NFP dropped 65.8%. I stared at the screen and laughed for three seconds, then realized my money had laughed itself away too. This morning, some people were still stubbornly claiming they were buying the dip. Now the group chat is as quiet as a memorial service, with only KITE and GRAM each up 2.6% trying to keep things going. ETH is at 2,030, just one step above today's low, and the XRP I bought at 1.09 is still welded in place. My biggest flaw is that my hands move faster than my brain. I always want to add to my position when things look their worst, then start slapping myself as soon as I do. I managed not to touch anything today. My account didn't improve, but at least I didn't get any dumber. $NFP #Market
NIGHT is up 5.5% and people in the group are already talking about a new narrative. Impressive. At the same time, AAVE is down 6.7% and ARB is down 6.2%—the two tokens that were hyped last week as “buy the dip” opportunities. I looked through the gainers and losers. I hadn’t even opened a position in either of the two that were up, but I’m holding both of the ones that were down. What are the odds? Those of you chasing NIGHT, remember to take a screenshot. In a couple of days, when it drops back down, you can pull it out for comparison. You know how it goes. $NIGHT #Market
PEPE is down 11.9%, and I’m still watching the volume. The volume ratio is 0.93. Even after a drop like this, there’s no heavy selling, which suggests the market makers are grinding it down—not dumping. I bought another lot yesterday at 0.000004, and now I just want to slap myself. Damn. Bottom fishers and bagholders are crowding the same doorway at this price. I’ll stand back and watch for now. The volume-price divergence hasn’t corrected yet. I’ll review it again tomorrow. $PEPE $PEPE #Market
SUI has been grinding me down at 0.8121 for three days. Support at 0.8013 is right beneath our feet. It’s only at 17% of its 24-hour range, and the volume ratio is 0.72. The buyers have vanished like the tide going out, leaving their shoes behind. Today’s leaderboard has OPG up 5.3% and SNXXB up 4.4%, bouncing around happily, while INJ is down 6.5% and NVDAB is down 7.0%, lying flat and playing dead. Meanwhile, I’m over here with SUI, waiting my turn. Chasing OPG after those two little pops is like fighting over the last box of discounted eggs at the supermarket, only to find out they expired yesterday. I’m holding a position whose cost basis is way above the current price. I’m not watching the market—I’m watching the weather outside my window. How long is this going to drag on before it’s over? I’d like to know too. First, let me look over the half-page of notes I wrote yesterday. $SUI
Looking at today's gainers and losers list is making my blood pressure spike. AMDB is up 5.5%, OPG is up 3.8%—and I didn't get into either of the damn things. Just sitting on the sidelines, watching the show. INJ is down 8.4%, QNT is down 8.1%—they're dropping like they've been singled out by the market makers for liquidation. I'm not holding any of the top gainers, but I've got every top loser. Fuck. Tomorrow I'll go through the losers one by one and see who's really dumping and who's just playing dead.
I heard a hacker forum is selling 335 million users’ records for $900,000, bundled with everything from ID cards to private keys. I went through the list on purpose, just to see if I was worth those few bucks. I searched forever and couldn’t find myself. Maybe my batch of data was so cheap they couldn’t be bothered to list it. CZ just says “scam” and that’s that. Impressive—this debunking is shorter than my password. So who exactly is verifying whether the data is real or fake for us now? Those who know, know. Ask, and they’ll say it’s nothing; don’t ask, and nobody cares.
I spent the whole afternoon staring at the gainers and losers. ERA was up 8.2%, and I didn’t buy a single share. QNT fell 7.3%, NVDAB dropped 6.9%—two kindred spirits lining up to head downstairs. I was watching from the sidelines, more engrossed than I get in a TV drama. GRAM rose 3.7%, but my cost basis is way above the current price. That little paper gain is barely enough to buy me a bottle of water—and I’d have to find it on sale. The market’s at 73,634, down just 0.39% in 24 hours. It’s falling like it’s still half-asleep, while those altcoins below are diving with plenty of energy. Someone asked if they should chase ERA. I said, “Go ahead—I’ll be downstairs clapping for you.” Tomorrow I’ll take a closer look at how these few are moving. $ERA
Ranked 37th on the leaderboard. Last night at 11:30, I put my phone on silent. I left it right beside my pillow, screen facedown. Every time I turned over, I had to check that it hadn’t lit up. I spent the whole night sleeping like I was keeping watch over a living thing that could call out at any moment. When my alarm went off at seven, the first thing I did was turn the sound back on. Then I sat on the edge of the bed and stared into space for a while, thinking: what kind of freedom is this? I put the lock on myself, and I’m holding the key, but either way, I’m the one stuck on both sides. Now my phone’s face down on the desk, and I have to walk around it just to get work done. Has anyone else ever deliberately kept their phone quiet all night?
NFP dropped so hard I thought the app had frozen. Down 65.8% in a day. The people who chased it are probably scrolling through their chat history now, trying to figure out what they said wrong. OPG is up 6.4%, 0G is up 5.0%—I didn’t touch either of them. The XRP I bought at 1.09 is just sitting in my account, sleeping more soundly than I am. BNB at 675 is squatting just above 670. I watched it squat all afternoon, and it watched me. Fine, the hot stuff can do its thing, and I’ll do mine. Neither owes the other anything. $NFP
I’m long BTC, currently up +126.50, ranked No. 37 on today’s P&L leaderboard. It’s not a huge number, but I open my account more often in a day than I check the time. Couldn’t sleep last night, so I got up and deleted the app again, then reinstalled it at 3 a.m. Damn, this habit is like an addiction I just can’t kick. Anyone else delete the app and then reinstall it? Do your hands shake when you reinstall it? $BTC
Last week I was #12 on the profit rankings; this week I got sent right back to square one. XRP is at 1.04, just 10% up the range, and only a hair above the 1.03 support. I went long below the moving averages, but volume is only 0.72. Damn, all that for nothing. 1.
I’ll hold off on posting live-trading screenshots. If I do, I’ll have to get up three times tonight to check them again. There’s a rumor Nvidia is changing CEOs, and a bunch of people are more anxious than Mr. Huang himself. I’m just numb to it at this point—being anxious won’t make me any money anyway. The worst part has never been losing money. It’s waking up at two in the morning and reaching for my phone first thing. Have any of you deleted your trading app, reinstalled it, and then been too afraid to open it? $BTC #Nvidia
INJ is down 11%. The same people were hyping it as the next king yesterday, and today they’ve gone quiet. I get it—those who get it, get it. SOL is only down 0.42% in 24 hours, so it looks pretty steady, but its volume ratio is just 0.87. Volume has shrunk this much and it’s still pretending nothing’s wrong. This kind of price-volume divergence is the sneakiest thing: the price hasn’t fallen, but the volume has already run off. Just like people who say they’re not worried while their feet are already out the door. Grinding in this narrow 82-to-86 range. The guys who bought in at the top are probably staring at the chart and chanting prayers right now. I’ll keep posting live trades tomorrow. I’ve still left half a sentence unfinished in this post. $SOL #Market
At 6:40 in the morning, my alarm didn’t go off. I reached for my phone, missed it, and grabbed the bottle of eye drops by my bed instead. I only realized after using them that they were mineral water. I rode past my stop twice on my commute. I can’t remember all the station names, but I know the numbers on the screen better than my own address. My dad called to ask what I was busy with. I said I was doing financial research. He was silent for five seconds, then told me to take care of myself. Those five seconds felt longer than watching the market all day. I can’t be bothered to open the text saying my paycheck has arrived. It won’t stay put for three minutes before it has to move somewhere else—it’s even more eager to find a new home than I am. I said I’d only look, not buy, but my finger slipped and I opened it again. Now my heart’s racing faster than when I scored concert tickets. The truth is, what I can’t give up isn’t those red and green candlesticks—it’s the emptiness in the room after I close them.
MUB is up 7.9%, SNXXB is up 19.6%—impressive, huh? Not a single one in my portfolio. That’s just how good my instincts are; if you know, you know. PEPE is currently at 0.000005, down 15.56% in 24 hours. That’s a pretty solid drop, so I won’t be shy about it. Entry zone: 0.000005 to 0.000005, stop-loss: 0.000004, target: 0.000006, risk-reward ratio: 12.37. Are the people too scared to buy at this level planning to wait until it gets back to 0.000006 and then chase it? Fear and Greed Index: 28. Everyone in the group is eager to call the bottom, but when it comes to placing an actual order, they go silent. I’ll accept it if this trade hits 0.000004. I won’t get liquidated, and even if I have to cut my losses, I’ll know exactly where I stand. INJ is down 9.1%—how are those folks doing now? Come report in the comments.$PEPE #Market
PEPE is down 16.15%, and trading volume has climbed to 1.12x. Impressive, huh? Everyone knows what a high-volume drop means: buyers are more eager to get in than sellers are to get out. The bigger the volume, the more aggressively people are cutting their losses. It's at 6% of its range, hovering around 0.000005, with not even a hint of a rebound. The moving averages are bearing down on it. INIT is down 51.2% and ARB 8.6%. Everyone's dumping, and yet people are still calling for a bottom. Did the folks who were calling for a bottom yesterday send a good-morning message in the group today? I'll say it first: I'm not buying. Whoever wants to catch this falling knife can go ahead. $PEPE #Market
At 2:30 a.m., I’m crouched on the toilet with my phone brightness turned all the way down, ears perked up listening for any movement in the bedroom. My wife asked me this morning if I’d stayed up again last night. I said I was revising a proposal. Yeah, right—I was scrolling Binance Square until my eyes went blurry. Honestly, I said ages ago I was done with this stuff. But as soon as payday hits, my fingers move faster than my brain. I transfer half my paycheck in first and think about it later. Are you guys like this too? Smiling and joking with coworkers during the day, then staring blankly at a screen alone at night—and pretending to be asleep. The craziest part is, I actually think I’m pretty good at holding back. $BTC #CryptoLife
335 million user records sold for 900 grand—averaging a quarter of a cent each. Even cheaper than my account balance. CZ says if they really had the private keys, they’d just transfer the money. Brilliant logic: the lock wasn’t broken, so your house couldn’t have been robbed. The question is whether the data actually leaked and whether anyone’s investigated. Nobody’s giving a straight answer. You know how it is. The hacker’s even more brazen: they launched a meme coin on NEAR and traded it back and forth to move funds around, testing the waters with over $400,000 while the remaining $40 million-plus in stolen funds just sits there untouched. That money’s hanging over our heads. Nobody knows when it’ll move. Anyway, I’m not making the first move. Do you believe CZ’s rebuttal, or are you going to turn on two-factor authentication first?#安全 #AntiMoneyLaundering
BEB is up 17.7% in a day, ONE is down 12.9%. Same leaderboard: half the crowd is setting off fireworks, the other half is holding a funeral for me. My account is stuck with the latter. Damn. MUB jumped 16.2% too. I still have no idea what these two coins even do, and they’ve already pumped. BTC at 74,544 is grinding away below the moving averages. Fear & Greed is at 29. Everyone’s scared, except these two little guys. Chasing them now would just mean holding the door open for the early buyers. I’m not doing it. I’ll keep watching tomorrow and see who falls first. $BEB #Market
Initia halts its chain twice a week—more regularly than I’m late for work. It halted once last time on October 23. This time, over 600,000 USDC was transferred out directly. The team says someone got hold of the rollup key and used it to forge cross-chain transfers. I’m such an honest person I write down my wallet’s seed phrase three times, while hackers launder money by scattering coins across 16 chains and more than 20,000 wallets—they’re acting like they’re taking a stroll around their own living room. So here’s the question: the chain has halted twice, and the team can’t even say whether it was the same people both times. How many times should I trust it to restart? Anyone in the comments who knows their stuff, care to translate this for me—is this a major incident or routine maintenance? $INIT #Security