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The Federal Reserve's interest rate cut in December: Limited benefits and hidden risks

The Federal Reserve's interest rate cut in December is not an absolute positive for the virtual currency market, but rather a complex situation where short-term sentiment boosts coexist with long-term risks. As a high-risk asset highly sensitive to global liquidity, the easing expectations brought by the rate cut do indeed provide short-term support for virtual currencies—when the market bets on an over 80% probability of a rate cut, Bitcoin has rebounded more than 10% from its low point, returning to the $90,000 range. The expectations of liquidity easing drive profit-seeking funds to flow in and the pricing effect of a weakening dollar both constitute direct benefits.

However, the sustainability of these benefits is highly questionable. Historical experience shows that a single rate cut is insufficient to trigger a trend upward. After the end of QT in 2019, risk assets took several months to start a significant rise, and the current market may have already priced in rate cut expectations. More critically, if a “hawkish rate cut” occurs, such as the Fed emphasizing cautious policy or reducing future rate cut counts, it will directly trigger a market correction. Powell's hawkish remarks in December 2024 led to a Bitcoin crash of over 5%, causing 260,000 liquidations.

Additionally, the high leverage structure of virtual currencies and regulatory uncertainties further weaken the positive effects. Currently, the $3 billion short position in the market may trigger a short squeeze in the short term, but high leverage also exacerbates volatility fragility, while the Fed's rejection of crypto assets and regulatory policy uncertainties constitute long-term suppression. In summary, the rate cut can be seen as a short-term sentiment catalyst, but one must be wary of the risk of correction after expectations are fulfilled. Sustained increases still require clear paths for easing and a compliant environment to support them.

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AT/USDT 24-hour News Highlights: Aethir's Decentralized Computing Ecosystem Gears Up
In the rapidly changing cryptocurrency market over the past 24 hours, Aethir (ATH), as the token for the decentralized GPU cloud computing platform's AT/USDT trading pair, has become the focus of the DePIN (Decentralized Physical Infrastructure Network) sector. The current price remains stable around $0.014, with a 24-hour increase of 3.43%, peaking at $0.01424, and trading volume skyrocketing to $8.38 million, a 12% increase from the previous day. Behind this slight upward trend is a significant catalyst for the Aethir ecosystem: the platform announced deepened cooperation with several AI startups, providing low-cost GPU resources to support rendering and training tasks, attracting attention from competitors like Render Network and Akash. On platform X, traders are hotly discussing the 'pump point' of AT/USDT—bullish capital inflows pushing through the $0.0135 support, with the RSI indicator rising to 65, suggesting strong short-term bullish momentum, but caution is advised regarding the risk of a market pullback.
More notably, the Aethir team revealed in last night's AMA that a 'Checker Node' update will go live next week, enhancing network throughput by 30%, which may stimulate the leverage trading enthusiasm for AT/USDT. Compared to the low volatility of Tether (USDT) stablecoin (only 0.04% in 24 hours), AT/USDT's volatility reaches up to 8%, making it the first choice for retail investors chasing high beta assets. Market analysts predict that if Bitcoin stabilizes at the $90,000 mark, AT/USDT is expected to test the $0.016 resistance level, with a potential increase of 15%. However, macro uncertainties such as Federal Reserve interest rate signals remain a concern. Overall, Aethir's highlights go beyond price; it is also a microcosm of the Web3 computing revolution—from game rendering to AI training, it is quietly reshaping digital infrastructure. Investors are advised to pay attention to on-chain data, allocate rationally, and seize the DePIN spring tide.
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