The actual lowest point in 2026 was $58,379 on June 30, a pullback of about 53% from the $126,000 high—lower than 2018’s 84% and 2022’s 77%.

Grayscale’s Zach Pandl also reached similar conclusions, believing the price likely bottomed by late June.

However, one variable to watch: in June, U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded monthly net outflows of about $4.06 billion, the largest since the products launched. If fund flows turn back to sustained inflows, the signal confirming the bottom would be stronger.