Gold Nears a Historic Monetary Level as Bitcoin Tests Support
Gold, when adjusted for U.S. money supply, is challenging a level that has acted as resistance for decades. It was reached in 2011 and only decisively broken during the inflationary surge of the late 1970s.
Bitcoin, often compared to digital gold, is instead pulling back toward a defining support zone. That level coincides with both the April macro-driven selloff and the previous cycle high earlier this year.
Gold’s strength reflects rising concern around currency debasement. Bitcoin’s position reflects consolidation within its cycle, not the end of its long-term trend.
Markets are weighing the same problem through two different instruments.
Bitcoin’s $70K–$80K range is one of its weakest historical zones.
BTC spent very little time there over the past five years, which means fewer positions were built and less structural support exists. Glassnode data confirms low supply concentration in the same range.
If price pulls back, this zone may require consolidation before acting as a true floor.
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Bitcoin holding between $85,000 and $90,000 for most of December has less to do with sentiment and more to do with derivatives structure.
Heavy options exposure near spot forced market makers to hedge aggressively, buying dips and selling rallies. This behavior suppressed volatility and locked price into a narrow corridor, even as macro conditions improved and risk assets moved higher.
That dynamic changes as year-end options expire. With roughly $27B in open interest rolling off and a strong call bias still in place, the hedging pressure that pinned price fades quickly.
Implied volatility remains near monthly lows, suggesting the market is underpricing movement just as structural constraints are removed.
When positioning dominates price for weeks, the resolution often comes fast once those constraints disappear.
🚨Why Markets Are Choosing Gold and Copper Over Bitcoin in 2025
This year’s market behavior tells a clear story. Investors are prioritizing assets they can touch, store, and rely on when confidence in financial systems weakens or when growth demands real infrastructure.
Gold has surged as fears around fiscal sustainability, currency debasement, and political instability intensify. Copper has followed, driven by the AI boom, electrification, and global infrastructure build-out. Both assets represent tangibility in a world questioning paper promises.
Bitcoin, despite being positioned as both digital gold and high-end tech, has not captured either flow. Institutions have largely priced in ETFs and regulatory clarity, while sovereigns continue to favor gold as their hedge of choice.
This divergence does not necessarily mean Bitcoin has lost relevance. Historically, gold tends to lead during periods of monetary stress, with Bitcoin reacting later and often with greater volatility.
The current market is not rejecting crypto. It is demanding proof, patience, and timing.
🚨 $BTC BTC Regime Score is flashing an early signal most traders miss… Bull/Bear structure is compressing Regime score hovering near the critical equilibrium zone (~16%) This zone historically marks transitions, not trends
When the score stays below zero → distribution & downside volatility Sustained break above the regime baseline → trend expansion & momentum return
Right now, $BTC is NOT trending it’s coiling The longer the compression, the stronger the next impulse Smart money doesn’t chase candles. They position before the regime flips. #BTC #MarketRegime #OnChainAnalysis
🚨 The world is quietly entering a DEBT crisis — and most investors aren’t ready.
This isn’t just the U.S.
Every major economy is now borrowing faster than it’s growing. 📊 Global debt: $300+ TRILLION That’s 3× global GDP. Here’s the real danger people miss 👇
Governments survived for years by: • Low interest rates • Cheap refinancing • Endless bond issuance
Now rates are higher… and refinancing is becoming painful.
That’s when things break. Not because debt exists — But because rolling it becomes unaffordable.
This pressure spills into: 📉 Stocks 🏠 Real estate 🧾 Credit 🪙 Crypto
I’m not saying panic.
I’m saying understand the regime we’re entering. Periods like this don’t destroy wealth — They transfer it.
💬 Question for smart investors here: Do you think this debt cycle ends with inflation, default, or money printing?
Bitcoin is consolidating tightly around the $88K zone, showing no clear direction yet. Compression like this often precedes a strong move, with $89K-$90.5K as key resistance and $85.6K as critical support deciding the next market impulse. Take your trading to the next level with Bitget TradFi! Trade Forex, Gold, Oil, and Stock Indices directly from your Bitget account via the industry-standard MT5 platform. Enjoy deep liquidity, ultra-low costs, and expert market insights while maximizing your capital with up to 500x leverage. Combine the speed of crypto with the stability of traditional markets - all in one platform. #Macro Insights #BTC Correction
I've been in this market since 2017. I saw the euphoria when taxi drivers were telling me to buy crypto. I saw the despair when my portfolio bled -75% in a week. I thought I was used to everything.
But this... this feels different.
Everything seems to be going up, institutions are here, ETFs are live. Yet, there is this strange tension in the air. It’s not the easy euphoria of the last bull run. It feels like the calm before something massive, either a life-changing pump or... well, you know.
Last night, I closed the terminal and just went for a walk without my phone. Sometimes you need a reminder that life isn't just green and red candles.
Came back and bought a little more $BTC Because despite the nerves, I believe in the long run.
How are you handling the pressure right now? Are you anxious or totally zen? #BTC Price Analysis# #Macro Insights#
BTC's current position above support is notable, but the presence of a significant sell wall suggests market resistance at this level. Understanding the dynamics between support and resistance will be key in assessing potential price movements."
Diogo_bitcoin
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Υποτιμητική
▫️ 🚨 Bitcoin to $63,000? Analyst Warns of Major Crash If This Level Breaks BTC trades above a crucial support but it also reached a major sell wall. {spot}(BTCUSDT) $BTC
Divergent views on quantum risks to Bitcoin. Back cites quiet progress, Carter pushes for proactive investment. Ongoing R&D crucial for quantum-resistant crypto
Yellow Media
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Bitcoin Quantum Debate Escalates Between Blockstream CEO and Castle Island VC
Blockstream CEO Adam Back criticized Castle Island Ventures founding partner Nic Carter on Friday for amplifying quantum computing threats to Bitcoin (BTC).
The public dispute highlights divisions over how urgently the cryptocurrency community should address potential quantum risks.
Back accused Carter of making "uninformed noise" after Carter explained his firm's investment in quantum defense startup Project Eleven.
What Happened
Back responded sharply on X after Carter detailed why Castle Island Ventures backed Project Eleven.
The startup focuses on developing defenses against potential quantum attacks on Bitcoin and other cryptocurrency networks.
"You make uninformed noise and try to move the market or something. You're not helping," Back wrote.
He argued the Bitcoin ecosystem is addressing quantum risks quietly without creating public alarm.
Back said developers and researchers are working on protections but prefer avoiding public spectacle.
Carter rejected that characterization.
He claimed many Bitcoin developers remain in "total denial" about quantum computing potentially undermining Bitcoin's cryptographic foundations.
Carter first disclosed the Project Eleven investment in an October 20 Substack post.
He described becoming "quantum pilled" by Project Eleven CEO Alex Pruden.
Read also: Michael Saylor Predicts Bitcoin Quantum Upgrade Will Deliver Twin Benefits: Hardened Security And Identified Lost Supply
"I became extremely concerned about quantum threats to blockchains. I put capital behind my convictions," Carter said.
Why It Matters
The debate extends beyond the two executives.
Capriole Investments founder Charles Edwards warned Thursday that quantum computing could threaten Bitcoin within two to nine years without upgrades to quantum-resistant cryptography.
Investor Kevin O'Leary argued using quantum machines to attack Bitcoin would waste the technology.
He said greater value exists in medical research and artificial intelligence.
Back acknowledged preparing Bitcoin to be "quantum ready" but maintains threats remain decades away.
He described the technology as "ridiculously early."
Carter pointed to governments planning for a post-quantum world and rising quantum firm investment.
The disagreement reflects tensions between viewing quantum computing as imminent risk versus distant concern.
Bitcoin currently trades around $87,000.
Blockstream CEO Adam Back criticized Nic Carter for amplifying quantum computing threats to Bitcoin after Castle Island invested in defense startup.
Read next: Bitcoin Ransom Demand Targets Hyundai Group Headquarters
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