📈 The broad market is surging hard—can it really be only because the “bad news has been fully digested”?

But I think we can’t just look at this one point.
What’s more worth paying attention to is:
price structure, fund flows, and changes in market selling pressure.

$BTC has moved back above the 50-week moving average. In the historical data, after recapturing this line, many times it means the market’s weakest phase may have already passed.

At the same time, recently BTC spot ETFs have seen renewed inflows, and the selling pace from long-term holders has also clearly slowed.

In short:
Selling pressure is weakening, and buyers are starting to take the initiative again.
So right now I’m actually not very willing to short directly on Monday.

So how should we look at this week?

My idea is very simple:
Don’t rush to short on Monday—wait for trend confirmation on Tuesday and Wednesday.
For BTC support, I’m mainly watching around the 79K area.
As long as after a pullback it can hold, the strong structure hasn’t been broken.

On the upside, I’m watching the resistance zone at 82K—83K.
If it can break through effectively and hold above it, the market may continue seeking room toward higher levels.

So don’t, just because it’s already risen a lot, immediately guess the top.

Rising a lot doesn’t mean it’s going to drop right away.

$ETH is the same as well.
The second coin (二饼) has returned to around 2700. On top, the key focus is the 2700—2800 region.

Because a bull market doesn’t rise in a straight line every day.
In a real uptrend, there will definitely be pullbacks in between.

It might rally high and then fall back, or it might suddenly wick upward to wash out the chasing long positions.

So my approach is still:
First look for longs → hit the resistance zone → guard against a shakeout → pullback and confirm.
If the structure hasn’t broken, then we look at the next leg.

So what I want to say right now is just one sentence:
Wait for shorts.
It’s not that there’s no chance to short—it's that we’re not at the level where I want to short yet.

If BTC and ETH continue to hold key support, it means the bulls are still in control.
Wait until you reach the big resistance overhead and see a clear stall and a volume-backed pullback—then observe the short opportunity.

Trading isn’t about starting to guess the top just because it’s gone up a lot.
What matters is knowing when to act and when to wait.

My plan for this week:
Bias is bullish—wait for confirmation by levels.
Be patient on Monday; confirm on Tuesday and Wednesday.
When the bull run comes, it won’t move only one step.
After the rally, the pullback/shakeout is actually the opportunity we should be waiting for.