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Bitcoin Bear Market? Reassessing the evidence.
👇1-15) Unlike the prolonged 2021/2022 bear market, we now see a pattern of shorter, mini-bear cycles punctuated by sharp rallies. Our research’s value lies in clearly signaling when to adopt a bullish, bearish, or cautious outlook, guided by our disciplined investment framework.
👇2-15) This process integrates data-driven insights across on-chain metrics, market structure, macro trends, technical indicators, and more. We rely on trend signals as an independent tool to separate market reality from wishful thinking and alert us to potential trend shifts—an approach we believe adds significant value.
👇3-15) This is why we emphasized the importance of the $95,000 support level—once it broke, it triggered liquidations below $92,800 (average short-term holder entry price). This not only confirmed the Diamond Top formation (see our February 4 report, “Ethereum: Falling into the Abyss of Irrelevance”) but also activated the ascending broadening wedge breakdown (see our February 25 report, “Bitcoin: Textbook Correction?”), setting off a series of key bear market signals. Trying to catch short-term bottoms remains tempting, as there are opportunities to capitalize on quick gains.
👇4-15) Our call for caution heading into March/April 2024 was just as contrarian as our extremely bullish stance in late September 2024. While maintaining a bullish outlook leading up to Trump’s inauguration, we swiftly reversed that view as conditions changed.
👇5-15) However, Bitcoin’s recent decline stems from a different set of dynamics, raising the critical question: is the Bitcoin in a bear market?
👇6-15) Full report: https://mail.10xresearch.co/p/bitcoin-bear-market-reassessing-the-evidence
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👇1-15) Unlike the prolonged 2021/2022 bear market, we now see a pattern of shorter, mini-bear cycles punctuated by sharp rallies. Our research’s value lies in clearly signaling when to adopt a bullish, bearish, or cautious outlook, guided by our disciplined investment framework.
👇2-15) This process integrates data-driven insights across on-chain metrics, market structure, macro trends, technical indicators, and more. We rely on trend signals as an independent tool to separate market reality from wishful thinking and alert us to potential trend shifts—an approach we believe adds significant value.
👇3-15) This is why we emphasized the importance of the $95,000 support level—once it broke, it triggered liquidations below $92,800 (average short-term holder entry price). This not only confirmed the Diamond Top formation (see our February 4 report, “Ethereum: Falling into the Abyss of Irrelevance”) but also activated the ascending broadening wedge breakdown (see our February 25 report, “Bitcoin: Textbook Correction?”), setting off a series of key bear market signals. Trying to catch short-term bottoms remains tempting, as there are opportunities to capitalize on quick gains.
👇4-15) Our call for caution heading into March/April 2024 was just as contrarian as our extremely bullish stance in late September 2024. While maintaining a bullish outlook leading up to Trump’s inauguration, we swiftly reversed that view as conditions changed.
👇5-15) However, Bitcoin’s recent decline stems from a different set of dynamics, raising the critical question: is the Bitcoin in a bear market?
👇6-15) Full report: https://mail.10xresearch.co/p/bitcoin-bear-market-reassessing-the-evidence
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HYPE Reloaded: Is the Dip a New Entry Point?
👇1-14) March has historically been a turning point for asset prices, and last year was no exception. While consensus remained bullish, we turned cautious in March 2024, correctly anticipating the start of an eight-month consolidation phase. Although we raised similar concerns in December, Bitcoin’s renewed attempt to break above $108k briefly signaled upside potential—until the structure collapsed amid Trump’s escalation of tariff rhetoric. The meme coin frenzy unraveled following the $TRUMP coin controversy, widely viewed as an insider-driven exit strategy targeting retail investors.
👇2-14) While the Fed has primarily sidestepped direct responsibility for the 10% decline in equities and Bitcoin’s 25% correction, its policy stance has undoubtedly been a key driver. Notably, as Bitcoin entered a prolonged consolidation in March, platforms like Pump. fun surged, fueling the meme coin craze. Although the chance is low, this week’s Fed meeting could prove pivotal.
👇3-14) Still, in the meantime, crypto markets are shifting focus to a new emerging trend: whale tracking on Hyperliquid, where traders are increasingly attempting to trigger liquidations on significant leveraged positions and volumes are gravitating to DEXs. The Hyperliquid token, HYPE, is actively traded across multiple exchanges—check live prices here.
👇4-14) Full report: https://mail.10xresearch.co/p/hype-reloaded-is-the-dip-a-new-entry-point…
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👇1-14) March has historically been a turning point for asset prices, and last year was no exception. While consensus remained bullish, we turned cautious in March 2024, correctly anticipating the start of an eight-month consolidation phase. Although we raised similar concerns in December, Bitcoin’s renewed attempt to break above $108k briefly signaled upside potential—until the structure collapsed amid Trump’s escalation of tariff rhetoric. The meme coin frenzy unraveled following the $TRUMP coin controversy, widely viewed as an insider-driven exit strategy targeting retail investors.
👇2-14) While the Fed has primarily sidestepped direct responsibility for the 10% decline in equities and Bitcoin’s 25% correction, its policy stance has undoubtedly been a key driver. Notably, as Bitcoin entered a prolonged consolidation in March, platforms like Pump. fun surged, fueling the meme coin craze. Although the chance is low, this week’s Fed meeting could prove pivotal.
👇3-14) Still, in the meantime, crypto markets are shifting focus to a new emerging trend: whale tracking on Hyperliquid, where traders are increasingly attempting to trigger liquidations on significant leveraged positions and volumes are gravitating to DEXs. The Hyperliquid token, HYPE, is actively traded across multiple exchanges—check live prices here.
👇4-14) Full report: https://mail.10xresearch.co/p/hype-reloaded-is-the-dip-a-new-entry-point…
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Trust Me Bro – Liquidity Will Erase Your Losses, or NOT?
👇1-16) The stakes are higher than ever. Savvy traders have been aggressively selling altcoins and shifting capital into Bitcoin, initially helping to stabilize its price and driving Bitcoin dominance back above 60% (see our January 14, 2025, report: ‘Are Smart Traders Hedging Bitcoin with Altcoin Shorts?’). However, over the past month, Bitcoin has also begun to decline, indicating a more profound shift in market dynamics beyond simple capital rotation.
👇2-16) Many have overlooked the impact of hedge fund basis trade unwinding, which has been a key factor in Bitcoin’s recent weakness (see our February 24, 2025, report: ‘Bitcoin & MicroStrategy: The New Favorite Assets for Hedge Funds’). As traders search for an explanation, many have turned their focus back to global money supply, attributing Bitcoin’s decline to a drop in liquidity—a narrative that, while convenient, may not fully capture the bigger picture.
👇3-16) While this data point offers a convenient narrative, our macro-quant analysis suggests it may be a false hope—an oversimplification of Bitcoin’s liquidity drivers. There is no consistent linear relationship between liquidity and Bitcoin, and contrary to popular belief, a different key driver is influencing price movements. Instead of focusing solely on the global money supply, traders should monitor a different, more precise liquidity metric to understand the fundamental forces at play.
👇4-11) Full report: https://mail.10xresearch.co/p/trust-me-bro-liquidity-will-erase-your-losses-or-not
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👇1-16) The stakes are higher than ever. Savvy traders have been aggressively selling altcoins and shifting capital into Bitcoin, initially helping to stabilize its price and driving Bitcoin dominance back above 60% (see our January 14, 2025, report: ‘Are Smart Traders Hedging Bitcoin with Altcoin Shorts?’). However, over the past month, Bitcoin has also begun to decline, indicating a more profound shift in market dynamics beyond simple capital rotation.
👇2-16) Many have overlooked the impact of hedge fund basis trade unwinding, which has been a key factor in Bitcoin’s recent weakness (see our February 24, 2025, report: ‘Bitcoin & MicroStrategy: The New Favorite Assets for Hedge Funds’). As traders search for an explanation, many have turned their focus back to global money supply, attributing Bitcoin’s decline to a drop in liquidity—a narrative that, while convenient, may not fully capture the bigger picture.
👇3-16) While this data point offers a convenient narrative, our macro-quant analysis suggests it may be a false hope—an oversimplification of Bitcoin’s liquidity drivers. There is no consistent linear relationship between liquidity and Bitcoin, and contrary to popular belief, a different key driver is influencing price movements. Instead of focusing solely on the global money supply, traders should monitor a different, more precise liquidity metric to understand the fundamental forces at play.
👇4-11) Full report: https://mail.10xresearch.co/p/trust-me-bro-liquidity-will-erase-your-losses-or-not
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The $TRUMP Dump: When the Hype Fades, Reality Hits
👇1-4) A clear example is the $TRUMP coin, where insiders and those with early access at the Washington crypto ball could buy in before the public, while exchanges rushed to list the token as it soared past $60. After briefly topping near $70, $TRUMP has now collapsed to $10, leaving retail traders with billions in losses. This pattern mirrors the 2021 NFT bubble, where hype-fueled speculation gave way to severe retail losses, reinforcing that each cycle, while different in the narrative, ultimately follows the same structural flaws.
👇2-4) The $TRUMP coin, saw its price collapse 50% within a week of launch. On-chain data revealed that early buyers quickly dumped their holdings, using retail traders as exit liquidity. The sheer scale of these losses effectively killed the Solana meme coin casino, which had been a major driver of market activity in recent months.
👇3-4) It’s crucial to look beyond just price action and monitor shifts in revenue trends and momentum loss in high-beta tokens tied to dominant narratives. For example, Raydium’s RAY token, a key automated market maker (AMM) and Solana's liquidity provider has plunged by 70% in just 30 days. Meanwhile, Jupiter’s JUP token, a decentralized exchange (DEX) within the Solana ecosystem, has dropped by 42%, and Solana’s SOL token dropped by 41% over the same period.
👇4-4) Pump. fun the leading meme coin launch platform, has facilitated 8.4 million meme coin launches over the past year, with activity peaking right after Trump’s inauguration. Since then, daily launches have plunged from 62,000 to 24,000, signaling a sharp decline in interest. Between Christmas and Trump’s inauguration, an astonishing 1.7 million meme coins were launched. However, activity has since dropped significantly, even as Solana’s price collapse has made meme coin creation cheaper.
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👇1-4) A clear example is the $TRUMP coin, where insiders and those with early access at the Washington crypto ball could buy in before the public, while exchanges rushed to list the token as it soared past $60. After briefly topping near $70, $TRUMP has now collapsed to $10, leaving retail traders with billions in losses. This pattern mirrors the 2021 NFT bubble, where hype-fueled speculation gave way to severe retail losses, reinforcing that each cycle, while different in the narrative, ultimately follows the same structural flaws.
👇2-4) The $TRUMP coin, saw its price collapse 50% within a week of launch. On-chain data revealed that early buyers quickly dumped their holdings, using retail traders as exit liquidity. The sheer scale of these losses effectively killed the Solana meme coin casino, which had been a major driver of market activity in recent months.
👇3-4) It’s crucial to look beyond just price action and monitor shifts in revenue trends and momentum loss in high-beta tokens tied to dominant narratives. For example, Raydium’s RAY token, a key automated market maker (AMM) and Solana's liquidity provider has plunged by 70% in just 30 days. Meanwhile, Jupiter’s JUP token, a decentralized exchange (DEX) within the Solana ecosystem, has dropped by 42%, and Solana’s SOL token dropped by 41% over the same period.
👇4-4) Pump. fun the leading meme coin launch platform, has facilitated 8.4 million meme coin launches over the past year, with activity peaking right after Trump’s inauguration. Since then, daily launches have plunged from 62,000 to 24,000, signaling a sharp decline in interest. Between Christmas and Trump’s inauguration, an astonishing 1.7 million meme coins were launched. However, activity has since dropped significantly, even as Solana’s price collapse has made meme coin creation cheaper.
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Crumbling Down Under $TRUMP
👇1-15) This is a critical time when risk management, recognizing historical parallels, analyzing chart patterns, and closely monitoring market structure becomes essential. Having the right information is key, as losses can accelerate quickly in deteriorating conditions.
👇2-15) There are striking parallels between the end of the last crypto bull market and the current one. The loudest promoters coined catchy slogans, fueling promises of unlimited upside—only for volatility to be later reframed as a feature when prices collapsed, with patience preached as the cure. Institutions then arbitrated the spreads between DeFi and TradFi interest rate markets. This time, the playbook has shifted to exploiting the spread between BTC spots and futures, yet the underlying pattern remains the same.
👇3-15) It’s not just the macro backdrop that feels familiar—where the Fed turned hawkish near the peak of the Bitcoin cycle—but also the micro dynamics, as key narratives fade. Retail traders come to grips with an unwinnable game. In 2017, Ripple’s XRP surged to become the second-largest cryptocurrency by market cap, yet in the 2021 Bull Run, it failed to reclaim that position.
👇4-15) A similar pattern is emerging with Ethereum this cycle, as market narratives have evolved from payments in 2017 to DeFi/NFTs in 2021 and now to meme coins in 2025—each cycle bringing a new hype wave, shifting from Ripple to Ethereum to Solana.
👇5-11) Full report: https://mail.10xresearch.co/p/crumbling-down-under-trump…
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#sol #Ray #JUP
👇1-15) This is a critical time when risk management, recognizing historical parallels, analyzing chart patterns, and closely monitoring market structure becomes essential. Having the right information is key, as losses can accelerate quickly in deteriorating conditions.
👇2-15) There are striking parallels between the end of the last crypto bull market and the current one. The loudest promoters coined catchy slogans, fueling promises of unlimited upside—only for volatility to be later reframed as a feature when prices collapsed, with patience preached as the cure. Institutions then arbitrated the spreads between DeFi and TradFi interest rate markets. This time, the playbook has shifted to exploiting the spread between BTC spots and futures, yet the underlying pattern remains the same.
👇3-15) It’s not just the macro backdrop that feels familiar—where the Fed turned hawkish near the peak of the Bitcoin cycle—but also the micro dynamics, as key narratives fade. Retail traders come to grips with an unwinnable game. In 2017, Ripple’s XRP surged to become the second-largest cryptocurrency by market cap, yet in the 2021 Bull Run, it failed to reclaim that position.
👇4-15) A similar pattern is emerging with Ethereum this cycle, as market narratives have evolved from payments in 2017 to DeFi/NFTs in 2021 and now to meme coins in 2025—each cycle bringing a new hype wave, shifting from Ripple to Ethereum to Solana.
👇5-11) Full report: https://mail.10xresearch.co/p/crumbling-down-under-trump…
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#sol #Ray #JUP
Buy The Dip? Or Stay Fully Cashed Up?
Bitcoin's Textbook correction is fully playing out...
👇1-11) Bitcoin follows the price projection outlined in our ‘Bitcoin: Textbook Correction?’ report on February 25. The support structure collapsed once Bitcoin fell below the critical $95,000 level. The situation worsened when the average entry price for short-term holders at $92,800 was breached, triggering forced liquidations and accelerating the downside. With Bitcoin dipping below $80,000, approximately 70% of all selling came from investors who bought within the last three months, highlighting the dominance of recent entrants panic-selling into the decline.
👇2-11) This brief dip below $80,000 was our first target. See the report ‘Bitcoin’s Next Big Buy Zone Revealed!’ from February 26, which aligned with our analysis of a broadening ascending wedge. Our model suggested that a rebound attempt typically follows once the structure breaks, revisiting the initial breakdown level to trap more long positions.
👇3-11) This was the core thesis behind buying the sub-$80,000 dip while strategically closing long positions or re-entering shorts near the $92,800 rebound level (here). Fueled by the "Trump Pump"—driven more by speculative hype than solid fundamentals—Bitcoin surged to $94,000. At this level, we recommended closing longs in our March 3 report.
👇4-11) Full report: https://mail.10xresearch.co/p/buy-the-dip-or-stay-fully-cashed-up
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Bitcoin's Textbook correction is fully playing out...
👇1-11) Bitcoin follows the price projection outlined in our ‘Bitcoin: Textbook Correction?’ report on February 25. The support structure collapsed once Bitcoin fell below the critical $95,000 level. The situation worsened when the average entry price for short-term holders at $92,800 was breached, triggering forced liquidations and accelerating the downside. With Bitcoin dipping below $80,000, approximately 70% of all selling came from investors who bought within the last three months, highlighting the dominance of recent entrants panic-selling into the decline.
👇2-11) This brief dip below $80,000 was our first target. See the report ‘Bitcoin’s Next Big Buy Zone Revealed!’ from February 26, which aligned with our analysis of a broadening ascending wedge. Our model suggested that a rebound attempt typically follows once the structure breaks, revisiting the initial breakdown level to trap more long positions.
👇3-11) This was the core thesis behind buying the sub-$80,000 dip while strategically closing long positions or re-entering shorts near the $92,800 rebound level (here). Fueled by the "Trump Pump"—driven more by speculative hype than solid fundamentals—Bitcoin surged to $94,000. At this level, we recommended closing longs in our March 3 report.
👇4-11) Full report: https://mail.10xresearch.co/p/buy-the-dip-or-stay-fully-cashed-up
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Crypto Trends Chart Book: Understand What is Moving in the Market and Why.
👇1-11) Bitcoin (BTC-USD is below the 7-day moving average -> bearish, and is below the 30 day moving average -> bearish, with 1 week change of +2.3%) dropped over the last 24 hours after President Donald Trump signed an executive order establishing a U.S. strategic Bitcoin reserve, using existing government-held tokens rather than new purchases, disappointing investors. The lack of immediate buying plans led to a sell off, with prices falling about 5% to around $85,000. Significant outflows from spot Bitcoin ETFs added further downward pressure.
👇2-11) Ethereum (ETH-USDT is below the 7-day moving average -> bearish, and is below the 30-day moving average -> bearish, with 1 week change of -1.6%) developers successfully activated the Pectra Upgrade on the Sepolia test network, a key step toward its mainnet rollout, despite initial hiccups. The upgrade, which went live with a perfect proposal rate, introduces enhancements like EIP-7251, raising the validator staking cap from 32 ETH to 2,048 ETH, and EIP-7702, enabling wallets to function as smart contracts for better user experience. However, a custom deposit contract glitch halted transactions for hours.
👇3-11) Solana (SOL-USDT is below the 7-day moving average -> bearish, and is below the 30-day moving average -> bearish, with 1 week change of -3.2%) Solana’s price dropped sharply after a whale transferred $71.95 million worth of SOL to Coinbase. Solana’s ecosystem saw a boost as DoubleZero, a project backed by a former Solana Foundation member, gained attention, briefly lifting sentiment. Reports of declining validator earnings and centralization risks from network upgrades dampened enthusiasm.
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https://signals.10xresearch.co/p/crypto-trends-chart-book-understand-what-is-moving-in-the-market-and-why-ca28
👇1-11) Bitcoin (BTC-USD is below the 7-day moving average -> bearish, and is below the 30 day moving average -> bearish, with 1 week change of +2.3%) dropped over the last 24 hours after President Donald Trump signed an executive order establishing a U.S. strategic Bitcoin reserve, using existing government-held tokens rather than new purchases, disappointing investors. The lack of immediate buying plans led to a sell off, with prices falling about 5% to around $85,000. Significant outflows from spot Bitcoin ETFs added further downward pressure.
👇2-11) Ethereum (ETH-USDT is below the 7-day moving average -> bearish, and is below the 30-day moving average -> bearish, with 1 week change of -1.6%) developers successfully activated the Pectra Upgrade on the Sepolia test network, a key step toward its mainnet rollout, despite initial hiccups. The upgrade, which went live with a perfect proposal rate, introduces enhancements like EIP-7251, raising the validator staking cap from 32 ETH to 2,048 ETH, and EIP-7702, enabling wallets to function as smart contracts for better user experience. However, a custom deposit contract glitch halted transactions for hours.
👇3-11) Solana (SOL-USDT is below the 7-day moving average -> bearish, and is below the 30-day moving average -> bearish, with 1 week change of -3.2%) Solana’s price dropped sharply after a whale transferred $71.95 million worth of SOL to Coinbase. Solana’s ecosystem saw a boost as DoubleZero, a project backed by a former Solana Foundation member, gained attention, briefly lifting sentiment. Reports of declining validator earnings and centralization risks from network upgrades dampened enthusiasm.
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https://signals.10xresearch.co/p/crypto-trends-chart-book-understand-what-is-moving-in-the-market-and-why-ca28
#Trump’s #Bitcoin Plan: Groundbreaking Move or Just Hype?
👇1-22) The news is out—Trump has signed an Executive Order to establish a Strategic Bitcoin Reserve. While this marks an initial step, the details fell far short of what many had anticipated. Although additional measures could be announced later, the latest development highlights the significant gap between an ideal scenario and the actual policy rollout.
👇2-22) We would have issued a bearish report this morning in anticipation of the announcement, as we assessed the risk of disappointment to be higher than the likelihood of a broadly bullish outcome. While this is progress—formalizing the U.S. government's indefinite holding of confiscated Bitcoin—there is still no clear guidance on the reserve's size. Based on our estimates, the actual Bitcoin allocation could be 50% lower than the headlines suggest.
👇3-22) Read the full report -> Want to see how we are trading this market? Subscribe to our premium analysis and alerts at the link below: https://mail.10xresearch.co/p/trump-s-bitcoin-plan-groundbreaking-move-or-just-hype
👇1-22) The news is out—Trump has signed an Executive Order to establish a Strategic Bitcoin Reserve. While this marks an initial step, the details fell far short of what many had anticipated. Although additional measures could be announced later, the latest development highlights the significant gap between an ideal scenario and the actual policy rollout.
👇2-22) We would have issued a bearish report this morning in anticipation of the announcement, as we assessed the risk of disappointment to be higher than the likelihood of a broadly bullish outcome. While this is progress—formalizing the U.S. government's indefinite holding of confiscated Bitcoin—there is still no clear guidance on the reserve's size. Based on our estimates, the actual Bitcoin allocation could be 50% lower than the headlines suggest.
👇3-22) Read the full report -> Want to see how we are trading this market? Subscribe to our premium analysis and alerts at the link below: https://mail.10xresearch.co/p/trump-s-bitcoin-plan-groundbreaking-move-or-just-hype
Fed hawkishness is ‘more important than Trump for #Bitcoin
👇1-10) While many touted Trump’s Bitcoin Reserve tweet as a game changer, we took a more measured approach, analyzing that an official congressional directive was likely still months away. Instead of chasing the hype, we saw it as an opportunity to lock in profits following the recent rebound.
👇2-10) We have nailed this Bitcoin zig-zag correction with precision. First, we warned that breaking below $95,000 would open the door to further downside (here), with a move below $92,800—the average entry price for short-term holders—triggering liquidations. We then anticipated a drop below $80,000 as an ideal risk/reward re-entry point (here), reinforcing this view when Bitcoin became oversold.
👇3-10) When Bitcoin pumped to $94,000, we cautioned in yesterday’s report that long positions should be closed (here), emphasizing that Bitcoin struggled to break the critical $95,000/$96,000 zone—a key level needed to invalidate the bearish broadening wedge structure. Additionally, we outlined why a Strategic Bitcoin Reserve is still months away (here) and warned that Bitcoin “could decline further if no concrete steps are announced.” We also highlighted one key analog chart formation a week ago, which has been a perfect roadmap for Bitcoin. The next few days will determine whether Bitcoin continues to follow this pattern.
👇4-13) Read our full report: https://mail.10xresearch.co/p/fed-hawkishness-is-more-important-than-trump-for-bitcoin
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👇1-10) While many touted Trump’s Bitcoin Reserve tweet as a game changer, we took a more measured approach, analyzing that an official congressional directive was likely still months away. Instead of chasing the hype, we saw it as an opportunity to lock in profits following the recent rebound.
👇2-10) We have nailed this Bitcoin zig-zag correction with precision. First, we warned that breaking below $95,000 would open the door to further downside (here), with a move below $92,800—the average entry price for short-term holders—triggering liquidations. We then anticipated a drop below $80,000 as an ideal risk/reward re-entry point (here), reinforcing this view when Bitcoin became oversold.
👇3-10) When Bitcoin pumped to $94,000, we cautioned in yesterday’s report that long positions should be closed (here), emphasizing that Bitcoin struggled to break the critical $95,000/$96,000 zone—a key level needed to invalidate the bearish broadening wedge structure. Additionally, we outlined why a Strategic Bitcoin Reserve is still months away (here) and warned that Bitcoin “could decline further if no concrete steps are announced.” We also highlighted one key analog chart formation a week ago, which has been a perfect roadmap for Bitcoin. The next few days will determine whether Bitcoin continues to follow this pattern.
👇4-13) Read our full report: https://mail.10xresearch.co/p/fed-hawkishness-is-more-important-than-trump-for-bitcoin
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#Bitcoin’s Perfect Buy Zone Was Below $80,000
👇1-13) A week ago, we predicted a sharp correction as Bitcoin broke the $95,000 support, triggering liquidations at $92,800—the average entry price of short-term holders. However, our February 25 report, “Bitcoin’s Next Big Buy Zone Revealed!” reminded subscribers that while we expect Bitcoin to climb in 2025, the ideal reentry levels would be below $80,000. Indeed, Bitcoin dropped below our projected $80,000 level, hitting a low of $78,249 (near the CME gap).
👇2-13) On Saturday, March 1, we released an updated report, “Buy Now? 5 MUST-SEE Charts: Bitcoin, Ethereum, Solana,” where we highlighted: a) Bitcoin's Daily Stochastics at levels historically signaling rebounds, b) A bullish weekly hammer formation on Bitcoin, and c) Solana’s reversal indicators turning bullish, near its $130 support zone. When we released our March 1 report, Bitcoin traded at $85,000. Since then, prices have surged to $94,000.
👇3-13) Meanwhile, Trump is signaling a potential announcement of a strategic Bitcoin reserve, adding further momentum to the market. Exiting positions near $90,000 and reentering below $80,000—as outlined in our reports—would have been a highly effective trading strategy based on technical analysis, on-chain data, liquidation patterns, and knowledge about how hedge funds trade Bitcoin ETFs.
👇4-13) Read our full report:
https://mail.10xresearch.co/p/bitcoin-s-perfect-buy-zone-was-below-80-000
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👇1-13) A week ago, we predicted a sharp correction as Bitcoin broke the $95,000 support, triggering liquidations at $92,800—the average entry price of short-term holders. However, our February 25 report, “Bitcoin’s Next Big Buy Zone Revealed!” reminded subscribers that while we expect Bitcoin to climb in 2025, the ideal reentry levels would be below $80,000. Indeed, Bitcoin dropped below our projected $80,000 level, hitting a low of $78,249 (near the CME gap).
👇2-13) On Saturday, March 1, we released an updated report, “Buy Now? 5 MUST-SEE Charts: Bitcoin, Ethereum, Solana,” where we highlighted: a) Bitcoin's Daily Stochastics at levels historically signaling rebounds, b) A bullish weekly hammer formation on Bitcoin, and c) Solana’s reversal indicators turning bullish, near its $130 support zone. When we released our March 1 report, Bitcoin traded at $85,000. Since then, prices have surged to $94,000.
👇3-13) Meanwhile, Trump is signaling a potential announcement of a strategic Bitcoin reserve, adding further momentum to the market. Exiting positions near $90,000 and reentering below $80,000—as outlined in our reports—would have been a highly effective trading strategy based on technical analysis, on-chain data, liquidation patterns, and knowledge about how hedge funds trade Bitcoin ETFs.
👇4-13) Read our full report:
https://mail.10xresearch.co/p/bitcoin-s-perfect-buy-zone-was-below-80-000
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Bitcoin $80,000 - Textbook Bitcoin correction we warned about is unfolding exactly as expected.
https://mail.10xresearch.co/p/bitcoin-80-000-textbook-bitcoin-correction-we-warned-about-is-unfolding-exactly-as-expected
https://mail.10xresearch.co/p/bitcoin-80-000-textbook-bitcoin-correction-we-warned-about-is-unfolding-exactly-as-expected
$1 Trillion Wiped Out - #Bitcoin’s Textbook CorrectionWhen and at What Price Would We Reenter Bitcoin?
👇1-13) Bitcoin follows a textbook Ascending Broadening Wedge pattern, which projects a target price in the low $70,000s. The example we shared with subscribers a few days ago mirrored this setup, showing a double wedge and double top formation before triggering a steeper correction.
👇2-13) Our Bitcoin trend model turned bearish on February 3 near $96,000. While not every signal will be profitable, recognizing trend shifts often separates professionals from retail traders. After all, if you don’t sell high, you can’t buy low.
👇3-13) As we highlighted last week, institutional investors and hedge funds appear to be driving the current Bitcoin ETF unwind. The top ten BlackRock and Fidelity Bitcoin ETFs holders are primarily hedge funds or prime brokers, likely holding these positions on behalf of hedge fund clients.
👇4-13) See report....
Follow us @10xResearch for real time analysis as this develops and read our full report here: https://10xresearch.co/
👇1-13) Bitcoin follows a textbook Ascending Broadening Wedge pattern, which projects a target price in the low $70,000s. The example we shared with subscribers a few days ago mirrored this setup, showing a double wedge and double top formation before triggering a steeper correction.
👇2-13) Our Bitcoin trend model turned bearish on February 3 near $96,000. While not every signal will be profitable, recognizing trend shifts often separates professionals from retail traders. After all, if you don’t sell high, you can’t buy low.
👇3-13) As we highlighted last week, institutional investors and hedge funds appear to be driving the current Bitcoin ETF unwind. The top ten BlackRock and Fidelity Bitcoin ETFs holders are primarily hedge funds or prime brokers, likely holding these positions on behalf of hedge fund clients.
👇4-13) See report....
Follow us @10xResearch for real time analysis as this develops and read our full report here: https://10xresearch.co/
Bitcoin’s Next Big Buy Zone Revealed!
Bitcoin, MicroStrategy, on-chain data, liquidations, technicals, and more...
👇1-11) Yesterday, Bitcoin dropped sharply, breaking below the critical $95,000 support level. We had previously warned about this key threshold in our December 20, 2024 report (Bitcoin’s 2025 Shift: Why It’s All About Macro and Inflation Again). In that report, we highlighted a potential topping formation driven by global liquidity trends and the macro headwinds Bitcoin was facing—including a hawkish Federal Reserve and rising inflation expectations. Additionally, we outlined key dates in 2025 when Bitcoin could potentially resume its rally based on historical market cycles and liquidity shifts.
👇2-11) In that report, we cautioned that MicroStrategy’s inclusion in the Nasdaq-100 could become a "sell the news" event. Despite billions of dollars in #Bitcoin purchases, BTC prices failed to increase. Our October 7, 2024 report suggested that MicroStrategy shares could break above $177. Still, by December 19, 2024, in our report (Bitcoin, MicroStrategy – NOT Every Dip Presents a Buying Opportunity), we warned that new shareholders were significantly overpaying and explicitly recommended avoiding MicroStrategy.
👇3-11) At the time, @MicroStrategy shares were trading at $350 (+98% from our October 19 report), compared to $250 today, marking a 29% decline. This validates our concerns about excessive valuation from our December 19 report. But when and at what level would we buy back Bitcoin? Let’s go through some numbers:
👇4-11) Full report: https://mail.10xresearch.co/p/bitcoin-s-next-big-buy-zone-revealed
Bitcoin, MicroStrategy, on-chain data, liquidations, technicals, and more...
👇1-11) Yesterday, Bitcoin dropped sharply, breaking below the critical $95,000 support level. We had previously warned about this key threshold in our December 20, 2024 report (Bitcoin’s 2025 Shift: Why It’s All About Macro and Inflation Again). In that report, we highlighted a potential topping formation driven by global liquidity trends and the macro headwinds Bitcoin was facing—including a hawkish Federal Reserve and rising inflation expectations. Additionally, we outlined key dates in 2025 when Bitcoin could potentially resume its rally based on historical market cycles and liquidity shifts.
👇2-11) In that report, we cautioned that MicroStrategy’s inclusion in the Nasdaq-100 could become a "sell the news" event. Despite billions of dollars in #Bitcoin purchases, BTC prices failed to increase. Our October 7, 2024 report suggested that MicroStrategy shares could break above $177. Still, by December 19, 2024, in our report (Bitcoin, MicroStrategy – NOT Every Dip Presents a Buying Opportunity), we warned that new shareholders were significantly overpaying and explicitly recommended avoiding MicroStrategy.
👇3-11) At the time, @MicroStrategy shares were trading at $350 (+98% from our October 19 report), compared to $250 today, marking a 29% decline. This validates our concerns about excessive valuation from our December 19 report. But when and at what level would we buy back Bitcoin? Let’s go through some numbers:
👇4-11) Full report: https://mail.10xresearch.co/p/bitcoin-s-next-big-buy-zone-revealed
MicroStrategy Cracks as #Bitcoin Tests $90K—Is a Deeper Drop Coming?
Bitcoin breaks key technical level.
👇1-16) During my time in derivatives trading at Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley, we observed structural demand for yield products in Asia, where interest rates tend to be relatively low. These products rely heavily on retail investors selling options at cheap volatility or buying options at inflated volatility, often paying a premium compared to where institutional traders price them. Similarly, many investors view MicroStrategy (MSTR) as a leveraged Bitcoin call option, but fail to recognize that they are overpaying significantly—at present, the stock is trading 60% above its fair value (see February 24 report).
👇2-16) Given that MicroStrategy traded $40 billion in volume on November 21, 2024, when its shares peaked, it's likely that savvy investors offloaded (some of) their positions to retail buyers, who are now sitting on significant losses—despite Bitcoin's price remaining flat over the same period. During that period, MicroStrategy acquired $10 billion worth of Bitcoin.
👇3-16) Bitcoin has broken the critical $95,000 level, a move that could have significant implications in the coming weeks. With several key factors at play, this is not the time for complacency—market dynamics are shifting, and traders should remain vigilant.
👇4-16) Full report: https://mail.10xresearch.co/p/microstrategy-cracks-as-bitcoin-tests-90k-is-a-deeper-drop-coming
Bitcoin breaks key technical level.
👇1-16) During my time in derivatives trading at Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley, we observed structural demand for yield products in Asia, where interest rates tend to be relatively low. These products rely heavily on retail investors selling options at cheap volatility or buying options at inflated volatility, often paying a premium compared to where institutional traders price them. Similarly, many investors view MicroStrategy (MSTR) as a leveraged Bitcoin call option, but fail to recognize that they are overpaying significantly—at present, the stock is trading 60% above its fair value (see February 24 report).
👇2-16) Given that MicroStrategy traded $40 billion in volume on November 21, 2024, when its shares peaked, it's likely that savvy investors offloaded (some of) their positions to retail buyers, who are now sitting on significant losses—despite Bitcoin's price remaining flat over the same period. During that period, MicroStrategy acquired $10 billion worth of Bitcoin.
👇3-16) Bitcoin has broken the critical $95,000 level, a move that could have significant implications in the coming weeks. With several key factors at play, this is not the time for complacency—market dynamics are shifting, and traders should remain vigilant.
👇4-16) Full report: https://mail.10xresearch.co/p/microstrategy-cracks-as-bitcoin-tests-90k-is-a-deeper-drop-coming
#Bitcoin & @MicroStrategy: The New Favorite Assets for Hedge Funds
@BlackRock IBIT, MicroStrategy - what we know ...
👇1-21) Although Bitcoin ETFs have attracted $38.6 billion in net inflows since their January 2024 launch, our analysis suggests that only $17.5 billion (44%) represents genuine long-only buying. The majority—56%—is likely tied to arbitrage strategies, where short Bitcoin futures positions offset inflows.
👇2-21) Full report: https://mail.10xresearch.co/p/bitcoin-microstrategy-the-new-favorite-assets-for-hedge-funds
@BlackRock IBIT, MicroStrategy - what we know ...
👇1-21) Although Bitcoin ETFs have attracted $38.6 billion in net inflows since their January 2024 launch, our analysis suggests that only $17.5 billion (44%) represents genuine long-only buying. The majority—56%—is likely tied to arbitrage strategies, where short Bitcoin futures positions offset inflows.
👇2-21) Full report: https://mail.10xresearch.co/p/bitcoin-microstrategy-the-new-favorite-assets-for-hedge-funds
Ethereum After the $1.5 Billion Hack: Buy the Dip or Sell?The key technical level to watch...
👇1-12) The North Korean Lazarus Group hacked Bybit, stealing $1.5 billion worth of Ethereum—equivalent to the exchange's annual profit. This is the largest crypto hack in history and the most sophisticated targeting cold wallets. The hacker identified each multisig signer and infected each signer’s device with malware. The hacker made the user interface show a different transaction than what was signed and got all signers to approve without suspicion.
👇2-12) In response, a Binance user (whale, not the exchange itself) and Bitget have transferred ETH to replenish Bybit’s wallets. However, these funds were issued as loans. They must be repaid unless the stolen assets are recovered—an unlikely outcome. This means Bybit will likely have to buy back $1.5 billion worth of ETH from the market when repaying the loans, which could be net positive for Ethereum’s price. The amount is too small to discuss another ETH fork after a hack. But is the market worried that Lazarus could dump ETH and crash prices?
👇3-12) Full report: https://mail.10xresearch.co/p/ethereum-after-the-1-5-billion-hack-buy-the-dip-or-sell
👇1-12) The North Korean Lazarus Group hacked Bybit, stealing $1.5 billion worth of Ethereum—equivalent to the exchange's annual profit. This is the largest crypto hack in history and the most sophisticated targeting cold wallets. The hacker identified each multisig signer and infected each signer’s device with malware. The hacker made the user interface show a different transaction than what was signed and got all signers to approve without suspicion.
👇2-12) In response, a Binance user (whale, not the exchange itself) and Bitget have transferred ETH to replenish Bybit’s wallets. However, these funds were issued as loans. They must be repaid unless the stolen assets are recovered—an unlikely outcome. This means Bybit will likely have to buy back $1.5 billion worth of ETH from the market when repaying the loans, which could be net positive for Ethereum’s price. The amount is too small to discuss another ETH fork after a hack. But is the market worried that Lazarus could dump ETH and crash prices?
👇3-12) Full report: https://mail.10xresearch.co/p/ethereum-after-the-1-5-billion-hack-buy-the-dip-or-sell
Lazarus Group: The North Korean Hackers Behind Bybit’s $1.5 Billion Crypto Heist
👇1-11) North Korean hackers are behind most crypto attacks, deploying specialized teams focusing exclusively on a single exchange or crypto service provider. The Bybit exchange hack, which resulted in the loss of $1.46 billion in staked Ether and other ERC-20 tokens on February 21, 2025, stands as the largest crypto hack in history—twice the size of the second-largest breach. Notably, North Korean hacking groups like Lazarus have been linked to several major attacks, including Ronin ($625m), KuCoin ($285m), and the Binance Bridge ($570m).
👇2-11) State-sponsored North Korean hackers initially targeted South Korean crypto exchanges because they often maintained escrow accounts holding Bitcoins in hot wallets connected to the internet. South Korea’s largest exchange (at the time), Bithumb, was raided at least four times. Usually, under the guise of being a trusted business partner, the hackers would plant malware on an exchange employee’s computer before finding ways to access the keys to the exchange’s hot wallets.
👇3-11) Moving large sums of cryptocurrencies around would be tough if the exchanges had adequate know-your-customer (KYC) and anti-money-laundering (AML) procedures. The preferred method for criminals to conceal a cryptocurrency trace is to use DeFi (decentralized finance) platforms and swap currencies without ever taking custody of the funds, as DeFi does not require any KYC or AML documentation. Based on data from Chainalysis, North Korean hackers used the DeFi protocol Uniswap to launder 275 million dollars of hacked cryptocurrencies from the KuCoin Exchange exchange on September 26, 2020. This was one of the largest hacks ever.
👇4-11) Eventually, hackers need to move stolen coins to an exchange or venue that can...
👇5-11) Read the full report here: https://mail.10xresearch.co/p/lazarus-group-the-north-korean-hackers-behind-bybit-s-1-5-billion-crypto-heist
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👇1-11) North Korean hackers are behind most crypto attacks, deploying specialized teams focusing exclusively on a single exchange or crypto service provider. The Bybit exchange hack, which resulted in the loss of $1.46 billion in staked Ether and other ERC-20 tokens on February 21, 2025, stands as the largest crypto hack in history—twice the size of the second-largest breach. Notably, North Korean hacking groups like Lazarus have been linked to several major attacks, including Ronin ($625m), KuCoin ($285m), and the Binance Bridge ($570m).
👇2-11) State-sponsored North Korean hackers initially targeted South Korean crypto exchanges because they often maintained escrow accounts holding Bitcoins in hot wallets connected to the internet. South Korea’s largest exchange (at the time), Bithumb, was raided at least four times. Usually, under the guise of being a trusted business partner, the hackers would plant malware on an exchange employee’s computer before finding ways to access the keys to the exchange’s hot wallets.
👇3-11) Moving large sums of cryptocurrencies around would be tough if the exchanges had adequate know-your-customer (KYC) and anti-money-laundering (AML) procedures. The preferred method for criminals to conceal a cryptocurrency trace is to use DeFi (decentralized finance) platforms and swap currencies without ever taking custody of the funds, as DeFi does not require any KYC or AML documentation. Based on data from Chainalysis, North Korean hackers used the DeFi protocol Uniswap to launder 275 million dollars of hacked cryptocurrencies from the KuCoin Exchange exchange on September 26, 2020. This was one of the largest hacks ever.
👇4-11) Eventually, hackers need to move stolen coins to an exchange or venue that can...
👇5-11) Read the full report here: https://mail.10xresearch.co/p/lazarus-group-the-north-korean-hackers-behind-bybit-s-1-5-billion-crypto-heist
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Use This #Bitcoin Strategy For Today
The stakes are high.
👇1-16) Last month, just before the U.S. inflation data were released, Bitcoin was trading at $96,000. In January, expectations for a third consecutive month of rising CPI set the bar at 2.9% YoY, confirmed when the data was released. This relieved the market, triggering a $10,000 Bitcoin rally over the next week—until Trump’s tariff announcement halted the momentum.
👇2-16) The market again expects a 2.9% YoY CPI in today’s inflation report. However, there is a real possibility of a lower print, which could ignite another rally attempt. Notably, the U.S. Truflation inflation index has declined from 3.0% to 2.1%, suggesting that inflation pressures may be easing faster than expected. If CPI surprises to the downside at 2.7% or 2.8%, Bitcoin could see a relief rally.
👇3-16) Full report: https://mail.10xresearch.co/p/use-this-bitcoin-strategy-for-today-f5ed
The stakes are high.
👇1-16) Last month, just before the U.S. inflation data were released, Bitcoin was trading at $96,000. In January, expectations for a third consecutive month of rising CPI set the bar at 2.9% YoY, confirmed when the data was released. This relieved the market, triggering a $10,000 Bitcoin rally over the next week—until Trump’s tariff announcement halted the momentum.
👇2-16) The market again expects a 2.9% YoY CPI in today’s inflation report. However, there is a real possibility of a lower print, which could ignite another rally attempt. Notably, the U.S. Truflation inflation index has declined from 3.0% to 2.1%, suggesting that inflation pressures may be easing faster than expected. If CPI surprises to the downside at 2.7% or 2.8%, Bitcoin could see a relief rally.
👇3-16) Full report: https://mail.10xresearch.co/p/use-this-bitcoin-strategy-for-today-f5ed
Is #Ethereum Oversold?
With multiple catalysts on the horizon, is now the time to buy?
👇1-12) Ethereum’s Relative Strength Index (RSI) has dropped to 36%, a level where past corrections have slowed, even as Bitcoin remains in a bull market. Unlike Bitcoin’s parabolic rallies followed by extended consolidation periods, Ethereum has been more volatile this cycle, presenting high-risk, high-reward buying opportunities around key events—such as the ETF approval, trading launches, and major network upgrades.
👇2-12) Ethereum isn’t a coin to get emotionally attached to, but history shows that when sentiment turns overwhelmingly negative, opportunities can emerge. Tactically, the recent crash could present an attractive risk/reward setup, especially as #Solana’s ecosystem temporarily loses its momentum following the $TRUMP coin collapse and the slowdown in Pump(dot)fun coin issuance.
👇3-12) Full Report: https://mail.10xresearch.co/p/is-ethereum-oversold
With multiple catalysts on the horizon, is now the time to buy?
👇1-12) Ethereum’s Relative Strength Index (RSI) has dropped to 36%, a level where past corrections have slowed, even as Bitcoin remains in a bull market. Unlike Bitcoin’s parabolic rallies followed by extended consolidation periods, Ethereum has been more volatile this cycle, presenting high-risk, high-reward buying opportunities around key events—such as the ETF approval, trading launches, and major network upgrades.
👇2-12) Ethereum isn’t a coin to get emotionally attached to, but history shows that when sentiment turns overwhelmingly negative, opportunities can emerge. Tactically, the recent crash could present an attractive risk/reward setup, especially as #Solana’s ecosystem temporarily loses its momentum following the $TRUMP coin collapse and the slowdown in Pump(dot)fun coin issuance.
👇3-12) Full Report: https://mail.10xresearch.co/p/is-ethereum-oversold
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