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The Great Leveraged Gamble: Big Money Buys The Dip, But Is The Bottom In?
While #Bitcoin tests lower levels, a massive counter-trend bet is quietly building in the shadows.
📊 The Signal: Bitfinex margin long positions have just surged to ~77,100 BTC—a two-year high. Even more telling? This metric has exploded by +64% in the last 6 months alone.
This isn't just noise. It’s a clear sign that significant, risk-tolerant capital is aggressively using leverage to "buy the dip." For these players, the current downturn isn't a signal to exit, but a strategic window to accumulate.
⚠️ The Critical Context: History offers a crucial lesson. This metric often balloons during market stress, not necessarily at its end. While it shows conviction from one side of the market, it primarily tells us that:
1. Leveraged players see value at these prices.
2. The market may not yet have undergone its final deleveraging shakeout.
The Bottom Line: We're witnessing a high-stakes standoff. Powerful capital is betting on a rebound, but this very leverage could fuel more short-term volatility. It's a sign of opportunity and risk—not a definitive all-clear signal.
What’s your read? Is this smart money positioning for the next leg up, or are we seeing the buildup of fuel for one last volatility flush?
DYOR No Financial advice!
#Crypto #BTC #Trading #Bitfinex
$BTC
While #Bitcoin tests lower levels, a massive counter-trend bet is quietly building in the shadows.
📊 The Signal: Bitfinex margin long positions have just surged to ~77,100 BTC—a two-year high. Even more telling? This metric has exploded by +64% in the last 6 months alone.
This isn't just noise. It’s a clear sign that significant, risk-tolerant capital is aggressively using leverage to "buy the dip." For these players, the current downturn isn't a signal to exit, but a strategic window to accumulate.
⚠️ The Critical Context: History offers a crucial lesson. This metric often balloons during market stress, not necessarily at its end. While it shows conviction from one side of the market, it primarily tells us that:
1. Leveraged players see value at these prices.
2. The market may not yet have undergone its final deleveraging shakeout.
The Bottom Line: We're witnessing a high-stakes standoff. Powerful capital is betting on a rebound, but this very leverage could fuel more short-term volatility. It's a sign of opportunity and risk—not a definitive all-clear signal.
What’s your read? Is this smart money positioning for the next leg up, or are we seeing the buildup of fuel for one last volatility flush?
DYOR No Financial advice!
#Crypto #BTC #Trading #Bitfinex
$BTC
Maximum fear in the market, and this is a signal to buy! Large transactions have started $BTC from exchanges, and $USDT to exchanges.
1,238 #BTC (83,131,133 USD) transferred from Coinbase Institutional to unknown new wallet
974 #BTC (64,628,458 USD) transferred from #Coinbase to unknown wallet
209,600,000 #USDT (209,508,824 USD) transferred from unknown wallet to #Bitfinex
In my opinion, it's time to start buying slowly.
#BinanceSquareFamily
1,238 #BTC (83,131,133 USD) transferred from Coinbase Institutional to unknown new wallet
974 #BTC (64,628,458 USD) transferred from #Coinbase to unknown wallet
209,600,000 #USDT (209,508,824 USD) transferred from unknown wallet to #Bitfinex
In my opinion, it's time to start buying slowly.
#BinanceSquareFamily
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HBARUSDT
Perp
Closed
PNL
+0.07USDT
⚡️#HeadofResearch #Galaxy : the current balance #BTC USA, available for use as a reserve, is a maximum of 88 thousand BTC, which is only 43% of the current government assets.
This is due to the fact that of ~198 thousand BTC currently held, 112 thousand BTC will be returned #Bitfinex .
$ETH $BNB $BTC
This is due to the fact that of ~198 thousand BTC currently held, 112 thousand BTC will be returned #Bitfinex .
$ETH $BNB $BTC
🔥 #ETHWhaleWatch | Are you playing with fire?
🧠 An anonymous wallet just moved 21,177 ETH to #Bitfinex
💸 That's over $90M USD floating in the air
🎭 Is it a dump disguised as accumulation? Or just a whale dance?
⚠️ When the sharks move, the market trembles.
📉 Are you ready for the next twist?
$ETH
follow me and I'll follow you🔥❤️🎉🎉❤️🎁🎁🎁
🧠 An anonymous wallet just moved 21,177 ETH to #Bitfinex
💸 That's over $90M USD floating in the air
🎭 Is it a dump disguised as accumulation? Or just a whale dance?
⚠️ When the sharks move, the market trembles.
📉 Are you ready for the next twist?
$ETH
follow me and I'll follow you🔥❤️🎉🎉❤️🎁🎁🎁
📢 JUST IN: A Historic Moment for Crypto Justice! 🇺🇸
The U.S. Government is set to return 120,000 seized Bitcoin (worth $11.87B) from the infamous Bitfinex hack to its rightful owners! 💸
This monumental decision marks a significant step towards transparency and fairness in the crypto space. 🚀
Stay tuned for more updates on this groundbreaking development! 💡
#CryptoNews #bitcoin #BlockchainJustice #Bitfinex
$BTC
The U.S. Government is set to return 120,000 seized Bitcoin (worth $11.87B) from the infamous Bitfinex hack to its rightful owners! 💸
This monumental decision marks a significant step towards transparency and fairness in the crypto space. 🚀
Stay tuned for more updates on this groundbreaking development! 💡
#CryptoNews #bitcoin #BlockchainJustice #Bitfinex
$BTC
MARKET MOVING NEWS 🗞️ 🔥🔥📊🔔
🔔 MARKET MOVING NEWS! (16/01/25)
1️⃣ XRP Re-Enters Top 3 Cryptocurrencies, Overtakes Blackrock In Market Cap 🔼
Ripple-linked XRP’s recent price surge has helped it reclaim its position as the third-largest cryptocurrency by market cap. Notably, the price surge has pushed its market capitalisation past that of the asset manager BlackRock. At its current market cap of almost $160 million, it is now valued more than Tether’s USDT which slipped to fourth place with a market value of $137 billion.
#xpr #pumpiscoming
#BullRunAhead $XRP
2️⃣ DOJ Says $9 Billion in Bitcoin Stolen in 2016 Hack Should Be Returned to Bitfinex 'In-Kind' 🤔
In court documents filed Tuesday, the U.S. Department of Justice stated the $9 billion worth of BTC recovered from the 2016 hack of Bitfinex exchange by Ilya Lichtenstein and Heather Morgan should be returned to the platform as there are no "victims" in the case.
For context, Bitfinex had "generalised" the losses from the hack across all its customers and launched a repayment program that included reimbursing users with tokens that could be redeemed for U.S. dollars or for shares in the company. The platform states that it believes customers have been made whole in the process. The court filing states that this is the reason there is “no 'victim' for the specific offences of conviction in this proceeding."
#Bitfinex
3️⃣ Judge Orders BitMEX To Pay $100M Fine Over US Banking Law Violations 💰
Manhattan federal judge Judge John G. Koeltl has reportedly sentenced the parent company of crypto exchange BitMEX - HDR Global Trading Limited, to two years of unsupervised probation and a $100 million fine. Notably, the sentencing comes roughly six months after the crypto exchange pleaded guilty to violating the US Bank Secrecy Act (BSA) by operating without “any meaningful” Anti-Money Laundering (AML) program.
In a statement to its users after the judgment, BitMEX reiterated its claim that the BSA charge was “old news,” adding:
Whilst we are disappointed to learn of the imposition of an additional financial penalty, the amount is substantially less than what the Department of Justice have been pursuing us for over 3 years.
4️⃣ VanEck Files Prospectus For 'Onchain Economy' ETF ⚡️
Asset manager VanEck has reportedly submitted an application to the US Securities and Exchange Commission for a new exchange-traded fund called the Onchain Economy ETF. According to the prospectus filing with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, the fund will prioritise investments in digital asset-focused companies such as exchanges, crypto payment platforms and mining firms, in addition to virtual asset-focused investment vehicles like commodity futures contracts. Notably, it does not itself invest in digital assets or commodities.
5️⃣ Oklahoma Becomes Latest State to Consider Bitcoin Reserve Bill 💸
Oklahoma has reportedly become the latest state to formally consider establishing a strategic Bitcoin reserve. A new bill to establish the same was introduced to the Oklahoma House of Representatives on Jan. 15 by state Representative Cody Maynard. If approved in this upcoming session, the bill would allow state savings accounts and pension funds to invest in digital assets like BTC beginning in November. Specifically, the bill allows Oklahoma’s state treasurer to invest public funds in any digital asset that has averaged greater than a $500 billion market capitalization over the previous calendar year. Currently, only Bitcoin meets that requirement.
6️⃣ US Law Firm Seeks Legal Action Against Pump.Fun For Investors With Losses ‼️
#USGovernment
New York-based law firm Burwick has revealed plans to take legal action against Solana-based meme coin launchpad Pump.fun on behalf of investors that experienced losses on the platform. The law firm claimed that Pump.fun pocketed “hundreds of millions” in fees while illegal drug use, acts of self-harm, racism, antisemitism and other antisocial acts appeared on the platform.
Burwick wrote in its Wednesday X post,
1️⃣ XRP Re-Enters Top 3 Cryptocurrencies, Overtakes Blackrock In Market Cap 🔼
Ripple-linked XRP’s recent price surge has helped it reclaim its position as the third-largest cryptocurrency by market cap. Notably, the price surge has pushed its market capitalisation past that of the asset manager BlackRock. At its current market cap of almost $160 million, it is now valued more than Tether’s USDT which slipped to fourth place with a market value of $137 billion.
#xpr #pumpiscoming
#BullRunAhead $XRP
2️⃣ DOJ Says $9 Billion in Bitcoin Stolen in 2016 Hack Should Be Returned to Bitfinex 'In-Kind' 🤔
In court documents filed Tuesday, the U.S. Department of Justice stated the $9 billion worth of BTC recovered from the 2016 hack of Bitfinex exchange by Ilya Lichtenstein and Heather Morgan should be returned to the platform as there are no "victims" in the case.
For context, Bitfinex had "generalised" the losses from the hack across all its customers and launched a repayment program that included reimbursing users with tokens that could be redeemed for U.S. dollars or for shares in the company. The platform states that it believes customers have been made whole in the process. The court filing states that this is the reason there is “no 'victim' for the specific offences of conviction in this proceeding."
#Bitfinex
3️⃣ Judge Orders BitMEX To Pay $100M Fine Over US Banking Law Violations 💰
Manhattan federal judge Judge John G. Koeltl has reportedly sentenced the parent company of crypto exchange BitMEX - HDR Global Trading Limited, to two years of unsupervised probation and a $100 million fine. Notably, the sentencing comes roughly six months after the crypto exchange pleaded guilty to violating the US Bank Secrecy Act (BSA) by operating without “any meaningful” Anti-Money Laundering (AML) program.
In a statement to its users after the judgment, BitMEX reiterated its claim that the BSA charge was “old news,” adding:
Whilst we are disappointed to learn of the imposition of an additional financial penalty, the amount is substantially less than what the Department of Justice have been pursuing us for over 3 years.
4️⃣ VanEck Files Prospectus For 'Onchain Economy' ETF ⚡️
Asset manager VanEck has reportedly submitted an application to the US Securities and Exchange Commission for a new exchange-traded fund called the Onchain Economy ETF. According to the prospectus filing with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, the fund will prioritise investments in digital asset-focused companies such as exchanges, crypto payment platforms and mining firms, in addition to virtual asset-focused investment vehicles like commodity futures contracts. Notably, it does not itself invest in digital assets or commodities.
5️⃣ Oklahoma Becomes Latest State to Consider Bitcoin Reserve Bill 💸
Oklahoma has reportedly become the latest state to formally consider establishing a strategic Bitcoin reserve. A new bill to establish the same was introduced to the Oklahoma House of Representatives on Jan. 15 by state Representative Cody Maynard. If approved in this upcoming session, the bill would allow state savings accounts and pension funds to invest in digital assets like BTC beginning in November. Specifically, the bill allows Oklahoma’s state treasurer to invest public funds in any digital asset that has averaged greater than a $500 billion market capitalization over the previous calendar year. Currently, only Bitcoin meets that requirement.
6️⃣ US Law Firm Seeks Legal Action Against Pump.Fun For Investors With Losses ‼️
#USGovernment
New York-based law firm Burwick has revealed plans to take legal action against Solana-based meme coin launchpad Pump.fun on behalf of investors that experienced losses on the platform. The law firm claimed that Pump.fun pocketed “hundreds of millions” in fees while illegal drug use, acts of self-harm, racism, antisemitism and other antisocial acts appeared on the platform.
Burwick wrote in its Wednesday X post,
🚨 Massive USDT Transfer: What’s Behind the $100M Move? 🚨
A staggering 100,000,000 USDT ($100.1 million) has just been transferred from Tether Treasury to #Bitfinex, raising eyebrows across the crypto market! 🔥
What Could This Mean?
Whale Activity? Such a large transfer may point to significant trades or institutional interest, hinting at upcoming market movements.$SOL
Liquidity Shift? This could suggest that Bitfinex is positioning itself for potential volatility or preparing for major transactions.
Market Repercussions? This transfer could have implications for USDT and other assets tied to it, potentially affecting their price dynamics.$XRP
With transfers of this magnitude, it’s crucial to stay vigilant. Major shifts in funds often precede significant market actions. 🚀$BNB
#Tether #USDT #Bitfinex #CryptoNews #Stablecoins #CryptoMarkets
A staggering 100,000,000 USDT ($100.1 million) has just been transferred from Tether Treasury to #Bitfinex, raising eyebrows across the crypto market! 🔥
What Could This Mean?
Whale Activity? Such a large transfer may point to significant trades or institutional interest, hinting at upcoming market movements.$SOL
Liquidity Shift? This could suggest that Bitfinex is positioning itself for potential volatility or preparing for major transactions.
Market Repercussions? This transfer could have implications for USDT and other assets tied to it, potentially affecting their price dynamics.$XRP
With transfers of this magnitude, it’s crucial to stay vigilant. Major shifts in funds often precede significant market actions. 🚀$BNB
#Tether #USDT #Bitfinex #CryptoNews #Stablecoins #CryptoMarkets
𝗝𝗮𝗻𝘂𝗮𝗿𝘆 𝟱, 𝟮𝟬𝟮𝟱
JUST IN : Coinbase💰 gains key license to offer derivatives in Europe through acquisition of Bux’s Cyprus unit.
JUST IN : Crypto wallet #Phantom confirms it won’t launch a token amid airdrop rumors
Rumors came after Phantom announced a new social discovery feature, where some speculated users would earn tokens by gaining followers.
JUST IN : Skybridge Capital founder anticipates US government expanding #Bitcoin 💰 holdings to 500,000 BTC, with Federal Reserve as potential obstacle.
JUST IN : 100,000,000 #USDT 💰 (100,000,249 USD) transferred from Tether Treasury to #Bitfinex .
JUST IN : Coinbase💰 gains key license to offer derivatives in Europe through acquisition of Bux’s Cyprus unit.
JUST IN : Crypto wallet #Phantom confirms it won’t launch a token amid airdrop rumors
Rumors came after Phantom announced a new social discovery feature, where some speculated users would earn tokens by gaining followers.
JUST IN : Skybridge Capital founder anticipates US government expanding #Bitcoin 💰 holdings to 500,000 BTC, with Federal Reserve as potential obstacle.
JUST IN : 100,000,000 #USDT 💰 (100,000,249 USD) transferred from Tether Treasury to #Bitfinex .
#Binance
WARNING: Is this real life or a Bitcoin high dream!📝📊📄📈😎🤔
Cantor Fitzgerald, Amarração & #Bitfinex are joining forces to launch a multimillion-dollar project #Bitcoin fund, says the Financial Times! They are not buying dips... they are buying billions! Still pessimistic? Good luck. #Ethereum
$BTC
$ETH
WARNING: Is this real life or a Bitcoin high dream!📝📊📄📈😎🤔
Cantor Fitzgerald, Amarração & #Bitfinex are joining forces to launch a multimillion-dollar project #Bitcoin fund, says the Financial Times! They are not buying dips... they are buying billions! Still pessimistic? Good luck. #Ethereum
$BTC
$ETH
🚀 Toncoin Eyes a Comeback as Bitfinex Unveils Tokenized Gold on TON
Toncoin is showing signs of recovery 📈, with bulls aiming to reclaim the 50-period EMA on the 4-hour chart. This uptick follows Tuesday’s big news: Bitfinex has officially launched tokenized gold on The Open Network (TON) 🪙.
Bitfinex, one of the top 15 global crypto exchanges by daily volume, rolled out XAUT0—a gold-backed digital asset powered by TON. The move is expected to boost access to gold through a high-performance and secure blockchain 🔐⚡.
Users can now deposit and withdraw XAUT0 via TON’s network, which was chosen for its fast, low-cost, and scalable infrastructure. Bitfinex also enables seamless 1:1 conversions between XAUT0 and XAUT through its built-in Currency Conversion tool 🔄🏅.
While the token adds flexibility for users looking to manage or transfer digital assets, it’s worth noting that XAUT0 is not issued or redeemed by USDT—an important detail for investors ⚠️.
Real-world asset (RWA) tokenization is gaining momentum, with platforms like XRP Ledger, Solana, and Ondo Finance leading the charge. TON’s new gold asset adds it to the list of networks bridging crypto and traditional finance 🌉🏦.
Toncoin, meanwhile, bounced off support at $2.72 and is trading around $2.81. A move past the 200-period EMA at $2.91 could open the door to a push toward $3.00 🚀. Key support remains at $2.72 and $2.60.
📊 Keep an eye on price action—momentum could be building.
#Toncoin #TON #Bitfinex #CryptoNews #TokenizedGold #XAUT0 #Blockchain #CryptoUpdate #RWATokenization #DeFi #DigitalAssets #CryptoMarket #GoldOnBlockchain #CryptoTrading #Web3 #TONCommunity
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$TON
$SOL
$XRP
Toncoin is showing signs of recovery 📈, with bulls aiming to reclaim the 50-period EMA on the 4-hour chart. This uptick follows Tuesday’s big news: Bitfinex has officially launched tokenized gold on The Open Network (TON) 🪙.
Bitfinex, one of the top 15 global crypto exchanges by daily volume, rolled out XAUT0—a gold-backed digital asset powered by TON. The move is expected to boost access to gold through a high-performance and secure blockchain 🔐⚡.
Users can now deposit and withdraw XAUT0 via TON’s network, which was chosen for its fast, low-cost, and scalable infrastructure. Bitfinex also enables seamless 1:1 conversions between XAUT0 and XAUT through its built-in Currency Conversion tool 🔄🏅.
While the token adds flexibility for users looking to manage or transfer digital assets, it’s worth noting that XAUT0 is not issued or redeemed by USDT—an important detail for investors ⚠️.
Real-world asset (RWA) tokenization is gaining momentum, with platforms like XRP Ledger, Solana, and Ondo Finance leading the charge. TON’s new gold asset adds it to the list of networks bridging crypto and traditional finance 🌉🏦.
Toncoin, meanwhile, bounced off support at $2.72 and is trading around $2.81. A move past the 200-period EMA at $2.91 could open the door to a push toward $3.00 🚀. Key support remains at $2.72 and $2.60.
📊 Keep an eye on price action—momentum could be building.
#Toncoin #TON #Bitfinex #CryptoNews #TokenizedGold #XAUT0 #Blockchain #CryptoUpdate #RWATokenization #DeFi #DigitalAssets #CryptoMarket #GoldOnBlockchain #CryptoTrading #Web3 #TONCommunity
---
$TON
$SOL
$XRP
"$200M USDT Hits Bitfinex! Is a Massive Crypto Pump Incoming? 🚀🔥"
🔥 Massive $USDC T Inflow – Is a Market Pump Coming? 🔥
A whopping $200 million USDT just landed on Bitfinex, and this could be the spark for a major crypto rally! Such large stablecoin transfers often mean whales are getting ready to buy, potentially pushing Bitcoin and altcoins sky-high. If Bitcoin breaks key resistance levels, expect a wave of FOMO buying, driving prices up fast. Traders, this is your moment!
What Should You Do?
✅ Watch BTC closely – If it starts surging, altcoins will follow.
✅ Look for breakout levels – BTC above $45K-$47K could trigger a strong uptrend.
✅ Altcoins like $PEPE , $SOL , and ETH could skyrocket as liquidity flows in.
✅ Be cautious – Fake pumps happen. Confirm momentum before diving in.
💯 Prediction: If this USDT inflow translates into aggressive buying, we could see Bitcoin testing $50K+ soon and altcoins exploding 🚀. However, if the market fails to react, this might be a liquidity trap. Stay alert and trade smart! 📈🔥
#CryptoPump 🚀 #BitcoinRally 🔥 #USDTFlow 💰 #AltcoinSeason 📈 #Bitfinex #BTC #CryptoMarket
A whopping $200 million USDT just landed on Bitfinex, and this could be the spark for a major crypto rally! Such large stablecoin transfers often mean whales are getting ready to buy, potentially pushing Bitcoin and altcoins sky-high. If Bitcoin breaks key resistance levels, expect a wave of FOMO buying, driving prices up fast. Traders, this is your moment!
What Should You Do?
✅ Watch BTC closely – If it starts surging, altcoins will follow.
✅ Look for breakout levels – BTC above $45K-$47K could trigger a strong uptrend.
✅ Altcoins like $PEPE , $SOL , and ETH could skyrocket as liquidity flows in.
✅ Be cautious – Fake pumps happen. Confirm momentum before diving in.
💯 Prediction: If this USDT inflow translates into aggressive buying, we could see Bitcoin testing $50K+ soon and altcoins exploding 🚀. However, if the market fails to react, this might be a liquidity trap. Stay alert and trade smart! 📈🔥
#CryptoPump 🚀 #BitcoinRally 🔥 #USDTFlow 💰 #AltcoinSeason 📈 #Bitfinex #BTC #CryptoMarket
#bitcoin 's November run looks like it's getting skipped this year. #Bitfinex says prices are staying flat since the #financial climate's getting looser.
Key Takeaways
Bitcoin’s typical November gains may not happen this year, as analysts expect prices to move sideways due to economic uncertainty
Mixed messages from the Federal Reserve have clouded expectations of rate cuts, a factor that usually supports crypto markets
Some long-term Bitcoin holders are starting to sell, and confidence may weaken further if prices stay below $116,000.
"Disclaimer _ Source: Binance News / Coinmarketcap / #BitDegree / Coindesk / Cointelegraph / Decrypt & do support by follow, like, comment, share, repost to reach maximum audience, more such informative content ahead"
$BTC
Key Takeaways
Bitcoin’s typical November gains may not happen this year, as analysts expect prices to move sideways due to economic uncertainty
Mixed messages from the Federal Reserve have clouded expectations of rate cuts, a factor that usually supports crypto markets
Some long-term Bitcoin holders are starting to sell, and confidence may weaken further if prices stay below $116,000.
"Disclaimer _ Source: Binance News / Coinmarketcap / #BitDegree / Coindesk / Cointelegraph / Decrypt & do support by follow, like, comment, share, repost to reach maximum audience, more such informative content ahead"
$BTC
Bitfinex Alpha Report: Bitcoin Nearing Cycle Bottom, Potential for Rebound
The recent volatile price action in the Bitcoin market has sparked widespread discussion about whether it has reached a temporary bottom.
According to a recent analysis report from Bitfinex Alpha, several early indicators suggest that Bitcoin may be very close to the price low of this cycle.
The report points out that one key signal of a market bottom is the process of extreme deleveraging. Since the market crash on October 10th, which resulted in the liquidation of over $19 billion in leveraged positions, a large number of speculators and leveraged traders have been forced out of the market.
This large-scale risk clearing typically lays the foundation for a more stable and healthier market trend.
Another important bottom signal is the exhaustion of panic selling by short-term holders. The report shows that Bitcoin Adjusted SOPR (aSOPR) has seen losses decrease to $400 million, reaching the threshold of previous lows.
Analysts believe that this phenomenon usually indicates that the "capitulation selling" by retail investors and short-term speculators is nearing its end. As this emotional selling pressure dissipates, the market price is expected to stabilize. Furthermore, a series of small-amplitude candlestick patterns have appeared on the technical charts, which is seen as a sign of weakening selling pressure and indicates that market panic is subsiding.
Meanwhile, institutional investors' long-term confidence remains unshaken, as evidenced by the significant inflows into the US Bitcoin spot ETF for five consecutive days.
In summary, although short-term price movements remain volatile, the easing of structural selling pressure, along with key "capitulation indicators" and the deleveraging process, suggests that this correction may have entered its later stages.
However, investors still need to pay attention to changes in the macroeconomic environment and whether new funds can continue to flow in to confirm whether the bottom formation is complete and the formal start of a new trend.
#Bitfinex #市场分析
The recent volatile price action in the Bitcoin market has sparked widespread discussion about whether it has reached a temporary bottom.
According to a recent analysis report from Bitfinex Alpha, several early indicators suggest that Bitcoin may be very close to the price low of this cycle.
The report points out that one key signal of a market bottom is the process of extreme deleveraging. Since the market crash on October 10th, which resulted in the liquidation of over $19 billion in leveraged positions, a large number of speculators and leveraged traders have been forced out of the market.
This large-scale risk clearing typically lays the foundation for a more stable and healthier market trend.
Another important bottom signal is the exhaustion of panic selling by short-term holders. The report shows that Bitcoin Adjusted SOPR (aSOPR) has seen losses decrease to $400 million, reaching the threshold of previous lows.
Analysts believe that this phenomenon usually indicates that the "capitulation selling" by retail investors and short-term speculators is nearing its end. As this emotional selling pressure dissipates, the market price is expected to stabilize. Furthermore, a series of small-amplitude candlestick patterns have appeared on the technical charts, which is seen as a sign of weakening selling pressure and indicates that market panic is subsiding.
Meanwhile, institutional investors' long-term confidence remains unshaken, as evidenced by the significant inflows into the US Bitcoin spot ETF for five consecutive days.
In summary, although short-term price movements remain volatile, the easing of structural selling pressure, along with key "capitulation indicators" and the deleveraging process, suggests that this correction may have entered its later stages.
However, investors still need to pay attention to changes in the macroeconomic environment and whether new funds can continue to flow in to confirm whether the bottom formation is complete and the formal start of a new trend.
#Bitfinex #市场分析
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