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$ETH
Tonight there’s a clear vote on the bill—it's unlikely to pass, but there’s still a chance because of Trump’s increase. Will tonight’s market drop again? 🤔

$BTC
$ETH

To get the CLARITY Act through the Senate as quickly as possible, the White House has, this time, made a major concession.


Ahead of the key vote on Tuesday, the Senate Republicans unveiled the latest revised version—an entire 635 pages—and directly called it their current “last, best, final” proposal.

I took a look, and several changes are crucial.

The biggest concession is still the crypto moral rules. The new version adds restrictions supported by Trump. In the future, presidents and other federal officials will be prohibited from issuing, sponsoring, or using their identity to endorse digital-asset projects—this is clearly meant to respond to the Democrats’ long-persistent concerns about conflicts of interest.

In addition, stablecoin regulation has also added a “circuit breaker” mechanism. If, in the future, large amounts of bank deposits suddenly flow into stablecoins and place systemic pressure on community banks, the federal government can intervene.

Protections related to BRCA have also been further tightened. Language that previously clearly extended protections to certain criminal cases was deleted; meanwhile, new restrictions have been added covering conflicts of interest and related-party dealings among digital commodity exchanges, brokers, and dealers.

In plain terms, in order to push the CLARITY Act through, both sides have started making concessions to each other and negotiating a final exchange of interests.

The next thing to watch, then, is whether this so-called “final version” can actually secure enough crucial votes.
#Clarity #CLARITY法案2026成法概率升至30%

$龙虾 This dealer controlling the market is really impressive. The head warehouse had just been put in for a short while, and it immediately pulled a massive breakout pin to hit the shorts.


I just bought another round when it was up 20% and got in at the right time. This time, it should be able to drop, right?
#山寨币热点 #MEME

$ETH
Boring weekend is here again. Since there’s no market action to talk about, let’s discuss the Clear Act on the 15th.
#清晰法案

The final showdown is here—whether we raise rates tonight or not depends on this CPI punch! 👀

Earlier, the big non-farm payrolls came in hotter than expected, and the PPI has pushed inflation pressure back up. The market’s expectations for a rate hike in September have already clearly heated up. Now the last major variable is the CPI to be released tonight at 20:30.


But I feel like tonight it’s the familiar up-and-down bait-and-switch kind of market action.

#cpi #美联储何时降息？

This time, Huang Mao has basically come out and called the trade openly.

Because of the Iran war, the oil price has surged—it's possible it won't really cool down until after the midterm election. Honestly, at this point I also feel the odds for going short crude oil are getting increasingly attractive.


Also, after crude surged to $106.98 just now, it was instantly dumped back to around $102. On the 5-minute timeframe, a single extremely exaggerated high-volume long upper-wick has printed. From a technical perspective, this suggests there’s been very clear sell pressure around 106–107—at least a short-term reversal signal worth being cautious about.


Fundamentals: there’s the old Trump headline/guidance. Technicals: the market also printed a high-volume needle. My short position at 103.3 is already in.


The only thing that’s uncomfortable right now is that the funding rate is too expensive—it’s already hit -0.18%. Even if the direction is eventually correct, if you want to hold all the way through the midterm election, this funding will grind people down layer by layer.

#原油 #中东战争 #行情反转在即

Alright, I’m getting on the car. You can sell it off. The crude oil just put in a huge-volume spike, and this upswing can be considered over now.


This round of crude oil has risen from over 60 to where it is now—up more than 30%. It’s about time to have a decent pullback. I’m not betting on a full reversal; I just want to take about a 10% pullback and that’ll satisfy me.

Plus, the date of Trump’s midterm election is coming up soon. I don’t believe he’ll just sit back and do nothing. Anyway, if it rises again later, I’ll add more to my position. This time, I’m here for that big, juicy move.
#原油 #中期选举

$XAUT $XAG
Crude Oil Enters the Danger Zone; Gold and Silver Remain Bearish


Honestly, this move in crude oil has really started to enter an extreme range. $CL has already broken through $100; as shown in the chart, the high reached 101.27, with a daily gain of more than 6%. From the area of $80, this round is already up more than 20%.

The underlying reason is actually very simple: the ongoing conflict between the U.S. and Iran continues, while shipping risks through the Red Sea and the Strait of Hormuz have increased. The market keeps adding a war-risk premium to crude. Now the biggest issue isn’t whether oil can keep rising—it’s how long this price can hold.

My trading mindset has begun to shift from chasing breakouts to looking for the top. The $103–108 range is the key resistance zone I’m watching. The closer price gets to this area, the more inclined I am to wait for opportunities on the left side of the top and short in batches, rather than keep chasing longs. Of course, the trend is still strong. But when topping occurs on the left side, I need to control position sizing.

Why am I turning bearish on crude oil?

Because the higher oil prices go, the greater the pressure on U.S. gasoline and inflation—and the closer we get to the midterm election in November. Sustained high oil prices for too long isn’t something that would be comfortable for Trump. So I think October to November is very likely to become an important time window for both geopolitical developments and oil prices.

If the situation starts to ease and the war premium unwinds—then once crude oil tops, the logic for what comes next will be very clear:

Oil price pulls back → inflation pressure eases → U.S. Treasury yields fall → valuation pressure on U.S. equities declines → risk assets recover

As for gold and silver, my view is unchanged for now. After the one-way rally earlier, I’m more inclined to think we’ve already entered a high-range, choppy phase that’s still bearish. For gold in the short term, I’m watching the 4300–4500 range. The left-side buying zone I’m truly interested in is still 4000–4200.

So the more panic the market shows right now, the more I focus on the Q4 opportunities.

When crude oil truly tops—might be an important signal for when the next round of risk-asset rally begins to take shape.
#原油 #黄金 #霍尔木兹海峡

I knew you could stand up again!


A couple of days ago, Niu Lai just listed its coin on Binance’s spot market. In a single day, it directly got close to being cut in half. At the time, many people thought it was going to go to zero. But this storyline—no matter how I look at it—it seems way too similar to the earlier Binance-life plot.


Back then, Binance-life also went through a round of sharp sell-offs right after moving onto spot, followed by a long period of sideways consolidation. All over the market, people were shouting that it would go to zero. So what happened? After that, it surged all the way from around 0.038 to the all-time high of 0.894—an upside of more than 23x from the low to the high.

It’s almost been a year since Binance first launched Chinese Meme. This time, Niu Lai has also made its way from Alpha and futures all the way to spot—and the other entry points too, like wealth management, leverage, and flash swaps, have all been added as well.


So I’ve always felt that Niu Lai’s story won’t just end so abruptly after a spot listing—taking a hit in the market and calling it a day.

Of course, whether it can replicate Binance-life, I don’t know. When many people didn’t dare to hold, I wanted to hold on for a bit and see what happens. The brave enjoy the future—Niu Lai! 🐂🔥
#牛来 #币安人生 #MEME

The midterm elections are coming up soon, and that yellow-haired guy still hasn’t gone out of his way to calm public sentiment. Instead, he’s still busy fighting a war—so if the election doesn’t go his way, he’ll just be sent in, right?


Recently, oil prices have really been rising more and more crazily. Ever since I started shorting at around $84, crude oil has climbed all the way up. Today it has even broken through $100. The conflict between the U.S. and Iran continues to escalate, and the shipping risk in the Strait of Hormuz is getting higher and higher.


In the end, high oil prices aren’t only uncomfortable for traders. Americans will feel it too: gas, transportation, and the cost of living will all rise along with it. The midterm elections are coming up in November. As things stand, the one who should be most anxious about oil prices is Trump. But he himself says oil prices may not come down until after the midterm elections, and the war may also drag on until after the election.


Earlier there was another promise: win and then send Americans $5,000. But on the other side, oil prices have already taken off. And they’re saying the price will only go down after the midterm election—how is that possible? If you don’t knock the prices down first, who would vote for you?
#中期选举 #原油

Drug use, hiring prostitutes, sleeping with the boss’s wife, gambling and owing tens of millions in debt—now his life achievements add another item: a cryptocurrency scam endorsement—the Hunter, Biden


The coin he posted last night jumped to a market cap of over 300 billion in just a few minutes, then within those same minutes it crashed 98%. This looks like an accelerated version of a counterfeit coin—many counterfeit coins need months or even years to go to zero, but this one only takes a few minutes. Now the project’s official X account has already been banned!


Ordinary retail investors, even so-called KOLs, have basically all become targets of being harvested; tens of thousands of loss addresses

#MEME #山寨币杀跌 #亏损

It seems even those yellow-haired guys are getting impatient too. For the midterm elections, this time they’re starting to hand out money to solicit votes.


Just now, Trump directly said: If the Republican Party wins both the Senate and the House in the midterm elections, he will give every adult citizen of the United States $5,000, and he requires that the money must be spent within the U.S. They’ve even already named the program—"Trump’s dividend".


What does $5,000 mean? For one adult, it’s over 30,000 RMB. And if a family of four are all adults, that’s directly 20,000 USD.


When I saw this news, my first reaction wasn’t whether Americans can get the money—it was more like: if this money really gets handed out, won’t the market start trading and injecting liquidity again? 😂

After all, such a huge cash stimulus—once it truly takes effect—the total amount of funds involved could exceed $1 trillion. Of course, this is still just Trump’s campaign promise for now. There’s no clear plan yet on how to raise the money or how to pass it through Congress.
#TRUMP #中期选举

Last night, Biden came online for a few seconds and directly turned into hundreds of millions in market value—massive fluctuation. I guess a lot of people wanted to buy but couldn’t. The first batch that rushed in to “eat the crab” has appeared. So far, it looks like the guy who lost the most is him. Probably no more after that, right? 😂

What will happen with the coins that curious little Biden gave out—who would actually go buy them? I looked up the address, and the results really blew my mind


They basically just went all in—1.33 million. The buy-in average price is as high as 14.51 yuan (RMB). Now there’s only over ten thousand left in the wallet. An unrealized loss of 1.32 million, down 99.01% 😱


I honestly didn’t expect that this kind of newly launched Meme, with such insane volatility, would still have someone willing to rush in with more than a million


But thinking from another angle, maybe the more than one million we find so painful is, for them, basically like me losing just a few bucks... 🤔
#MEME #山寨币热点 #拜登儿子发币

Biden’s son made a killing with this round—how much have you contributed to the pool?


Last night, after the LAPTOP went live, it was really outrageous. Within just a few minutes of opening, the market cap had already reached several hundred billion dollars. The price peaked at nearly $500, and then it crashed straight down by more than 95%. Classic case: whoever runs the slowest ends up paying.


What’s even more ridiculous is that an on-chain PnL tool even calculated the related liquidity pool’s inflating “on-paper profits” into the tens of billions of dollars. Of course, this doesn’t mean Biden’s son truly made that much—mostly it’s because early liquidity was too thin, and the price was momentarily distorted.


The real gut-punch is that according to on-chain statistics, over 80% of the wallets that bought are currently at a loss, involving more than 11,500 wallets
#MEME #Laptop

Good thing—I almost got rich 🤑

A few days ago, when the bull was still at a low point, I went ahead and maxed out the leverage and made a move. Back then, once I got about a 100% gain, I was so pleased I happily ran. I even thought I was pretty decisive with taking profit.


But today I opened it again—oh wow, it went straight to spot trading 😭

The intraday high already hit 0.1465, while when I was trading, the low was only around 0.077. What’s even more painful is that if I hadn’t sold after doubling and instead kept the profit position, based on my leverage, at least I could still have eaten a few more times by now.


The most unbearable thing in the crypto world is never actually losing money, but—

you bought it, you profited from it, and you still sold at the exact wrong time. 😭

That said, leverage stories usually only end with whoever holds it to the end. What’s real is the money you can withdraw.


Almost got rich—next time for sure. 😂
#牛来 #现货

Tonight, the U.S. Department of the Treasury will release the specific details of the long-term U.S. Treasury bond buyback scale. I think this is something the crypto market should pay close attention to.


Why? Because one of the most important catalysts for this current mini bull run in the crypto market was the sudden announcement on August 19 by Bessent and the U.S. Treasury: the single-transaction buyback size for long-term U.S. Treasury bonds was raised from $2 billion to at least $4 billion.


After the news broke, yields on long-dated U.S. Treasuries fell, the U.S. dollar weakened, and the market began pricing in improving liquidity and a “currency depreciation trade.” BTC also rallied from above $60,000 to above $80,000 in the short term—gaining nearly 30%—and during that period, it also saw the liquidation of tens of billions of dollars in short positions.🔥


And tonight, we’ll be seeing another announcement regarding Treasury buybacks.

The Treasury has already confirmed it will repurchase at least $4 billion, but what the market is really concerned about right now is: in the end, how much will it actually buy?

At present, market expectations are roughly in the $5 billion to $6 billion range. If the final figure is clearly above expectations, it could reinforce the same logic that previously pushed BTC higher. But if it’s only around $4 billion, we also need to be careful: the market may have already priced in the expectations in advance, and the “good news” could turn into a realization event.

The last time Bessent signaled an expanded buyback, BTC surged from above $60,000 to $80,000.

Tonight, will we get another one?📈
#美债 #美国财政部

Biden’s son: drinking, gambling, prostitution, gambling, drugs—he’s got it all, and now he’s coming to the crypto圈 to launch a token too, preheating in advance

He owes $15 million and can’t pay it back, so now he’s also copying the Trump family and coming to the crypto圈 to make money

You can only say: one step off, and every step will be off

If he had launched it back at the beginning of last year, he could probably have made a few tens of millions; then he could keep living the spoiled life—using drugs, partying, and spending extravagantly

The Trump family has learned from the lessons of the Biden family: if there’s a right, why let it expire? While the old man is still in office, they can really rake in the money

Anyway, before stepping down, they can still get their family members a special pardon~ Trading officially starts on September 9. The CA is written in the description—are you guys going in?
#拜登 #MEME

Is this how Americans are turning the crypto market into a cash machine?

Trump has $TRUMP , and now Joe Biden’s son, Hunter Biden, is also stepping in personally to issue a coin


According to a report by The Wall Street Journal, Hunter plans to launch a Meme coin, $LAPTOP, on the Base chain on September 9, with a total supply of 1 billion coins. The name is taken directly from the infamous “Hunter Biden laptop” incident from back then. The founding team will take 30%, with 6 months locked, then gradually unlocked over two years.


The most entertaining part is the design that follows: there’s also a plan to allocate 20% of tokens for airdrops, including some investors who previously lost money on Trump’s $TRUMP . There’s even an event-driven burn mechanism—if the Democratic Party wins the 2028 presidential election, if BTC hits new highs, or if the FDV of $LAPTOP exceeds $TRUMP , some portion could be triggered for burning.
#TRUMP #迷因币