btc

🟡 Bitcoin price wobbles ahead of Fed’s rate decision

Bitcoin (BTC) dipped as low as $59,500 on Binance ahead of tomorrow’s Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting. Market participants are bracing for a hawkish stance from the Federal Reserve (Fed), with expectations set for unchanged interest rates.

The CME FedWatch Tool indicates a mere 4.4% of economists predict a rate cut—the first in over a decade—while a dominant 95.6% anticipate rates to hold steady between 525-550 basis points.

According to The Kobeissi Letter, current market data indicates a 36% probability that there will be no interest rate cuts this year. Four months ago, the likelihood of maintaining current rates was only about 3%.

Expectations have also shifted to just one reduction this year. Previously, the market anticipated six rate cuts. Additionally, the probability of experiencing two or more rate cuts has diminished to 31%.

🔺 Stagflation risk

Amidst this financial climate, the US grapples with stagflation risks as inflation persists and economic growth slows.

The first quarter of 2024 saw GDP growth decelerate to 1.6%, falling short of the 2.2% forecast and down from the previous quarter’s 3.4%. Concurrently, the US Core PCE inflation index climbed from 2.0% to 3.7%.

Fed Chair Jerome Powell stated that recent data does not make the Fed more confident, suggesting a longer timeline to regain economic stability. He expressed belief in the adequacy of current policies to navigate the risks at hand, hinting at sustained high-interest rates without increases.

Bitcoin’s trajectory mirrored these economic uncertainties, dropping below $62,000 earlier in the week due to renewed stagflation worries.

A brief rally above $64,000 occurred with the launch of spot Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs in Hong Kong yesterday, but the momentum was short-lived as investor caution set in ahead of the Fed’s key decision.

$BTC #BTC #Bitcoin

$BTC IS FOLLOWING THE SAME CYCLE AGAIN

Look at what happened after every major ATH

The old ATH eventually became the KEY SUPPORT during the next bear market

2018 ATH -> 2019 bottom
2021 ATH -> 2022 bottom

And now the same structure is forming again

The 2025 ATH is being RETESTED FROM ABOVE

If history repeats, this is where the next major accumulation phase begins - not the end of Bitcoin

My cycle target remains $200K+ before the next major top

#BTC $BTC

🟠 Strategy sells 1,690 bitcoin, raises $653 million from MSTR shares

Bitcoin treasury firm Strategy (MSTR) had raised $108.6 million last week through the sale of 1,690 bitcoin and an additional $653.1 million from the sale of 6.59 million shares of common stock, according to a Monday filing.

The company used the bitcoin sale proceeds to repurchase 1,152,020 shares of its variable-rate preferred stock, STRC, for $108.6 million.

The bitcoin sales reduced Strategy’s holdings to 840,447 BTC, acquired for $63.36 billion at an average price of $75,385. The 1,690 bitcoin were sold at an average price of $64,262, net of fees and expenses.

Strategy directed $650 million of the proceeds from its common-stock sales to its USD reserve, lifting the balance to $4.65 billion as of Aug. 9. The remaining $3.1 million was added to the company’s cash balance.

Following the latest transactions, Strategy has $785.2 million remaining under its preferred-stock repurchase program and $1 billion available under its MSTR common-stock repurchase program.

MSTR and STRC are both up 0.5% in Monday pre-market trading, with bitcoin changing hands near $65,000.

#BTC | #Bitcoin | $BTC | #Strategy

Strategy is still selling its $BTC holdings. They sold another 1,690 BTC, worth around $108.6M, last week.
That brings its total #BTC sales over the past 6 weeks to 6,916 BTC, worth roughly $429.35M.
That's a pretty significant amount of BTC moved off the balance sheet in a relatively short period. The big question now is whether #strategy keeps selling or pauses here.

Dear Binancians ♥️ ♥️ 𝐬𝐭𝐨𝐩…. 𝐬𝐭𝐨𝐩…. 𝐬𝐭𝐨𝐩 scrolling guys ❗❗ Read this before it’s too late…Give me just 5 minutes..... I wanna share meh #BTC analysis with you....

$BTC Is Testing a Crucial Support Next Recovery Could Be Big....

$BTC is trading around $65K after another major correction, with price attempting to stabilize above the recent lows.

If buyers regain momentum, the first key recovery zone sits around $72K–$82K, followed by the major $90K–$93K resistance.

A breakout above $93K could shift the structure strongly bullish again, opening the path toward $110K–$125K. However, losing the current structure could expose the larger support near $50K.

H100 just made another massive $BTC buy. H100 has picked up 2,455.37 BTC for roughly $154.44M, with an average purchase price of around $62,900.
That brings its total holdings to 3,506.4 #BTC , currently worth about $228.4M. The overall average entry is now around $78,399 per BTC, so this latest purchase looks like a pretty aggressive attempt to bring down the cost basis.
A $154M buy at these levels is definitely a serious vote of confidence in BTC.

⚡ $BTC WEEK AHEAD: CPI + PPI DATA SETS THE FOMC FUSE — HERE'S THE TRADE 🔥

📊 The macro calendar drops a bomb this week — and $BTC is the firing line. CPI on the 12th and PPI on the 13th are the heavy hitters that will set the tone for September's FOMC meeting. A hotter print cranks up rate hike odds and squeezes liquidity straight out of risk assets. A cooler print flips the script, killing the hike narrative and lighting a fuse under the bulls. 🐂

💡 Smart money is already positioning for this volatility — the kind of chop before a catalyst that separates the prepared from the exposed. 📌 Watch the 11th for ADP as a warm-up, and don't sleep on the 14th's retail sales for the final confirmation signal.

💬 Are you betting on the inflation cool-down or bracing for a hot print that rattles the market? 👇

⚠️ Not financial advice. Always manage your risk. 🛡️

🏷️ #BTC #CPI #FOMC #MacroWatch #Crypto

📊 🎯

Finally, guys! Our $BTC trade played out perfectly, exactly as expected.

I clearly told you that I was opening a short position on $BTC , and I reminded you again afterward. Now look at the result — our trade moved perfectly in our direction and hit the target.

Did you follow this trade with me? Who printed money from this #BTC move???

If by 7:30 to 8:00 at night the trend is still this lousy, I’ll post a short-trading strategy. Wait for my signal, and then just blindly execute the order.

Bitcoin has tried to break through 65,500 three times in a row but still hasn’t managed to get above it. There really isn’t much time left for BTC. Otherwise, it’ll be a third attempt at a bottoming out. #BTC

$BTC is currently testing the resistance area and the next move could be important.
If #BTC breaks and holds above this level, we could see the bullish trend continue. A strong daily close above $66,000 would give more confirmation of the breakout.

For now, I’m watching the reaction closely. If resistance holds, we could see another pullback before the next attempt.

#TradingTips" #bitcoin

🐻 $BTC MEETS THE WALL THAT ENDED EVERY BULL RUN SINCE 2017 — AND IT'S REJECTING AGAIN 📉

📊 The 200-week moving average has been the ultimate line in the sand for Bitcoin since the last two cycles. Every time price has touched this trendline from above, the music stopped. Now we're watching history attempt a third encore.

👁️ The current rejection isn't just a technical blip — it's a psychological battleground where late-cycle buyers meet the smart money that's been distributing into strength. Volume dynamics on this rejection will tell us if this is a shakeout or the opening act of a deeper unwind.

🔍 The echo of 2018 and 2021 is deafening. Both times, sellers defended this level with brutal efficiency, and both times, the market bled for months after. The question isn't whether resistance is real — it's whether buyers have the ammunition to flip it.

💬 Are you fading this rejection or waiting for a weekly close above the 200-week MA before trusting the bull case again? 👇

⚠️ Not financial advice. Always manage your risk. 🛡️

🏷️ #BTC #BearishSetup #200WMA #Bitcoin #MarketCycle

🩸 🔻

$BTC WAR PREMIUM COOLS AS TRUMP SHIFTS IRAN TACTICS TO ECONOMIC PRESSURE ⚡

De-escalation is hitting the tape and BTC is starting to price out that geopolitical risk premium. Trump choosing economic leverage over missiles takes the sharpest edge off the war trade, but the Strait of Hormuz standoff is still a live wire. 🦈

Every headline out of the Gulf is still yanking oil, gold, and crypto around. This is headline-sniffing mode — one aggressive statement and risk sentiment flips in a heartbeat. Smart money watches these news flows like a hawk, positioning before the crowd reacts. 📊

The question is whether this softens into a genuine risk-on rotation or just a pause before the next headline shocks the market. 💬 Are you treating this as a green light to add exposure, or keeping powder dry until Hormuz clears? 👇

⚠️ Not financial advice. Always manage your risk. 🛡️

🏷️ #BTC #Bitcoin #Geopolitics #Macro #Crypto

🦈 ⚡

PETER SCHIFF SAYS DUMP $BTC NOW — THE FAD IS ABOUT TO GET LOUD 🔴

📉 The gold bug who's been calling Bitcoin crashes since $100 just told investors to sell. Schiff's warning is classic permabear theatre — but here's the twist: every time he screams "dump," the market loves to prove him wrong. That's not a reason to buy, it's a reason to watch closer. 🔍

Volatility is building like a storm front. Smart money doesn't panic — it positions. While headlines push retail into fear, the order books are the real story. 💡 Watch for a liquidity sweep on both sides before the next real move prints. 📊

💬 When a famous bear screams sell, do you fade him or follow him into the chop? 👇

⚠️ Not financial advice. Always manage your risk. 🛡️

🏷️ #BTC #Bitcoin #Volatility #Crypto #MarketWarning

🐻 🔴

**$BTC Weekend Outlook: Liquidity Hunt or Continuation?** 📉📈

We’re heading into the weekend, and the chart is screaming for a setup. After the recent consolidation, the market is coiled, and the big players are positioning for the next move.

Here is the technical landscape:

📍 **The Bear Case:** We’ve seen a minor deviation above the local high, followed by a swift rejection. If we fail to reclaim the $68.5k level, expect a sweep of the lows below $66k to fill that lingering FVG. Market makers love to hunt retail stops before the Sunday volatility spike.

📍 **The Bull Case:** If we hold the current Order Block at $67.2k and flip the midpoint of the recent range, we’re looking at a direct squeeze toward the $70k liquidity pool. The RSI is cooling off, suggesting there’s still gas left in the tank for a weekend breakout.

**My take:** I’m leaning towards a Friday sweep of the lows followed by a V-shaped recovery to trap late bears. Keep your eyes on the funding rates – they’re starting to reset, which usually signals a clean move is imminent.

**What’s your bias for $BTC ? Are we nuking or mooning?**

👇 Vote below and drop your entry targets in the comments. Let’s hunt these setups.

#Bitcoin #TradingStrategy #CryptoAnalysis #BTC

🔴 $BTC SHORT JUST NAILED ITS TARGET — DID YOU RIDE THE LIQUIDITY SWEEP? 💰

📉 The short played out exactly as the order flow dictated. Price swept the liquidity resting above the highs, met the supply zone, and rotated back into the imbalance below. 📊 That wasn't luck — that was structural reading, plain and simple.

💡 Anyone who watched the tape saw aggressive seller absorption at the top, followed by a failed reclaim. Once that lower high confirmed, the path of least resistance was always down. 📌 The target was never a guess — it was the next inefficiency waiting to be filled.

💬 Did you catch this move with me, or were you still leaning against the tape from the long side? 👇

⚠️ Not financial advice. Always manage your risk. 🛡️

🏷️ #BTC #ShortSetup #Crypto #Bearish #Trading

🔴 🦈

💥 $BTC SWEPT THE DEEP LIQUIDITY AND NOW THE BULLS ARE COUNTERATTACKING! 🚨

Entry: 64,500 ⚡
Target: 65,328 🎯

🌊 That dip under $64,500 wasn't a breakdown — it was a trap. The market vacuumed up resting sell-side liquidity and flipped the script, and price is already snapping back with conviction. 📊 This is the classic lower-liquidity grab that seasoned traders watch for: the sweep, the reclaim, the acceleration.

⚡ Now the immediate battlefield is the $65,328 resistance wall. If buyers close above it with volume, the path opens for a fast continuation. 🔍 The momentum is fresh, the sellers got caught leaning the wrong way, and the bounces are getting sharper on every touch. 💬 Are you riding this reclaim or waiting for a clean break of the line before committing? 👇

⚠️ Not financial advice. Always manage your risk. 🛡️

🏷️ #BTC #LiquiditySweep #Momentum #Crypto

🔥 ⚡

🚨 $BTC BOUNCES OFF THE 200 WEEKLY MA — THE TREND REVERSAL SIGNAL THAT BUILT BULL MARKETS 📈

📊 The 200-week moving average isn't just a line on a chart—it's the battleground where bear markets die and bull cycles are born. $BTC just kissed that sacred demand zone and rejected it with force, echoing the exact fractal that preceded the 2020 and 2023 explosions. 💡 This is the kind of technical event that flips market psychology from fear to greed in a single weekly close.

⚡ When Bitcoin reclaims this level, capital rotation historically follows, dragging altcoins like $TST , $HOME , and $GUA into the spotlight. The macro picture is aligning, and the sellers are running out of ammunition at the most critical support on the timeframes. 📌 The question isn't whether this is a dip-buying zone—it's whether you're positioned before the crowd catches on.

💬 Are you loading up your bags here, or waiting for a confirmation close above this zone before pulling the trigger? 👇

⚠️ Not financial advice. Always manage your risk. 🛡️

🏷️ #BTC #TrendReversal #WeeklyMA #Crypto #BullMarket

🐂 🌕

🚨 $BTC BOUNCES OFF 200W MA — TREND REVERSAL CONFIRMED? 📈

📊 The 200 weekly moving average has historically been the line in the sand for Bitcoin's macro trend. Every major bull run since 2015 has originated from this exact zone — and we're seeing buyers step in with conviction again. 🦈

💡 This isn't a random bounce. The weekly candle shows a textbook liquidity sweep below the MA followed by an aggressive reclaim — classic smart money accumulation. 📌 With sentiment shifting positive, the path of least resistance points higher. 🔍

💬 Are you treating this as the macro bottom, or waiting for a higher low to confirm? 👇

⚠️ Not financial advice. Always manage your risk. 🛡️

🏷️ #BTC #Bitcoin #TrendReversal #BuySignal #Crypto

🐂 🌕

🦈 $BTC BURIED UNDER MICROSTRATEGY'S 5B SUPPLY DUMP! 🔴

📉 The order books are drowning in a relentless 5-billion-dollar wall of institutional supply. This isn't a weekend shakeout; it's a deliberate distribution event that has snapped every major structural support like dry twigs. Buyers are stepping up, but they're getting their bids filled instantly and left holding bags.

💣 Longs are running out of oxygen. Every bounce is sold straight back into the ask, typical of a whale throwing size without mercy. The path of least resistance is clearly lower, and the only safe harbor right now is the stablecoin side of the deck. 💰

🔍 Are you trying to catch this falling sword, or are you already parked in cash waiting for the liquidity sweep to finish? 💬

⚠️ Not financial advice. Always manage your risk. 🛡️

🏷️ #BTC #Bearish #WhaleDump #Crypto #RiskOff

🐻 🩸

🔻 $BTC NAILS RESISTANCE AT 65,200 — BEARISH REVERSAL IN PLAY!

Entry: 64,200–64,500 ⚡
Target: 63,900 / 63,500 / 63,000 🚀
Stop Loss: 64,850 ⚠️

The violent rejection at 65,200–65,300 is a classic liquidity trap — late longs got swept into the pool, then price dumped straight back into the seller's zone. 📉 The 4H bearish order block remains unbroken, and the lower-high structure is intact. 🔍

Volume is already thinning on this retest, a tell that institutions aren't defending this range. The break below 64,500 should flush weak-handed stops toward the 63,900 first target, with momentum accelerating into the downside. 💡 I'm watching for a clean displacement candle to confirm the shift before committing full size. ⚡

💬 Do you expect a full flush to 63,000, or will the bears get squeezed on a relief bounce first? 👇

⚠️ Not financial advice. Always manage your risk. 🛡️

🏷️ #BTC #ShortSetup #BearishRejection #TradingSignal #Crypto

🐻 📉

$BTC 4-Year History ‼️

This is honestly unbelievable.

According to this pattern, Bitcoin has delivered strong gains every 4 years.

In 2017, we saw the biggest bull run in history #BTC pumped around 3500%.

In 2021, the same legacy continued with a roughly 750% pump.

In 2024, we again got a solid move of almost 175%.

But after that it has collapsed and we’re seeing a big drop. These kinds of dumps are completely normal. If you look at the bigger chart, we can still see a new all-time high by 2029.

The main question is: what will that top be?

Can it really reach $1 million per BTC?

$BTC