【 $BTC four-year cycle total engraving series 69】 15–16 ye

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【 $BTC four-year cycle total engraving series 69】

15–16 year bull market recovery phase: after the coin price broke above the orange line, it stayed around the orange line for 6.8 months

2023 bull market recovery phase: after the coin price broke above the orange line, it stayed around the orange line for 6.5 months

Current: the coin price has been above the orange line for 0.9 months

┌─ 🐼 Indicator details ─┐

Orange line: TMMP (True Market Mean Price). It measures the average buy-in cost of actively circulating bitcoins in the secondary market

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【 $BTC four-year cycle total mark series 68】

2015 bear-market bottom, right side: after the red-to-green shift, 2.1 months to the peak of the bull-market recovery phase
2019 bear-market bottom, right side: after the red-to-green shift, 2.9 months to the peak of the bull-market recovery phase
2023 bear-market bottom, right side: after the red-to-green shift, 3.0 months to the secondary peak of the bull-market recovery phase
2026 bear-market bottom, right side: red-to-green has already lasted 0.9 months

┌── 🐼 On-chain data details ──┐

The indicator at the bottom of the chart is the “Bitcoin short-term investor transfer-to-exchange profit/loss ratio,” i.e., the profit achieved when on-chain short-term investors move coins into an exchange ÷ realized losses (30-day moving average)

>1 (green): mainly profit-taking
<1 (red): mainly stop-loss / capitulation

Disclaimer: Includes third-party opinions. No advice. Binance AI may be used without guarantee. See T&Cs.

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