#btc Community Insights & Market Sentiment

【 From 82300 to 77300! BTC’s correction has only just begun—next stop 73000–75000?】

$BTC 77300, the market has finally started moving in the direction we expected, but we’re not yet at the truly comfortable position.

After BTC pushed up to 82300, we’ve consistently emphasized that resistance here is getting stronger: the daily top divergence has been confirmed, there have been multiple divergences on the 4-hour chart, and the different timeframes are pulling against each other. So the next correction is unlikely to be a straight drop all the way down【❤️ as shown in Figure 1】

Now BTC is around 77300. The short-term bearish momentum is already fairly clear, but there’s still room before we reach the 73000–75000 range we’re truly waiting for.

So what matters most right now is just two words: patience.

If it rises above 82000, don’t chase. If it drops, there’s no need to rush into bottom-picking. What we’re really waiting for is a pullback opportunity around 73000–75000—this is also near the Fibonacci 0.618 level.【❤️ as shown in Figure 2】

And everyone should note: a short-term correction ≠ the end of the bigger trend.

As long as 71000 hasn’t been effectively broken to the downside, the larger structure of this upswing hasn’t been damaged. If later 73000–75000 can form effective support and regain stability, we will still first look toward 83000; after a breakout, then we’ll look around 89000.

So during this period, don’t let yourself get shaken out of the rhythm by the back-and-forth chop.

77300: keep waiting. 73000–75000: be ready to take. 71000: hold the bottom line.

Position status: ETH 1556 USD and SOL 65 USD total 40% position size (not including altcoin positions)【❤️ as shown in Figure 3】. Personally, I’ll continue waiting to buy in batches below 75000 USD

#BTC $SOL #ETH #CPI data is coming—can it trigger a September rate hike?

橙子研究院

【 S&P breaks below the rising channel! Oil prices break 100, U.S. Treasuries break 5.3%! BTC’s downturn is ongoing—should we get in around 73,000–75,000?】

If you only look at $BTC , the market is doing something fairly boring: it keeps tugging back and forth within a narrow range. A clear direction hasn’t emerged yet, which matches expectations.

But this kind of situation shouldn’t last too long. On the 11th, the U.S. CPI will be released. Let’s look at the current oil price situation—my guess is the data won’t look great. Even if the numbers are artificially “beautified,” meaning there’s just an upward spike within expectations, it won’t change much. The big-pie（BTC) is in a weak phase; we need more patience!

Right now, a few things are having a bigger impact on the market: one is oil prices. Brent has already broken above 100, and the trend doesn’t look like it has ended yet.

Another is U.S. Treasuries: the 30-year yield has already risen above 5.3%. The Treasury is being forced to launch buybacks—this deepens market worries about inflation and rate hikes【❤️ as shown in Figure 1】

The U.S. stock market isn’t doing much better either. Take the S&P 500: after multiple instances of bearish divergence, it has now dropped below the lower boundary of the rising channel, hinting at the possibility of accelerating downside【❤️ as shown in Figure 2】

Of course, the biggest impact still comes from the CLARITY Act. It’s only a few days until the outcome. The prediction market is extremely pessimistic right now. There are already signs that market funds are pulling out. The fact that some altcoins have softened since last night is one supporting piece of evidence.

Lastly, there’s the LAPTOP released by Biden’s son. He comes in and cuts without any mercy—reminds me of when Trump issued a coin and crashed the market afterward. Even though the influence isn’t as strong as his, nobody can say for sure what the knock-on effects will be. Still, make sure you set your psychological expectations.

So, after all that, what it comes down to in terms of trading is: your position is too heavy and your leverage too high. Be careful about the risk of pullbacks.

If your position isn’t heavy—or if you’re even missing the move—just wait for the chance to get in around 73,000 to 75,000.

The bigger trend hasn’t finished yet. A pullback is an opportunity to enter. After this retracement, as long as it doesn’t break 71,000 in an effective way, it should first surge toward 83,000, and then toward 89,000! Personally and for the community right now: 40% position size—ETH1556, SOL65【❤️ as shown in Figure 3】

#布伦特原油突破100美元 $ETH #BTC走势分析 $SOL

BTC+0.70%

ETH+2.52%

SOL+1.19%

难得糊涂Feed-Creator-fe457f4ef:

等待

btc

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