Binance/BNB after 8 years: from CEX to Conglomerate
Eight years after its July 2017 launch, Binance has evolved from a cryptocurrency exchange into a vertically integrated conglomerate that mirrors the strategic playbook pioneered by Tencent. Where Tencent built from QQ/WeChat as a gravity well into payments, gaming, fintech, cloud services, and strategic investments, Binance has constructed a parallel empire: centralized exchange operations generating $106.43 billion in daily volume serve as the gravity well, with BNB as internal currency, BSC as cheap execution layer, Launchpad for token distribution, YZi Labs for $10 billion in strategic investments, Binance Wallet for self-custody, CoinMarketCap + Binance Square for information/social content, and Binance Card/Pay for fiat payment rails. This conglomerate structure creates compound network effects across eight distinct product layers, with each layer feeding users and capital into others. The exchange dominates with 38-45% market share, processing $1.47 trillion quarterly. The blockchain infrastructure (BSC) hosts the #1 DEX (PancakeSwap, $1.40B daily), ranks #3 in DeFi TVL ($6.86B), and supports 5,000+ projects. The investment arm (YZi Labs) backs 250+ projects including the #2 DEX perpetual (Aster, $9.19B daily). The information/social layer (CoinMarketCap + Binance Square) captures traffic from 120+ million monthly users and enables content creation, KOL engagement, and live streaming. The custody layer (Binance Wallet) integrates with Alpha and Meme Rush for early token discovery. The payment layer (Binance Card/Pay) connects 46 million merchants and 22 million users. I. The Tencent playbook: from messaging app to $500 billion conglomerate To understand Binance's eight-year evolution from cryptocurrency exchange to multi-layered conglomerate, we must first examine the strategic template it has consciously or unconsciously followed: Tencent's transformation from QQ messaging service (1999) to a $500 billion technology conglomerate. Tencent's playbook demonstrates how a single high-frequency product with strong network effects can serve as a gravity well that captures users, generates cash flow, and provides distribution for an expanding ecosystem of services. The core insight: control the daily touchpoint (messaging), monetize through complementary services (payments, gaming, fintech), and use strategic investments to capture adjacent markets without direct operation.
The parallel structure reveals a deliberate strategy rather than organic evolution. Both companies identified a high-frequency activity (messaging for Tencent, trading for Binance) that creates daily or hourly user engagement, built that into an impregnable moat through network effects (your friends use WeChat, liquidity lives on Binance), monetized through low-friction financial services (WeChat Pay for daily purchases, BNB for trading fee discounts), created infrastructure to capture developer ecosystems (Tencent Cloud for enterprises, BSC for DeFi), deployed strategic investment arms to option adjacent markets without operational complexity, built social/content layers for engagement (Tencent News/Video for content consumption, Binance Square/Live Streaming for crypto content and KOL engagement), acquired information/traffic assets to control discovery (Tencent News, CoinMarketCap), and built payment rails connecting the crypto/digital ecosystem to traditional commerce. The key strategic insight in both cases: the core product generates users and cash, everything else plugs into that distribution and monetization infrastructure, with each additional layer increasing switching costs and creating compound network effects that make competition increasingly difficult. "Build long term, win-win, relationships or deals. Success is built over the long term, and to maintain healthy long term relationships, one has to create and engage in long term win-win relationships. One sided deals don't last, and you always have to look for new partners to work with. Aim for the long term, bigger wins. Play the infinite game." -- CZ's Principles CZ's principle of long-term thinking and win-win relationships directly informed Binance's conglomerate strategy, creating an ecosystem where BNB holders earn 53-78% yields while projects gain access to 240 million users, where BSC developers get cheap execution while Binance captures gas fee revenue, where acquired properties like Binance Wallet and CoinMarketCap maintain operational independence while feeding users into the exchange. However, as we will document, this long-term orientation has come into tension with short-term revenue maximization, particularly in token listings where 89% of 2025 listings showed negative returns, suggesting that the win-win principle has broken down for retail token buyers even as it continues functioning for BNB holders, strategic partners, and institutional participants. II. Layer 1: The gravity well - centralized exchange dominance Every conglomerate requires a gravity well: a product so essential, so frequently used, and so entrenched through network effects that it becomes the inevitable starting point for millions of users. For Tencent, this was QQ and later WeChat, which captured daily messaging and social interactions for over a billion users. For Binance, this is centralized exchange operations, which achieved 38-45% market share by creating the deepest liquidity pools in cryptocurrency trading, making the platform the inevitable choice for traders requiring efficient execution at scale. As of Q2 2025, Binance processed $1.47 trillion in quarterly volume, representing 38% market share among top 10 exchanges. In November 2025, the platform scored 93.4 points for spot trading and 93.65 for derivatives in CoinDesk's global rankings, the only exchange exceeding 90 points in both categories among 81 evaluated platforms. Combined daily volume across centralized operations reaches $95.84 billion ($17.30B spot + $78.54B derivatives), creating a liquidity moat that competitors cannot easily challenge because traders naturally concentrate orders where execution is most efficient, which further increases liquidity in a self-reinforcing cycle.
The gravity well's power manifests in concrete metrics that demonstrate network effects at work. Binance's $17.30 billion in daily spot volume exceeds second-place Bybit by 5.0x and third-place Coinbase by 5.5x, suggesting the platform operates at a fundamentally different scale than any competitor. This scale advantage creates self-reinforcing liquidity effects: traders requiring large order execution without price impact have no viable alternative for most trading pairs, which concentrates more liquidity on Binance, which attracts additional traders seeking optimal execution. The 240 million registered users create a user base larger than most countries, providing distribution for every additional product or service Binance launches. The $51.1 billion in stablecoin reserves (November 2025) exceeds the GDP of 100+ countries, providing deep liquidity buffers while also representing enormous trapped capital that can be deployed across Binance's ecosystem. III. Layer 2-8: The conglomerate stack - how products feed each other With the exchange gravity well established, Binance systematically constructed seven additional product layers between 2018-2025, each designed to capture value from different user segments while feeding users, capital, and data back into the core exchange. This vertical integration creates compound network effects where success in one layer reinforces every other layer, making the combined ecosystem far more defensible than any single product. The strategic logic mirrors Tencent's expansion: use the gravity well's distribution to launch complementary services at lower customer acquisition cost than competitors, maintain operational independence for acquired properties to preserve their value while integrating them into cross-selling opportunities, invest strategically in adjacent markets through YZi Labs to gain optionality without operational burden, and construct switching costs through ecosystem lock-in where users would need to recreate relationships across 8 layers to fully leave Binance.
The conglomerate structure creates value capture at every stage of the user journey. New users discovering crypto check prices on CoinMarketCap (Layer 7), which funnels them to Binance exchange (Layer 1) with the most liquidity. They buy BNB for fee discounts (Layer 2), stake it in Launchpool for 53-78% yields (Layer 4), receive new tokens from projects backed by YZi Labs (Layer 5). When they want decentralized trading, they have two dominant options both within Binance's ecosystem: PancakeSwap (#1 DEX globally, $1.40B daily) for spot trading on BSC (Layer 3), and Aster (#2 DEX perp, $9.19B daily, YZi Labs-backed) for leveraged derivatives. Both DEX options generate BNB gas fees while maintaining decentralized narratives, demonstrating how Binance captured both centralized and decentralized trading markets simultaneously. When exploring early-stage tokens, they use Binance Wallet (Layer 6) with exclusive Alpha and Meme Rush access. When they want to spend crypto, Binance Card (Layer 8) converts seamlessly at 46 million merchants. Each interaction generates fees, data, and user engagement that flows back to Binance, creating switching costs where leaving requires recreating relationships across eight separate product categories—including abandoning the #1 DEX for spot and #2 DEX for perps. IV. Market dominance: Data reveals vertical integration success The conglomerate structure's effectiveness becomes quantifiable when examining Binance's market positions across all segments simultaneously. As of December 2, 2025, CoinGecko data reveals that Binance-controlled or Binance-affiliated platforms hold #1 or #2 positions across every major cryptocurrency market segment, creating unprecedented market concentration in a supposedly competitive and decentralized industry. This multi-layer dominance validates the Tencent playbook applied to crypto: control the gravity well (exchange), build the infrastructure layer (BSC), capture distribution (CoinMarketCap), provide developer incentives (YZi Labs), support dominant DeFi protocols (PancakeSwap, Aster), and create payment rails (Card/Pay). Combined daily volume across Binance ecosystem reaches $106.43 billion, representing extraordinary market concentration where traders, developers, and users repeatedly interact with Binance-controlled infrastructure regardless of whether they prefer centralized or decentralized products, spot or derivatives trading, custody or self-custody solutions.
The combined picture reveals unprecedented ecosystem control demonstrating successful execution of the conglomerate playbook. Binance directly operates the #1 centralized spot exchange and #1 centralized derivatives exchange through its core platform. Its blockchain infrastructure (BSC) hosts the #1 decentralized spot exchange (PancakeSwap) and ranks #3 by DeFi TVL. Its venture capital arm (YZi Labs) backs the #2 decentralized perpetual exchange (Aster). Its information property (CoinMarketCap) captures 120+ million monthly users researching crypto. Its custody solution (Binance Wallet) provides exclusive access to Alpha and Meme Rush early-stage token discovery. Its payment rails (Card/Pay) connect 46 million merchants and 22 million users. This vertical integration means that regardless of whether a user prefers centralized or decentralized infrastructure, spot or derivatives products, custody or self-custody, information research or actual trading, the Binance ecosystem captures the majority of available volume, user engagement, and associated fees. Competitors attempting to challenge Binance must simultaneously compete across eight distinct product layers, requiring resources, technical expertise, and market position that few organizations possess. V. Token distribution mechanisms: exceptional product-market fit for BNB holders 5.1 Sophisticated distribution architecture Layer 4 of the conglomerate stack, token distribution mechanisms, deserves detailed examination because it demonstrates how Binance creates sustained demand for BNB (Layer 2) while providing projects a gateway to 240 million users (Layer 1), exemplifying the cross-layer value creation that makes conglomerates defensible. This architecture comprises several distinct mechanisms, each optimized for different market segments and user behaviors, demonstrating understanding of behavioral economics and incentive design. During 2024 alone, Binance hosted 21 separate Launchpool events, distributing over $1.75 billion in token rewards to BNB holders who staked their tokens. The platform led centralized exchange airdrops in 2024 with $2.6 billion distributed, representing 94% of the total $2.7 billion distributed across all exchanges combined, creating competitive advantages where users maintaining BNB holdings receive significantly higher yields than participants on competing platforms.
Launchpool and HOLDer Airdrops Launchpool represents Binance's most established distribution mechanism and clearest demonstration of product-market fit for BNB holders seeking yield. Users who subscribe BNB to Simple Earn products gain automatic eligibility for every Launchpool event without requiring active monitoring or manual participation in each campaign. This automatic enrollment mechanism eliminates friction and reduces churn by making participation passive rather than requiring continuous engagement. For BNB stakers, average annual percentage yields across Launchpool events reached 84% in 2024. These yields substantially exceed returns available through traditional staking mechanisms or competing exchange reward programs, creating clear economic incentives for users to hold BNB and stake it through Binance's Simple Earn products, which locks supply reducing sell pressure while simultaneously creating demand for participation in the ecosystem. HOLDer Airdrops complement Launchpool by rewarding historical BNB holdings based on retrospective snapshots, creating incentives for long-term holding behavior rather than short-term speculation. Users cannot optimize participation through timing market entry because snapshot timing remains undisclosed; they must maintain sustained BNB exposure to maximize airdrop eligibility, effectively penalizing tactical trading and rewarding patient capital. This design choice demonstrates sophistication in understanding how different temporal incentive structures shape user behavior, aligning with CZ's principle of building for the long term. Megadrop: Hybrid engagement model Megadrop represents an evolution beyond purely passive staking mechanisms by requiring users to both lock BNB in Earn products and complete Web3 wallet tasks through Binance Wallet. This dual-requirement structure serves multiple strategic objectives simultaneously, demonstrating cross-layer value creation. First, it educates users about Binance Wallet functionality (Layer 6), reducing barriers to future ecosystem engagement and creating familiarity with decentralized applications that may lead to higher overall platform usage. Second, it filters participants by engagement level, ensuring that reward distribution favors active users rather than passive capital allocators, which benefits projects seeking engaged communities rather than purely mercenary farmers who claim rewards and immediately sell. Third, it creates measurable on-chain activity that projects can evaluate when assessing community quality before token listings, providing signal about user sophistication and genuine interest that cannot be easily faked through passive capital deployment. Fourth, it drives Binance Wallet adoption by making wallet usage a requirement for maximum rewards, positioning Binance Wallet as the primary Web3 gateway rather than competitors like MetaMask or Trust Wallet. Binance Alpha and Meme Rush The November 2025 launch of Binance Alpha and Meme Rush represents a strategic pivot toward controlling early-stage token discovery and trading, directly competing with DEX aggregators and tier-two exchanges whose value proposition centered on early access to speculative tokens. Binance Alpha provides spotlight exposure to tokens before official CEX listing, with many Alpha-featured tokens subsequently receiving full Binance spot listings. According to analysis by DWF Ventures, memecoins continue as a leading category for spot listings from Alpha, with projects like Banana For Scale, Dog, and Test (all on BNB Chain) highlighting strong community interest in BNB Chain memecoins and creating viral marketing opportunities through social media attention. The integration with Meme Rush, which operates exclusively within Binance Wallet through partnership with Four.meme, creates a closed ecosystem for memecoin trading where tokens must achieve $1 million fully diluted valuation (FDV) to graduate and migrate to external markets. This threshold creates a natural filtering mechanism while generating trading volume within Binance's controlled environment. Through November 2025, the Four.meme launchpad generated cumulative BNB revenue of 34,184 tokens, equivalent to approximately $43.64 million, demonstrating that these mechanisms successfully drive economic activity and BNB demand while positioning Binance Wallet as the exclusive gateway to early-stage token discovery. 5.2 Distribution performance and market impact Binance's token distribution mechanisms demonstrate exceptional performance for BNB holders relative to industry benchmarks, validating the Layer 4 strategy within the conglomerate model. Since October 2020, over 83 projects launched through Launchpool, Megadrop, and HOLDer Airdrops, cumulatively reaching over 5.4 million unique participants. BNB holders who participated in these mechanisms earned combined yields ranging from 53% to 78% during 2024, representing exceptional returns that exceed most traditional investment vehicles and create clear economic incentives for maintaining BNB exposure. VI. Limitations and challenges I. Innovation quality and project sustainability Despite impressive growth metrics, the BNB Chain ecosystem faces persistent questions regarding innovation quality and project longevity. Analysis of meme coin markets, which constitute a significant portion of BNB Chain activity, reveals concerning patterns. Research indicates that 97% of meme coin projects have collapsed due to lack of innovation, susceptibility to pump-and-dump schemes, and absence of long-term value propositions. Pump-and-dump schemes and insider trading remain prevalent in the meme coin market, undermining trust and creating negative externalities for legitimate projects seeking to build on BNB Chain. These schemes occur more frequently with recently created assets running on narrative rather than tangible value. Many Telegram and Discord groups coordinate pump-and-dump activities, creating artificial price movements that attract retail participants who subsequently suffer losses when coordinated selling occurs. Binance itself has faced criticism for allegedly listing tokens involved in pump-and-dump schemes. While the exchange implements due diligence processes, the volume-driven incentives inherent in the exchange business model create potential conflicts of interest between listing standards and revenue optimization. The rapid listing cycles necessary to capture trading fees from speculative assets may compromise thorough evaluation of project fundamentals, team backgrounds, and token distribution patterns. The empirical evidence demonstrating that 89% of 2025 listings showed negative returns suggests these concerns have substantial merit. II. listing performance contradicts long-term principles While the conglomerate structure demonstrates exceptional product-market fit for BNB holders (53-78% yields), exchange traders (lowest fees, deepest liquidity), and strategic partners (access to 240M users), it demonstrates catastrophic product-market fit failure for token buyers seeking investment returns from newly listed assets. This bifurcated outcome creates a value transfer mechanism where BNB stakers profit from farming rewards funded by retail token buyers absorbing systematic losses, with Binance collecting trading fees from both sides of transactions. Critical Finding: In 2025, 89% of tokens listed on Binance posted negative returns when measured from listing date. When measured from all-time highs, 100% of 2025 listings failed to provide sustainable positive returns. VII. Sources of competitive advantage I. Liquidity as a moat Binance's fundamental competitive advantage derives from liquidity depth. The platform's 38-40% market share creates network effects where traders gravitate to venues offering the tightest bid-ask spreads and deepest order books. This liquidity advantage proves particularly pronounced for altcoin trading pairs, where lower-volume exchanges struggle to provide competitive pricing due to insufficient order flow. Binance's $17.30 billion in daily spot volume exceeds second-place Bybit by 5.0x and third-place Coinbase by 5.5x, creating a fundamentally different scale than any competitor. This scale advantage means traders requiring large order execution without price impact have no viable alternative for most trading pairs, which concentrates more liquidity on Binance, which attracts additional traders seeking optimal execution. II. Product breadth and user experience Binance offers comprehensive product suites spanning spot trading, derivatives, staking, lending, savings products, NFT marketplaces, and DeFi integrations. This product breadth creates switching costs where users consolidate their cryptocurrency activities on a single platform rather than fragmenting operations across multiple venues. The integrated user experience reduces friction associated with moving funds between platforms, managing multiple account credentials, and reconciling transaction histories across different interfaces. Recent innovations such as Binance Alpha and Meme Rush demonstrate Binance's focus on user experience optimization. These features enable users to discover and trade early-stage tokens directly through Binance Wallet, reducing complexity associated with navigating multiple DEXs and reducing risks of scam tokens on external platforms. This integration strategy exemplifies Binance's approach to competition: rather than ceding markets to decentralized competitors, the platform integrates early-stage discovery within its existing user experience, capturing value from users who prefer Binance infrastructure while providing access to early-stage opportunities previously available only through external venues. III. Fee structure and economic incentives Binance maintains relatively lower fees than many competitors while offering fee discounts for users holding and paying fees with BNB tokens. This structure creates sustained demand for BNB independent of its utility in DeFi applications or ecosystem governance. The fee discount mechanism effectively functions as a loyalty program that rewards long-term users while creating holding incentives that reduce BNB sell pressure. Combined with Launchpool yields of 53-78%, BNB holders receive both trading fee savings and staking rewards, creating compelling economic incentives that exceed most competing platforms. VIII. Conclusions and future outlook Eight years after its July 2017 launch, Binance has successfully executed the Tencent playbook for cryptocurrency markets: build an unassailable gravity well (exchange with 38-45% market share), layer complementary services that feed off core distribution (BNB yields, BSC infrastructure, Launchpad access), develop or support dominant protocols at each layer (PancakeSwap #1 DEX, Aster #2 DEX perp), acquire strategic assets to control information and traffic (CoinMarketCap), deploy venture capital for optionality without operational burden (YZi Labs $10B across 250+ projects), and construct payment rails connecting ecosystem to traditional commerce (Card/Pay serving 46M merchants). The conglomerate structure creates compound network effects across eight layers with combined $106.43 billion daily volume, demonstrating product-market fit that few platforms achieve across any industry. For BNB holders seeking yield (53-78% returns), exchange traders prioritizing liquidity (5.0x advantage over competitors), BSC developers requiring cheap execution ($0.01 transactions), and projects seeking user access (240M distribution), Binance delivers exceptional value that justifies its dominance. For the next 2-3 years, success requires improving listing quality to restore retail investor confidence, navigating intensifying regulatory scrutiny while preserving operational agility, balancing volume maximization with user protection standards, and demonstrating that the ecosystem creates sustainable value rather than extracting value from successive cohorts of retail participants. If Binance addresses these challenges while maintaining competitive advantages in liquidity, user experience, and vertical integration, the platform could solidify its position as permanent infrastructure for cryptocurrency markets. Conversely, if listing quality continues deteriorating, regulatory pressures intensify, and retail participants recognize systematic loss patterns, the conglomerate's dominance could prove more fragile than current metrics suggest. The conglomerate structure has been successfully built; whether it can be sustainably operated while adhering to the principles that initially enabled its construction remains the central question for Binance's second decade.
PSA: Due to an increased demand for ERC20 ALT on Binance, the ERC20 ALT liquidity on the exchange has become critically low. The Binance team has therefore requested us to help them with a token swap from BEP20 ALT to ERC20 ALT to balance the liquidity.
We will be facilitating this swap on chain by burning BEP20 tokens on the BNB chain and minting an equivalent number of ERC20 tokens on Ethereum. The total token circulation will therefore remain unchanged. You will see withdrawal transactions of 400M ALT from Binance followed by burning of those tokens on the BNB chain and then an unlock transaction of an equivalent number of ERC20 ALT on Ethereum which will then be moved to a Binance-controlled wallet.
Both the withdrawal (BEP20 ALT) and the eventual deposit (ERC20 ALT) can be verified on-chain. For transparency, we will share the transaction links once the swap process is complete.
Reminiscing (Re)fundamentals and Let’s Get H(ai) from @EthCC
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