🚨 #FedRateWatch | THE FED RETURNS TO PUT THE MARKET ON ALERT
📈 Could rates rise by 25 basis points this week?
The market has practically already positioned itself: the odds of a hike exceed 90% according to expectations reflected in Fed Funds futures.
But the real question isn’t just whether it rises.
👉 The question is: what comes next?
🇺🇸 August inflation has again started to put pressure on the economy:
• CPI: +0.4% month-over-month
• Annual inflation: 3.4%
• Core CPI: +0.3% month-over-month
And as long as inflation keeps staying above the 2% target, bond yields are also rising. The 10-year Treasury reached above 5%, increasing pressure on risk assets.
⚠️ What could this mean for the markets?
₿ BTC: higher volatility and pressure if real yields rise.
📉 Tech stocks: higher rates can reduce the valuation of growth companies.
🥇 Gold: it could react differently if the market interprets the decision as a sign of loss of confidence in monetary policy.
💵 U.S. dollar: a more aggressive Fed could provide support.
🔥 And there’s a key point:
If this hike isn’t an isolated move and the market starts pricing in more increases through December and into 2027, we could be looking at a major shift in the global liquidity regime.
📊 CME FedWatch is not an official Fed forecast: it reflects the implied probabilities that traders are assigning to future rate moves.
❓ QUESTION FOR THE COMMUNITY:
Are we facing a one-off rise to curb inflation, or the start of a new restrictive cycle?
🟢 Does BTC drop first and then recover?
🔴 Does a deeper correction begin?
🟡 Does gold return to acting as a safe haven?
👇 What’s your scenario?
#FedRateWatch #Fed #BTC #Crypto #Trading
#FedRateWatch #BinanceSquare
$BTC
📈 Could rates rise by 25 basis points this week?
The market has practically already positioned itself: the odds of a hike exceed 90% according to expectations reflected in Fed Funds futures.
But the real question isn’t just whether it rises.
👉 The question is: what comes next?
🇺🇸 August inflation has again started to put pressure on the economy:
• CPI: +0.4% month-over-month
• Annual inflation: 3.4%
• Core CPI: +0.3% month-over-month
And as long as inflation keeps staying above the 2% target, bond yields are also rising. The 10-year Treasury reached above 5%, increasing pressure on risk assets.
⚠️ What could this mean for the markets?
₿ BTC: higher volatility and pressure if real yields rise.
📉 Tech stocks: higher rates can reduce the valuation of growth companies.
🥇 Gold: it could react differently if the market interprets the decision as a sign of loss of confidence in monetary policy.
💵 U.S. dollar: a more aggressive Fed could provide support.
🔥 And there’s a key point:
If this hike isn’t an isolated move and the market starts pricing in more increases through December and into 2027, we could be looking at a major shift in the global liquidity regime.
📊 CME FedWatch is not an official Fed forecast: it reflects the implied probabilities that traders are assigning to future rate moves.
❓ QUESTION FOR THE COMMUNITY:
Are we facing a one-off rise to curb inflation, or the start of a new restrictive cycle?
🟢 Does BTC drop first and then recover?
🔴 Does a deeper correction begin?
🟡 Does gold return to acting as a safe haven?
👇 What’s your scenario?
#FedRateWatch #Fed #BTC #Crypto #Trading
#FedRateWatch #BinanceSquare
$BTC