無名先生

#BTC

The monthly structure in 2026 looks very similar to the period near the bottom at the end of 2022.

Back then, the movement was also like this: consolidation, narrowing, and then a bullish candle to confirm the direction.

If it were to be fully replicated, the current position is roughly equivalent to that area at the end of 2022—just coming out of the bottom, but the market still does not fully believe it.

#BTC

This week’s schedule is packed tight. 📅

On Tuesday, small business confidence and consumer credit; on Thursday, inflation and employment data; on Friday, the CPI that will decide market sentiment.

Several key data releases are concentrated in this week, with a long weekend in between.

Volatility on Thursday and Friday may be greater than usual.

#BTC

It failed to break through the area near 82K three times, and the structure has already changed.

Now it’s not about waiting for a breakout, but waiting for the pullback to complete.

79K is the first stop, and there is a deeper one after that.

The major turning points were all called out in advance before; this time will be no exception.

#ETH

The daily chart formed a standard bull flag.

If it breaks out, the target is above.

Just wait for confirmation.

#BTC

The 50-day and 200-day moving averages are about to cross.

The last time this signal appeared, the market went on to move a long way.

This time, it’s also at roughly the same level, with a similar structure.

#BTC

Many people are looking at the price, but what really determines the direction is this chart.

WALCL started in 2022 with QT, and kept shrinking to 6.6 trillion, pulling out 2.4 trillion in liquidity. BTC fell from 69K to 15K.

Now QT has officially ended, and the direction has reversed. The Fed has started expanding its balance sheet again, adding nearly 60 billion in a single week last week.

The same signal last appeared in 2020, and what happened after that needs no explanation.

#BTC

The cup and handle pattern has already formed.

The 2021 rally was also this structure, and it went on for a long time afterward.

The current target points to above 200K; this is not a shout, but a pattern the chart itself has drawn.

#VIX #SPY #QQQ

VIX 14.5, back in the low-volatility range.

Historically, this level is often not a good buying point, but it is not a selling point either. It is a time to reduce positions, adjust the structure, and let profits run.

Wait until it climbs above 30 before making a move. No rush now.

#BTC

I said at 57K that was the bottom, but no one believed me.

Now it's 82K, up 41%.

It's not over yet; new highs are on the way.

#ASTER

200 days of consolidation—once it breaks out, the upside won’t be small.

1.20 is the first target, and 1.40 is the extension level.

As long as the structure hasn’t broken, I’m holding.

#ETH

A long position worth 112 million dollars, with 20x leverage, opened on ETH.

This scale is not something ordinary people can do.

Either they know something, or they’re bold enough.

Looking at the on-chain data, this address had also made money on HYPE before, so it’s not a newbie.

#BTC

83K is the watershed, that is correct.

But who is defending it, and why they are defending it, may be more important than whether it is being defended.

If whales are really supporting the price, it won't stay sideways at this level for too long. Real price support would actively push it upward, rather than placing orders and waiting for people to buy.

This kind of sideways movement now looks more like waiting for someone else to make the first move.

#BTC

Japan sold 71 billion U.S. dollars in Treasury bonds, and China is also selling.

The two biggest creditors are running away at the same time; this is not a coincidence.

Buy gold, sell dollars; the trend is changing.

#BTC

Sideways.

No real volatility, and no clear direction.

But after every period of sideways movement, there’s always a big move.

Hope this time it’s upward.

#BTC

50 billion versus 20 billion. The amount of short positions that would be liquidated and the amount of long positions that would be liquidated are not even on the same level.

If the price is pushed up, 5 billion gets wiped out. If it is dumped downward, 20 billion gets wiped out.

The direction with the larger liquidation amount is more attractive. This structure is already on the table.

#BTC

73K is indeed possible to catch, but the premise is that it actually reaches that level.

Right now the price is still hovering around 80K, so looking directly at 73K may be a bit optimistic. There are several support levels in between that it would have to break through, and it may not be able to drop that deeply all at once.

I tend to first watch the reaction around 76-77K, since that is closer than 73K and also more important.

#ZEC

From 11 million to 23 million.

Not by frequent trading, but by buying and never moving.

ZEC has gone up 20x from the bottom to now.

Those who held on made money, while those who got off halfway can only watch.

#BTC

Since its birth, the purchasing power of the US dollar has evaporated by 97%.

What cost $3 in 1913 now costs $100.

It’s not that Bitcoin has risen; it’s that the US dollar has become less valuable.

#BTC

Someone just opened a $51.3 million short position, with an entry price of 79,757. 🚨

This scale isn’t something small retail traders can do; it’s probably an institution or a large whale positioning.

They’re betting that the short-term high has already passed and that the next move will be down.

But a large position doesn’t necessarily mean it’s right—it just means someone is willing to place a heavy bet at this level.

I’ll keep a closer eye on this price level, but I won’t change my own pace just because of one short position. 🐋

#BTC

An old miner wallet from 16 years ago has moved, and 600 BTC have changed location.

It wasn't a sale, just a transfer, but the move itself is worth paying attention to.

There are fewer and fewer early Bitcoin players, and every time a wallet like this wakes up, it makes people think a little more.