$XRP is bleeding through its 4H structure — and that RSI at 26.89 isn’t a discount, it’s a warning.
Price closed below the EMA7 and EMA25 on the 4H, and that bearish fair value gap around 1.45–1.46 still hasn’t been filled. That gap is acting like a ceiling now, not a target. The volume profile’s point of control sits higher near 1.49, meaning the heaviest traded zone is above current price — sellers are defending it.
Funding is negative, yet price keeps dropping. The long/short ratio is heavily skewed long, so the market may be over-leveraged on the wrong side. If forced unwinding kicks in, the downside opens up fast.
The level I’m watching most closely on the 4H is the ~1.41 pivot area. If
$XRP loses that zone on a 4H close, the next liquidity pocket sits around 1.34 — that’s where I’d expect a real reaction, not a bounce.
Invalidation is clean: a 4H close back above ~1.46 flips this read. Until then, every pop into the 1.42–1.43 zone looks like distribution, not accumulation.
My read: the 4H chart is leaning bearish — bounce attempts are weak, and RSI this low without a strong reversal candle suggests momentum hasn’t finished resetting. The risk isn’t chasing the drop; it’s assuming oversold means done.
Tap
$XRP to pull up the chart and check these zones yourself.
Follow me for the updated read if that 1.41 pivot breaks or holds — I’ll be watching the 4H close closely.
What level are you watching most on XRP right now? 👇
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⚠️ Not financial advice. DYOR.