The past month has been a solid run. A lot of wins in a row. Honestly, one of those months that reminds you why you stay in this game.
Most of the trades I took were shared publicly. And I know for a fact many of you made money from them. That part matters to me.
The people who didn’t win — or even lost — it usually wasn’t the setup. It was psychology. Weak hands. Bad timing. No patience. No discipline.
Most traders are obsessed with learning strategies. New methods. New indicators. New “secrets.” Very few want to learn risk management. Even fewer want to learn discipline.
That’s the real difference. Always has been.
This path isn’t easy. It messes with your head. It tests your patience. But it’s worth walking if you’re serious.
Thanks to everyone who’s been following, trusting, and walking alongside me. I’m still here. And I’ll keep sharing the journey.
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You keep seeing the same behavior over and over — pushes up, stalls around that ~$2,420 area, then fades. Meanwhile the channel high is sitting higher… around $2,520… and we’re just not getting there. Not even close. Always a bit short. That’s not random.
Compare that to BTC already tagging the top of its range. Big difference.
And then you look at ETH/BTC… it’s sitting on support right now. Kinda hanging there. If that level gives way, and Bitcoin keeps pushing? Yeah… ETH probably moves, but not the way people want. It lags. Hard.
That’s usually how this plays out.
Unless ETH can actually break $2,420 clean and stay above it — not just wick, not just fake it for a few hours — but hold… then the read is pretty simple:
Weak stays weak.
And when the market turns (it always does), the stuff that couldn’t keep up on the
Price leaning into the ceiling, each attempt pokes up then snaps back, travel not extending. Upper wicks cluster, closes slipping off the highs… looks like offers sitting there, not moving. The last push carried less distance than the one before, a bit of grind then stall, almost no follow-through. I’m in, not full, letting it prove it can’t hold up here. If it starts sitting tight near the top and stops giving back, I’m out quick. Clean lift and hold above the band kills this.
$ETH Grinding under the cap, taps getting shallower, nothing really lifting.
ETH Trading Plan (Short) Entry: $2,380 – $2,420 SL: $2,430 TP: $2,350, $2,320, $2,280
Keeps nudging into the same lid, but each push fades quicker, highs not stretching. Small upper tails keep showing, closes slipping back inside the band… looks like it gets sold into, not chased. The last few candles overlap a lot, movement feels boxed in, like effort isn’t translating. I’m in, light for now, watching if it can actually leave this area. If it starts holding tight near the top without giving anything back, I’m gone. One clean push that sticks above and accepts… that’s it for me.
Price leaning into the ceiling, each attempt pokes up then snaps back, travel not extending. Upper wicks cluster, closes slipping off the highs… looks like offers sitting there, not moving. The last push carried less distance than the one before, a bit of grind then stall, almost no follow-through. I’m in, not full, letting it prove it can’t hold up here. If it starts sitting tight near the top and stops giving back, I’m out quick. Clean lift and hold above the band kills this.
$BTC got pushed around by that sudden US–Iran conflict headline… the kind of thing you don’t really see coming, no clean read, no warning. Still hit the account the same way.
Not gonna dress it up — it hurts.
I got the call wrong. And yeah, if you followed that, I know it cost you too. I’m sorry for that.
But this is also the part people ignore when things are going well… risk is real, and it shows up fast when the market shifts like this.
If anything — size matters more than the entry right now.
Tighten it down. Trade smaller. Give yourself room to survive moments like this.
Because setups will come again… but only if you’re still in the game.
Sitting right under that cap, small pushes keep getting checked but no real giveback, wicks poke up then stall, then try again. The pullbacks feel shallow, barely any space before bids step back in, like it doesn’t want to leave this area. A bit of churn here… candles overlapping, movement tight, but not slipping. I’m still holding, not adding yet. If this starts slipping and can’t stay above the base it just built, I’m out. First sign of real giveback with no snap, I cut.
$ETH Pressing into the ceiling again, not letting go.
ETH Trading Plan (Long) Entry: $2,340 – $2,380 SL: $2,310 TP: $2,430, $2,450, $2,500
Keeps leaning into that upper band, tags it, pulls a bit, then right back—no real space opening below. The dips look soft, tails forming underneath, getting picked up before anything stretches. Up top though… wicks start to show, pushes don’t travel clean, just nudging and stalling. I’m in, holding, watching this tight cluster. If it starts hanging below this base without reclaim, I’m gone. First drift that doesn’t bounce, I’m out.
Sitting right under that cap, small pushes keep getting checked but no real giveback, wicks poke up then stall, then try again. The pullbacks feel shallow, barely any space before bids step back in, like it doesn’t want to leave this area. A bit of churn here… candles overlapping, movement tight, but not slipping. I’m still holding, not adding yet. If this starts slipping and can’t stay above the base it just built, I’m out. First sign of real giveback with no snap, I cut.
Keeps poking the ceiling but nothing expands, just wicks getting left behind and closes slipping back inside. The last push barely traveled… then faded, again. Offers feel like they’re sitting there, quietly leaning, each attempt thinner than the one before. I’m in, not heavy, letting it sit and show me if this ledge holds or not. If it starts accepting above the cap and holds there without getting shoved back, I’m wrong. I’m out the moment it lifts and stays offered above that strip without hesitation.
$SOL keeps tapping the lid, stalls mid-push, drifts back into the range.
SOL Trading Plan (Short) Entry: $83.5 – $84.90 SL: $86.50 TP: $82.0, $81.5, $80.5
Leans into that upper strip but can’t stay there, each test leaves a tail and rolls back in. The tape looks busy but goes nowhere… candles overlap, no real push through, just small pops getting sold. Last uptick tried to extend, got clipped quick, back inside like it hit a wall. I’m in, light, letting it sit while it keeps pressing without progress. If it starts holding above that cap and stops slipping back in, I’m wrong. I’m out on the first clean lift that sits up there without getting pulled back.
$ETH keeps nudging the upper shelf, stalls, leaves tails, slips back under.
ETH Trading Plan (Short) Entry: $2,300 – $2,340 SL: $2,370 TP: $2,275, $2,250, $2,220
Edges into that cap again and again, but each reach gets sold into, candles can’t stay up there. You see the overlap building right under it… no separation, just churn and small givebacks. Last poke up had no follow-through, snapped back fast, like it hit something sitting there. I’m in, light, letting it breathe but watching if this strip keeps holding. If it starts sitting above that ceiling and stops getting pushed back inside, I’m wrong. I’ll cut it the moment it lifts and just holds there clean, no quick rejection.
Keeps poking the ceiling but nothing expands, just wicks getting left behind and closes slipping back inside. The last push barely traveled… then faded, again. Offers feel like they’re sitting there, quietly leaning, each attempt thinner than the one before. I’m in, not heavy, letting it sit and show me if this ledge holds or not. If it starts accepting above the cap and holds there without getting shoved back, I’m wrong. I’m out the moment it lifts and stays offered above that strip without hesitation.
$BTC Same game… nothing really changed under the hood. $LAB $UB This push up? Still spot doing the heavy lifting. Real buyers stepping in. Meanwhile perps kept fading it… and yeah, they got run over again.
Feels like déjà vu at this point. Every leg higher this past month has the same fingerprint.
Until that shifts… hard to argue against another push up. Just is what it is.
But right now things feel a bit… quieter.
Spot volume kinda dried up. Open interest pulling back a bit. Funding moved from negative back to flat, so yeah, shorts getting out again, not pressing anymore.
Here’s the part that makes me pause though…
Funding reset, but OI still sitting pretty high. That usually means new longs stepped in with leverage.
And if spot doesn’t come back to support this… those guys might be next in line.
Not saying it dumps right here, just saying… if there’s no real buying behind it, someone has to pay.