Regarding BTW’s market行情 for today (October 4), the current market conditions are more tilted toward a high-risk contest after extreme volatility rather than a steady and reliable entry point. The following is a strategy analysis based on the information currently available:
📉 Core contradiction: a spike and fade, and the “good news already priced in”
Key signal: On October 2, BTW ended a DeFi incentive campaign for Binance Wallets, hitting a low around 0.9267; the 24-hour drop reached 34.1%, showing a typical pattern of “good news兑现 then a sudden crash.”
📊 Technical warning signs
· Confirmation of a top divergence: Since September 13, the price has made new highs, but the RSI indicator’s peak has fallen from 80 to 70. Such a bearish divergence usually means bullish momentum has already substantially weakened. · Key support broken: The primary support level $1.3448 mentioned in the earlier article has been breached, and the current price is now seeking support at lower levels.
🎯 Trading strategy: defense and waiting
In this high-volatility environment where the trend is weakening, chasing gains is extremely risky. The strategies below are for reference only and do not constitute investment advice:
1. No position: mainly observe The price is currently in a “no-support zone,” and after a big drop, it is often followed by violent consolidation. Until a clear止跌 pattern appears (e.g., a long lower wick, or a bullish engulfing with strong volume), it’s not advisable to blindly bottom-fish. You can patiently wait for the price to stabilize at a lower level (such as the Fibonacci retracement area around $0.70–$0.85) before reevaluating.
2. In-position traders: strict risk control If you still hold a position, the most important thing now is to set a stop-loss. Given the 34% day decline, a rebound could happen at any time, but if the price cannot quickly reclaim the $1.00 level, the downward trend may continue. Also, prevent further cascading liquidations caused by continually falling open interest (OI).
3. Short-term trading (high risk) Only suitable for traders with very strong risk tolerance. If the price is in the 1.10–$1.20 range. But you must strictly adhere to your stop-loss; once it breaks today’s low, exit immediately.
Summary: BTW is going through a “post-stimulus ebb” period. The repair process after being severely overbought on the technicals is often painful and lengthy. Waiting with no position for right-side confirmation is currently the best risk-reward choice. #btw