PKTrado
Open Trade
1.9 Years
5 Following
24 Followers
36 Liked
0 Shared
My investment strategy is 10% fundamental analysis, 20% technical analysis, and 70% trying not to look at my phone every 45 seconds.
Disclaimer: Humor helps deal with volatility, but it doesn't replace strategy. Trading is risky. Always DYOR. NFA #cryptoreality #MEME
Disclaimer: Humor helps deal with volatility, but it doesn't replace strategy. Trading is risky. Always DYOR. NFA #cryptoreality #MEME
Date: December 18, 2025
Hello Traders!
While all eyes are on Bitcoin's $87k range and today's incoming macro data, I'm digging into the mid-caps. Many of you asked for my take on two very opposite assets: the legacy privacy coin Zcash (ZEC) and the high-stakes redemption play Terra (LUNA).
Here is my analysis for today.
🛡️ Zcash (ZEC): The Long Game
ZEC is frustrating because it ignores hype. It’s a fundamental play on privacy infrastructure.
The Catalyst: The shift from Proof-of-Work to Proof-of-Stake (PoS). It's under the radar but will fix tokenomics by stopping miner dumps.
The Chart (Daily): It's in a massive, low-volume accumulation floor. Sellers are exhausted.
My Levels (USDT):
Buy Zone: $20.00 - $22.50. I like accumulating here for the long term.
Must Break: $28.50. We need a daily close above this to start a real trend.
Neutral-Bullish (Long Term). This is not for scalping. It's for patient capital betting the floor holds for the PoS narrative.
Terra (LUNA): The Momentum
Note: This is Terra 2.0 (LUNA), not Classic.
LUNA trades purely on community sentiment and speculation. It’s "high-beta"—it pumps harder and dumps much harder than BTC.
The Narrative: It's all about the "redemption arc." The fundamentals are weak compared to major L1s. It's a trader's coin, highly susceptible to volatility.
The Chart (4H): It rejected off a high and is bleeding. Momentum is bearish right now.
My Levels (USDT):
Critical Support: $0.35 - $0.38. If BTC wobbles, LUNA visits this fast. A break below $0.35 is ugly.
Resistance: $0.48 - $0.52. Rallies die here.
Bearish-Neutral (Short Term). It's risky to long in the middle. I’d only look for a quick scalp bounce off $0.35 with tight stops. Otherwise, stay away.
Conclusion
We are entering low-liquidity holiday hours.
Want to sleep easy? ZEC at support is a reasonable, low-leverage stack.
Want action? Watch LUNA, but treat it like a casino table. Don't bet the farm.
(Disclaimer: DYOR - Do Your Own Research. NFA - Not Financial Advice. Altcoins are risky.)
#LUNA✅
#BinanceSquare
Hello Traders!
While all eyes are on Bitcoin's $87k range and today's incoming macro data, I'm digging into the mid-caps. Many of you asked for my take on two very opposite assets: the legacy privacy coin Zcash (ZEC) and the high-stakes redemption play Terra (LUNA).
Here is my analysis for today.
🛡️ Zcash (ZEC): The Long Game
ZEC is frustrating because it ignores hype. It’s a fundamental play on privacy infrastructure.
The Catalyst: The shift from Proof-of-Work to Proof-of-Stake (PoS). It's under the radar but will fix tokenomics by stopping miner dumps.
The Chart (Daily): It's in a massive, low-volume accumulation floor. Sellers are exhausted.
My Levels (USDT):
Buy Zone: $20.00 - $22.50. I like accumulating here for the long term.
Must Break: $28.50. We need a daily close above this to start a real trend.
Neutral-Bullish (Long Term). This is not for scalping. It's for patient capital betting the floor holds for the PoS narrative.
Terra (LUNA): The Momentum
Note: This is Terra 2.0 (LUNA), not Classic.
LUNA trades purely on community sentiment and speculation. It’s "high-beta"—it pumps harder and dumps much harder than BTC.
The Narrative: It's all about the "redemption arc." The fundamentals are weak compared to major L1s. It's a trader's coin, highly susceptible to volatility.
The Chart (4H): It rejected off a high and is bleeding. Momentum is bearish right now.
My Levels (USDT):
Critical Support: $0.35 - $0.38. If BTC wobbles, LUNA visits this fast. A break below $0.35 is ugly.
Resistance: $0.48 - $0.52. Rallies die here.
Bearish-Neutral (Short Term). It's risky to long in the middle. I’d only look for a quick scalp bounce off $0.35 with tight stops. Otherwise, stay away.
Conclusion
We are entering low-liquidity holiday hours.
Want to sleep easy? ZEC at support is a reasonable, low-leverage stack.
Want action? Watch LUNA, but treat it like a casino table. Don't bet the farm.
(Disclaimer: DYOR - Do Your Own Research. NFA - Not Financial Advice. Altcoins are risky.)
#LUNA✅
#BinanceSquare
NFP ALERT: Jobs "Beat" But Unemployment Spikes! Is a Recession Looming?
Market Update: US Non-Farm Payrolls (Nov Data)
Date: December 18, 2025
Traders, the dust is settling on this week’s critical labor data, and the signals are as mixed as they get. If you’re wondering why Bitcoin is ranging $86k and $88k without a clear direction, this report is the culprit.
Here is my Breakdown of what just happened and what it means for your portfolio. 👇
📊 The Data (Released Dec 16, 2025)
Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP): +64k Jobs Added (Actual) vs. +50k (Expected).
On paper, this is a "beat." But let’s be real—+64k is weak, especially after October’s disastrous -105k print. The labor market is cooling rapidly.
Unemployment Rate: 🚨 4.6% (Actual) vs. 4.4% (Expected).
This is the critical number. Unemployment has hit a 4-year high. A rising unemployment rate usually signals a recession is either here or knocking on the door.
Wage Growth (YoY): +3.5% (Cooling).
Inflationary pressure from wages is dropping. This gives the Fed room to cut rates, but they might be forced to cut due to economic weakness rather than victory over inflation.
💡 What This Means for Crypto & Markets
1. The "Bad News is Good News" Narrative is Fading
Previously, weak data meant "Fed Money Printer Go Brrr" (Rate Cuts = Bullish). But now, the data is so weak (Unemployment at 4.6%) that fears of a hard recession are taking over. If people lose jobs, they sell risk assets—including Crypto.
2. Bitcoin's Reaction ($BTC)
Bitcoin is currently stuck in a choppy range ($86,000 - $88,000). The initial pump on the NFP "beat" was sold off quickly because smart money saw the unemployment spike.
Bull Case: The Fed panics and cuts rates aggressively in Q1 2026 to save the labor market -> Liquidity floods back -> BTC to $100k.
Bear Case: Recession fears trigger a broad market sell-off (Equities & Crypto correlation) -> BTC tests support at $80k.
3. The Fed's Dilemma
With the Fed meeting looming, they are in a tough spot. They can't keep rates high with 4.6% unemployment, but they can't cut too fast if they fear inflation reigniting. Expect volatility to remain high through the end of the year.
🛡️ My Strategy & Outlook
Manual/Fundamental: I am cautious here. The rising unemployment trend is undeniable. Cash (stablecoins) is a position. I am looking for entries only on deep flushes, not chasing green candles.
Technical (Short Term): Watch the $85,000 zone on BTC. If we lose that, we could see a quick flush to $82k. Upside resistance is stiff at $90k.
Altcoins: Be very careful with high-beta alts. In recession scares, liquidity drains from alts back to BTC and Stablecoins first.
Bottom Line: Don't let the headline "Jobs Beat" fool you. The underlying trend is economic slowing. Protect your capital first.
(Disclaimer: DYOR - Do Your Own Research. NFA - Not Financial Advice. Trading cryptocurrencies involves significant risk.)
Date: December 18, 2025
Traders, the dust is settling on this week’s critical labor data, and the signals are as mixed as they get. If you’re wondering why Bitcoin is ranging $86k and $88k without a clear direction, this report is the culprit.
Here is my Breakdown of what just happened and what it means for your portfolio. 👇
📊 The Data (Released Dec 16, 2025)
Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP): +64k Jobs Added (Actual) vs. +50k (Expected).
On paper, this is a "beat." But let’s be real—+64k is weak, especially after October’s disastrous -105k print. The labor market is cooling rapidly.
Unemployment Rate: 🚨 4.6% (Actual) vs. 4.4% (Expected).
This is the critical number. Unemployment has hit a 4-year high. A rising unemployment rate usually signals a recession is either here or knocking on the door.
Wage Growth (YoY): +3.5% (Cooling).
Inflationary pressure from wages is dropping. This gives the Fed room to cut rates, but they might be forced to cut due to economic weakness rather than victory over inflation.
💡 What This Means for Crypto & Markets
1. The "Bad News is Good News" Narrative is Fading
Previously, weak data meant "Fed Money Printer Go Brrr" (Rate Cuts = Bullish). But now, the data is so weak (Unemployment at 4.6%) that fears of a hard recession are taking over. If people lose jobs, they sell risk assets—including Crypto.
2. Bitcoin's Reaction ($BTC)
Bitcoin is currently stuck in a choppy range ($86,000 - $88,000). The initial pump on the NFP "beat" was sold off quickly because smart money saw the unemployment spike.
Bull Case: The Fed panics and cuts rates aggressively in Q1 2026 to save the labor market -> Liquidity floods back -> BTC to $100k.
Bear Case: Recession fears trigger a broad market sell-off (Equities & Crypto correlation) -> BTC tests support at $80k.
3. The Fed's Dilemma
With the Fed meeting looming, they are in a tough spot. They can't keep rates high with 4.6% unemployment, but they can't cut too fast if they fear inflation reigniting. Expect volatility to remain high through the end of the year.
🛡️ My Strategy & Outlook
Manual/Fundamental: I am cautious here. The rising unemployment trend is undeniable. Cash (stablecoins) is a position. I am looking for entries only on deep flushes, not chasing green candles.
Technical (Short Term): Watch the $85,000 zone on BTC. If we lose that, we could see a quick flush to $82k. Upside resistance is stiff at $90k.
Altcoins: Be very careful with high-beta alts. In recession scares, liquidity drains from alts back to BTC and Stablecoins first.
Bottom Line: Don't let the headline "Jobs Beat" fool you. The underlying trend is economic slowing. Protect your capital first.
(Disclaimer: DYOR - Do Your Own Research. NFA - Not Financial Advice. Trading cryptocurrencies involves significant risk.)
Market Update: Pre-Christmas Liquidity & The "Hot" Inflation Scare
Date: December 18, 2025
Hello Traders! 👋
We are officially in the "Danger Zone" of the year. The Fed cut rates last week (Dec 10) to 3.50%-3.75%, but Bitcoin didn't fly to $100k. Why? Because the market is pricing in a recession, not a party.
Now, we are sitting at $87,350, watching the charts paint a very specific picture. Here is my "Next Move" strategy for you. 👇
Today (Dec 18) is crucial. We have US Weekly Jobless Claims and rumored "Hot" Inflation data dropping.
The Trap: If inflation ticks up after the Fed just cut rates, we are in trouble.
The Liquidity Drain: Big institutions are closing books for 2025. Volume is drying up. Low volume = Fake moves (wicks) that hunt your stop-losses.
🕯️ Technical Analysis
Pattern: BTC is forming a Bearish Consolidation Rectangle on the 4H timeframe.
Resistance: $88,200 - $88,500 (Heavy sell wall here).
Support: $85,500 (Must hold).
The "Flush" Zone: If we lose $85.5k, the next stop is $82k. This is where I have my "stink bids" (low buy orders) waiting.
🚀 My "Next Move"
1. The Scalp (High Risk)
Short: If price wicks up to $88,100 and rejects (look for a shooting star candle), I am shorting targeting $86,500.
Long:I am not longing the middle of the range. I will only long a bounce at $85,600 with a tight stop at $85,200.
2.The Swing (Low Risk)
Sit on your hands! The best trade right now is preserving capital for January 2026.
If you must buy, consider accumulating Ethereum if it dips below $4,000, as it often leads to Q1 rallies.
3. Altcoin
LayerZero (ZRO) and Jupiter (JUP) have massive token unlocks coming in late December. Avoid holding these spot positions unless you want to be exit liquidity for VCs.
The "Santa Rally" might just be a "Grinch Dump" this year if today's data comes in hot. Do not use high leverage (>5x) right now. The market makers are hunting liquidity before they go on holiday.
My Plan:
Wait for the 8:30 AM EST data print today.
If BTC drops to $ 85,500, I scalp long.
If BTC pumps to $88.5k -> I Short.#USNonFarmPayrollReport
Date: December 18, 2025
Hello Traders! 👋
We are officially in the "Danger Zone" of the year. The Fed cut rates last week (Dec 10) to 3.50%-3.75%, but Bitcoin didn't fly to $100k. Why? Because the market is pricing in a recession, not a party.
Now, we are sitting at $87,350, watching the charts paint a very specific picture. Here is my "Next Move" strategy for you. 👇
Today (Dec 18) is crucial. We have US Weekly Jobless Claims and rumored "Hot" Inflation data dropping.
The Trap: If inflation ticks up after the Fed just cut rates, we are in trouble.
The Liquidity Drain: Big institutions are closing books for 2025. Volume is drying up. Low volume = Fake moves (wicks) that hunt your stop-losses.
🕯️ Technical Analysis
Pattern: BTC is forming a Bearish Consolidation Rectangle on the 4H timeframe.
Resistance: $88,200 - $88,500 (Heavy sell wall here).
Support: $85,500 (Must hold).
The "Flush" Zone: If we lose $85.5k, the next stop is $82k. This is where I have my "stink bids" (low buy orders) waiting.
🚀 My "Next Move"
1. The Scalp (High Risk)
Short: If price wicks up to $88,100 and rejects (look for a shooting star candle), I am shorting targeting $86,500.
Long:I am not longing the middle of the range. I will only long a bounce at $85,600 with a tight stop at $85,200.
2.The Swing (Low Risk)
Sit on your hands! The best trade right now is preserving capital for January 2026.
If you must buy, consider accumulating Ethereum if it dips below $4,000, as it often leads to Q1 rallies.
3. Altcoin
LayerZero (ZRO) and Jupiter (JUP) have massive token unlocks coming in late December. Avoid holding these spot positions unless you want to be exit liquidity for VCs.
The "Santa Rally" might just be a "Grinch Dump" this year if today's data comes in hot. Do not use high leverage (>5x) right now. The market makers are hunting liquidity before they go on holiday.
My Plan:
Wait for the 8:30 AM EST data print today.
If BTC drops to $ 85,500, I scalp long.
If BTC pumps to $88.5k -> I Short.#USNonFarmPayrollReport
Hello Binance Square! 👋
You might see #USNonFarmPayrollReport trending and think, "Wait, isn't that report released on Fridays?"
You are right. But here is the Alpha that new traders miss:
The market isn't reacting to new data today. It is reacting to what the Federal Reserve is about to do because of that data.
📉 The Macro Connection
We are mid-month (Dec 17). The reason NFP is the talk of the town is simple: Fed Policy.
The Context: The last NFP report showed us the labor market is cooling.
The Catalyst: Today/Tomorrow is likely the key moment where the Fed decides on Interest Rates. They are looking at those specific NFP numbers to decide if they should pivot or hold.
The Impact: If the Fed mentions "Labor Weakness" in their speech today, expect massive volatility in $BTC and $ETH.
⚠️ The "Bull Trap" Warning
When NFP is trending mid-month, it means Algorithmic Traders are active.
Expect Whipsaws: We might see a fake pump followed by a rapid dump as the Fed speaks.
Liquidation City: High leverage positions are the target today.
🧠 My Strategy (Dec 17)
I am Flat (no active trades) on major pairs right now.
Watch: I’m watching the DXY (Dollar Index). If DXY drops on Fed news, BTC should fly—but watch for the "fakeout" first.
Trade: I will wait for the Daily Close to confirm the direction. I don't gamble on Fed speeches.
Final Word
Don't trade the news; trade the reaction to the news. The NFP report was the spark, but the Fed is the fire. Stay safe out there!
👇 What are you doing today?
Sitting on your hands or scalping the volatility? Let me know!
#MacroEconomics #USNonFarmPayrollReport #TrumpTariffs #USJobsData
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice (NFA). I am sharing my personal market view. Crypto is volatile—manage your risk.
You might see #USNonFarmPayrollReport trending and think, "Wait, isn't that report released on Fridays?"
You are right. But here is the Alpha that new traders miss:
The market isn't reacting to new data today. It is reacting to what the Federal Reserve is about to do because of that data.
📉 The Macro Connection
We are mid-month (Dec 17). The reason NFP is the talk of the town is simple: Fed Policy.
The Context: The last NFP report showed us the labor market is cooling.
The Catalyst: Today/Tomorrow is likely the key moment where the Fed decides on Interest Rates. They are looking at those specific NFP numbers to decide if they should pivot or hold.
The Impact: If the Fed mentions "Labor Weakness" in their speech today, expect massive volatility in $BTC and $ETH.
⚠️ The "Bull Trap" Warning
When NFP is trending mid-month, it means Algorithmic Traders are active.
Expect Whipsaws: We might see a fake pump followed by a rapid dump as the Fed speaks.
Liquidation City: High leverage positions are the target today.
🧠 My Strategy (Dec 17)
I am Flat (no active trades) on major pairs right now.
Watch: I’m watching the DXY (Dollar Index). If DXY drops on Fed news, BTC should fly—but watch for the "fakeout" first.
Trade: I will wait for the Daily Close to confirm the direction. I don't gamble on Fed speeches.
Final Word
Don't trade the news; trade the reaction to the news. The NFP report was the spark, but the Fed is the fire. Stay safe out there!
👇 What are you doing today?
Sitting on your hands or scalping the volatility? Let me know!
#MacroEconomics #USNonFarmPayrollReport #TrumpTariffs #USJobsData
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice (NFA). I am sharing my personal market view. Crypto is volatile—manage your risk.
Hello Binance Square! 👋
I’m Basma Tariq. I’m here to bridge the gap between complex charts and real-world adoption. Today is my first day here, and while the market looks scary, something historic is happening in our own backyard.
Bitcoin ($BTC) is testing patience today.
Current Price: ~$87,350
The Situation: We lost the critical $92k level earlier this week. Right now, BTC is fighting to hold the $87,000 floor.
The Trap: Retail is panic selling, but on-chain data shows long-term holders are barely moving. We are in a "flush out" zone before the next leg.
🚀 The Real Alpha: Pakistan x Binance 🇵🇰
While everyone is crying about the price drop, did you miss the massive news?
Pakistan just signed an MoU with Binance to tokenize $2 billion in sovereign assets.
This is not just "news"—this is adoption.
We are talking about digitizing government bonds and real-world assets on the blockchain. This puts Pakistan on the map as a serious player in the Web3 space. Price is temporary; Infrastructure is permanent.
🧠 My Trade Setup (NFA)
I am not shorting here—the risk/reward is terrible at support.
I am waiting for a 4-hour candle close back above $88,500 to confirm strength.
The Zone: If we hold $87k, this is a prime accumulation zone for the long-term bag.
Caution: If we lose $86,500, we could visit $82k.
No leverage today.
🔮 Outlook
The market is red, but the future is undeniably green.
Don't let a -5% day distract you from a +1000% decade
.
👇 Discussion:
What do you think about the Pakistan/Binance partnership? Is this the start of mass crypto adoption in South Asia? Let’s talk in the comments!
#Bitcoin #PakistanCrypto #Binance ance #BasmaTariq #Web3 #dyor #NFA✅
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. I am not a financial advisor. Trading involves risk. DYOR.
I’m Basma Tariq. I’m here to bridge the gap between complex charts and real-world adoption. Today is my first day here, and while the market looks scary, something historic is happening in our own backyard.
Bitcoin ($BTC) is testing patience today.
Current Price: ~$87,350
The Situation: We lost the critical $92k level earlier this week. Right now, BTC is fighting to hold the $87,000 floor.
The Trap: Retail is panic selling, but on-chain data shows long-term holders are barely moving. We are in a "flush out" zone before the next leg.
🚀 The Real Alpha: Pakistan x Binance 🇵🇰
While everyone is crying about the price drop, did you miss the massive news?
Pakistan just signed an MoU with Binance to tokenize $2 billion in sovereign assets.
This is not just "news"—this is adoption.
We are talking about digitizing government bonds and real-world assets on the blockchain. This puts Pakistan on the map as a serious player in the Web3 space. Price is temporary; Infrastructure is permanent.
🧠 My Trade Setup (NFA)
I am not shorting here—the risk/reward is terrible at support.
I am waiting for a 4-hour candle close back above $88,500 to confirm strength.
The Zone: If we hold $87k, this is a prime accumulation zone for the long-term bag.
Caution: If we lose $86,500, we could visit $82k.
No leverage today.
🔮 Outlook
The market is red, but the future is undeniably green.
Don't let a -5% day distract you from a +1000% decade
.
👇 Discussion:
What do you think about the Pakistan/Binance partnership? Is this the start of mass crypto adoption in South Asia? Let’s talk in the comments!
#Bitcoin #PakistanCrypto #Binance ance #BasmaTariq #Web3 #dyor #NFA✅
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. I am not a financial advisor. Trading involves risk. DYOR.
Login to explore more contents