I am a blind mother, and get inspiration from God above. I have made decent returns in cryptocurrency trading (I follow a lot of news and analysis). Followback
Bitcoin has just gone through a sharp post‑parabolic correction, sliding from the euphoric highs and breaking below key levels like 80k. This move looks brutal on the chart, but structurally it still fits the pattern of a classic crypto shake‑out after a huge run.
**Why BTC is falling**
- Macro risk‑off: Global risk sentiment has turned cautious, and high‑beta assets like BTC are usually first in line when investors de‑risk. - ETF outflows: Spot BTC ETFs, which were a big driver on the way up, have started to see outflows, forcing selling of spot coins and removing a key demand engine. - Leverage washout: Derivatives positioning was heavily skewed long, so once key supports broke, a wave of liquidations accelerated the downside. - Technical breakdown: Losing the 84–85k area and then 80k flipped former support into resistance and triggered stop‑loss cascades.
**Key technical levels I’m watching**
- Short‑term resistance: - 80–83k: First band BTC must reclaim to even start repairing the chart. - 87–90k: Major resistance; reclaiming and holding above here would signal a serious trend recovery, not just a dead‑cat bounce.
- Support zones: - 71k: First “line in the sand” for bulls; holding above here keeps the medium‑term structure intact. - 64k: Next strong demand area if 71k fails. - Below 64k: Opens the door to a deeper flush towards older breakout regions.
Momentum indicators on the higher timeframes are still pointing down, with no clean bullish divergence yet, which suggests sellers remain in control for now.
**Is this the bottom?**
No one can time the exact bottom, and treating any single price as “the” level is dangerous. A more realistic way to think about it:
- This drop is likely part of a broader bottoming *zone*, not necessarily the final wick.
How are you always soo accurate and correctly predicted the markets??
I should have listened and shorted/sold my portfolio
$BTC will fall more??
CryptoLoverArtist
·
--
Υποτιμητική
The U.S. administration has now withheld both the GDP report and the monthly Jobs Report — a move many analysts say is unprecedented. Without these core indicators, investors, businesses, and even the Federal Reserve are essentially “flying blind.”
Economic transparency isn’t just data — it’s trust. And when trust disappears, markets react.
⚠️ Possible Negative Effects on the U.S. Economy
1. Market Uncertainty & Volatility Without GDP, jobs, inflation, and spending data, investors lose confidence. Businesses can’t plan, banks can’t forecast, and the Fed can’t make informed rate decisions. This increases volatility in stocks, bonds, and commodities.
2. Higher Borrowing Costs Uncertainty often pushes interest rates upward because lenders demand more “risk premium.” This hurts consumers (loans, mortgages) and businesses (expansion, hiring).
3. Slower Economic Growth Delayed data = delayed decisions. When companies don’t know the economic picture, they pause hiring, investments, and spending — dragging down growth.
4. Lower Institutional Trust A government withholding essential economic data creates fear of mismanagement or manipulation. Confidence — the backbone of modern economies — begins to weaken.
⚠️ Possible Negative Effects on Crypto
1. Short-Term Panic Selling When traditional markets lose clarity, retail investors often panic. Crypto, being highly sentiment-driven, can see sudden drops.
2. Reduced Liquidity Institutional players rely heavily on macro data to trade BTC, ETH, and altcoins. Without indicators, many pause or reduce positions — lowering liquidity and widening spreads.
3. Increased Correlation With Risk Assets In periods of uncertainty, crypto tends to behave like tech stocks. If U.S. markets drop on fear, crypto can fall alongside them.
4. Fear of Regulatory or Political Motives When economic transparency is compromised, investors worry about broader instability — including tighter controls on digital assets.
US President Trump just posted on Truth Social: "AIRSPACE ABOVE & SURROUNDING VENEZUELA BE CLOSED IN ITS ENTIRETY" to airlines, pilots, & traffickers. FAA warnings + USS Gerald R. Ford carrier buildup in Caribbean = strikes "very soon" per Trump. Airlines already suspending flights; Venezuela calls it "illegal aggression."
Oil Spike Ahead: Venezuela's oil exports could tank, pushing crude higher → global inflation up, fuel costs could rise
Gold Play: Usually goes up. Good time to get more $PAXG - Bullish
Crypto Play: Venezuela already USDT-heavy (hyperinflation hedge). Escalation = more stablecoin demand + BTC as "sanctions escape," but watch liquidations & Treasury blacklists. De-risk leverage NOW – volatility incoming! - Bearish
$BTC faces high short-term downside risk from a Venezuela attack, with quick 2-5% drops common on strike headlines due to risk-off liquidations, but often rebounds within hours/days if conflict stays limited.
The U.S. administration has now withheld both the GDP report and the monthly Jobs Report — a move many analysts say is unprecedented. Without these core indicators, investors, businesses, and even the Federal Reserve are essentially “flying blind.”
Economic transparency isn’t just data — it’s trust. And when trust disappears, markets react.
⚠️ Possible Negative Effects on the U.S. Economy
1. Market Uncertainty & Volatility Without GDP, jobs, inflation, and spending data, investors lose confidence. Businesses can’t plan, banks can’t forecast, and the Fed can’t make informed rate decisions. This increases volatility in stocks, bonds, and commodities.
2. Higher Borrowing Costs Uncertainty often pushes interest rates upward because lenders demand more “risk premium.” This hurts consumers (loans, mortgages) and businesses (expansion, hiring).
3. Slower Economic Growth Delayed data = delayed decisions. When companies don’t know the economic picture, they pause hiring, investments, and spending — dragging down growth.
4. Lower Institutional Trust A government withholding essential economic data creates fear of mismanagement or manipulation. Confidence — the backbone of modern economies — begins to weaken.
⚠️ Possible Negative Effects on Crypto
1. Short-Term Panic Selling When traditional markets lose clarity, retail investors often panic. Crypto, being highly sentiment-driven, can see sudden drops.
2. Reduced Liquidity Institutional players rely heavily on macro data to trade BTC, ETH, and altcoins. Without indicators, many pause or reduce positions — lowering liquidity and widening spreads.
3. Increased Correlation With Risk Assets In periods of uncertainty, crypto tends to behave like tech stocks. If U.S. markets drop on fear, crypto can fall alongside them.
4. Fear of Regulatory or Political Motives When economic transparency is compromised, investors worry about broader instability — including tighter controls on digital assets.