September 22日 $BTC 行情分析

US stock risk appetite rebounds, market trading boosts rate-cut expectations, and capital rotates from the AI sector back into crypto assets; the US dollar index weakens, which is favorable for the pricing of risk assets

From a technical perspective, the current trend has strong bullish momentum. The bullish alignment is still in place. At this moment, absolutely do not short. If you are going to short, wait until the daily timeframe’s MACD shows a confirmed top divergence. There is currently such an expectation, so we need to see whether it can continue to drive upward with large bullish candles.

The most important intraday support is 84500. As long as 84500 holds and is not broken, price still has room to move higher. In summary, the bias remains mostly long. Once a trend is formed, it usually doesn’t change so quickly.

However, you should pay attention to one indicator right now: fear and greed. The Fear & Greed Index has already reached 78, which falls into the “extreme greed” zone. So personally, for this wave of market action: if you already have a position, you can hold it for now and wait for me to publish the top signal before exiting. If you currently have no position, you can wait a bit longer until market sentiment eases slightly, and then enter.