$HYPE Unlock 9.92 million tokens in 4 days, worth $919 million! Just in time—Binance has listed HYPE spot trading pairs! The dog-whale crew’s got 0 cost—time to start unloading!
Mánɡgé: “If I knew where I would die, I would never go to that place.” In investing, the root cause of many people’s losses is that they are unwilling to admit they’ve made a mistake. $SOL
$AKE I’m just a big dumbass. I tell other people every day that fakes/shanzhai are fraud scams meant to “kill pigs,” yet I can’t help myself and keep topping up to play with shanzhai, getting fooled again and again!
It’s because, damn it, seeing those people on the square play shanzhai and make tens or even hundreds of thousands per deal stirred up my desires! Now I’ve lost over 3 million playing shanzhai this year!
$BTW ⚠️⚠️All the currently unlocked market cap is USD 11.9 billion, and the funding rate is still positive! The big dog group is making its next move—learn LAB and attract more people to short! Be cautious when shorting; don’t exceed 1x leverage. When opening a position, always include a stop-loss, because the funding rate can turn negative at any time—every hour! This year I’ve been “hunted and slaughtered” by copycat coins more than 300 times. There are 100 ways for copycats to harvest you—just so long as you have large capital and a heavily concentrated position; once you go in, you’re already on the chopping block. If you play copycats, keep position size light, use stop-loss, and follow the trend!
$BTC The bull market is also impossible to go straight up! In a bull market, there will also be pullbacks. If Bitcoin breaks below $80,427, over 1.674 billion long positions will be liquidated! Short, and place your stop-loss at 88,259!
$ZEC When you discover that retail traders are going long, all traders in the market who are stronger than retail traders will go short.
Conversely, when you discover that retail traders are going short, all traders in the market who are stronger than retail traders will go long.
The underlying assumption is that retail traders are the least able to influence pricing in the market, so all traders at a higher level will automatically assume that every trade made by retail traders is wrong.
As for how to identify traces of retail traders’ trades, that falls under the realm of technical analysis. Once you can spot it, it means you’ve moved beyond retail traders.
Retail traders shouldn’t be making money in the first place—they’re just a group of milk-producing resources owned by the people who created this market.
And most traders who can be profitable are essentially no different from oil thieves and chicken thieves—like rats and foxes. Private funds and similar institutions look glamorous; if you kill one, well, you kill one.
$SOXL It's hard not to admit—US stocks are just awesome. The 3x semiconductor ETF is back to a two-month high! A few days ago, when it was at 100, I was long on it, but my mindset was too narrow—I didn’t hold on to it!
$ONDO And as the saying goes, the counterfeit is surging very hard—never short it. It indicates that big players are shorting; the low-rent pumpers will squeeze the short sellers until they blow up!
$ZHIPU How many brothers haven’t fallen for crypto scams and been “harvested” by Hong Kong stocks! Zhipu claims to be the biggest AI company, but in the past two months it has already dropped 80%, with its market cap falling from HK$1.33 trillion to HK$300 billion now.
$XAU World’s largest gold ETF holdings decrease again by 2.281 tonnes! The main reason is that U.S. Treasury yields have risen, and since gold does not generate interest, large funds have withdrawn from gold!
$AAPL Master Xi Jiu can manipulate the rise and fall of Apple stocks! Why is it that on Saturday—also on cycles, stocks, gold, silver, and crude oil, when these markets aren’t open—yet the contract price is still going up and down? At that moment, it becomes like a single-player game: if more people go long, it goes up; if more people go short, it goes down. It no longer anchors to the stock price! Why do I keep saying that on Saturday and Sunday, if it has already risen a lot, going short has a probabilistic advantage; if it has fallen a lot, going long has a probabilistic advantage? Because when the market opens on Monday, arbitrageurs will smooth out the prices of the stocks and the contracts! Of course, it’s not 100%—it only means there’s a probabilistic advantage!
The financial market is a gamble—there are two kinds of people who can consistently profit in the long run! $SOL
The first are those who can see the cards! Buffett is the representative of this kind of person. He can spend many years studying every aspect of a target company, and once he can basically see the company’s “cards,” he buys and holds. So he has the confidence to say that if tomorrow the stock market closes, he still won’t be worried. This is what’s called the fundamental-analysis crowd!
The other kind of person doesn’t know the cards, but they understand the psychology of the people at the gambling table. By studying market psychology, they make money. The representative of this kind of person is Soros.
Technical analysis belongs to a branch of market psychology!
Remember: the essence of technical analysis is the collective psychology behind the charts!
Can human nature be easily changed?
Of course not!
So it was a hundred years ago that Livermore had such confidence to say that trading is as old as the mountains; what has happened in the past will happen again in the future.
That’s the underlying logic of technical analysis!
That’s why technical analysis remains enduring and never goes out of style!