Crypto Entrepreneur. 10 years TA FA. Founder of CryptoPatel. Alpha Hunter. SMC and ICT Trader. Sharing 10x Gems, X: CryptoPatel, Pro Setups, Market Trends ๐
$BONK At Macro Breakdown: Another 50-80% Downside Before The Real Bottom? (HTF Analysis)
BONK/USDT delivered one of the biggest memecoin rallies of the previous cycle, surging 34,300% in just 13 months (Oct 2023 โ Nov 2024), from $0.000000174 to $0.00005993.
Since that ATH, the trend has completely reversed. Price is now trading ~96% below the peak, and the weekly chart continues to favor sellers.
Technical Structure: โ +34,300% Rally Completed Before Macro Reversal โ Clear HTF Lower High & Lower Low Structure โ Bearish Order Block At ATH Triggered ~82% Distribution โ Descending Trendline Continues To Reject Price โ Previous Support Flipped Into Strong Resistance โ HTF Breakdown Confirmed Below $0.0000052 โ No Confirmed Trend Reversal Or HTF Accumulation Yet โ Major 1D Bullish OB: $0.000000892 - $0.000000580 โ Current Structure Still Supports Further Downside
Bullish (Bearish Invalidation): HTF Close Above $0.0000052: I remain bearish and still expect another 50-80% downside before #BONK forms a meaningful long-term bottom. The $0.000000892-$0.000000580 area is the last major untested institutional demand zone where I expect stronger buyer interest.
Many traders got trapped near the ATH because of FOMO, while the chart repeatedly signaled lower highs, failed retests, and support-to-resistance flips. Price action always speaks before sentiment changes.
Important Note: This outlook is based on HTF Market Structure, SMC, ICT Liquidity, Order Flow, and Price Action. I will only turn bullish after a confirmed HTF close above $0.0000052. Until then, every rally is a lower-high unless proven otherwise.
What Is BONK? BONK is Solana's leading community-driven memecoin, widely integrated across the Solana DeFi, NFT, and gaming ecosystem.
Risks: Weak memecoin sentiment, broader crypto market weakness, declining liquidity, and failure of buyers to defend HTF demand.
Bitcoin Bear Market May Be Closer to the End Than Most Think
If history repeats, roughly 2 months remain. In my view, August through December will likely be the most critical period for positioning before the next cycle unfolds.
Kathleen Allman, mother of late Ondo founder Nathan Allman, filed a case in Delaware Court of Chancery to take control of the company and remove CEO Ian De Bode.
โ She got the founder's voting stake through probate on June 26 โ At his death, Ondo's board had zero directors โ She already voted De Bode out on July 24 โ De Bode calls it "meritless", says investors and Ondo Foundation back him
Pump.fun just sold another 84,789 $SOL worth $6.25M
Total sales have now reached 4.82M $SOL ($807M) at an average price of $167.4. One of the largest and most consistent sources of #SOLANA sell pressure is still active.
Bitcoin Open Interest Is Rebuilding Across Major Exchanges, But It's Still 54% Below The October 2025 Peak, A Clear Sign The Market Isn't Overheated Yet.
Leverage Is Returning, But Full-Blown Euphoria Hasn't Arrived. The Biggest Moves Often Start In This Phase.
U.S. BITCOIN ETFs BOUGHT ~1,995 BTC Worth $128.69M ๐บ๐ธ BlackRock ETF Has BOUGHT 1,990 BTC for $128.33M And 43,580 ETH for $83.10M ๐บ๐ธ Fidelity ETF Has BOUGHT ~174 BTC for $11.20M And 747 ETH for $1.42M ๐บ๐ธ Grayscale ETF Has BOUGHT ~222 BTC for $14.31M And 4,000 ETH for $7.62M ๐บ๐ธ Bitwise ETF Has BOUGHT ~27 BTC for $1.75M ๐บ๐ธ Morgan Stanley ETF Has BOUGHT ~232 BTC for $14.94M ๐บ๐ธ VanEck ETF Has SOLD ~509 BTC for $32.77M ๐บ๐ธ Valkyrie ETF Has SOLD ~141 BTC for $9.07M
Fact: U.S. Spot Bitcoin ETFs BOUGHT Nearly 4+ Days Mined BITCOIN Supply Yesterday.
WHAT IS WASH TRADING? The Scam That Just Cost a Founder $10,000
This week a US federal court sentenced Liu Zhou, founder of crypto market maker MyTrade. He sold fake trading volume to crypto projects for years. His punishment was a $10,000 fine. Most traders have never had this explained properly. So let's break it down. ๐ฐ WHAT WASH TRADING ACTUALLY IS: Wash trading is when the same person (or coordinated group) buys and sells the same asset repeatedly, with themselves. No ownership actually changes hands. There is no real buyer and no real seller. But the exchange records it as a trade, and the volume number on the chart goes up. Think of it like two hands of the same person passing a coin back and forth in front of a crowd. To the crowd, it looks like a busy market. Nothing is really being traded. It has been illegal in traditional finance for nearly a century. In crypto, it ran openly for years. ๐ฐ WHY PROJECTS PAY FOR IT: Four reasons, and every one of them hurts retail: 1๏ธโฃ Exchange listings: Many exchanges rank and list tokens partly by volume. Fake volume = better ranking = more visibility. 2๏ธโฃ Aggregator visibility: Volume is a sorting metric on major data sites. High volume pushes a token up the list where more eyes see it. 3๏ธโฃ The illusion of demand: Retail traders use volume as proof that "people are buying this." A token with $50M daily volume feels safe. A token with $50K feels dead. That feeling is exactly what is being sold. 4๏ธโฃ Pump and dump setup: Fake volume attracts real buyers. Real buyers provide real liquidity. That real liquidity is what insiders sell into. ๐ฐ HOW MYTRADE DID IT: This is the part that should genuinely disturb you. According to the DOJ, MyTrade ran a service called "Volume Support." Clients logged into a dashboard on MyTrade's website. They selected which exchange they wanted, and typed in how much daily wash trading volume they wanted. Bots executed it automatically. Zhou described the software as doing self-trades, A buy and a sell in the same second. At its peak this was running millions of dollars of daily wash trades across roughly 60 different cryptocurrencies. This was not a dark web operation. It was a product with a control panel and a customer login. ๐ฐ HOW THEY GOT CAUGHT: The FBI created its own fake crypto company: NexFundAI. Real website, real Ethereum token, trading on Uniswap. Then they went shopping for manipulation services and recorded the sales pitches. In those conversations, Zhou explained the objective was to find other buyers from the community, people you don't know about or don't care about, because they have to lose money for the operation to profit. That is the business model, stated plainly by the operator. Retail losses were not a side effect. They were the product. The operation was called Token Mirrors. 18 individuals and entities were charged in October 2024, including market makers Gotbit, ZM Quant and CLS Global. ๐ฐ HOW TO SPOT FAKE VOLUME YOURSELF You do not need special tools. You need these five checks: 1๏ธโฃ Volume vs. liquidity depth: Open the order book. If a token shows $20M daily volume but a $10K market sell moves the price 8%, that volume is not real. Real volume requires real depth. 2๏ธโฃ Volume vs. holder count: Huge volume with a few thousand holders is a contradiction. Real activity needs real participants. 3๏ธโฃ Volume vs. price movement: Genuine heavy volume moves price. If volume is massive but the chart is flat and mechanical, you are watching bots trade with themselves. 4๏ธโฃ The candle pattern: Wash trading often produces suspiciously even, evenly-spaced volume bars, the same size, hour after hour, including dead hours. Human markets are messy. Bots are tidy. 5๏ธโฃ Volume with no news: A sudden volume surge with zero announcements, zero social mentions, zero on-chain inflows is manufactured, not organic. ๐ฐTHE UNCOMFORTABLE PART: MyTrade was one firm. There were at least three other market makers charged in the same operation. Which means: for years, a meaningful portion of the volume you were reading on low and mid-cap tokens was fiction. Every entry you took because "volume is strong" may have been based on a number someone paid for. And the penalty for running that machine turned out to be $10,000. ๐ฐ CryptoPatel Note: Volume is not proof of demand. Volume is a metric, and metrics can be bought. Verify with liquidity depth, holder distribution and on-chain flow before you trust a chart. The people manufacturing that number are counting on you not checking. #BrentClimbs3.8%To$82.49 #CryptoPatel
MyTrade Founder Sentenced: $10,000 Fine for Faking Crypto Volume
Liu Zhou, 41, founder of crypto market maker MyTrade, was sentenced Thursday in Boston federal court by Judge Angel Kelley. Fine: $10,000. Prison: none.
His business? A dashboard called "Volume Support" where projects bought fake volume. Bots bought and sold the same token in the same second, across ~60 cryptocurrencies, millions of dollars daily.
Caught by an FBI sting using a fake token, NexFundAI. He was charged in October 2024 along with 17 co-conspirators.
Lesson for traders: Volume can be purchased. Always check it against liquidity depth and holder count. Big volume + thin order book = manufactured demand, not real buyers.
First sentencing from Operation Token Mirrors. Gotbit, ZM Quant and CLS Global still pending.
$ETH Is Quietly Printing One Of The Cleanest Bullish Structures On The HTF
After Multiple Failed Attempts, Price Has Finally Reclaimed The Long-Term Descending Trendline And Is Now Consolidating Above It.
As Long As Daily Closes Hold Above $1,510, The Bullish Structure Remains Intact. Technical Targets: $2,400 โ $3,000 โ $3,600 โ $4,200 โ $5,000 (New ATH)
Breakouts Follow Accumulation. Patience Is The Edge. NFA. Always DYOR.
Amazon hit $3 TRILLION on Aug 3 (5th company ever). Same day, Bezos filed to sell 15M shares.
The Truth ๐ โ He filed intent for $4.07B, Form 4 shows only ~$346M actually sold โ Rule 10b5-1 plan adopted Nov 14, 2025, 9 months before the rally โ He still holds 8.16% of Amazon
Result: AMZN -2.3% (Aug 4), -1.7% (Aug 5). The $3T record lasted one day.
Hidden detail: Of Amazon's $62.6B net income, ~$53.4B was a non-cash gain on its Anthropic stake. Retail is reading paper profit as real earnings.
Crypto lesson: Same as every token unlock cycle: scheduled โ dump, intent โ execution.
Everyone Forgot About $LDO After A -94% Crash. The Long-Term Recovery Potential From Here Could Exceed 1,700%
#LDO Is Trading Inside A High Risk-High Reward HTF Accumulation Zone After A ~94% Correction From Its Previous ATH. While The Macro Trend Remains Bearish, Price Is Now Testing A Major Multi-Year Demand Area.
Technical Structure: โ Previous Cycle ATH: $4 โ Macro Correction: โ94% โ Multi-Year Descending Channel Still Intact โ Major S/R Flip: $0.47 (Support โ Resistance) โ Breakdown โ Bearish Retest โ Continuation Confirmed โ Lower High & Lower Low Structure Remains Valid โ High-Risk Accumulation Zone: $0.275 โ $0.24 โ Weekly Close Below $0.234 Invalidates The Current Thesis
Current Market Phase: โก๏ธ 2024: Macro Structure Breakdown โก๏ธ 2024-2026: Persistent Downtrend Inside Descending Channel โก๏ธ Current Price: $0.30 โก๏ธ Phase: Late Distribution โ Early HTF Accumulation
Structure Shift Requirements: 1๏ธโฃ Weekly Close Above Descending Channel 2๏ธโฃ Reclaim & Hold Above $0.47 (Bullish) 3๏ธโฃ Break Higher Timeframe Lower High Structure
Fundamental Outlook: โ Lido Remains One Of Ethereum's Leading Liquid Staking Protocols โ Near Fully Diluted Supply Reduces Future Unlock Pressure โ Lido V3 Strengthens Institutional Staking Infrastructure โ ETH Above $3,000 Could Become A Major Catalyst For LDO
Keep A Close Eye On The $0.23 Support Level. If LDO Fails To Hold This Zone On A Weekly Closing Basis, The Next Major Institutional Accumulation Area Could Be Around $0.12โ$0.10. Plan Your Risk Accordingly And Avoid Deploying Full Capital In A Single Entry.
NFT FOUNDER CHARGED: $10M INVESTOR MONEY SPENT ON GAMBLING & DJ HOBBY
DOJ has indicted Taj Tarsha, 34, founder of NFT startup Few and Far Limited, for securities fraud + wire fraud. Up to 20 years each.
The Allegations: โถ๏ธ Raised $10M+ from 67 investors via SAFT token sales (95M FAR tokens) โถ๏ธ Money went to an online casino + speculative crypto โถ๏ธ Took ~$1M in secret bonuses while company had zero revenue โถ๏ธ Fired nearly all staff, but paid a contractor to fake "development activity" โถ๏ธ Spent on Miami condo, interior design & his DJ hobby โถ๏ธ FAR token launched May 2024 โ worthless, stopped trading โถ๏ธ Case assigned to Judge Lewis Kaplan โ the same judge who sentenced SBF.
Retail Lessons: โ SAFT = highest risk. You pay now for a token that may never exist โ Zero revenue + big founder salary = instant red flag โ Staff leaving is the earliest death signal of any project โ No audit, no transparency, no investment
$VVV Update: From A 1200% Winner To The Next High-Probability Opportunity.
A few months ago, we identified #VVV below $2. โถ๏ธ Entry Called Near The Bottom โถ๏ธ Rallied To A New ATH Of $21.47 โถ๏ธ Delivered Around 1200% Returns โถ๏ธ Now Trading Near $11 (-48% From ATH)
If you rode the first wave, congratulations. That's where the easy money was made.
Now comes the part where most traders make mistakes. โ Don't Chase Red Candles. โ Don't Buy Just Because It's Down 48%.
I'm watching for a deeper correction into the $6.50โ$5 range before considering the next major upside opportunity. Patience Pays. Chasing Pumps Doesn't.
Hope You Enjoyed The First Massive Profit Ride With The CryptoPatel Family. Not Financial Advice. Always DYOR.
He Lost $142,000 On Bored Ape NFTโฆ Then Doubled Down On Ethereum ๐คฏ
Machi Big Brother (@machibigbrother) just closed one of his long-held NFT positions. โถ๏ธ Bought Bored Ape #5670 for 85 $ETH (~$272K) ~5 Years ago. โถ๏ธ Sold it today for just 9 ETH (~$17K) โถ๏ธ Realized a loss of 76 ETH (~$255K, -94%).
Instead of leaving the market, he immediately deployed the proceeds to strengthen his #Ethereum long position.
Current Position: โถ๏ธ 3,550 ETH (~$6.66M) โถ๏ธ Unrealized PnL: ~$14K โถ๏ธ Liquidation Price: $1,841.80
Conviction > Emotion. Even after taking a significant loss on an NFT, he's doubling down on his Ethereum thesis.
Binance Sues RedotPay Founders: Seeks $472.8 Million
Per Bloomberg, Binance-affiliated entities Nest Trading, DistributedTechnologies and Chaintecs Consulting Singapore filed suit in Hong Kong against RedotPay co-founders Gao Zhangpeng, Chan Wa Choi and Yao Chao.
The claim: They breached the March 2025 agreement by letting Binance Pay funds top up RedotPay cards without segregation, diverting 470,000+ Binance Card users and ~$304M in user funds.
$472.8M is lost future revenue (470K users ร $925 lifetime value), not stolen money. Also, RedotPay is one of the largest stablecoin card issuers.
๐น Binance already cut RedotPay off on April 3, 2026 ๐น An earlier 2023 deal collapsed over the same issue ๐น RedotPay is prepping a $1B+ US IPO at $4B+ valuation, Binance says those users built that value ๐น Chaintecs also sued RedotPay affiliates in Singapore, hearing Friday
RedotPay denies the allegations and says it will defend itself through the proper legal process, with operations unaffected. Nothing proven yet. That $925 per-user number is where this case gets fought.
Everywhere on X and socials the sentiment is bullish. My technical analysis says something different. Current Structure: โซ๏ธ Trading at $0.05 โซ๏ธ Just rejected from strong resistance at $0.06 โ $0.065 โซ๏ธ Up 300% from the Feb 12 bottom (last 6 months) โซ๏ธ Chart forming a Rising Wedge / Bearish Flag, bearish structure for the coming months Bias stays bearish until price breaks and holds above $0.065. The Level That Decides Everything: Strong support: $0.036: This level decides $ZAMA next big move. A confirmed breakdown here opens the door to a free fall and a further 50%โ80% correction from the breakdown level. Downside Targets (only on confirmed breakdown below $0.036): $0.03 โ $0.018 โ $0.0075 The Damage So Far: Already down 91% from its post-listing ATH of $0.1987, where the majority of retail investors got trapped and are still holding at heavy loss. Fundraising Breakdown: Total Raised: $184.83M | Valuation: $1B โซ๏ธ Public Sale: $54.83M (30%) โซ๏ธ Funding Rounds: $130.00M (70%) Private Rounds: โซ๏ธ Series A: Mar 7, 2024 โ $73.00M: Multicoin Capital (Lead), Protocol Labs (Lead), Blockchange Ventures, Stake Capital Group, Vsquared Ventures, Metaplanet + angels Anatoly Yakovenko, Juan Benet, Gavin Wood โซ๏ธ Series B: Jun 25, 2025 โ $57.00M at $1B valuation: Pantera Capital (Lead), Blockchange Ventures (Lead) Per-token entry price for Series A and B is still not disclosed but Series B came in at a $1B valuation, while current market cap sits at just $113.13M. ICO / IEO Entry Prices: โซ๏ธ ICO โ 12โ15 Jan 2026 โ $0.05 โ $35.00M raised ($550M valuation) โ ROI 1.03x โซ๏ธ IEO BitMart โ 13โ19 Jan 2026 โ $0.1048 โ ROI 0.49x (-50.9%) โซ๏ธ IEO KuCoin Spotlight โ 20โ24 Jan 2026 โ $0.05 โ $4.40M raised โ ROI 1.03x โซ๏ธ ICO CoinList โ 21โ24 Jan 2026 โ $0.05 โ $4.40M raised โ ROI 1.03x โซ๏ธ IEO Binance Wallet โ 29 Jan 2026 โ $0.05 โ $11.00M raised โ ROI 1.03x โซ๏ธ IEO MEXC โ 26 Janโ2 Feb 2026 โ $0.03 โ ROI 1.71x | $0.04 โ ROI 1.29x Launchpools (Free Distribution: 24.35M ZAMA): KuCoin (3.00M) | Bybit (12.00M) | Bitget (9.35M) Price is sitting right at the $0.05 ICO/IEO level. Almost every public round buyer is now at 1x, barely breakeven. BitMart IEO buyers at $0.1048 are already down 50%. Free launchpool supply has zero cost basis. Unlock Pressure Ahead โซ๏ธ 72.7% of supply still locked under linear vesting โซ๏ธ Full unlock completes by Feb 2030 โซ๏ธ 1.04% of total supply unlocks monthly (team, treasury & growth) until January 2027 โซ๏ธ From January 2027, VC and angel unlocks begin, 3.79% of total supply monthly until Feb 2028 โซ๏ธ After VC/angel unlocks finish, team unlocks continue through Feb 2030 When that supply enters the market, selling pressure follows. Hype is loud. Structure is weak. Public buyers are at breakeven with zero cushion, and heavy unlocks are coming. $0.065 flips the bias bullish, $0.036 breaks it wide open to the downside. Not Financial Advice. ALWAYS DYOR. #ZAMA #CryptoPatel
Everyone Is Talking About Strategy Selling Bitcoin...But Almost Nobody Is Asking The Right Question.
Who Bought Those Bitcoin? โ Bitcoin didn't disappear. โ It simply moved from one wallet to many new wallets. โ And that's actually a healthy thing for Bitcoin.
Here's why: ๐ More people own Bitcoin instead of one company holding a bigger share. ๐ If the price drops because people panic, long-term investors get a chance to buy the same Bitcoin at a lower price. ๐ Nothing about Bitcoin itself has changed.
The supply is still only 21 Million BTC. The network is still secure. People around the world are still adopting Bitcoin.
So What Really Changed? Only the owner.
Remember... Price can change in a day. The fundamentals take years to change. That's why smart investors don't panic over headlines.
They ask one simple question: "Has Bitcoin changed, or are people just reacting emotionally?"
Most of the time, it's just emotions. Fear creates panic. Panic creates opportunity. And opportunity is usually taken by people who stay calm while everyone else is scared.
Don't follow the crowd. Understand what's really happening. That's how wealth is built in every market.
EX-LAPD OFFICER GETS LIFE + 15 YEARS FOR $350K BITCOIN ROBBERY
Eric Halem, 38, was sentenced on Aug 4 for the December 2024 armed robbery of a 17-year-old in Los Angeles.
โ Posed as police with 3 others in tactical vests โ Used LAPD-issued handcuffs on the victim's girlfriend โ Forced the teen to hand over a hard drive holding $350,000 in $BTC โ He was still an active LAPD reserve officer at the time โ Life terms run concurrently, parole-eligible after 7 years
Physical attacks on crypto holders are rising. Self-custody has no chargeback and no support desk.
Stay safe: โ Never reveal holdings or wallet size publicly โ Use a hardware wallet with a hidden passphrase โ Keep a decoy wallet with small funds โ Split seed backups across separate locations
Cold storage protects you from hackers. Silence protects you from everyone else.
Most Traders Are Looking Long On $ZEC ... I'm Preparing To Short
#ZEC continues to trade below a major HTF bearish order block, and the higher-timeframe structure still favors the bears. Until that changes, I'm staying patient.
Technical Bias: Bearish Until Proven Otherwise. โถ๏ธ HTF Bearish OB: $620-$740 โถ๏ธ Preferred Short Zone: $540-$580 (Distribution + Bearish OB) โถ๏ธ Current Price: $520 (No Edge) โถ๏ธ Bullish OB: $320-$350 โถ๏ธ HTF Order Flow: $230-$260
Trade Plan: I'm watching the $540-$580 region for a potential short. This area combines a distribution zone with a bearish order block, making it the highest-probability region for sellers to regain control.
I'm not interested in trading the middle of the range. I'd rather wait for price to reach premium supply, where the risk-to-reward is significantly better.