Mira小白桃

Happy Mid-Autumn Festival 🥮🎑
Don’t forget to come to the livestream this afternoon and chat~

When you’re bored, feel free to come chat in the group and bullsh*t a bit 🍑
We can also discuss and exchange interesting news and market hotspots～
See you every afternoon in the live room—don’t be a stranger ❤️

$ORDI 9月22帖子里说等回调买，多少买入直播间也给家人们分享了。这轮暴涨20%太给力了~

Come

#QNT上涨39%
QNT quickly surged from around $70 to above $90, at one point nearing $100 during the day.
The most important catalyst for this move is that The Clearing House (TCH) selected Quant to provide infrastructure for its On-Chain Money Initiative.
In simple terms, it’s exploring how tokenized bank deposits can be cleared and settled on-chain.
And Quant’s role is precisely the underlying infrastructure for interoperability, transaction coordination, and more.
So what the market is trading this time isn’t just a typical partnership—it’s:
traditional finance + RWA + on-chain payments + tokenized bank deposits.
That’s also why QNT suddenly drew attention from capital.
But here, it’s important to note:
Positive news for Quant doesn’t automatically mean the QNT token will keep rising continuously.
At the moment, more of what traders are pricing in is the imagination space after institutions adopt Quant; whether the move can continue later depends on the price structure.
For QNT next, I mainly watch three zones:
$100:
Currently the most important psychological level.
If it breaks out with volume and holds above $100, the market may extend further into higher ranges.
$90:
If it spikes higher and then sees a pullback/whipsaw, I’ll look to see whether this area can turn from resistance into support.
$110:
If $100 truly holds, then around $110 can be treated as the next significant resistance level to watch.
So right now, I won’t just chase after a 40% gain.
The market is most prone to a move that goes like this:
spike up → profit-taking → consolidation/whipsaw → choose the next direction.
What I prefer is to wait for market confirmation:
break above $100 → pull back without breaking → then look for higher.
If it spikes and then quickly drops back below $90, you need to guard against a round of profit-taking and liquidation.
So the most important question for QNT right now isn’t:
“Since it’s already up so much, can it still rise?”
But rather:
“Can this piece of good news truly translate into a new price structure?”
Good news creates the momentum,
while price is what confirms the trend.
$QNT

$SOXS It's still falling—where exactly is the key level?

SOXS has dropped from around $50 all the way to $33. Can it still be traded?
SOXS closed yesterday at about $33.63 and briefly dipped to around $33 after-hours.
Back on September 16, SOXS was still above $50.
In just a few trading days, the decline has been very obvious.
So the most important thing now isn’t guessing when it will bounce, but first checking whether key support can hold.

📍 I’m focusing on these areas:
First support: $32.9—$33.3
This is the closest key zone right now.
If it can stop the bleeding here and show a clear rebound on heavier volume, it would suggest short-term buying support may be showing up.
But if $32.9 breaks straight down, then the next area to watch is:
$32.1—$32.9
This is the second support level I’ll be paying more attention to next.

📍 Where to look for the rebound first?
For the first resistance overhead, I’m watching:
$34.4—$35.1
If SOXS can get back above this zone, then there’s a chance it may continue higher and test around:
$35.5
In other words, my thinking at this point isn’t:
“After it’s fallen so much, just rush in for a bargain buy.”
Instead, it’s:
First, see if it can stabilize around $33.
Once it stabilizes, then see if it can reclaim $34.4—$35.5.
If it can’t even hold $33, then there’s no need to force an entry just because it’s already down a lot.

Why has SOXS been so weak recently?
Because SOXS itself is a 3x leveraged inverse ETF that targets the semiconductor index.
Recently, the semiconductor sector has been very strong. The SOX index was still around 12,492 points as of September 24.
In recent days, semiconductor-related stocks like AMD, Intel, and Arm have kept trending higher, directly weighing on SOXS.
So everyone should note:
The condition for SOXS to rise isn’t only that SOXS itself wants to go up—it’s that the semiconductor sector must show a clear pullback.
If AI chips, AMD, NVDA, and MU remain strong, SOXS will be hard to get a comfortable trend rebound.
Also, SOXS is a daily 3x inverse product, not a normal stock. Long-term holding can be affected by daily resets and volatility decay, and this is something you must pay attention to.

SOXS’s biggest problem right now isn’t whether it’s fallen “enough.”
It’s that the semiconductor trend line is still too strong.

🚨 Binance officially lists Hyperliquid (HYPE) tonight $HYPE ！

Today, there is a piece of news in the market that’s worth paying close attention to:
Binance will list Hyperliquid (HYPE) spot trading.
According to the official announcement, HYPE spot trading will begin at 20:00 on September 24 (China time). The first trading pairs include:
HYPE/USDT, HYPE/USDC, HYPE/TRY.
At the same time, HYPE will be tagged with a Seed Tag, and Binance specifically reminds users that assets with this kind of tag may face higher volatility and risk.

So why is everyone paying so much attention to HYPE?
Because Hyperliquid itself is not a typical small project.
It is a high-performance blockchain focused on on-chain finance and trading, and perpetual futures trading is currently one of its most important business directions.
And the biggest change from Binance’s listing is this:
HYPE has gained a new large spot trading market.
This means more capital can directly participate in spot trading.
So I think the real thing worth watching tonight isn’t:
“Will it skyrocket right after listing?”
Instead, it’s:
“After Binance opens, does the market still have buyers and capital stepping in?”

I’m mainly watching three signals:
First, look at the opening trading volume.
If after the opening the volume clearly expands, and the price can still hold steady, it indicates strong market follow-through.
But if it quickly surges right at the open and then drops sharply, be careful:
Good news gets realized + profit-taking sell orders unload.
Second, look at the previous high area.
HYPE has already been up a lot recently, and the current price is around $90.
So tonight, if there’s a rapid surge after the open, I actually won’t chase it immediately.
First, see whether it can truly hold the highs after the opening.
Third, watch the pullback.
If after the first push higher it can pull back to confirm, and then again pick up volume and move upward, this kind of structure is more worth paying attention to than just a single big green candle.

So my game plan for HYPE tonight is pretty simple:
Listing is a positive catalyst, but a positive catalyst is not a signal to go long.
What ultimately determines the next move is still:
Trading volume, market follow-through, breakout, and pullback.
Especially since HYPE has already risen ahead of time, it’s actually not surprising that after Binance lists it you get a pattern of **“pump—washout—then choose a direction.”**
So tonight I’ll focus on the first segment of price action after the open.
Don’t chase the first candlestick—let the market show you the answer.
$HYPE #币安将上市Hyperliquid（HYPE）

Big pancake (BTC), and second pancake (ETH) as well: the overall direction is still more bullish.

First, let’s talk about BTC.
Big pancake has now entered a very critical position.
After the breakout earlier, the price is currently consolidating around 86K. The main resistance zone to watch above is 87K—88K.
If it can continue to break out here with increased volume, the next step for the market will start looking at the 90K—92K area.
Right now, many analysts also view 90K as the next important test for this leg of the uptrend.
So I won’t start guessing the top just because BTC has already risen a lot.
What strong markets fear most is getting short halfway through.
On the downside, I mainly want to see whether 85K can hold.
As long as after a pullback it can still stand back above, then the current upward structure hasn’t been broken.
If there is a short-term shakeout, I would actually first observe the support rather than immediately assume the trend is over.

ETH is the same today.
Second pancake is currently trading above 2700, and the short term has already entered the pressure area we’ve been watching.
Right now the key is:
Can 2700 turn into support, and can 2800 be broken through?
If ETH can effectively break above 2800, and after breaking out it doesn’t immediately fall back, then the market will next continue to look toward around 3000.
However, at 2800 I will still anticipate a possible shakeout.
Because the closer the price gets to a major resistance level, profit-taking and shorts will both start increasing.
So my approach isn’t to chase the rally,
but rather:
Hold above 2700 → break above 2800 → then look at 3000.
If the push higher fails, wait for the pullback to confirm.
$BTC $ETH

📈 $BTC This rally is underway, and for now I haven’t seen an end yet.
Based on the current structure, after BTC (the “big coin”) broke above the prior key resistance, it has already returned to a strong phase.
Today, BTC’s high already came close to 86,000, and this move isn’t driven purely by sentiment. ETF inflows returning, short covering, and improvements in technical structure are all providing support for this rebound.
So my approach is simple:
I’m bullish first, focusing on waiting for confirmation of the breakout.
The most important level right now is around 85K.
If price can hold above it, then the short-term structure is still leaning bullish.
The first resistance zone above is around 85.5K–86K.
If it continues to break out there on increased volume, then the next targets are:
88K → the 90K–91K area.
Some analysts also see 89K as the next major resistance, and higher up to watch are 90K and even the 96K region.
So don’t start guessing the top just because BTC has already risen a lot.
Rising high doesn’t automatically mean an immediate top.
Of course, during a strong uptrend there will also be pullbacks.
If BTC quickly drops after hitting the upper resistance, I would actually first look at whether it can hold around 84.5K.
Below that, 80K–81K is still very important structural support.
As long as the key support hasn’t been broken, I interpret a pullback as:
profit-taking / shakeout during the up-move, not an end to the trend.
That’s also why I don’t really want to chase shorts right now.
My trading logic is still the same:
Big picture: bullish. Short term: wait for confirmation.
Hold 85K, then watch 86K.
Break 86K, then look to 88K.
After a break above 88K, the market can begin to truly challenge the 90K–91K big range.
And if 90K can also complete a breakout and hold, then the room ahead will open up even more.
So the focus right now isn’t:
“BTC has risen so much—can it still go up?”
But rather:
“Can each key resistance turn into new support?”
As long as this structure keeps being confirmed,
this rally hasn’t finished yet.

$ORDI 小白桃看好你嘿嘿

$KERNEL 9月14th buy, today’s small goal perfect exceeded, continue holding
Don’t wait until everything has already flown before you buy; $SUI is the most obvious example
Family, what’s the next target worth paying attention to?

$SNDK SanDisk give it a little more power 😁

📈 The broad market surged hard—could it really be just “good news after bad news”?

But I think you can’t only look at this one point.
What’s more worth paying attention to is:
the price structure, the flow of funds, and changes in sell pressure in the market.

$BTC has moved back above the 50-week moving average; based on historical data, after reclaiming this line, many times it means the market’s weakest phase may have already passed.

At the same time, in the recent period, BTC spot ETF has started seeing inflows again, and the selling rate from long-term holders has also clearly slowed down.

In simple terms:
sell pressure is weakening, and buyers are starting to regain control.
So right now, I’m actually less inclined to short directly on Monday.

So how should we look at the rest of this week?

My logic is very simple:
Don’t rush to short on Monday—wait for trend confirmation on Tuesday and Wednesday.
For BTC downside, I’m mainly watching support around 79K.
As long as after a pullback it can hold, the strong structure hasn’t been broken.

On the upside, I’m focused on the resistance zone around 82K—83K.
If price can effectively break through and hold above it, the market may continue seeking space into higher areas.

So don’t just guess the top because “it has already risen a lot.”

A big move up doesn’t automatically mean it will drop right away.

$ETH is similar as well.
The second round of price action (2nd “bing”) has returned to around 2700; on top of that, the 2700—2800 zone is the key area to watch.

Because a bull market doesn’t rise in a straight line every day.
In a real uptrend, there will definitely be pullbacks in between—“washing out” moves.

It might spike higher and then retreat, or it might suddenly insert a wick to flush out the chased long positions.

So my approach is still:
first go long → push into resistance → protect against a washout → pullback confirmation.
If the structure hasn’t been damaged, then we look at the next leg.

So what I want to say right now is just one thing:
Wait for shorts.
It’s not that there’s no opportunity to short—but it’s not the position where I want to short yet.

If BTC and ETH continue to hold key support, it means the bulls are still there.
When price reaches the major resistance zone above and you see clear hesitation plus a selloff with increased volume, then you can start observing the short opportunity.

Trading isn’t about guessing the top just because you see the price has already risen a lot.
What matters is knowing when to act and when to wait.

My plan for this week:
Bias is long—wait for confirmation on levels.
Be patient on Monday; confirm on Tuesday and Wednesday.
When the bull run comes, it won’t just go one step.
The pullback washout after an upmove is actually the opportunity we should be waiting for most.

Why does the market seem to be running only at midnight lately?
Next time I trade short-term, I can’t sleep—I won’t take positions while sleeping.
My luck is a bit bad. I took profit after being down 3%, and then I ended up paying tuition again 😅

The Bank of Japan raises rates to a 31-year high—where does the market go next?
The Bank of Japan has just raised its policy rate to 1.25%, the highest level since 1995.
And just a couple of days ago, the Federal Reserve also completed a rate hike.
So this time, the market situation is somewhat special:
Fed rate hike + Bank of Japan rate hike
The global liquidity environment is changing.
Many people’s first reaction might be:
“Japan is hiking rates—won’t risk assets fall?”
But I think it’s not that simple.
Because this rate hike itself was already largely anticipated by the market, and after the news hit, the yen actually weakened, while BTC didn’t show a clear one-way selloff.
So what really matters now isn’t this rate hike itself.
Instead, it’s:
Will the Bank of Japan continue tightening further?
If it keeps sending hawkish signals going forward, the cost of yen funding could rise again, potentially affecting global capital flows and increasing volatility in risk assets like BTC and ETH.
But if the Bank of Japan maintains a more cautious pace afterward, concerns about further rate hikes may gradually get priced in.
So my thinking is quite simple:
In the short term, don’t automatically go bearish on BTC just because of the phrase “Japan rate hike.”
What matters more now is to look at:
Whether there’s a risk of capital withdrawing from risk assets, whether BTC’s key support can hold, and the Bank of Japan’s policy stance going forward.
After the news is released, how the price moves is always more important than the headline itself.
Trading news isn’t just about looking at two words like “bad news”—it’s about whether the market actually confirms it with a selloff.
$BTC $ETH $BNB
#日本央行加息至31年高位