I thought today’s move formed a doji, which would mean a bottoming signal. But take a closer look—that’s not what’s happening.
The high was 81,273, the low was 78,121, and it closed at 78,641.
With only about 500 dollars left to the day’s low, this isn’t a doji—it’s like hanging on by a thread.
RSI is at 38; it hasn’t entered oversold yet. The bears haven’t finished pressing.
All the moving averages are capped above the price. MA5 is at 79,200, and MA20 has already dropped below 82,000. Even on the bounce, it can’t get up to MA5.
Bearish drift on low volume—turnover of 2.488 billion is even less than yesterday.
A falling market on low volume isn’t that selling is impossible; it’s that nobody dares to catch.
The low at 78,121 was stabbed three times during the day. Each time there were buy orders propping it up.
But those propping bids aren’t trying to bottom— they’re waiting to take profits and reduce positions on the rebound.
The key resistance to watch is 79,300. In today’s Asian-session bounce, the highest it reached was only to there, then it fizzled out.
The MACD dead cross hasn’t closed up. The green bars are still flattening—no reversal signal spotted.
ETH is weaker than BTC—falling with the market but not rising with it. The candle closed at 2,461, and even the day’s rebound has no momentum compared to BTC.
The only good thing on the BTC chart is that the RSI isn’t making new lows with price. There’s a faint hint of bearish divergence, but this volume can’t support any meaningful rebound.
SNDKB was the strongest today, up 6.1% to 1,517. With only 0.32 billion in volume, it pulled a coin like that—classic low-liquidity order book. Funds swept in; nobody trades against it.
My plan is simple: if it rebounds into the 79,200–79,300 range, I will short one unit. Stop-loss at 79,800. Targets: first 78,200; if it breaks, then I’ll look toward 76,500.
This is what I’m doing myself, not advice for you to follow.
Position size is 30%. If it can’t hold 79,800, I’ll immediately admit I’m wrong.
Tomorrow, the most worth watching is still 78,121. It held today, but it held in an ugly way.
If it truly breaks below this level, the move becomes an acceleration trend.
Holding up isn’t “strong.” Only when it pulls back to 79,300 can we call it strong.
There’s only one lesson the market taught today: don’t focus on candlestick patterns—watch the closing position.
#BTC #ETH #行情复盘 #币圈
The high was 81,273, the low was 78,121, and it closed at 78,641.
With only about 500 dollars left to the day’s low, this isn’t a doji—it’s like hanging on by a thread.
RSI is at 38; it hasn’t entered oversold yet. The bears haven’t finished pressing.
All the moving averages are capped above the price. MA5 is at 79,200, and MA20 has already dropped below 82,000. Even on the bounce, it can’t get up to MA5.
Bearish drift on low volume—turnover of 2.488 billion is even less than yesterday.
A falling market on low volume isn’t that selling is impossible; it’s that nobody dares to catch.
The low at 78,121 was stabbed three times during the day. Each time there were buy orders propping it up.
But those propping bids aren’t trying to bottom— they’re waiting to take profits and reduce positions on the rebound.
The key resistance to watch is 79,300. In today’s Asian-session bounce, the highest it reached was only to there, then it fizzled out.
The MACD dead cross hasn’t closed up. The green bars are still flattening—no reversal signal spotted.
ETH is weaker than BTC—falling with the market but not rising with it. The candle closed at 2,461, and even the day’s rebound has no momentum compared to BTC.
The only good thing on the BTC chart is that the RSI isn’t making new lows with price. There’s a faint hint of bearish divergence, but this volume can’t support any meaningful rebound.
SNDKB was the strongest today, up 6.1% to 1,517. With only 0.32 billion in volume, it pulled a coin like that—classic low-liquidity order book. Funds swept in; nobody trades against it.
My plan is simple: if it rebounds into the 79,200–79,300 range, I will short one unit. Stop-loss at 79,800. Targets: first 78,200; if it breaks, then I’ll look toward 76,500.
This is what I’m doing myself, not advice for you to follow.
Position size is 30%. If it can’t hold 79,800, I’ll immediately admit I’m wrong.
Tomorrow, the most worth watching is still 78,121. It held today, but it held in an ugly way.
If it truly breaks below this level, the move becomes an acceleration trend.
Holding up isn’t “strong.” Only when it pulls back to 79,300 can we call it strong.
There’s only one lesson the market taught today: don’t focus on candlestick patterns—watch the closing position.
#BTC #ETH #行情复盘 #币圈