Funding rate remains mild (around 0.003–0.004%), well below previous heated levels. Leverage pressure has clearly cooled
Open Interest is holding near $48B, showing stability without aggressive new positioning from either side
On-Chain Flows
Recent exchange netflows have been modestly negative, pointing to reduced immediate selling pressure on spot markets. The market is seeing more of a liquidity adjustment than heavy distribution
STH vs LTH Cost Basis
Short-Term Holder (STH) realized price sits around $68,000
Long-Term Holder (LTH) realized price is near $50,000
Price trading near or below the STH cost basis is a classic sign of capitulation. Many on-chain analysts see this as part of the final phase of the current cycle
Supply in Loss & Absorption
A significant portion of Bitcoin supply remains in loss, creating oversold conditions. Despite earlier periods of miner stress and some long-term holder movement, the market has continued absorbing supply without breaking key supports
Leverage has de-risked nicely, on-chain metrics are showing accumulation-style behavior, and we appear to be in the later stages of this consolidation phase
The base case for many analysts remains that we are approaching the end of the bear market
What to watch: Sustained exchange outflows + price reclaiming the STH cost basis around $68k for stronger bullish confirmation ✅
$TRUMP has shifted from being one of the crypto market's top-tier runners to one of its most notable letdowns. After peaking at an all-time record near $79, the token has shed over 95% of its worth, currently struggling to maintain its footing above the $1.50 mark. A large number of traders who jumped in during the peak excitement are still sitting on substantial losses, as every attempt at a rally is quickly shut down by fresh waves of selling.
Can $TRUMP stage a turnaround? In the cryptocurrency space, you can never rule anything out. That said, climbing back to $79 demands far more than a typical market bounce. It would essentially require a perfect storm of powerful market momentum, massive buying volume, restored investor trust, and major bullish triggers. At the moment, the immediate goals are far more basic: carve out a reliable bottom, reclaim critical resistance zones, and demonstrate that the prolonged bearish trend has finally broken. Once those milestones are hit, the discussion can realistically turn toward much higher price objectives.
What do you think? Is $TRUMP quietly preparing for a surprise rally, or has its definitive story already been told?
BTC is coiling inside a rising wedge on the 1h chart, currently probing the 64243 resistance zone. A clean break above this level could ignite a run toward the 65600 target 👀
The wedge support is rock solid at 62196, anchored by 8 touches. Losing this level would flip the structure bearish, opening a slide toward 61882
With a pattern score of 22.9 and strong pivot alignment, this setup carries weight. Volume confirmation will be the deciding factor for the breakout
🚨 ⚡ AKE IS PUSHING TOWARD NEW HIGHS CAN THE BULLISH MOMENTUM CONTINUE?
AKE has delivered an impressive breakout after several days of steady accumulation. The 1-hour chart shows a strong impulsive advance followed by consolidation near recent highs, suggesting buyers are still in control. If the current range holds, the market could attempt another leg higher.
📍 Key Price Zones
- Immediate Support: 0.00170–0.00175 USDT
- Major Support: 0.00155 USDT
- First Resistance: 0.00190 USDT
- Major Resistance: 0.00210 USDT
🎯 Trading Targets
- TP1: 0.00190 USDT
- TP2: 0.00200 USDT
- TP3: 0.00210 USDT
🛑 Stop Loss
A 1-hour close below 0.00155 USDT would invalidate the current bullish setup and increase the probability of a deeper pullback.
📊 Momentum Check
The chart is showing a strong bullish structure with higher highs and higher lows after a sharp breakout. Price is now consolidating just below recent highs, a pattern that often precedes another expansion if buyers maintain control. Reclaiming 0.00190 USDT could strengthen momentum toward the next resistance zone.
Although AKE isn't part of the TON ecosystem, improves decentralized trading through, which searches multiple liquidity sources to find more efficient swap routes. This helps reduce slippage, improve execution quality, and keep every transaction fully self-custodial with transparent on-chain settlement. Combined with competitive fees and farming opportunities, it creates a more efficient DeFi trading experience.
As decentralized finance evolves, smarter liquidity routing and efficient execution are becoming increasingly important for traders across multiple blockchain ecosystems.
Michael Saylor has announced that Strategy has increased its U.S. dollar reserves by $450 million, giving the company significantly more financial flexibility.
A larger cash position can help Strategy fund operations, meet financial obligations, and capitalize on future opportunities without relying solely on immediate Bitcoin sales.
For investors, the move reinforces the company's focus on maintaining a strong balance sheet while continuing to execute its long-term Bitcoin strategy.
With additional liquidity on hand, the market will be watching closely to see how Strategy deploys its growing capital in the months ahead.
Another traditional financial institution is reportedly increasing its Bitcoin exposure.
🇸🇪 Sweden’s 3rd largest bank has boosted its investment in Strategy ($MSTR ) by 10%, with total holdings now exceeding $8.5 million. While critics debate, institutions continue positioning for the long term. This isn't an isolated incident; it's part of a quiet, global shift.
As regulatory frameworks evolve, major European institutions are recognizing that the biggest risk is no longer volatility, but missing out entirely. The bridge between legacy finance and digital capital is being reinforced every single day.
✨️✨️✨️ This stock has clear impulsive structure as I broke it down in the chart
4 large waves (yellow) are completed RSI confirms the structure with Bearish Divergence of waves 3 and upcoming wave 5
4 minor waves (white) within the final large wave 5 finished as well Minor wave 4 was about to dip into the territory of minor wave 1 risking invalidation
Luckily for NVDA it did not happen and RSI also kept bullish so far.
Final minor wave 5 within the last large wave 5 is underway
Wave 3 already hit regular Fibonacci
based targets
Hence, minimum target for wave 5 is to hit the all-time high at $237
The resistance of the white uptrend channel built through waves 2 and 4 offers optimistic target highlighted with the blue box between $237 and $275
Invalidation is still there at the peak of minor wave 1 of large 5 below $177.
💥✨️💥 $HYPE is the worst name on the board: down about 11% near $59.
Hyperliquid snapped back hard in the relief rally and has handed back more than all of it, down about 13% on the week, the same two-way beta that makes it the year's strongest large cap on the longer view. In a failed rally, the riskiest names do not just round-trip, they overshoot.
$LAB just saw 4.1x selling volume, smart money exiting?
- With such an aggressive volume spike and sharp price drop, this looks like smart money distribution rather than mere panic selling, as it occurs at key resistance after a failed rally.
- My expectation is for price to either chop sideways or attempt a weak bounce, but ultimately revisit and potentially sweep the 0.1707 low from the most recent swing.
- The optimal short trade would be to wait for a bounce toward 0.1962 or 0.2064, watch for strong bearish confirmation, and then enter short with targets at 0.1849, 0.1778, and possibly a liquidity sweep below 0.1707.
- If price instead shows a powerful bullish reaction and closes strong above 0.2064, the downtrend could be over, and I'd shift to a neutral or cautious long bias.
- Remember: Strong, impulsive moves on high volume often result in further downside or, at best, choppy consolidation before the next directional play. Do not chase shorts here at the lows — always wait for a proper retrace and confirmation.
- Example confirmation: Look for a pin bar, bearish engulfing candle, or a clear failure to reclaim 0.1962 on lower timeframes. On a breakdown below 0.1778 with heavy volume, that's a sign sellers remain in control.
📝 This is not investment advice, just an educational analysis. Trade carefully and always use proper risk management!
🔹️💥✨️ Chainlink recently broke above its rising trendline and rallied strongly before facing profit-taking near local highs.
The current pullback is bringing price back toward a key demand area, which could determine the next major move.
If buyers defend this support, LINK may regain momentum and continue its climb toward higher levels. A strong bullish reaction from this zone would confirm that the overall uptrend remains intact.
Bitcoin BTC has just closed another monthly candle beneath the 50-month moving average, marking its weakest level in over two years.
Historically, bitcoin tends to follow a repeating four-year cycle.
If that pattern continues, the market could see one final shakeout over the next 2–3 months before the next major bullish phase begins.
For the trend to turn convincingly bullish, #BTC must reclaim the 200-week moving average around $62,648. until then, bears still have the advantage.
During the previous cycle, the best long-term buying opportunities appeared after bitcoin lost the 50-month moving average while both the rsi and macd reached fresh cycle lows.
Patience now could be rewarded when the next trend reversal arrives.
🔹️💥🔹️$HYPE is sitting at one of the most important levels on its chart right now.
After breaking above a major multi-month resistance zone, HYPE is now trading around $59.5, pulling back to retest the same area that previously capped price between $50 and $54.
This is exactly where trends are often confirmed or rejected.
If buyers continue defending this former resistance as new support, the current pullback could simply be a healthy retest before the next leg higher. A successful hold would keep the broader uptrend intact and increase the probability of another move into new highs.
The level I'm watching is $48.
A decisive weekly close below that area would weaken the bullish structure and suggest the breakout has failed. Until then, the trend still favors the bulls.
For now, this isn't about chasing price, it's about seeing whether HYPE can prove that old resistance has truly become new support. ✅️ FOLLOW FOR MORE ✅️
✨️💫✨️ I'm watching for one specific sequence to tell me when this Btc range is ready to break down.
In most bear market relief rallies, the ascending trendline from the lows breaks first, followed by the collapse of a key horizontal level. That's the typical order of a range break.
July 2022 gave us this exact textbook setup. $22.5K was the trendline, the horizontal support, and the EMA dynamic support all at once.
Once that combination of momentum was lost, the relief rally was done and the market started gravitating toward new lows.
Right now, $BTC 's trendline support sits in the $63.3-63.8K region, with the EMAs just above it, and the key horizontal support at $62.2K.
If we see that confluence of levels lost, it most likely means this relief rally has run its course, and we start rotating toward the low of the range.
Above those levels, I don't think there's a real reason to be short-term bearish.
💢💢💢 The structural integration of traditional finance into the digital asset ecosystem is reaching new milestones high profile macro assets are trading via 14 newly launched perpetual contracts, including prominent instruments like XLP, LQD, VWO, and WFC
This macro expansion comes as $RAVE maintains modest daily gains of 1.06% on $8.60M volume despite its 91.99% top holder concentration keeping volatility high, and $SOL experiences a soft pullback down 1.82% as it consolidates to defend key support to challenge the $78 resistance zone.
💥✨️💥 🚨 Top 10 Altcoins to Watch Before the CLARITY Act 👇
Markets reward those who position early, not those who chase green candles.
If the CLARITY Act brings greater regulatory clarity to digital assets, Ethereum's ecosystem could attract increased attention thanks to its leadership in DeFi, tokenization, and smart contracts.
Coins on my watchlist:
$ETH LINK $AAVE ONDO ENA LDO MKR (Sky) $UNI COMP PENDLE
These projects are connected to some of the strongest narratives in crypto:
✅ DeFi ✅ Real World Assets (RWA) ✅ Tokenized Securities ✅ Stablecoin Infrastructure ✅ Ethereum Ecosystem
Every cycle has leaders. The opportunity is finding them before everyone else starts talking about them.
Which Ethereum ecosystem project are you accumulating? 👇
This is my personal market outlook, not financial advice. Always do your own research.
💥💥 Larry Fink saying crypto is more stable after the leverage washout caught my attention. That's a very different message from the days when every rally was driven by excessive leverage. If institutions believe the market structure is improving, the next cycle could be built on stronger foundations instead of pure speculation.
I'm still watching ETF inflows, liquidity, and macro conditions more than bold price predictions. Those tend to tell the real story.
Do you think the next BTC rally will be driven by institutional capital or retail FOMO? 👇
✨️✨️ UP is holding a critical technical zone despite the recent market rotation into large-cap assets. While Unitas has slipped slightly, the $0.32 support remains the key level to watch. Holding this area could provide the foundation for a rebound toward $0.335 as altcoin sentiment improves.
With BTC staying resilient and capital likely to rotate back into quality altcoins, UP is well-positioned to benefit when market momentum returns. For now, this looks more like a healthy consolidation than a structural breakdown making the next move from support one to watch closely.