calculating retracement based on BTC price.
When BTC reaches 1 million in the future, can we directly calculate retracement based on the price?!
The correct calculation of retracement should be based on the magnitude of the increase when calculating the retracement magnitude?!
In the past, calculating retracement could be done directly on the highest price because the starting point was too low.
From 2014 to 2017, BTC rose from 172 to 19665, 172 can of course be ignored,
From 2018 to 2021, BTC rose from 3217 to 67617, 3217 actually cannot be ignored,
From 2022 to 2025, BTC rose from 15742 to 124773.5, 15742 really cannot be ignored.
If we calculate BTC dropping from 124773.5 to 60000, it would be approximately only a 52% drop, which would make people feel that BTC still has a large drop space.
However, if we calculate BTC rising from 15742 to 124773.5, then dropping to 60000:
(124773.5-60000)/(124773.5-15742)=59.4%
So, BTC has actually dropped by about 60%, so the space for BTC to continue dropping may not be very large.
Of course, whether analyzing the cycle or the price retracement magnitude, 60000 cannot be determined as the bottom of this bear market.
It is just that the wrong analysis method leads people to mistakenly believe that the bear market will last for a long time and that the drop will be significant.
In fact, this round of cycles is ahead of schedule and accelerating, leaving little time for the bear market and not much room for BTC's drop.
This round is all about the old players!
Because there are not many new players entering the market anymore, most of the profits are with the old players.
Those who believe in the four-year cycle, the old players have already boarded the train waiting for the big surge in 2025.
Not being greedy with heavy investments in Bitcoin, but being greedy with heavy investments in altcoins, as well as ETH leverage.
The result is that part, all, or even more of the money earned in previous rounds has been returned.
Yi Lihua is the best example.
But let's not laugh at them; as long as the green mountains remain, we don't fear having no firewood!
After all, they have only returned the profits they once had, still have bullets in hand, and their influence has increased.
Because there are not many new players entering the market anymore, most of the profits are with the old players.
Those who believe in the four-year cycle, the old players have already boarded the train waiting for the big surge in 2025.
Not being greedy with heavy investments in Bitcoin, but being greedy with heavy investments in altcoins, as well as ETH leverage.
The result is that part, all, or even more of the money earned in previous rounds has been returned.
Yi Lihua is the best example.
But let's not laugh at them; as long as the green mountains remain, we don't fear having no firewood!
After all, they have only returned the profits they once had, still have bullets in hand, and their influence has increased.
TVBee
·
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Empiricism is really harmful!
In 21 years, there was no vision.
After 25 years, realizing the pain, there was vision for a year.
How many people are like Brother Bee?
In 21 years, there was no vision.
After 25 years, realizing the pain, there was vision for a year.
How many people are like Brother Bee?
The Underrated XRP Ecosystem in the Chinese-speaking Region, Where is its Potential and Explosive Power?
Under Wash's 'Interest Rate Cuts + Balance Sheet Reduction' monetary policy, funds will flow into more efficient industries.
For cryptocurrency, projects/tokens that are friendly to the U.S. tend to perform better.
XRP is likely one of the ecosystems with strong potential, after all, XRP is a project that has won against the SEC.
┈┈➤ The Potential of the XRP Ecosystem
╰┈✦ Underestimated in the Chinese-speaking region
The trading volume and depth of XRP on Binance are relatively average, but XRP is more active in the Coinbase and Upbit markets. Especially on Upbit, the trading depth and volume of XRP in the last 24 hours are about 10 times that of Binance.
╰┈✦ ETF Capital Inflow
For cryptocurrency, projects/tokens that are friendly to the U.S. tend to perform better.
XRP is likely one of the ecosystems with strong potential, after all, XRP is a project that has won against the SEC.
┈┈➤ The Potential of the XRP Ecosystem
╰┈✦ Underestimated in the Chinese-speaking region
The trading volume and depth of XRP on Binance are relatively average, but XRP is more active in the Coinbase and Upbit markets. Especially on Upbit, the trading depth and volume of XRP in the last 24 hours are about 10 times that of Binance.
╰┈✦ ETF Capital Inflow
The first step of the xjb analysis has succeeded, and BTC has seen a significant increase in volume.
However, the funding rate is still -0.01%, and the bearish sentiment remains. Some KOLs still believe that BTC will drop to 40,000 or 30,000.
Next, it should be able to test around 70 or 74 (personally leaning towards around 74), and then it should mainly consolidate in this range.
I bought a bit at 63, but not enough. I couldn’t sleep all night, and in the morning I was too tired to function, planning to lie down for half an hour, but ended up sleeping for four hours and missed 60; I’ll wait for the second test, leaning towards around mid-year when Wash takes office.
It’s still hard to say about ETH and altcoins. Good luck to Hua Ge!
However, the funding rate is still -0.01%, and the bearish sentiment remains. Some KOLs still believe that BTC will drop to 40,000 or 30,000.
Next, it should be able to test around 70 or 74 (personally leaning towards around 74), and then it should mainly consolidate in this range.
I bought a bit at 63, but not enough. I couldn’t sleep all night, and in the morning I was too tired to function, planning to lie down for half an hour, but ended up sleeping for four hours and missed 60; I’ll wait for the second test, leaning towards around mid-year when Wash takes office.
It’s still hard to say about ETH and altcoins. Good luck to Hua Ge!
TVBee
·
--
【xjb Analysis】The big pancake has fallen to this position, and for the main force (institution), continuing to sell is not very significant for them anymore.
┈┈➤ The following selling pressure may mainly come from retail investors and ETFs.
In the spot market, it has already fallen to the previous round's high point, and at this time, it may not be far from the bottom. The main force (institution) has a large amount of capital, and at this position, it is no longer suitable for a main wave.
In the contract market, as the experienced drivers say, there is nothing left to explode on the long positions.
Of course, looking at the market, there are currently no signs of stopping the decline.
Next, it may be some panicking retail investors selling their spot holdings.
In addition, the US stock market may have some demand for a pullback, and there may also be some selling pressure from ETFs.
But it shouldn't be too panicky; BTC often reacts more swiftly than the US stock market and has already fallen first.
┈┈➤ The main force's buying has not yet entered the market.
However, the trading volume is still not large, and the current trading volume does not match the declines in April last year and from October to November; the main force's buying has not yet entered the market.
┈┈➤ xjb Prediction
In the short term, look at the daily US market time and whether the weekly chart will show increased volume.
After the weekly chart shows increased volume, there may be a slight rebound, similar to the second half of 2022, which will mainly be horizontal fluctuations. This is not a case of carving a boat to seek a sword; in a bear market, it is difficult to have a V-shaped reversal and requires a longer repair phase.
In the end, there will be a second probe; the specific amplitude of this second probe will depend on the influence of events at that time. However, this time point should not be at the end of the year; it may be related to the recent US-Iran events, or it could be around May to June when Walsh takes office, or around September.
┈┈➤ Final Note
Bee Brother's personal opinion is that the liquidity black swan will be very severe. In fact, the BCH fork hash war at the end of 2018 had liquidity bearishness, with both BCH and BSV selling BTC to compete for hash power.
The collapse of Luna in mid-2022 and the bankruptcy of Three Arrows Capital were both liquidity bearish events. The collapse of FTX at the end of 2022 was essentially also a liquidity bearish event.
In this round of liquidity risk, Bee Brother briefly looked at the microstrategy's financial report; it should have been fine six months ago, but the second half is uncertain. On the contrary, the leveraged futures of ETH might have a greater risk.
Whether Walsh's policy is loose or tight is also a very important factor affecting liquidity.
As for events like the US-Iran situation, they do not involve liquidity factors, so the impact is relatively limited.
┈┈➤ The following selling pressure may mainly come from retail investors and ETFs.
In the spot market, it has already fallen to the previous round's high point, and at this time, it may not be far from the bottom. The main force (institution) has a large amount of capital, and at this position, it is no longer suitable for a main wave.
In the contract market, as the experienced drivers say, there is nothing left to explode on the long positions.
Of course, looking at the market, there are currently no signs of stopping the decline.
Next, it may be some panicking retail investors selling their spot holdings.
In addition, the US stock market may have some demand for a pullback, and there may also be some selling pressure from ETFs.
But it shouldn't be too panicky; BTC often reacts more swiftly than the US stock market and has already fallen first.
┈┈➤ The main force's buying has not yet entered the market.
However, the trading volume is still not large, and the current trading volume does not match the declines in April last year and from October to November; the main force's buying has not yet entered the market.
┈┈➤ xjb Prediction
In the short term, look at the daily US market time and whether the weekly chart will show increased volume.
After the weekly chart shows increased volume, there may be a slight rebound, similar to the second half of 2022, which will mainly be horizontal fluctuations. This is not a case of carving a boat to seek a sword; in a bear market, it is difficult to have a V-shaped reversal and requires a longer repair phase.
In the end, there will be a second probe; the specific amplitude of this second probe will depend on the influence of events at that time. However, this time point should not be at the end of the year; it may be related to the recent US-Iran events, or it could be around May to June when Walsh takes office, or around September.
┈┈➤ Final Note
Bee Brother's personal opinion is that the liquidity black swan will be very severe. In fact, the BCH fork hash war at the end of 2018 had liquidity bearishness, with both BCH and BSV selling BTC to compete for hash power.
The collapse of Luna in mid-2022 and the bankruptcy of Three Arrows Capital were both liquidity bearish events. The collapse of FTX at the end of 2022 was essentially also a liquidity bearish event.
In this round of liquidity risk, Bee Brother briefly looked at the microstrategy's financial report; it should have been fine six months ago, but the second half is uncertain. On the contrary, the leveraged futures of ETH might have a greater risk.
Whether Walsh's policy is loose or tight is also a very important factor affecting liquidity.
As for events like the US-Iran situation, they do not involve liquidity factors, so the impact is relatively limited.
The market will always harvest two types of people!
The first type is the greedy ones.
The second type is the unwilling ones.
A friend of Brother Bee is quite greedy. The AI Agent made 2 million (RMB) in one wave, but he was greedy and didn't sell. It dropped to 1 million, and Brother Bee advised him to sell, but he still didn't sell, always thinking about the 2 million. In the end, it dropped to 200,000, and he sold because if he didn't sell, he would start to lose.
In a recent wave of MEME market, he made another 50,000 dollars, and Brother Bee advised him to sell, but he didn't listen. Then it dropped to 30,000 dollars in profit, and Brother Bee told him, this is just like when you had 1 million, sell it. He still didn't listen, and in the end, he sold at 15,000.
Brother Bee's original plan was to wait for the tariff resolution between China and the U.S. and if there was no improvement, he would cut losses, but he couldn't let go, so he watched his assets continuously decline.
Until Trump claimed to impose tariffs on Europe, he actually knew it would drop, but he still held a glimmer of hope and didn't cut. At that time, it was Sunday night, ETH at 3300.
Until the end of January, Brother Bee decisively cleared out all coins except Bitcoin, barely avoiding this drop, but he still lost a total of 50% in altcoins and Ethereum. If he had cut losses in October, he could have lost much less.
The first type is the greedy ones.
The second type is the unwilling ones.
A friend of Brother Bee is quite greedy. The AI Agent made 2 million (RMB) in one wave, but he was greedy and didn't sell. It dropped to 1 million, and Brother Bee advised him to sell, but he still didn't sell, always thinking about the 2 million. In the end, it dropped to 200,000, and he sold because if he didn't sell, he would start to lose.
In a recent wave of MEME market, he made another 50,000 dollars, and Brother Bee advised him to sell, but he didn't listen. Then it dropped to 30,000 dollars in profit, and Brother Bee told him, this is just like when you had 1 million, sell it. He still didn't listen, and in the end, he sold at 15,000.
Brother Bee's original plan was to wait for the tariff resolution between China and the U.S. and if there was no improvement, he would cut losses, but he couldn't let go, so he watched his assets continuously decline.
Until Trump claimed to impose tariffs on Europe, he actually knew it would drop, but he still held a glimmer of hope and didn't cut. At that time, it was Sunday night, ETH at 3300.
Until the end of January, Brother Bee decisively cleared out all coins except Bitcoin, barely avoiding this drop, but he still lost a total of 50% in altcoins and Ethereum. If he had cut losses in October, he could have lost much less.
【xjb Analysis】The big pancake has fallen to this position, and for the main force (institution), continuing to sell is not very significant for them anymore.
┈┈➤ The following selling pressure may mainly come from retail investors and ETFs.
In the spot market, it has already fallen to the previous round's high point, and at this time, it may not be far from the bottom. The main force (institution) has a large amount of capital, and at this position, it is no longer suitable for a main wave.
In the contract market, as the experienced drivers say, there is nothing left to explode on the long positions.
Of course, looking at the market, there are currently no signs of stopping the decline.
Next, it may be some panicking retail investors selling their spot holdings.
In addition, the US stock market may have some demand for a pullback, and there may also be some selling pressure from ETFs.
But it shouldn't be too panicky; BTC often reacts more swiftly than the US stock market and has already fallen first.
┈┈➤ The main force's buying has not yet entered the market.
However, the trading volume is still not large, and the current trading volume does not match the declines in April last year and from October to November; the main force's buying has not yet entered the market.
┈┈➤ xjb Prediction
In the short term, look at the daily US market time and whether the weekly chart will show increased volume.
After the weekly chart shows increased volume, there may be a slight rebound, similar to the second half of 2022, which will mainly be horizontal fluctuations. This is not a case of carving a boat to seek a sword; in a bear market, it is difficult to have a V-shaped reversal and requires a longer repair phase.
In the end, there will be a second probe; the specific amplitude of this second probe will depend on the influence of events at that time. However, this time point should not be at the end of the year; it may be related to the recent US-Iran events, or it could be around May to June when Walsh takes office, or around September.
┈┈➤ Final Note
Bee Brother's personal opinion is that the liquidity black swan will be very severe. In fact, the BCH fork hash war at the end of 2018 had liquidity bearishness, with both BCH and BSV selling BTC to compete for hash power.
The collapse of Luna in mid-2022 and the bankruptcy of Three Arrows Capital were both liquidity bearish events. The collapse of FTX at the end of 2022 was essentially also a liquidity bearish event.
In this round of liquidity risk, Bee Brother briefly looked at the microstrategy's financial report; it should have been fine six months ago, but the second half is uncertain. On the contrary, the leveraged futures of ETH might have a greater risk.
Whether Walsh's policy is loose or tight is also a very important factor affecting liquidity.
As for events like the US-Iran situation, they do not involve liquidity factors, so the impact is relatively limited.
┈┈➤ The following selling pressure may mainly come from retail investors and ETFs.
In the spot market, it has already fallen to the previous round's high point, and at this time, it may not be far from the bottom. The main force (institution) has a large amount of capital, and at this position, it is no longer suitable for a main wave.
In the contract market, as the experienced drivers say, there is nothing left to explode on the long positions.
Of course, looking at the market, there are currently no signs of stopping the decline.
Next, it may be some panicking retail investors selling their spot holdings.
In addition, the US stock market may have some demand for a pullback, and there may also be some selling pressure from ETFs.
But it shouldn't be too panicky; BTC often reacts more swiftly than the US stock market and has already fallen first.
┈┈➤ The main force's buying has not yet entered the market.
However, the trading volume is still not large, and the current trading volume does not match the declines in April last year and from October to November; the main force's buying has not yet entered the market.
┈┈➤ xjb Prediction
In the short term, look at the daily US market time and whether the weekly chart will show increased volume.
After the weekly chart shows increased volume, there may be a slight rebound, similar to the second half of 2022, which will mainly be horizontal fluctuations. This is not a case of carving a boat to seek a sword; in a bear market, it is difficult to have a V-shaped reversal and requires a longer repair phase.
In the end, there will be a second probe; the specific amplitude of this second probe will depend on the influence of events at that time. However, this time point should not be at the end of the year; it may be related to the recent US-Iran events, or it could be around May to June when Walsh takes office, or around September.
┈┈➤ Final Note
Bee Brother's personal opinion is that the liquidity black swan will be very severe. In fact, the BCH fork hash war at the end of 2018 had liquidity bearishness, with both BCH and BSV selling BTC to compete for hash power.
The collapse of Luna in mid-2022 and the bankruptcy of Three Arrows Capital were both liquidity bearish events. The collapse of FTX at the end of 2022 was essentially also a liquidity bearish event.
In this round of liquidity risk, Bee Brother briefly looked at the microstrategy's financial report; it should have been fine six months ago, but the second half is uncertain. On the contrary, the leveraged futures of ETH might have a greater risk.
Whether Walsh's policy is loose or tight is also a very important factor affecting liquidity.
As for events like the US-Iran situation, they do not involve liquidity factors, so the impact is relatively limited.
In the middle of the night, I drew a Guanyin divination for Ether.
I have to say, it's quite accurate!
Like Bitcoin, it is also a non-lucky non-ominous draw. This is obviously because Ether and Bitcoin are highly correlated.
But the specific meaning of the divination is different.
Bitcoin's divination is "Tang Seng's Journey to the West", and the meaning is that it's difficult at first, then easy; it really matches the market for Bitcoin, first a drop and then a resurgence.
On the other hand, Ether's divination is "Huaide Proposes Marriage", and the meaning is external opportunities and assistance from noble people. I wonder if a big player will buy in? I suggest @Jackyi_ld to choose to accumulate ETH spot at a low position instead of continuing to add long leverage futures at a low position; that would count as Ether's noble person!
Bitcoin's auspicious sign is "Seek Wealth → Good, Trade → Beneficial", while Ether's is "Seek Wealth → Satisfactory, Trade → Harmonious". I speculate that this recent wave of decline could directly hit the bottom, providing opportunities for bottom fishing.
Lastly, I want to mention that Brother Bee is very sincere in drawing the divination, and both Bitcoin and Ether only drew their divinations once each.
By the way, I forgot to mention that Brother Bee's divination during the decline in October was the worst sign.
I have to say, it's quite accurate!
Like Bitcoin, it is also a non-lucky non-ominous draw. This is obviously because Ether and Bitcoin are highly correlated.
But the specific meaning of the divination is different.
Bitcoin's divination is "Tang Seng's Journey to the West", and the meaning is that it's difficult at first, then easy; it really matches the market for Bitcoin, first a drop and then a resurgence.
On the other hand, Ether's divination is "Huaide Proposes Marriage", and the meaning is external opportunities and assistance from noble people. I wonder if a big player will buy in? I suggest @Jackyi_ld to choose to accumulate ETH spot at a low position instead of continuing to add long leverage futures at a low position; that would count as Ether's noble person!
Bitcoin's auspicious sign is "Seek Wealth → Good, Trade → Beneficial", while Ether's is "Seek Wealth → Satisfactory, Trade → Harmonious". I speculate that this recent wave of decline could directly hit the bottom, providing opportunities for bottom fishing.
Lastly, I want to mention that Brother Bee is very sincere in drawing the divination, and both Bitcoin and Ether only drew their divinations once each.
By the way, I forgot to mention that Brother Bee's divination during the decline in October was the worst sign.
TVBee
·
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In the middle of the night, I drew a divination stick for the pancake.
I drew the 35th stick, which is a neutral sign, meaning primarily — difficult first, easy later.
Applied to the pancake, it means first a drop, then a rise, and indeed it dropped during the day.
The divine machine also shows: Seeking wealth → Good, Trading → Beneficial
Could it mean that it’s possible to buy at the bottom?
I drew the 35th stick, which is a neutral sign, meaning primarily — difficult first, easy later.
Applied to the pancake, it means first a drop, then a rise, and indeed it dropped during the day.
The divine machine also shows: Seeking wealth → Good, Trading → Beneficial
Could it mean that it’s possible to buy at the bottom?
In the middle of the night, I drew a divination stick for the pancake.
I drew the 35th stick, which is a neutral sign, meaning primarily — difficult first, easy later.
Applied to the pancake, it means first a drop, then a rise, and indeed it dropped during the day.
The divine machine also shows: Seeking wealth → Good, Trading → Beneficial
Could it mean that it’s possible to buy at the bottom?
I drew the 35th stick, which is a neutral sign, meaning primarily — difficult first, easy later.
Applied to the pancake, it means first a drop, then a rise, and indeed it dropped during the day.
The divine machine also shows: Seeking wealth → Good, Trading → Beneficial
Could it mean that it’s possible to buy at the bottom?
Empiricism is really harmful!
In 21 years, there was no vision.
After 25 years, realizing the pain, there was vision for a year.
How many people are like Brother Bee?
In 21 years, there was no vision.
After 25 years, realizing the pain, there was vision for a year.
How many people are like Brother Bee?
Market Value Revelation: Two Projects, Three Dimensions, A Game About Repurchase
At the beginning of January, the co-founder of JUP tweeted, triggering a discussion in the market about token repurchase.
Since January 2025, the project party began to repurchase #JUP, but still failed to stop the price from falling.
In contrast, the repurchase of #DBR started from June 25 and can have an immediate effect.
On one hand, the price of the token rises after the repurchase.
On the other hand, it is very obvious that a watershed has formed; before the repurchase, DBR was weaker than JUP, while after the repurchase, DBR was stronger than JUP.
Brother Bee compares and analyzes the token repurchase game from three dimensions.
┈┈➤Timing
Since January 2025, the project party began to repurchase #JUP, but still failed to stop the price from falling.
In contrast, the repurchase of #DBR started from June 25 and can have an immediate effect.
On one hand, the price of the token rises after the repurchase.
On the other hand, it is very obvious that a watershed has formed; before the repurchase, DBR was weaker than JUP, while after the repurchase, DBR was stronger than JUP.
Brother Bee compares and analyzes the token repurchase game from three dimensions.
┈┈➤Timing
Some say Powell is about interest rate cuts + balance sheet reduction.
But Powell is about infrequent rate cuts + mild balance sheet reduction.
Waller is expected to have a greater degree of rate cuts to align with Trump’s interest rate cuts on the Federal Reserve's yield.
As for the extent of balance sheet reduction, it cannot be determined at this time. It is speculated that Waller will be about frequent rate cuts + mild to moderate balance sheet reduction.
In any case, Waller's rate cuts cater to Trump, and Waller's balance sheet reduction aligns with the Federal Reserve. Let's assume he takes office first... this is the difference between understanding political tactics and academic economics.😂
But Powell is about infrequent rate cuts + mild balance sheet reduction.
Waller is expected to have a greater degree of rate cuts to align with Trump’s interest rate cuts on the Federal Reserve's yield.
As for the extent of balance sheet reduction, it cannot be determined at this time. It is speculated that Waller will be about frequent rate cuts + mild to moderate balance sheet reduction.
In any case, Waller's rate cuts cater to Trump, and Waller's balance sheet reduction aligns with the Federal Reserve. Let's assume he takes office first... this is the difference between understanding political tactics and academic economics.😂
TVBee
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Interpreting the Split Policy of the Fed Chair's 'Interest Rate Cuts + Quantitative Tightening' in Parallel
Kevin Warsh's policy cannot simply be characterized as hawkish or dovish. Many experts mention that Kevin Warsh's monetary policy is 'interest rate cuts + quantitative tightening' in parallel.
I believe this policy is a clever move.
┈┈➤Relieve the financing pressure of US Treasury bonds while controlling inflation
First, lowering interest rates will directly affect short-term US Treasury rates, reducing the financing costs of US Treasury bonds, which can be said to alleviate Trump's urgent concerns.
Second, through quantitative tightening, a real-time and moderate reduction in the supply of US dollars can control inflation. Trump actually does not want to see inflation caused by interest rate cuts.
I believe this policy is a clever move.
┈┈➤Relieve the financing pressure of US Treasury bonds while controlling inflation
First, lowering interest rates will directly affect short-term US Treasury rates, reducing the financing costs of US Treasury bonds, which can be said to alleviate Trump's urgent concerns.
Second, through quantitative tightening, a real-time and moderate reduction in the supply of US dollars can control inflation. Trump actually does not want to see inflation caused by interest rate cuts.
Your elementary school math class representative is online, future finance (WLFI) Binance holding interest, calculating for you one by one!
Last week, some friends misled with articles estimating returns, directly calculating all USD1 in Binance.
In fact, the USD1 held in the market maker's account does not participate in the activity.
Those who have read Bee Brother's previous article on estimated returns should not have missed this very warm activity in the bear market.
┈┈➤Return calculation
Bee Brother deposited 16300 USD1, earning 334.81 WLFI, and held it for 6 days.
◆This week's return = 334.81*0.129/16300=0.265%
◆Annualized return = 334.81*0.129/16300/6*365=16.12%.
◆Estimated annualized return = 334.81*0.129/16300*4=1.06%
In fact, the USD1 held in the market maker's account does not participate in the activity.
Those who have read Bee Brother's previous article on estimated returns should not have missed this very warm activity in the bear market.
┈┈➤Return calculation
Bee Brother deposited 16300 USD1, earning 334.81 WLFI, and held it for 6 days.
◆This week's return = 334.81*0.129/16300=0.265%
◆Annualized return = 334.81*0.129/16300/6*365=16.12%.
◆Estimated annualized return = 334.81*0.129/16300*4=1.06%
The market likes to find reasons for the decline
◆ The Bitcoin may just be a line drawn by the big players at the end of the month,
◆ The decline in US stocks may be due to the Federal Reserve being more hawkish than expected in the future, which is related to Wat.
◆ The decline in gold is due to weakened inflation expectations, which is also related to Wat. Another direct reason is that exchanges have increased the margin ratio for gold and silver.
Another common influence is that the US government has shut down again. The differences and contradictions between the two parties are quite large.
In fact, all these are surface-level reasons, direct causes; the fundamental reason lies elsewhere:
◆ The fundamental reason for Bitcoin's decline is insufficient liquidity + expectations of a four-year cycle; 2026 is expected to be a bear market, and the decline from 2018 to 2022 to 2026 is actually a speed-up in the rate of decline,
◆ The fundamental reason for the decline in US stocks is also liquidity; the year-on-year growth rate of US M2 is declining, and there must be money to buy for prices to rise, if it can't rise, it will fall.
◆ The fundamental reason for the decline in gold is that its speculative nature is too strong, causing it to deviate from its property of preserving and increasing value in the short term. Of course, there may also be liquidity factors at play.
◆ The Bitcoin may just be a line drawn by the big players at the end of the month,
◆ The decline in US stocks may be due to the Federal Reserve being more hawkish than expected in the future, which is related to Wat.
◆ The decline in gold is due to weakened inflation expectations, which is also related to Wat. Another direct reason is that exchanges have increased the margin ratio for gold and silver.
Another common influence is that the US government has shut down again. The differences and contradictions between the two parties are quite large.
In fact, all these are surface-level reasons, direct causes; the fundamental reason lies elsewhere:
◆ The fundamental reason for Bitcoin's decline is insufficient liquidity + expectations of a four-year cycle; 2026 is expected to be a bear market, and the decline from 2018 to 2022 to 2026 is actually a speed-up in the rate of decline,
◆ The fundamental reason for the decline in US stocks is also liquidity; the year-on-year growth rate of US M2 is declining, and there must be money to buy for prices to rise, if it can't rise, it will fall.
◆ The fundamental reason for the decline in gold is that its speculative nature is too strong, causing it to deviate from its property of preserving and increasing value in the short term. Of course, there may also be liquidity factors at play.
Don't cry, brothers!
We can still cut losses, go short, and trade in waves...
The buyers of the ETF still had an 84000 big pie at Friday's close, but when the market opened on Monday, it turned into 79000 78000... Watching the six weeks of decline, there was nothing they could do, and they are worse off.
Learn to self-comfort, brothers
🤣
We can still cut losses, go short, and trade in waves...
The buyers of the ETF still had an 84000 big pie at Friday's close, but when the market opened on Monday, it turned into 79000 78000... Watching the six weeks of decline, there was nothing they could do, and they are worse off.
Learn to self-comfort, brothers
🤣
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