Mbah Zaid

📈 Update ETF Harian

BTC ETFs
Net Inflow: +$238.4M
Arti singkat: kapital mulai balik masuk setelah tekanan jual kemarin, likuiditas mulai ngisi lagi.

ETH ETFs
Net Inflow: +$55.7M
Arti singkat: aliran masuk masih positif, tapi belum seagresif BTC. Investor masih wait & see.

• Kalau BTC jebol 83k → nunggu 82–80k buat buy
• Kalau BTC nembus 86.4k → maka siap ke 88–92k
• Kalau BTC jebol 80k → siap turun ke 75–70k
• Kalau BTC tembus 92k → siapkan mode bull mini

BTC masuk fase “macro-driven chop zone”, artinya:
pergerakan ngegantung bukan karena chart, tapi karena data ekonomi.
Ini environment paling bikin capek dan paling bahaya buat overtrading.

Kalau kamu mau entry minggu depan:
• tunggu reaksi setelah data makro keluar
• jangan prediksi dulu → tunggu volatility muncul
• volume dan inflow yang ngegerakin, bukan RSI atau MA

Kenapa dipotong suku bunga tapi harga “dump” 🏦🔻

Beberapa poin penting:

1. Pas Federal Reserve (The Fed) memotong suku bunga sebesar sekitar 25 basis poin dan target suku bunga sampai sekitar 3,75-4% 

2. Harusnya pemotongan suku bunga ini mendukung aset risiko (stocks, crypto) karena membuat alternatif “safe” seperti obligasi jadi kurang menarik. Umumnya konsepnya: bunga turun → uang pengin mencari yield yang lebih tinggi → aset risiko naik. 

3. Tapi kenyataannya: Di crypto, misalnya Bitcoin langsung turun ke level sekitar US$110.000 pasca cut rate. 

4. Kenapa? Beberapa alasan:
- Pasar sudah mengantisipasi cut rate jauh-jauh hari → jadi kalau potongannya “sesuai harapan” saja atau malah disertai syarat hati-hati, maka “surprise” positifnya tipis. Contoh: The Fed bilang belum tentu potong lagi Desember → sinyalnya kurang yakin. 
- Sebagian besar posisi crypto sangat leveraged (pinjaman margin, etc) → saat ada momentum ketidakpastian, risk-off cepat menyerang → banyak yang “sell the news”. 
- Potong bunga bukan berarti “segala baik” secara langsung. Jika potongan didasari karena data ekonomi melambat atau inflasi masih tinggi maka sentimental bisa jadi campur aduk: “Wah ekonomi melemah nih” → jadi malah ditakuti.
- Kebijakan The Fed kaya “potong tapi berhati-hati” → Kalau sinyalnya kuat ke pemangkasan lebih lanjut atau pelonggaran lebih agresif maka pasar senang. Kalau sinyalnya “potong tapi kita lihat dulu” maka pasar bisa kecewa. 

Jadi intinya: ya, cut rate itu bagus, tapi ekspektasi + konteks makro yang menentukan apakah harga langsung naik atau malah turun.

📊 Lagi rame di jagat crypto sosmed. Santiment ngelaporin token yang paling banyak dibahas di sosmed minggu ini:

💥 #PYUSD — gegara “kecelakaan” minting 300 trillion token (iya, triliun 😭). Untungnya udah diklarifikasi, tapi netizen keburu panik.

🔥 #ETH — banyak omongan soal Ethereum Foundation yang deposit gede ke DeFi vault, arus institusi masuk-keluar, plus inflow ETF ETH yang malah ngalahin BTC! Banyak analis mulai revisi prediksi harga ke atas.

💪 #BTC — topik abadi. Orang debat soal dominasi pasar BTC, perbandingan sama emas & altcoin, sampai argumen klasik: “Bitcoin itu uang aman, bukan spekulasi.”

🎁 #MON — geger menjelang airdrop. Semua sibuk cari whitelist, rumor tokenomics, sampe bocoran snapshot.

“Pasar itu kayak warkop — rame dulu, baru naik harga gorengan.” 🍟
Pantau terus yang lagi rame, karena di situlah peluang

🧩 Powell’s speech:
Sedikit dovish, tapi belum sepenuhnya melunak.

Ia bilang kebijakan suku bunga sekarang “meeting by meeting”,
dan QT (Quantitative Tightening) mulai mendekati akhir.

Artinya:
Likuiditas perlahan balik → pasar mulai nafas lagi.
Kripto bisa ikut rebound.

📈 Skenario yang mungkin:
• Powell lanjut longgarkan QT → peluang bullish, BTC bisa ke 130–150K.
• Powell balik hawkish → bearish koreksi ke 100K-an masih terbuka.

📊 Intinya:
Fed mulai sadar sistem keuangan udah seret likuiditas.
Kalimat halus Powell itu sinyal kalau rem mulai dilepas pelan-pelan.

Ruang untuk risk-on market kebuka lagi —
tapi rally besar baru valid kalau inflasi ikut jinak.

🔥 Kesimpulan cepat:
Powell dovish = angin segar buat kripto.
Tapi hati-hati, satu data inflasi buruk bisa bikin mood pasar balik arah.

#BinanceHODLerYB #PowellSpeech #PowellRemarks #CryptoMarkets

📊 ETF Drama of the Day:

Bitcoin gang ($BTC)
BlackRock: “We’re still buying, fam.” +522 BTC in the cart 🛒
Meanwhile Bitwise just rage-quit -1,000 BTC like it’s going out of fashion 😭
Overall: -1,779 BTC gone ($198M). Bears doing the limbo again 🐻💃

Ethereum squad ($ETH)
BlackRock: accidentally pressed the “withdraw all” button… -72,893 ETH 😬
Grayscale: “Hold my beer.” -7,865 ETH more 🍺
Total: a massive -92,891 ETH flushed ($370M).
ETH ETFs right now: “Sir, we are leaking.” 🚰

Must Watch !! Daily Transaction in #arbitrum always increase!n

100% nuclear-powered #BTC mining facility launches in Pennsylvania. Boom #crypto2023 #dyor

Which is your current top #Altcoin ________ of your watchlist ?

Total Value Locked (TVL) refers to the total value of all assets, typically cryptocurrencies or tokens, that are locked or staked in a particular DeFi protocol or smart contract, it is the amount of funds that are committed to a DeFi project or platform by investors. #tvl

today the market is very boring. luckily just looking at this toilet paper photo to lift the mood.
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Ethereum shanghai upgrade delayed for 2 week !#ethereumshanghaiupgrade #Binance #ETH

WAGMI is an acronym that stands for "We are gonna make it". It has gained popularity on social media platforms, and is often used as a motivational phrase or rallying cry to encourage others to persevere through difficult times and keep a positive outlook. #nftcommunity #BNB

The main goal of sharding is to improve database scalability, availability, and performance. By distributing the workload across multiple servers, the database can handle more traffic and larger data volumes than a single server would be able to handle.

Sharding is a technique used in database architecture to horizontally partition a large database into smaller, more manageable parts called shards. Each shard contains a subset of the data, and these shards can be distributed across multiple servers or nodes in a database cluster

DeFi has exploded in popularity in recent years, and there are now hundreds of decentralized finance protocols for users to choose from. Investigating the benefits and drawbacks of decentralized finance and how it's changing the financial landscape can make for an exciting

Cryptocurrency offer an alternative to traditional banking systems, and some believe that they have the potential to revolutionize the way we handle money. Examining how cryptocurrencies could disrupt the traditional banking industry and the implications of this disruption #dyor

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Several Crypto Entities cut ties with crypto-friendly bank Silvergate to the point that BTC prices fell today. This is done to reduce exposure from Silvergate? why did these entities cut ties with Silvergate, and what was the impact?

#BTC #crypto2023 #liquidation