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Candlestick Charts in Crypto: How to Read Price Action in a 24/7 Market?
Candlestick Charts in Crypto: How to Read Price Action in a 24/7 Market?
Candlestick charts are the backbone of technical analysis in crypto trading. In a market that never sleeps, moves fast, and is heavily influenced by leverage and emotion, candlesticks help traders understand what price is actually doing, and why.
Unlike indicators that lag behind price, candlesticks show real-time behavior of buyers and sellers. If you trade Bitcoin, altcoins, or even memecoins, learning candlesticks is non-negotiable.
What Is a Candlestick in Crypto?
A candlestick represents price movement over a specific timeframe, such as 5 minutes, 1 hour, 4 hours, or 1 day. Each candle contains four key pieces of information:
. Open: Price at the start of the period
. High: Highest traded price
. Low: Lowest traded price
. Close: Price at the end of the period
If the close is higher than the open, the candle is bullish. If the close is lower, it’s bearish.
Because crypto trades 24/7, daily and weekly candle closes are extremely important. Strong closes often define trend direction more than intraday moves.
Anatomy of a Candlestick
Each candlestick has two main components:
. The body: Distance between open and close
. The wicks (shadows): Price extremes above and below the body
In crypto:
. Large bodies signal conviction and momentum
. Long wicks signal rejection, stop hunts, or liquidity grabs
This is especially common in highly leveraged markets like $BTC and $ETH futures.
Why Wicks Matter So Much in Crypto
Crypto markets are driven by liquidity. Large players often push price into obvious areas to trigger stop losses and liquidations.
. Long lower wick → Stops swept below support, buyers step in
. Long upper wick → Liquidity taken above resistance, sellers respond
These wicks often appear near key levels and can mark local tops or bottoms.
Key Candlestick Patterns in Crypto Trading?
While no pattern works in isolation, some are especially useful in crypto:
. Doji: Open and close are nearly equal — indecision before expansion
. Hammer / Pin Bar: Strong rejection after a stop hunt
. Bullish Engulfing: Buyers overwhelm sellers, momentum shift
. Bearish Engulfing: Sellers take control, potential distribution
Patterns on higher timeframes (4H, Daily, Weekly) are far more reliable than those on lower timeframes.
Candlesticks and Market Structure?
Candlesticks work best when aligned with structure:
. Support and resistance
. Trend direction
. Range highs and lows
A bullish candle in the middle of nowhere means little.
A bullish candle closing above resistance can change everything.
Always ask:
. Where did this candle form?
. How did it close?
. What liquidity was taken?
Timeframes Matter in Crypto?
Crypto traders often get trapped by lower timeframes. Understanding timeframe hierarchy is key:
. Lower timeframes: Noise, fakeouts, leverage-driven moves
. Higher timeframes: Real trend, institutional intent
Bitcoin’s weekly candle close has historically defined entire bull and bear cycles.
Final Thoughts
Candlesticks don’t predict the future, they reveal behavior. In crypto, where volatility is extreme and emotions run high, candlesticks help traders read fear, greed, and conviction directly from price.
Master candlesticks, combine them with structure and risk management, and you’ll stop guessing, and start reading the market for what it truly is.
#BitcoinGoogleSearchesSurge #USIranStandoff
Candlestick charts are the backbone of technical analysis in crypto trading. In a market that never sleeps, moves fast, and is heavily influenced by leverage and emotion, candlesticks help traders understand what price is actually doing, and why.
Unlike indicators that lag behind price, candlesticks show real-time behavior of buyers and sellers. If you trade Bitcoin, altcoins, or even memecoins, learning candlesticks is non-negotiable.
What Is a Candlestick in Crypto?
A candlestick represents price movement over a specific timeframe, such as 5 minutes, 1 hour, 4 hours, or 1 day. Each candle contains four key pieces of information:
. Open: Price at the start of the period
. High: Highest traded price
. Low: Lowest traded price
. Close: Price at the end of the period
If the close is higher than the open, the candle is bullish. If the close is lower, it’s bearish.
Because crypto trades 24/7, daily and weekly candle closes are extremely important. Strong closes often define trend direction more than intraday moves.
Anatomy of a Candlestick
Each candlestick has two main components:
. The body: Distance between open and close
. The wicks (shadows): Price extremes above and below the body
In crypto:
. Large bodies signal conviction and momentum
. Long wicks signal rejection, stop hunts, or liquidity grabs
This is especially common in highly leveraged markets like $BTC and $ETH futures.
Why Wicks Matter So Much in Crypto
Crypto markets are driven by liquidity. Large players often push price into obvious areas to trigger stop losses and liquidations.
. Long lower wick → Stops swept below support, buyers step in
. Long upper wick → Liquidity taken above resistance, sellers respond
These wicks often appear near key levels and can mark local tops or bottoms.
Key Candlestick Patterns in Crypto Trading?
While no pattern works in isolation, some are especially useful in crypto:
. Doji: Open and close are nearly equal — indecision before expansion
. Hammer / Pin Bar: Strong rejection after a stop hunt
. Bullish Engulfing: Buyers overwhelm sellers, momentum shift
. Bearish Engulfing: Sellers take control, potential distribution
Patterns on higher timeframes (4H, Daily, Weekly) are far more reliable than those on lower timeframes.
Candlesticks and Market Structure?
Candlesticks work best when aligned with structure:
. Support and resistance
. Trend direction
. Range highs and lows
A bullish candle in the middle of nowhere means little.
A bullish candle closing above resistance can change everything.
Always ask:
. Where did this candle form?
. How did it close?
. What liquidity was taken?
Timeframes Matter in Crypto?
Crypto traders often get trapped by lower timeframes. Understanding timeframe hierarchy is key:
. Lower timeframes: Noise, fakeouts, leverage-driven moves
. Higher timeframes: Real trend, institutional intent
Bitcoin’s weekly candle close has historically defined entire bull and bear cycles.
Final Thoughts
Candlesticks don’t predict the future, they reveal behavior. In crypto, where volatility is extreme and emotions run high, candlesticks help traders read fear, greed, and conviction directly from price.
Master candlesticks, combine them with structure and risk management, and you’ll stop guessing, and start reading the market for what it truly is.
#BitcoinGoogleSearchesSurge #USIranStandoff
What’s Really Going On in the Crypto Market Right Now?
What’s Really Going On in the Crypto Market Right Now?
The crypto market is going through a classic reset phase, not a collapse. Price action looks chaotic on the surface, but underneath it’s driven by positioning, leverage, and macro pressure rather than a breakdown in long-term fundamentals.
1. Leverage Got Flushed
Over the past weeks, excessive leverage built up across majors like $BTC and $ETH. When large funds and desks began unwinding multi-billion-dollar positions, it triggered cascading liquidations. This wasn’t retail panic, it was forced selling. Markets always overcorrect when leverage gets cleared.
2. Volatility Is Structural, Not Accidental
Crypto still trades like a thin, reflexive market. Exchanges can see positioning, and crowded trades get hunted. That’s why moves feel exaggerated in both directions. Sharp drops don’t automatically signal weakness
they often mark liquidity events.
3. Bitcoin Is Holding the Macro Narrative
Despite the noise, Bitcoin continues to behave like a macro asset. On-chain data shows long-term holders aren’t distributing at scale. Relative indicators versus assets like gold are sitting at historically extreme levels, zones where previous bear phases ended, not began.
4. Ethereum Is Lagging… For Now
ETH’s correction has been deeper due to large position unwinds and weaker relative momentum. Historically, Ethereum underperforms during stress phases and outperforms once risk appetite returns. This rotation pattern hasn’t broken
5. Governments and Institutions Change the Game
This cycle is different. Governments, ETFs, and large institutions now hold meaningful exposure. That reduces the probability of endless downside but increases choppy, frustrating price action designed to shake out overleveraged traders.
6. Sentiment Is the Tell
Fear is elevated. Calls for extreme downside are loud. That’s usually when markets are closer to opportunity than danger. Bull markets don’t end when everyone is scared, they end when everyone feels safe.
Bottom Line
What we’re seeing isn’t the end of crypto. It’s the market doing what it always does:
. flushing leverage
. redistributing coins
. punishing impatience
For long term participants, these phases have historically been where positions are built, not abandoned.
Volatility is the cost of admission.
The crypto market is going through a classic reset phase, not a collapse. Price action looks chaotic on the surface, but underneath it’s driven by positioning, leverage, and macro pressure rather than a breakdown in long-term fundamentals.
1. Leverage Got Flushed
Over the past weeks, excessive leverage built up across majors like $BTC and $ETH. When large funds and desks began unwinding multi-billion-dollar positions, it triggered cascading liquidations. This wasn’t retail panic, it was forced selling. Markets always overcorrect when leverage gets cleared.
2. Volatility Is Structural, Not Accidental
Crypto still trades like a thin, reflexive market. Exchanges can see positioning, and crowded trades get hunted. That’s why moves feel exaggerated in both directions. Sharp drops don’t automatically signal weakness
they often mark liquidity events.
3. Bitcoin Is Holding the Macro Narrative
Despite the noise, Bitcoin continues to behave like a macro asset. On-chain data shows long-term holders aren’t distributing at scale. Relative indicators versus assets like gold are sitting at historically extreme levels, zones where previous bear phases ended, not began.
4. Ethereum Is Lagging… For Now
ETH’s correction has been deeper due to large position unwinds and weaker relative momentum. Historically, Ethereum underperforms during stress phases and outperforms once risk appetite returns. This rotation pattern hasn’t broken
5. Governments and Institutions Change the Game
This cycle is different. Governments, ETFs, and large institutions now hold meaningful exposure. That reduces the probability of endless downside but increases choppy, frustrating price action designed to shake out overleveraged traders.
6. Sentiment Is the Tell
Fear is elevated. Calls for extreme downside are loud. That’s usually when markets are closer to opportunity than danger. Bull markets don’t end when everyone is scared, they end when everyone feels safe.
Bottom Line
What we’re seeing isn’t the end of crypto. It’s the market doing what it always does:
. flushing leverage
. redistributing coins
. punishing impatience
For long term participants, these phases have historically been where positions are built, not abandoned.
Volatility is the cost of admission.
I think if $ETH rallies, the upside may be capped around $3,300 until the next cycle. If that level breaks, it would be very bullish, as it likely represents the institutional cost basis, and some bag holders may exit on rallies.
Coinbase’s cost basis sits around $1,500, which could act as a floor
or even slightly lower, if you’re lucky. Essentially, $1,500–$3,000 looks like an accumulation range before the next cycle pushes toward $9,000.
What’s exciting about $ETH is that stablecoins are booming and onchain finance is growing.
This is tangible, visible growth!
That’s very different from Bitcoin, which is a slower, underutilized network and largely driven by mindshare and marketing.
For me, $ETH is the better bet going forward, reality over hype
#MarketRally #BitcoinGoogleSearchesSurge
Coinbase’s cost basis sits around $1,500, which could act as a floor
or even slightly lower, if you’re lucky. Essentially, $1,500–$3,000 looks like an accumulation range before the next cycle pushes toward $9,000.
What’s exciting about $ETH is that stablecoins are booming and onchain finance is growing.
This is tangible, visible growth!
That’s very different from Bitcoin, which is a slower, underutilized network and largely driven by mindshare and marketing.
For me, $ETH is the better bet going forward, reality over hype
#MarketRally #BitcoinGoogleSearchesSurge
$BTC has drifted back into the weekend range.
Bitcoin made a solid push toward the H1 swing high, which now also marks the weekend range high. We’re currently in weekend liquidity, so I’m not expecting major moves, though I say that cautiously, given last weekend’s -10% drop. On average, weekends are quiet, so I’m mostly staying on the sidelines.
Within the range, my rules are: a move to the range high can trigger longs after a gain or shorts following a sweep and bearish MSB. Conversely, the range low, after a sweep and bullish MSB, can trigger longs. If we break the low without showing strength, continuation shorts could become interesting.
The higher-timeframe trend remains bearish. Let’s see what next week brings.
#MarketRally #BitcoinGoogleSearchesSurge
Bitcoin made a solid push toward the H1 swing high, which now also marks the weekend range high. We’re currently in weekend liquidity, so I’m not expecting major moves, though I say that cautiously, given last weekend’s -10% drop. On average, weekends are quiet, so I’m mostly staying on the sidelines.
Within the range, my rules are: a move to the range high can trigger longs after a gain or shorts following a sweep and bearish MSB. Conversely, the range low, after a sweep and bullish MSB, can trigger longs. If we break the low without showing strength, continuation shorts could become interesting.
The higher-timeframe trend remains bearish. Let’s see what next week brings.
#MarketRally #BitcoinGoogleSearchesSurge
BITCOIN IS BEING MANIPULATED AGAIN!
$BTC dropped to $60K, surged to $71K, and now sits at $67K—all within 24 hours.
This isn’t natural price action. It’s coordinated manipulation.
If you hold Bitcoin, here’s what you need to know: always track the flows to understand the market.
Exchanges and treasury companies holding paper Bitcoin profit the most from violent swings. In the last few days, they moved roughly 230,000 $BTC —over $18 billion—back and forth.
Think about that.
Most people watch the candles. Very few focus on the one thing that truly matters: flows.
Liquidity is thin, so it doesn’t take tens of billions to push the price.
Here’s the pattern:
1️⃣ First, they dump the price to create fear.
2️⃣ Then, they pump it rapidly.
3️⃣ Bitcoin jumps $11K in under a day—sparking FOMO and drawing leverage traders back in.
This is the setup:
Crazy dump → Fast pump → Shorts wiped out → FOMO longs pile in → Then comes the next dump.
Both sides get “farmed”:
. Dump to liquidate longs
. Pump to liquidate shorts
There’s no news or sentiment shift driving this. It’s leverage + low liquidity.
I’ve studied markets for over 10 years and predicted nearly every major top, including October’s BTC ATH.
Follow me and turn on notifications, I’ll post warnings before they hit the headlines.
Ignore at your own risk, but don’t say you weren’t warned.
#MarketRally #BitcoinGoogleSearchesSurge
$BTC dropped to $60K, surged to $71K, and now sits at $67K—all within 24 hours.
This isn’t natural price action. It’s coordinated manipulation.
If you hold Bitcoin, here’s what you need to know: always track the flows to understand the market.
Exchanges and treasury companies holding paper Bitcoin profit the most from violent swings. In the last few days, they moved roughly 230,000 $BTC —over $18 billion—back and forth.
Think about that.
Most people watch the candles. Very few focus on the one thing that truly matters: flows.
Liquidity is thin, so it doesn’t take tens of billions to push the price.
Here’s the pattern:
1️⃣ First, they dump the price to create fear.
2️⃣ Then, they pump it rapidly.
3️⃣ Bitcoin jumps $11K in under a day—sparking FOMO and drawing leverage traders back in.
This is the setup:
Crazy dump → Fast pump → Shorts wiped out → FOMO longs pile in → Then comes the next dump.
Both sides get “farmed”:
. Dump to liquidate longs
. Pump to liquidate shorts
There’s no news or sentiment shift driving this. It’s leverage + low liquidity.
I’ve studied markets for over 10 years and predicted nearly every major top, including October’s BTC ATH.
Follow me and turn on notifications, I’ll post warnings before they hit the headlines.
Ignore at your own risk, but don’t say you weren’t warned.
#MarketRally #BitcoinGoogleSearchesSurge
$ETH / $USD – Personal Update
This is my current view on Ethereum, though things could change. Right now, I’m liking the setup.
It seems the 4th wave hasn’t fully formed yet, and we’re completing it now. After that, I expect a final leg down to create a double bottom, shaking out the late shorts.
#MarketRally #USIranStandoff
This is my current view on Ethereum, though things could change. Right now, I’m liking the setup.
It seems the 4th wave hasn’t fully formed yet, and we’re completing it now. After that, I expect a final leg down to create a double bottom, shaking out the late shorts.
#MarketRally #USIranStandoff
This is exactly the follow-through I was flagging on $BTC .
We lost the 100-week EMA (yellow), hovered around it briefly, then got rejected, and price has now slid hard toward 60K.
Feels very similar to the last cycle: former support flips to resistance, and that level gets used to squeeze late longs before a true floor forms.
Unless $BTC can reclaim the 100W EMA quickly with a strong weekly close back above 86K, I’m viewing any bounce into that area as an exit bounce, with more chop and pain while a base develops.
Only a fast reclaim changes the narrative
otherwise, it’s still “things get dark for a bit” mode.
#MarketRally #USIranStandoff
We lost the 100-week EMA (yellow), hovered around it briefly, then got rejected, and price has now slid hard toward 60K.
Feels very similar to the last cycle: former support flips to resistance, and that level gets used to squeeze late longs before a true floor forms.
Unless $BTC can reclaim the 100W EMA quickly with a strong weekly close back above 86K, I’m viewing any bounce into that area as an exit bounce, with more chop and pain while a base develops.
Only a fast reclaim changes the narrative
otherwise, it’s still “things get dark for a bit” mode.
#MarketRally #USIranStandoff
Using $ETH as an example for the current altcoin structure: we’ve seen a strong bounce across the board from the $BTC 60k area.
Many coins are now retesting key demand zones that previously acted as supply. For continuation, these zones need to flip. This is definitely not a place to take leveraged longs until they are reclaimed.
If the flip happens, the market moves into the next range, and the setup looks promising
but as always, it’s not a gamble.
#RiskAssetsMarketShock #MarketCorrection
Many coins are now retesting key demand zones that previously acted as supply. For continuation, these zones need to flip. This is definitely not a place to take leveraged longs until they are reclaimed.
If the flip happens, the market moves into the next range, and the setup looks promising
but as always, it’s not a gamble.
#RiskAssetsMarketShock #MarketCorrection
#bitcoin ’s price is heavily manipulated by insiders.
Last night, the market plunged violently, $BTC dropped over 14% in just a few hours. If that pace had continued, it could have lost nearly 99% of its value in less than 10 days.
So what do th Bitcoin cartel do? Behind the scenes, they create billions of unbacked, unaudited USDT out of thin air, funnel it into a network of centralized exchanges, and buy massive amounts of $BTC to artificially prop up the price.
Retail investors then assume the market has bottomed, pile in, and temporarily drive the price higher. This is classic “plunge protection”, a rigged market tactic.
In reality, genuine demand is minimal, so these bounces are short-lived. Tether’s interventions are limited, mainly happening in emergencies, especially now that regulators are watching closely.
The bigger threat is the stalled CLARITY bill. Its last-minute provisions would require every stablecoin to back itself entirely with U.S. Treasuries and obtain a full U.S. banking license, effectively destroying offshore issuers like Tether. That’s why many crypto “leaders” are panicking.
they know what’s coming.
Tether wants to ban stablecoin yields to crush competition, but Wall Street is fighting to keep them legal, and they are likely to succeed. Once that happens, manipulators like Tether will be replaced, and Wall Street will step in to dominate the market.
#RiskAssetsMarketShock #WhenWillBTCRebound
Last night, the market plunged violently, $BTC dropped over 14% in just a few hours. If that pace had continued, it could have lost nearly 99% of its value in less than 10 days.
So what do th Bitcoin cartel do? Behind the scenes, they create billions of unbacked, unaudited USDT out of thin air, funnel it into a network of centralized exchanges, and buy massive amounts of $BTC to artificially prop up the price.
Retail investors then assume the market has bottomed, pile in, and temporarily drive the price higher. This is classic “plunge protection”, a rigged market tactic.
In reality, genuine demand is minimal, so these bounces are short-lived. Tether’s interventions are limited, mainly happening in emergencies, especially now that regulators are watching closely.
The bigger threat is the stalled CLARITY bill. Its last-minute provisions would require every stablecoin to back itself entirely with U.S. Treasuries and obtain a full U.S. banking license, effectively destroying offshore issuers like Tether. That’s why many crypto “leaders” are panicking.
they know what’s coming.
Tether wants to ban stablecoin yields to crush competition, but Wall Street is fighting to keep them legal, and they are likely to succeed. Once that happens, manipulators like Tether will be replaced, and Wall Street will step in to dominate the market.
#RiskAssetsMarketShock #WhenWillBTCRebound
GOLD AND SILVER ARE BOUNCING BACK
Gold has rebounded 5.8% from today’s low, restoring roughly $1.87 trillion in market cap.
Silver has surged 18% off the lows, adding about $672 billion in value.
Markets are responding to easing geopolitical fears, with reports of renewed U.S.–Iran talks circulating.
$BTC $ETH $BNB
#RiskAssetsMarketShock #WhenWillBTCRebound
Gold has rebounded 5.8% from today’s low, restoring roughly $1.87 trillion in market cap.
Silver has surged 18% off the lows, adding about $672 billion in value.
Markets are responding to easing geopolitical fears, with reports of renewed U.S.–Iran talks circulating.
$BTC $ETH $BNB
#RiskAssetsMarketShock #WhenWillBTCRebound
$ETH zoom out and the macro levels become obvious.
Just study the previous bear cycle highs and lows.
From the current cycle high, ETH is trading within a huge monthly range: roughly $900 to $4,900.
Price already swept the highs near $4,900 and was firmly rejected.
The range lows sit around $900, where major liquidity and demand remain untouched since the 2022 bottom.
$ETH is now sitting at a, pivotal zone for this cycle the 0.75 Fibonacci area around $1,750.
If a bottom, or even a temporary one, is going to form, it should happen here.
If this level fails, the door opens for a move back into demand at the prior bear-market lows around $1,000–$900.
No need to overtrade.
No need to overthink.
That’s how capital stays intact.
#RiskAssetsMarketShock #WhenWillBTCRebound
Just study the previous bear cycle highs and lows.
From the current cycle high, ETH is trading within a huge monthly range: roughly $900 to $4,900.
Price already swept the highs near $4,900 and was firmly rejected.
The range lows sit around $900, where major liquidity and demand remain untouched since the 2022 bottom.
$ETH is now sitting at a, pivotal zone for this cycle the 0.75 Fibonacci area around $1,750.
If a bottom, or even a temporary one, is going to form, it should happen here.
If this level fails, the door opens for a move back into demand at the prior bear-market lows around $1,000–$900.
No need to overtrade.
No need to overthink.
That’s how capital stays intact.
#RiskAssetsMarketShock #WhenWillBTCRebound
$BTC bounced back nearly 6% after briefly dropping over 50% from its October peak, falling close to $60,000 before recovering to around $65,700.
The decline was largely due to liquidations and unwinding of leveraged positions, rather than any specific fundamental event. Ether and Solana also experienced sharp drops before rebounding.
Market volatility has spiked, ETF outflows reached $434 million, and more than $2 billion in crypto positions were liquidated. Traders are now closely watching whether Bitcoin can hold the $60,000 level, as a break below could push prices into the mid-$50,000s.
#RiskAssetsMarketShock #MarketCorrection
The decline was largely due to liquidations and unwinding of leveraged positions, rather than any specific fundamental event. Ether and Solana also experienced sharp drops before rebounding.
Market volatility has spiked, ETF outflows reached $434 million, and more than $2 billion in crypto positions were liquidated. Traders are now closely watching whether Bitcoin can hold the $60,000 level, as a break below could push prices into the mid-$50,000s.
#RiskAssetsMarketShock #MarketCorrection
$ETH 4H, keeping it real.
Crowd turned bullish right at resistance, but the market wasn’t ready. Sharp rejection, slow bleed, then a full panic flush.
Stops cleared, weak hands shaken out. Now we’re bouncing off the lows.
If this level holds, a grind back toward $2.8k–$3k is very much in play.
#RiskAssetsMarketShock #ADPDataDisappoints
Crowd turned bullish right at resistance, but the market wasn’t ready. Sharp rejection, slow bleed, then a full panic flush.
Stops cleared, weak hands shaken out. Now we’re bouncing off the lows.
If this level holds, a grind back toward $2.8k–$3k is very much in play.
#RiskAssetsMarketShock #ADPDataDisappoints
$ETH is currently trading in a strong demand zone, an area that could spark a solid bullish rally. This is a level where risk can be justified, and I’m personally adding near support.
That said, a weekly breakdown would open the door to further downside.
turning the lower marked zone into a prime accumulation opportunity. On the bullish side, if price holds here, Ethereum could rebound toward $2,500, completing a healthy retracement back to the origin of the move.
#RiskAssetsMarketShock #EthereumLayer2Rethink?
That said, a weekly breakdown would open the door to further downside.
turning the lower marked zone into a prime accumulation opportunity. On the bullish side, if price holds here, Ethereum could rebound toward $2,500, completing a healthy retracement back to the origin of the move.
#RiskAssetsMarketShock #EthereumLayer2Rethink?
For $BTC :
The $38k–$47k range is a sensible spot to start buying again. Gradual buying here isn’t a bad strategy.
A monthly close below $38k could open the path toward sub-$30k levels. I’d be surprised if that happens, though a $20k retest would feel poetic.
Bears can still profit, but most of the downside is likely already priced in. For long-term buyers, this is generally a favorable expected value play, especially if you’re not shorting $ETH or other altcoins.
#RiskAssetsMarketShock #MarketCorrection
The $38k–$47k range is a sensible spot to start buying again. Gradual buying here isn’t a bad strategy.
A monthly close below $38k could open the path toward sub-$30k levels. I’d be surprised if that happens, though a $20k retest would feel poetic.
Bears can still profit, but most of the downside is likely already priced in. For long-term buyers, this is generally a favorable expected value play, especially if you’re not shorting $ETH or other altcoins.
#RiskAssetsMarketShock #MarketCorrection
This time wasn’t different after all. The 4-year cycle still rules, with $BTC topping in Q4, four years after the previous peak.
If that holds, this bear market should resemble prior ones, with $BTC eventually drifting toward the 79% Fibonacci retracement.
Last cycle, sub-$30k felt like value.
The cycle before, sub-$6k did.
Given the speed of this sell-off, it feels like we’re approaching those “good value” levels much faster than expected.
#RiskAssetsMarketShock #WhenWillBTCRebound
If that holds, this bear market should resemble prior ones, with $BTC eventually drifting toward the 79% Fibonacci retracement.
Last cycle, sub-$30k felt like value.
The cycle before, sub-$6k did.
Given the speed of this sell-off, it feels like we’re approaching those “good value” levels much faster than expected.
#RiskAssetsMarketShock #WhenWillBTCRebound
This is my current view on how $BTC price action may unfold.
Bitcoin is deeply oversold right now, with steady, methodical selling over the past week, possibly from one or more large players unwinding positions. While the exact bottom is impossible to pinpoint, the selloff has become extremely steep. Moves like this often end with a sharp V-shaped relief bounce, not a push to new ATHs, but a meaningful recovery rally.
Key weekly moving averages in focus are the 50, 100, and 200 MAs.
Key weekly moving averages in focus are the 50, 100, and 200 MAs.
Path A (~$87k):
The 100-week MA looks like the most probable bounce zone. It aligns with the underside of the bear flag that BTC recently broke down from, putting the target near $87k.
Path B (~$95k):
A move back to the 50-week MA is still possible, though less likely after the recent heavy drawdown. If reached, this would place BTC closer to $95k.
Overall, a relief bounce into the $87k–$95k range over the next 1–2 months seems like a reasonable expectation once selling pressure exhausts.
#WhenWillBTCRebound #WhaleDeRiskETH
Bitcoin is deeply oversold right now, with steady, methodical selling over the past week, possibly from one or more large players unwinding positions. While the exact bottom is impossible to pinpoint, the selloff has become extremely steep. Moves like this often end with a sharp V-shaped relief bounce, not a push to new ATHs, but a meaningful recovery rally.
Key weekly moving averages in focus are the 50, 100, and 200 MAs.
Key weekly moving averages in focus are the 50, 100, and 200 MAs.
Path A (~$87k):
The 100-week MA looks like the most probable bounce zone. It aligns with the underside of the bear flag that BTC recently broke down from, putting the target near $87k.
Path B (~$95k):
A move back to the 50-week MA is still possible, though less likely after the recent heavy drawdown. If reached, this would place BTC closer to $95k.
Overall, a relief bounce into the $87k–$95k range over the next 1–2 months seems like a reasonable expectation once selling pressure exhausts.
#WhenWillBTCRebound #WhaleDeRiskETH
$BTC has now reached the reversal zone I highlighted yesterday, its previous all-time high.
A key rule that many overlook is that Bitcoin tends to retest its prior ATH. We saw this in the last bear market, where the bottom formed around the $15-20k range, coinciding with its previous peak.
I anticipate a rounded bottom to form here over the coming weeks, creating an ideal window to accumulate altcoins before the final leg toward $98-103k. That will be the time to take profits and reassess the market outlook.
#WhenWillBTCRebound #WhaleDeRiskETH
A key rule that many overlook is that Bitcoin tends to retest its prior ATH. We saw this in the last bear market, where the bottom formed around the $15-20k range, coinciding with its previous peak.
I anticipate a rounded bottom to form here over the coming weeks, creating an ideal window to accumulate altcoins before the final leg toward $98-103k. That will be the time to take profits and reassess the market outlook.
#WhenWillBTCRebound #WhaleDeRiskETH
$XRP is under significant selling pressure, sliding toward multi‑month lows as broader crypto markets fall alongside Bitcoin and Ethereum. Heavy liquidations and negative sentiment have traders cautious, with prices dipping around the mid‑$1s and technical indicators leaning bearish. �
Finance Magnates +1
Despite the downturn, the story still sparks conversation and curiosity among investors seeking a rebound or deep value entry. Social buzz remains active, as analysts debate whether support zones will hold or trigger further declines. �
cryptopotato.com
This mix of emotion, practical risk, and community chatter keeps $XRP front‑of‑mind in crypto feeds today.
#WhenWillBTCRebound #ADPDataDisappoints
Finance Magnates +1
Despite the downturn, the story still sparks conversation and curiosity among investors seeking a rebound or deep value entry. Social buzz remains active, as analysts debate whether support zones will hold or trigger further declines. �
cryptopotato.com
This mix of emotion, practical risk, and community chatter keeps $XRP front‑of‑mind in crypto feeds today.
#WhenWillBTCRebound #ADPDataDisappoints
$BTC has dropped to around $70,140, continuing its grind lower into the higher-timeframe support zone.
As mentioned earlier, my bias remains bearish until we see a clear shift in market structure on at least the H4 timeframe. For the rest of the week, it’s logical to focus on short opportunities during bearish retests within the current range.
Why I still favor shorts: statistics suggest only a 5.8% chance of breaking the ~$79,360 weekly high based on time, and just a 4.3% chance based on distance, according to @BrighterData. I use BD’s time and distance data as an extra layer of confirmation, trading is always about probabilities.
Locally, prices are too low to initiate shorts now. I’m looking for a higher retest to capture liquidity, then short at the bearish market structure break, aiming for the weekly low. Key levels to watch are liquidity above ~$74,140 and ~$76,971.
To consider flipping to a bullish bias, I’d need to see price acceptance above the ~$79,260 weekly high, confirmed by daily and H4 structure.
#ADPDataDisappoints #EthereumLayer2Rethink?
As mentioned earlier, my bias remains bearish until we see a clear shift in market structure on at least the H4 timeframe. For the rest of the week, it’s logical to focus on short opportunities during bearish retests within the current range.
Why I still favor shorts: statistics suggest only a 5.8% chance of breaking the ~$79,360 weekly high based on time, and just a 4.3% chance based on distance, according to @BrighterData. I use BD’s time and distance data as an extra layer of confirmation, trading is always about probabilities.
Locally, prices are too low to initiate shorts now. I’m looking for a higher retest to capture liquidity, then short at the bearish market structure break, aiming for the weekly low. Key levels to watch are liquidity above ~$74,140 and ~$76,971.
To consider flipping to a bullish bias, I’d need to see price acceptance above the ~$79,260 weekly high, confirmed by daily and H4 structure.
#ADPDataDisappoints #EthereumLayer2Rethink?
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