Take a quick look at the chart during lunch. $TUT is showing a pretty strong trend today, up +11.98% over the past 24h.
The current price is 0.026630, with an intraday high of 0.029960 and a low of 0.023780, and trading volume of 33 million USDT. This kind of volume shows it’s not just a small move — there’s definitely capital paying attention to it.
But I still have to say: chasing higher prices at midday comes at a cost. Many coins surge around noon and then start pulling back in the afternoon. If you’re bullish on it, instead of jumping in now, it’s better to wait for the afternoon to confirm support first.
At this midday point, have you already gotten in, or are you waiting for a pullback?
I copied this passage into my notebook and look back at it every so often.
In "One Up on Wall Street," Peter Lynch talks about a principle: Lynch says to buy what you understand. Most people in the crypto world buy coins without being able to say what problem they actually solve. If you can’t explain in one sentence why it should rise, then what you’re buying is chips, not an asset.
Take $ETH as an example today: now 2,506, 24h +2.16%. This kind of market action perfectly illustrates the point above. It’s not some coincidence; it’s human nature repeating itself on the chart.
The market won’t show you mercy just because you understand the logic. First, reduce your position.
After scanning the market this morning, $ASTER is kind of interesting today, up directly by +6.97%.
The current price is 0.783000, with an intraday high/low of 0.874000 / 0.718000. Trading volume is 0.57 billion USDT, which shows there’s active buying from funds, not just retail FOMO.
For coins that suddenly surge in the morning, there are usually two common possibilities: either some positive catalyst was picked up by the market early, or the main players are testing the waters. No matter which it is, the biggest risk at this point is blindly chasing. It has already risen so much that the risk of buying in outweighs the opportunity.
If you’re already in, keep an eye on the 0.718000 level; if it breaks, you should exit. If you haven’t entered yet, it’s better to wait for a pullback to a support level before considering it.
I came across an old saying and suddenly it fit today’s market perfectly.
In "Reminiscences of a Stock Operator," there is a lesson: Livermore said: Don’t try to catch every fluctuation in the market; wait until the big move comes before acting. I only truly understood this in crypto — the wear and tear from frequent trading is more terrifying than one big loss.
Take $ETH as an example: it’s now 2,490, up 1.54% in 24h. This kind of market just proves the point above. It’s not a coincidence; it’s human nature repeating itself on the chart.
It sounds simple, but putting it into practice costs a lot of tuition. Make a note and check back later.
ETH is currently fluctuating around 0.090270 in the early session, up 6.64% over 24h.
Last night’s high and low were 0.095150 / 0.084020, and overall it has been moving within a range. The key focus this morning is whether it can hold the 0.084020 level — if it breaks, more downside room opens up; if it holds, a short-term rebound can be expected.
Trading volume was 118 million USDT, which is not large, indicating that funds are still on the sidelines in the early session and have not made a clear directional choice. At times like this, the worst thing to do is rush in; first see the situation clearly, then make your move.
The market is what it is; getting anxious won’t help.
A quick look before the market opens. BTC is currently stuck at 79,784, up 0.20% over 24h, and overall still relatively strong. ETH is around 2,481, up 1.23% over 24h, also relatively strong.
BTC traded in a range between 79,442 and 80,200 overnight, and this level is pretty critical. If it can hold above around 80,200 with volume after the open, short-term sentiment will improve a lot; on the other hand, if it gets dumped below 79,442 right at the open, today will most likely be a choppy day.
ETH here is even more dependent on BTC’s lead. If Bitcoin doesn’t give direction, Ethereum will have a hard time moving independently. Trading volume was 319 million USDT, not exactly active, which suggests everyone is waiting for the opening signal.
I won’t jump in right at the open today. I’ll watch for half an hour first and confirm the direction before making a move. I’ll trim my position first.
Someone asked me how I look at the market, and this is the sentence that came to mind.
Speaking from the perspective of moving from contracts back to spot, there is a truth here: The day I switched from contracts back to spot, my sleep quality immediately got better. Leverage amplifies not only returns, but also your sensitivity to every fluctuation. Some people are simply not suited to that kind of tension.
Take today's $ETH as an example: now at 2,481, 24h +1.17%. This market just happens to confirm the point above. It's not a coincidence; it's humanity repeating itself on the chart.
The market won't go easy on you just because you understand the logic. Wait for the signal, not for the mood.
The high and low during this period are 55.13 / 50.59, and the trading volume is 0.35 billion USDT.
50.59 is the support level we should be watching most closely right now; if it breaks below that, there is no obvious buying support underneath. On the upside, 55.13 is the resistance for this round; before it breaks above on strong volume, any rebound should only be treated as a rebound.
Liquidity is relatively thin during this time, so price can easily be pushed around by small orders. Wicks and sharp moves are nothing unusual. If you’re going to act, place limit orders instead of chasing market orders, and don’t set your stop-loss too tight.
The high and low during this period are 2,485 / 2,444, with trading volume of 337 million USDT.
2,444 is the support level to watch right now; if it breaks, there won’t be any obvious buying support below. On the upside, 2,485 is the resistance for this move, and until it breaks above it with volume, any rebound should be treated as just a rebound.
Liquidity is relatively thin at this time, so the price can be easily pushed around by small orders. Wicks and sudden fake moves are nothing unusual. If you’re going to trade, use limit orders instead of chasing the market, and don’t set your stop loss too tight.
I had just flipped to a passage and froze for a moment.
The anchoring effect makes one point clear: Your cost basis means nothing to the market, but it firmly anchors your judgment. At the same price, those who are trapped think it’s expensive, while those with no position think it’s cheap. First delete your cost basis from your mind.
Take $MARSCOIN as an example today: now 0.247400, 24h +39.22%. This kind of market just happens to prove the point above. It’s not some coincidence; it’s human nature repeating itself on the chart.
Between knowing and doing, there are several liquidations. Wait for signals, not for feelings.
The high and low during this period are 79,862 / 79,383, with trading volume of 690 million USDT.
79,383 is the key support to watch right now; if it breaks, there will be no obvious buying support below. On the upside, 79,862 is the resistance for this move. Before it breaks above that level with volume, any rebound can only be treated as a rebound.
Liquidity is relatively thin at this time, so prices can easily be pushed around by small orders. Sudden spikes and V-shaped moves are nothing unusual. If you do act, place limit orders instead of chasing market orders, and don’t set your stop loss too tight.
Beyond the market screen, I want to talk about something I’ve been thinking about for a long time.
In "Ghost in the Markets," there’s a principle mentioned: The ghost’s first rule: a position must first prove it is right, otherwise it should be reduced. Don’t wait until it proves it is wrong to exit; if it hasn’t proven itself right, then leave. For nine out of ten people, the order is reversed.
Take $MARSCOIN as an example today: now at 0.236400, 24h +40.63%. A chart like this just happens to confirm the principle above. It’s not a coincidence; it’s human nature repeating itself in the market.
The more I think about it, the more I feel that in the end, trading is not about technique, but about mindset. Make a note of it and come back to compare later.
Some truths are only understood after you've taken losses.
When it comes to the meaning of volatility, there is a principle: volatility is both the source of the returns the market pays you and the way it takes your money away. If you want profit, you have to endure volatility; if you don't want volatility, then don't come in. These are two sides of the same coin.
Take $DASH as an example today: now at 69.37, 24h +38.08%. This kind of price action perfectly confirms the principle above. It's not a coincidence; it's human nature repeating itself in the market.
This sounds simple, but putting it into practice costs a lot in tuition. When it's time to wait, you have to wait.
I reviewed today’s market action before bed. Honestly, today carried quite a bit of information.
BTC moved between 78,800 and 79,877 today, and finally closed at 79,614, up 0.30% for the day. What matters most here isn’t the rise or fall itself, but whether trading volume kept up. Today’s 855 million USDT in turnover wasn’t really active, which suggests market sentiment is still relatively cautious.
ETH was a bit stronger, up 0.09% for the day, closing at 2,454, with an intraday range of 2,438 to 2,464. Its correlation with Bitcoin is still very obvious; if Bitcoin doesn’t move, it’s hard for ETH to make an independent move.
The biggest mover today was $ASTER , which rose +12.62% on the day, with 40 million in trading volume. Moves like this are either due to funds positioning ahead of time, or sentiment-driven trading amplifying volatility.
Today’s key signal: whether BTC can gain volume at a critical level will determine the next direction. Tomorrow I’ll focus on whether BTC can hold the xxx level.
Up 0.57% for the whole day, closing at 79,754, with a high/low of 79,877 / 78,660. Trading volume was 918 million USDT, and for today, that kind of volume is pretty sincere.
What’s most worth remembering today is that BTC is seeing some capital attention. If it can hold above 79,754 tomorrow, the move may still have room to continue. But if tomorrow opens with a straight drop, then today’s move is most likely just a short-term trade.
I read an old saying and it suddenly matched today’s chart.
The cost of beginner’s luck teaches a principle: If you make money right after entering the market, it’s the most dangerous thing. It makes you think this game is easy, and then you keep increasing your position to confirm that illusion. Beginner’s luck isn’t luck; it’s installment payments on the bill.
Take $MARSCOIN as an example today: now at 0.248800, 24h +127.22%. This kind of chart perfectly illustrates the point above. It’s not some coincidence; it’s human nature repeating itself on the chart.
The market won’t show you mercy just because you understand the logic. Keeping some ammo is better than anything else.
$MARSCOIN is now at 0.235300, with a 24h change of +114.89%.
The high and low during this period are 0.246600 / 0.109500, and the trading volume is 0.96 billion USDT.
0.109500 is the most important support to watch right now; if it breaks, there won’t be any obvious buy support below. On the upside, 0.246600 is the resistance for this move. Before it breaks above with strong volume, any rebound should still be treated as just a rebound.
Liquidity during this period is relatively thin, so the price can be pushed around by small orders, and wick spikes and sharp reversals are nothing unusual. If you’re going to trade, place limit orders instead of chasing market orders, and don’t set your stop-loss too tight.
ETH is currently at 751.26 in the evening, up 3.73% over the past 24h.
Today’s full-day range was 708.88 to 756.88, with trading volume of 165 million USDT. During this evening period, ETH is most likely to follow BTC’s rhythm. If BTC suddenly rallies, ETH will probably follow; on the other hand, if BTC drops sharply, ETH is unlikely to stay unscathed.
If you want to make a move tonight, keep an eye on the 708.88 support level. If it holds, you can consider a small position; if it breaks, wait for the next support. The worst thing is getting emotionally carried away at night and jumping in without thinking it through.
I read an old saying and it suddenly matched today's market.
The hindsight bias talks about one principle: After a move is over, the candlesticks look crystal clear. But at the time, you couldn't see the future from the right side. Don't punish your past self with hindsight, and don't use hindsight to believe you'll get it right next time.
Take $ETH as an example today: now at 2,455, 24h -2.62%. This kind of price action just confirms the point above. It's not a coincidence, it's human nature repeating itself on the chart.
The market won't spare you just because you understand the logic. First, reduce your position size.
It's almost the close, and today $ETH is definitely worth talking about.
It rose -2.53% throughout the day, with a trading volume of 783 million USDT, making it one of the most active coins in today's market. The price pulled all the way up from 2,432 to 2,533, and is now pulling back to around 2,458.
This kind of move shows the money hasn't left yet, but short-term profit-taking is also coming out. The key thing to watch tomorrow is whether it can keep volume expanding around 2,458. If the volume doesn't keep up, there's a high chance it will retest a bit; if volume continues to increase, then the upside will open up.
Did you catch this wave today? Are you still bullish on this coin tomorrow?