Within four days on Thursday, BTC continues to consolidate in a high-range sideways pattern, with the short-term structure slightly bearish. In the morning, it dips with momentum; BTC’s low briefly touched the 76,682 area. ETH is also under pressure, maintaining a synchronized pullback rhythm. From a technical perspective, price repeatedly tests the key support level, without any one-way breakdown. The market remains dominated by a choppy cycle, with range-trading and price “pinning” behavior.
During today’s session, enter long positions near the 76,800 support band. As expected, it rebounded in the afternoon, giving roughly 1,000 points of short-term upside. Meanwhile, Ethereum also positioned longs around 2,390, and the rebound provided about 40 points of room; the first target was successfully reached. After the afternoon rebound, however, the price again met resistance and slid lower. In the evening, BTC retraced to around 76,151, while ETH also dipped to near 2,355. The afternoon long positions that had been set up earlier did not fully play out as expected, but this second dip did not produce an effective continuation. Bearish momentum weakened. The low-level averaging-in long strategy was executed smoothly.
At present, market expectations for a Fed rate hike are heating up (probability once rose to around 68%, along with rising U.S. Treasury yields and a stronger U.S. dollar). Risk assets overall remain cautious—this is also one of the macro reasons why the crypto market stays pressured above and continues range-bound consolidation today. In the short term, the market should still be handled with a range-trading mindset, waiting for directional confirmation.
For BTC in the short term, watch the 76,000–76,500 support band and resistance near 78,000. For ETH, watch support at 2,350–2,360 and resistance above 2,400/2,430. In a range-bound structure, prioritize capturing the short-term rhythm between support and resistance levels, and strictly control position sizing and drawdowns.
$BTC $ETH #美联储加息概率升至68%
During today’s session, enter long positions near the 76,800 support band. As expected, it rebounded in the afternoon, giving roughly 1,000 points of short-term upside. Meanwhile, Ethereum also positioned longs around 2,390, and the rebound provided about 40 points of room; the first target was successfully reached. After the afternoon rebound, however, the price again met resistance and slid lower. In the evening, BTC retraced to around 76,151, while ETH also dipped to near 2,355. The afternoon long positions that had been set up earlier did not fully play out as expected, but this second dip did not produce an effective continuation. Bearish momentum weakened. The low-level averaging-in long strategy was executed smoothly.
At present, market expectations for a Fed rate hike are heating up (probability once rose to around 68%, along with rising U.S. Treasury yields and a stronger U.S. dollar). Risk assets overall remain cautious—this is also one of the macro reasons why the crypto market stays pressured above and continues range-bound consolidation today. In the short term, the market should still be handled with a range-trading mindset, waiting for directional confirmation.
For BTC in the short term, watch the 76,000–76,500 support band and resistance near 78,000. For ETH, watch support at 2,350–2,360 and resistance above 2,400/2,430. In a range-bound structure, prioritize capturing the short-term rhythm between support and resistance levels, and strictly control position sizing and drawdowns.
$BTC $ETH #美联储加息概率升至68%
