⇒ Yes, BTC could absolutely go to 50k, 40k & even 30k this year.
And if it goes there, you could potentially buy twice as much BTC as if you buy right now. Tempting...I know!
But there is also a Major risk associated with waiting. Because NOBODY knows for sure if we go lower or not, and there is a good chance that the 60k we saw a couple of weeks ago, was already the lowest point of BTC. And we might never touch that ever again.
⇒ Maybe today is the day when we start Skyrocketing to 300k...while you still wait for a 58k Price...that might never happen.
So what is the safest bet for you?
⇒ DCA! Just DCA every Week, Month or even Daily into Bitcoin.
Clear out all the noise, set up a DCA and focus on providing more value to society (Which will give you more Income to distribute to BTC)
That's why it just doesn't make any sense for you to trade, wait or panic. Just DCA & HODL.
Bitcoin at ~$66K looks very different depending on the cycle. • 2017 peak → 50W SMA ≈ $3.5K • 2021 peak → 50W SMA ≈ $44K • Today → 50W SMA ≈ $99.5K
From $3.5K to $99.5K is a 28.4× increase in the 50-week moving average in ~8 years. The floor keeps rising every cycle, even when the spot price revisits similar levels. #BTC走势分析
Since Q4 2025, BTC has underperformed every major asset class. This has a lot to do with quantum computing concerns and lost coins.
Roughly 3.5–4 million BTC mined in Bitcoin’s early years are considered lost or permanently dormant today, nearly 18% of the total supply. These could potentially re-enter circulation one day.
With quantum computing advancing, older wallets (especially those with exposed public keys) are again being discussed as a long-term vulnerability.
Now compare that with institutional flows.
Since 2020, institutions, ETFs, and corporates have accumulated around 2.5–3 million BTC combined.
The amount institutions have absorbed is in the same range as the coins the market assumes are gone forever.
Even the possibility that part of this dormant supply could re-enter circulation changes forward supply expectations,and that matters for pricing.
If markets believe even a portion of the 3–4 million dormant BTC could return, they start discounting that supply today, which puts downward pressure on price.
But there’s another side.
On-chain data shows 13–14 million BTC have already moved in this cycle, the largest redistribution ever recorded.
Despite that massive sell-side liquidity, Bitcoin did not experience a structural crash. So when the market worries about a potential 3–4 million future overhang, it may be overstating the impact compared to what has already been absorbed.
There’s also a technical reality: quantum risk mainly applies to older wallets with exposed public keys, not the entire network.
Bitcoin is not static. Wallet formats evolve, security standards improve, and quantum-resistant cryptography is already being researched and discussed at the protocol level.
The market is currently balancing two narratives: a theoretical future supply shock versus a system that continues to harden over time.
This may be one key reason Bitcoin has lagged despite strong institutional demand and supportive global liquidity.
But in the original code, Satoshi Nakamoto called it something else: The Timechain.
He didn't just build a database. He built a decentralized clock that issues a perfectly scarce asset. It adjusts its own difficulty every 2,016 blocks to ensure it keeps ticking, completely independent of human intervention.
The legacy system runs on bankers' hours. The sovereign system runs on math.
Many people fail for one reason: They pick a strategy their stomach can’t hold.
THE 3 INPUTS H = HORIZON (3+ years?) F = FORCED-SELL RISK (need cash soon?) S = STOMACH (can you watch -50% without selling?)
THE DECISION MAP
ALL-IN Use if: H long, F low, S high RULE: buy once. delete the app for 12 months GOAL: maximize exposure to long-run drift
HYBRID (50/50) Use if: H long, F low, S mid/low RULE: buy 50% today. split the rest:
* 25% at your DIP LIMIT * 25% on a TIME-STOP (day 90) if no dip NOTE: no time-stop = CHRONIC UNDEREXPOSURE
DCA Use if: F medium/high RULE: buy only from SURPLUS CASHFLOW GOAL: never be forced to sell red
STRATEGIC WAIT ONLY allowed with TWO TRIGGERS:
1. limit orders placed now 2. a “BUY-ANYWAY” date waiting without a deadline isn’t discipline it’s paralysis
BOTTOM LINE The best strategy isn’t the one with the best back test. It’s the one you won’t abandon when the screen turns red.
The real enemy isn’t buying too high. It’s selling too low or never getting in.
The real edge is not predicting the next move. The edge is staying allocated long enough to capture the ~5.7 slope without getting shaken out by the volatility.
Every time Bitcoin hit the bottom band. Bitcoin was undervalued. Every. Single. Time.
This time isn’t any different. Sure, the downside’s 10%, maybe 20%. Boo-hoo. But the upside? It’s generational wealth. The kind that makes people look at you different. The kind that makes your ex hit you up like, “Hey, how’ve you been?”
DCA and chill if you're an investor.
Or wait for strength and re-enter on an uptrend if you're a trader.
My tweets are very time-sensitive (the market moves fast).
From now on, I promise to share all my moves publicly for everyone to see.
If you want to succeed, all you have to do is follow me.
Big things are coming this year. Let’s keep fighting Wall Street and win together 🤜🤛