BTC at $85K: the euphoria trap — or the launch?

• BTC breaks $85K (first time since January) — +5.2% in 24h, Fear & Greed 76 (extreme greed). But Coinbase Premium is negative = weak US demand despite $433M in ETF inflows (18/09). RSI ~70, overheating risk.

• ETH follows (+3-4%) — 10Y Treasury at 4.96% (<5%), WTI below $94, shorts liquidated >$600M. 50W MA reclaimed ($77,769) = technical confirmation of the bottom. Strategy +950 BTC ($75.7M), total 846K.

• Macros on point: FOMC still hawkish, CPI not urgent, CLARITY Act stalled in the Senate. Resistances $85.2K then $90K; support $80K. Don’t blindly follow: a breakout without volume staying stable = a trap.

You buy the $85K breakout or do you wait for the pullback to $80K? Give your plan — no sugarcoating.

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