The Buzzing Bee

Cardano's big whales got caught on-chain scooping bags and bags of ADA as the token deals with uncertain selling pressure. Fresh data shows that wallets holding between 100,000 and 100 million ADA added about 454.7 million ADA over the past two months. At current prices, that accumulation stands around $161 million.
As big whales look to take over, smaller wallets continue to exit positions. Wallets holding 100 ADA or less dumped 22,000 tokens over the last week. The investors' behavior has grown a spot on separation between large and small holders. Such actions often appear during phases of market stress. It is suggested that when whales add and retails dump, it could turn out to be an ideal setup for a rebound when markets stabilize.
Cardano holders sitting on losses ⁉️
Santiment in a post shared data around Cardano's current market value to realized value ratio. It mentioned that a lower 30-day MVRV suggests reduced downside risk relative to recent market participants. However, ADA's 30-day MVRV stood at minus 7.9 percent.
A negative MVRV number indicates that the average holder is sitting on unrealized losses. This can lower the selling pressure since fewer holders are in profit. It added that if a coin holds a positive percentage, then the traders you're competing with are making money. This eventually pushes a high risk of entering while profits are above the normal.
Data shows that other major altcoins are also holding similar readings. Chainlink sits at minus 9.5 percent, while Ether is at minus 7.6 percent. XRP is at minus 5.7 percent. The biggest crypto, Bitcoin, shows a milder negative reading of minus 3.7 percent.
Cardano price has dropped by almost 19% in the last 60 days but it has managed to gain by 6% on YTD. ADA price jumped by 4% in the last 24 hours. It is trading at an average price of $0.35 at the press time. It is down by over 88% from its all time high of $3.10, recorded in September 2021.
🌟 Is ADA facing US regulatory pressure⁉️
The accumulation trend comes as Cardano faces political and regulatory uncertainty in the United States. Cardano creator Charles Hoskinson said the current administration has left the US crypto industry in a weaker position than under former President Joe Biden.
Hoskinson criticized how the Trump admin handled the launch of the Trump Coin and Melania Trump’s token. He said the rollout blasted the trust and damaged prospects for bipartisan crypto legislation in early 2025. Earlier, after Donald Trump’s election in November 2024, he reportedly stated that he would work with the new administration. He later said relations worsened as policy decisions unfolded.
Despite political headwinds, institutional infrastructure around Cardano is expanding. CME Group said it plans to list futures contracts tied to Cardano on Feb. 9. It is still awaiting regulatory approval. It also plans to introduce futures for Chainlink and Stellar. The products would fall under the oversight of the Commodity Futures Trading Commission.
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The digital and physical frontlines are blurring. With the USS Abraham Lincoln strike group entering the Middle East this January 2026 and the #USIranStandoff hitting a fever pitch, the crypto markets are reacting with "blink and you miss it" speed.
Here are three action oriented posts tailored for the current climate:
🚨 Post 1: The Macro Shockwave
Headline: When Steel Meets the Strait, Satoshi Responds.
The standoff isn't just about naval maneuvers; it’s a high stakes stress test for your portfolio. As the U.S. weighs strike options against Iranian nuclear sites, Bitcoin is proving its dual nature: a risk off casualty in the first hour, but a "digital gold" hedge by the first daily candle.
🔹️ The Action: Watch the $90,000 floor. Historically, geopolitical flares trigger massive liquidations over $1B was wiped in a single day during last summer’s tensions. Smart money isn't panic selling; they're setting limit orders at the wick.
🔹️ The Play: While altcoins bleed 10% on the news, BTC resilience is the signal. This is macro chess, not checkers.
🛡️ Post 2: The Sovereignty Shield
Headline: Financial Borders are Dissolving in the Fog of War.
As the Iranian regime tightens its grip with internet blackouts and the U.S. surges forces into the region, the Iranian people are turning to the only exit ramp left: On chain assets. Despite the crackdown, peer to peer flows are surging.
🔹️ The Reality: When traditional banks freeze and currencies crater, crypto isn't a "speculative asset" it’s a lifeline.
🔹️ The Trend: We’re seeing a massive migration to stablecoins and private self custody wallets. The lesson? In a standoff, "Not your keys, not your coins" isn't a slogan; it's a survival strategy.
⚡ Post 3: The Volatility Hunter
Headline: Trading the Tensions Volatility is the New Alpha.
The USS Abraham Lincoln just signaled "Mission Ready." For the average trader, that’s a signal to de leverage. For the pros, it’s a volatility goldmine.
🔹️ The Correlation: Oil is jumping, and gold is chasing record highs above $5,000. Bitcoin is the "fast horse" in this race, reacting to news before the ink is dry on the headlines.
🌟 The Strategy:
1. Hedge with USDT/USDC: Stay liquid but stay diversified across chains.
2. Monitor the Fed: If energy prices spike, the Fed pauses rate cuts. That’s the real crypto killer.
3. Stay Sharp: Rumors move markets; facts settle them. Don’t trade the noise; trade the reaction.
#bitcoin #MarketUpdate #CryptoNews
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The End of the Four Year Cycle
For years, Bitcoin investors have relied on one simple rule: the four year cycle driven by the halving.
Halving happens > supply shock > 14–18 months later, new all time highs.
But according to Changpeng Zhao (CZ), founder and former CEO of Binance, that rule may no longer apply.
Speaking at the World Economic Forum in Davos, CZ made a statement that caught the attention of the entire crypto community: 2026 could mark a structural shift for Bitcoin, breaking away from its historical four year rhythm.
If we follow the traditional model, the last halving on April 19, 2024 would have placed the peak of this cycle between August and October 2025.
Interestingly, Bitcoin reached its most recent all time high on October 6, 2025, at $126,150 (BTC/USDT – Binance data) perfectly aligned with historical timing.
And yet, CZ believes that this is not the real top.
- Why the Old Model No Longer Works
According to Changpeng Zhao, halving is no longer the dominant driver of Bitcoin’s price.
Instead, a new set of forces is taking control:
- Institutional demand
- Macro and geopolitical dynamics
- Regulatory clarity (especially in the U.S.)
- Long term capital replacing short term speculation
✨️ In CZ’s own words:
“Given how pro-crypto the United States has become, and how other countries are gradually following, I think we will likely break the four year cycle.”
This is a crucial shift.
Bitcoin is no longer a purely speculative asset driven mainly by retail hype and supply shocks. It’s increasingly treated as strategic infrastructure, a macro asset held by funds, corporations, and even governments.
That changes everything.
🔹️Bitcoin’s 4-Year Cycle Is Over: Binance Founder Speaks
CZ goes one step further and openly talks about a potential super-cycle in 2026.
Not a euphoric, leverage driven rally but a structural move fueled by real, long term capital.
One of the most interesting elements of his Davos discussion was the growing role of tokenization and Real World Assets (RWA).
CZ revealed that he is in contact with more than a dozen countries exploring the issuance of tokenized sovereign assets to raise capital.
That kind of adoption was unthinkable just a few years ago.
Of course, CZ is careful not to make short term predictions. And that honesty matters.
“If you look at today or tomorrow, there’s no way I can predict where Bitcoin will go. But if you look at a five or ten year horizon, it becomes very easy. We’re going up.”
Whether 2026 delivers a new all time high or simply confirms a paradigm shift, one thing is becoming clear:
Bitcoin is outgrowing its old cycle narrative.
And the market may not be ready for what comes next.
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Bitcoin, the cryptocurrency giant that for many is synonymous with financial freedom, is not as safe as it seems, according to one analyst. Justin Bons, founder of the crypto investment firm Cyber ​​Capital , highlighted that Bitcoin could be heading for its own collapse. And not in centuries, but in a much shorter timeframe than any enthusiast would like to imagine: between 2031 and 2036.
In a recent post on the social network X, Bons explained why he sees a worrisome future for the world's most popular network. It all stems from simple math: the block reward decreases with each halving (the mechanism that regulates the issuance of new bitcoins), and according to his calculations, by 2036 miners would be receiving just 0.39 BTC per block. At current prices, that translates to about $2.3 billion per year to protect a network that, by then, could have a market capitalization in the trillions. The problem? That figure, says Bons, would not be enough to deter potential attackers. Bons went further. He warned that this weakness in the "security budget" could open the door to 51% attacks, a type of "insider hack" in which someone takes majority control of the network to manipulate transactions. A scenario that, although unlikely today, could become more viable if the economic incentives to protect the network weaken.
But the problems aren't just economic. According to Bons, Bitcoin's governance also plays against it. He criticized the rigidity of the Bitcoin Core development team, accusing them of blocking potential solutions such as increasing the block size or allowing controlled inflation beyond the 21 million-coin limit. This stance, which already divided the community between 2015 and 2017, could reopen wounds... or even lead to a permanent fracture of the network.
As if all this weren't enough, Bons also sounded the alarm about advances in quantum computing. Although they still seem distant, some experts believe these technologies could compromise Bitcoin's cryptographic security, especially in older wallets. And here, opinions are divided: while Google's Craig Gidney places the risk between 2030 and 2035, others, such as David Carvalho and investor Chamath Palihapitiya, believe the problem could explode in just five years. In the worst-case scenario, up to 30% of all bitcoins could be compromised.
While these warnings aren't definitive, they do offer a rare perspective on the future of "digital gold." Bons estimates that if these problems aren't addressed, the collapse could occur between seven and 11 years from now. A tough prediction for those who still see Bitcoin as an eternal safe haven.
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