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BITCOIN MACRO UPDATE LIFE CYCLE, STRUCTURE & PRICE LEVELS
It is timely to revisit the typical crypto market cycle, as Bitcoin continues to respect it with remarkable precision.
The macro top was confirmed in October, when $BTC tested the $126,000 zone, marking the current cycle ATH. Since that rejection, price has transitioned into a prolonged consolidation phase, which structurally aligns with the early stages of a broader bear market cycle.
From a wave structure perspective, price action is developing an extended corrective formation (ABC). The initial decline from $126K to the $59K region completes Wave A. Current market behavior suggests a potential Wave B recovery toward the key supply and resistance band around $84,800–$90,000, where sellers are expected to reassert control.
Failure to reclaim and hold above this supply zone would likely trigger Wave C, with downside continuation toward the $34,000–$30,000 projected target area. This zone aligns with historical demand, prior cycle accumulation, and long-term value based interest making it a critical region for strategic accumulation, not panic.
Cycle analysis indicates that this corrective phase may extend into early 2027, setting the stage for the next major accumulation and recovery phase. While short- to mid-term volatility and downside risk remain valid, the broader macro structure continues to support higher prices long term, with expansion potential toward $200,000+ once the cycle reset completes.
#BTC #bitcoin #TrendingTopic
The macro top was confirmed in October, when $BTC tested the $126,000 zone, marking the current cycle ATH. Since that rejection, price has transitioned into a prolonged consolidation phase, which structurally aligns with the early stages of a broader bear market cycle.
From a wave structure perspective, price action is developing an extended corrective formation (ABC). The initial decline from $126K to the $59K region completes Wave A. Current market behavior suggests a potential Wave B recovery toward the key supply and resistance band around $84,800–$90,000, where sellers are expected to reassert control.
Failure to reclaim and hold above this supply zone would likely trigger Wave C, with downside continuation toward the $34,000–$30,000 projected target area. This zone aligns with historical demand, prior cycle accumulation, and long-term value based interest making it a critical region for strategic accumulation, not panic.
Cycle analysis indicates that this corrective phase may extend into early 2027, setting the stage for the next major accumulation and recovery phase. While short- to mid-term volatility and downside risk remain valid, the broader macro structure continues to support higher prices long term, with expansion potential toward $200,000+ once the cycle reset completes.
#BTC #bitcoin #TrendingTopic
Bitcoin - All ETF investors will get liquidated! (here is why)
#bitcoin can drop below 40k later this year! But before that, in the short term, we may see a final drop to 58k, followed by a huge bear market rally to 85k. If you are confused, let's take a look at my prediction:
Short-term: 58k (wave A on the chart)
Mid-term: 85k (wave B on the chart)
Long-term: 40k (wave C on the chart)
From an investment point of view, after we hit 40k, that would be a great buying opportunity because Bitcoin will probably go to 200k in the next years!
Why can $BTC go to 58k in the immediate short term? There are 2 very important levels that are waiting to be hit. The first is the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement of the previous bear market on the non-LOG scale, and the second is the 200-week simple moving average (SMA). Bitcoin bounced off 60k, but we didn't hit these levels, so that means we probably are going to go down very soon. When Bitcoin hits 58, that would complete the wave (A) of the bear market.
After that we may see a big rise to 85k (wave B), when everyone will think that the bottom is in, and these people may invest all their money into the crypto market. But do not get caught! We want to wait for wave (C). Your entry point is at 40k or lower!
What about all the ETF investors? Let's take a look at the BlackRock Bitcoin ETF chart. To me it looks like a huge trap for all investors that invested in Bitcoin in 2024 and 2025. The banks and huge institutions will probably take all stop losses and liquidity below the current all-time low. Does it make sense to you?
Why do whales need your stop losses? They have an enormous amount of money, and they need your order to get "filled" into the crypto market. They cannot buy Bitcoin from no one. They need your orders to enter the crypto space. That's why they cannot send $BTC to the upside, and instead they need to manipulate the price and crash Bitcoin again and again. In other words, they will make much more money by sending the price of Bitcoin down!
#BTC #TrendingTopic
Short-term: 58k (wave A on the chart)
Mid-term: 85k (wave B on the chart)
Long-term: 40k (wave C on the chart)
From an investment point of view, after we hit 40k, that would be a great buying opportunity because Bitcoin will probably go to 200k in the next years!
Why can $BTC go to 58k in the immediate short term? There are 2 very important levels that are waiting to be hit. The first is the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement of the previous bear market on the non-LOG scale, and the second is the 200-week simple moving average (SMA). Bitcoin bounced off 60k, but we didn't hit these levels, so that means we probably are going to go down very soon. When Bitcoin hits 58, that would complete the wave (A) of the bear market.
After that we may see a big rise to 85k (wave B), when everyone will think that the bottom is in, and these people may invest all their money into the crypto market. But do not get caught! We want to wait for wave (C). Your entry point is at 40k or lower!
What about all the ETF investors? Let's take a look at the BlackRock Bitcoin ETF chart. To me it looks like a huge trap for all investors that invested in Bitcoin in 2024 and 2025. The banks and huge institutions will probably take all stop losses and liquidity below the current all-time low. Does it make sense to you?
Why do whales need your stop losses? They have an enormous amount of money, and they need your order to get "filled" into the crypto market. They cannot buy Bitcoin from no one. They need your orders to enter the crypto space. That's why they cannot send $BTC to the upside, and instead they need to manipulate the price and crash Bitcoin again and again. In other words, they will make much more money by sending the price of Bitcoin down!
#BTC #TrendingTopic
yellowclawXBT:
Wave structure to 58k looks clean
🚨 Biggest $BTC Sells Regrets Historically by Nations
In 2018, Bulgaria sold 213,000 BTC for roughly $3.5-3.6 billion (at the time's prices). If held today, that stack would be worth approximately $14.5-14.6 billion, and could've cleared their entire national debt.
In 2014-2023, USA Government sold 195,000 BTC across multiple batches for a total of about $366 million. Today, that same amount would be worth roughly $13.3 billion.
• Germany Federal Criminal Police Office sold 50,000 bitcoin from Movie2K piracy seizure in July 2024 for $2.89B, today it would have worth approximately $6.25B.
These cases are frequently discussed in cryptocurrency communities as "regret stories" or lessons in HODLing vs. early liquidation. Now imagine if they all sold at $126k BTC all time high.
Holders of solid coins often win on a long-term.
#bitcoin
#PEPEBrokeThroughDowntrendLine
In 2018, Bulgaria sold 213,000 BTC for roughly $3.5-3.6 billion (at the time's prices). If held today, that stack would be worth approximately $14.5-14.6 billion, and could've cleared their entire national debt.
In 2014-2023, USA Government sold 195,000 BTC across multiple batches for a total of about $366 million. Today, that same amount would be worth roughly $13.3 billion.
• Germany Federal Criminal Police Office sold 50,000 bitcoin from Movie2K piracy seizure in July 2024 for $2.89B, today it would have worth approximately $6.25B.
These cases are frequently discussed in cryptocurrency communities as "regret stories" or lessons in HODLing vs. early liquidation. Now imagine if they all sold at $126k BTC all time high.
Holders of solid coins often win on a long-term.
#bitcoin
#PEPEBrokeThroughDowntrendLine
查理的芒格:
BTR 150% 的收益只是常识的胜利，没什么值得炫耀的，但值得深思。
BITCOIN MACRO UPDATE LIFE CYCLE, STRUCTURE & PRICE LEVELS
As of February 18, 2026, Bitcoin is $BTC navigating a high-stakes structural correction following its October 2025 all-time high of $126,000. The current market is a battle between long-term "cycle bottom" indicators and short-term "bear flag" patterns.
Here is the deep-dive analysis of the Life Cycle, Elliott Wave structure, and the critical price levels you need to watch.
1. Macro Life Cycle: The "Mid-Cycle Shakeout"
We are currently in a classic "Stage 4" correction of the 2024–2026 expansion. After peaking in late 2025, Bitcoin has entered a Deleveraging Phase.
The Narrative Shift: The "Institutional ETF" honeymoon phase has cooled. Bitcoin is now trading more like a High-Beta Tech Asset (correlated with the Nasdaq) than a defensive hedge.Drawdown Status: We are roughly 47% down from the ATH, which historically aligns with mid-cycle 4th-wave corrections (usually 40–55%).
2. Elliott Wave & Market Structure
Analysts are currently tracking a complex A-B-C corrective sequence on the Daily/Weekly timeframes.
Current Wave Position: We are likely in Wave C of a larger correction (or the final sub-wave v of a 5-wave impulsive decline).
The Bear Flag: The recent bounce from $60,000 to $72,000 is being identified by many as a Bear Flag. Failure to hold the mid-$68k range (where we are now) suggests one final "flush" to complete the structure.
The Accumulation Zone: On-chain data shows "OG Whales" are not panic selling; instead, they are setting "Buy Walls" in the $52k–$58k range.
3. Critical Price Levels to Watch
The market is "coiling" for a massive move. These are the technical battlegrounds for the remainder of February.
Level
Role
Significance
$107,000
The Macro Ceiling
The target for any major "Bear Market Rally." We must reclaim this to talk about new ATHs.
$72,500
Bullish Confirmation
Reclaiming this level invalidates the Bear Flag and confirms a local bottom is in.
$68,000 - $69,000
Current Pivot
The "Fair Value" magnet where BTC is currently oscillating.
$60,000 - $62,000
The Line in the Sand
Historically aligns with the 200-week Moving Average. Breaking this triggers a liquidation cascade.
$52,000 - $55,000
The "Generational" Floor
The "Wave 5" exhaustion target. This is where the RSI is expected to show a Bullish Divergence.🚀 Social Media Caption Template
If you are posting this as an update, here is a high-engagement draft:
Title: ⚠️ BITCOIN MACRO UPDATE: The Final Flush?
Caption:
The math for the 2026 cycle is getting interesting. We’re officially 47% off the $126k peak, and the Elliott Wave structure is screaming “Correction Maturity.”
We are currently trapped in a $68k-$72k range. Is this a Bear Flag before a final dip to $55k, or is the $60k bottom already in?
Key Takeaways:
1️⃣ Whale Activity: OGs are accumulating, not selling.
2️⃣ The Floor: $60k is the technical “Must-Hold” level.
3- The Goal: Reclaim $72.5k to flip the script.
Patience is the only alpha right now. 💎🙌
Here is the deep-dive analysis of the Life Cycle, Elliott Wave structure, and the critical price levels you need to watch.
1. Macro Life Cycle: The "Mid-Cycle Shakeout"
We are currently in a classic "Stage 4" correction of the 2024–2026 expansion. After peaking in late 2025, Bitcoin has entered a Deleveraging Phase.
The Narrative Shift: The "Institutional ETF" honeymoon phase has cooled. Bitcoin is now trading more like a High-Beta Tech Asset (correlated with the Nasdaq) than a defensive hedge.Drawdown Status: We are roughly 47% down from the ATH, which historically aligns with mid-cycle 4th-wave corrections (usually 40–55%).
2. Elliott Wave & Market Structure
Analysts are currently tracking a complex A-B-C corrective sequence on the Daily/Weekly timeframes.
Current Wave Position: We are likely in Wave C of a larger correction (or the final sub-wave v of a 5-wave impulsive decline).
The Bear Flag: The recent bounce from $60,000 to $72,000 is being identified by many as a Bear Flag. Failure to hold the mid-$68k range (where we are now) suggests one final "flush" to complete the structure.
The Accumulation Zone: On-chain data shows "OG Whales" are not panic selling; instead, they are setting "Buy Walls" in the $52k–$58k range.
3. Critical Price Levels to Watch
The market is "coiling" for a massive move. These are the technical battlegrounds for the remainder of February.
Level
Role
Significance
$107,000
The Macro Ceiling
The target for any major "Bear Market Rally." We must reclaim this to talk about new ATHs.
$72,500
Bullish Confirmation
Reclaiming this level invalidates the Bear Flag and confirms a local bottom is in.
$68,000 - $69,000
Current Pivot
The "Fair Value" magnet where BTC is currently oscillating.
$60,000 - $62,000
The Line in the Sand
Historically aligns with the 200-week Moving Average. Breaking this triggers a liquidation cascade.
$52,000 - $55,000
The "Generational" Floor
The "Wave 5" exhaustion target. This is where the RSI is expected to show a Bullish Divergence.🚀 Social Media Caption Template
If you are posting this as an update, here is a high-engagement draft:
Title: ⚠️ BITCOIN MACRO UPDATE: The Final Flush?
Caption:
The math for the 2026 cycle is getting interesting. We’re officially 47% off the $126k peak, and the Elliott Wave structure is screaming “Correction Maturity.”
We are currently trapped in a $68k-$72k range. Is this a Bear Flag before a final dip to $55k, or is the $60k bottom already in?
Key Takeaways:
1️⃣ Whale Activity: OGs are accumulating, not selling.
2️⃣ The Floor: $60k is the technical “Must-Hold” level.
3- The Goal: Reclaim $72.5k to flip the script.
Patience is the only alpha right now. 💎🙌
$BTC (~$68,472) 📉 Signal: BEARISH CONTINUATION
Trend: The weekend "scam pump" to $69.8k was a liquidity grab. We are now retracing to fill the CME Gap at $67,500. $RPL
Trade: SHORT on any bounce to $68,800.
Target: $67,200 (Gap Fill) | $65,500 (Major Weekly Support).$INIT
Stop: $69,500 (Invalidation).
Note: Spot volume is non-existent. The "Real Move" usually happens after the NY Stock Exchange opens (9:30 AM EST). Expect a flush.
#BTC #bitcoin #BTCFellBelow$69,000Again #OpenClawFounderJoinsOpenAI #VVVSurged55.1%in24Hours
Trend: The weekend "scam pump" to $69.8k was a liquidity grab. We are now retracing to fill the CME Gap at $67,500. $RPL
Trade: SHORT on any bounce to $68,800.
Target: $67,200 (Gap Fill) | $65,500 (Major Weekly Support).$INIT
Stop: $69,500 (Invalidation).
Note: Spot volume is non-existent. The "Real Move" usually happens after the NY Stock Exchange opens (9:30 AM EST). Expect a flush.
#BTC #bitcoin #BTCFellBelow$69,000Again #OpenClawFounderJoinsOpenAI #VVVSurged55.1%in24Hours
BTC
So far, BTC is moving as expected. As mentioned, after getting rejected at the 71k level, it started to drop again. It dropped another 1.5%+ from the last update. If the momentum continues, then we may see it at 61k or lower levels in the coming days. This bias is valid until BTC sustains below the 71k level.
We will try to keep updating accordingly !!!
#NFA✅ #dyor
#BTC #bitcoin #MarketUpdate
$BTC
$ETH
$SOL
So far, BTC is moving as expected. As mentioned, after getting rejected at the 71k level, it started to drop again. It dropped another 1.5%+ from the last update. If the momentum continues, then we may see it at 61k or lower levels in the coming days. This bias is valid until BTC sustains below the 71k level.
We will try to keep updating accordingly !!!
#NFA✅ #dyor
#BTC #bitcoin #MarketUpdate
$BTC
$ETH
$SOL
$BTC (~$68,922) 📉 Signal: MONDAY REJECTION
Trend: Bearish Consolidation. BTC is trading in a "Choppy" range ($68k - $70k) and failing to break the $70,000 supply wall. The "Weekend Gap" at $67,500 is acting as a magnet.$INIT
Entry: $69,100 – $69,450 (Fade the open)
Strategy: Watch for a "Fakeout" pump at the NY Open (9:30 AM EST) that sweeps liquidity before reversing. Enter shorts on the rejection of $69.5k. $DUSK
Target: $67,200 (Gap Fill) | $65,800 (Weekly Support)
Stop Loss: $70,600
#BTC #bitcoin #BTCFellBelow$69,000Again #OpenClawFounderJoinsOpenAI #VVVSurged55.1%in24Hours
Trend: Bearish Consolidation. BTC is trading in a "Choppy" range ($68k - $70k) and failing to break the $70,000 supply wall. The "Weekend Gap" at $67,500 is acting as a magnet.$INIT
Entry: $69,100 – $69,450 (Fade the open)
Strategy: Watch for a "Fakeout" pump at the NY Open (9:30 AM EST) that sweeps liquidity before reversing. Enter shorts on the rejection of $69.5k. $DUSK
Target: $67,200 (Gap Fill) | $65,800 (Weekly Support)
Stop Loss: $70,600
#BTC #bitcoin #BTCFellBelow$69,000Again #OpenClawFounderJoinsOpenAI #VVVSurged55.1%in24Hours
Gold vs Bitcoin —$XAU crash below $4,000 while $BTC hits $100,000
While Bitcoin continues to show really strong bullish potential as it is coming out of a major low, Gold (XAUUSD) is facing quite the opposite situation. Coming out of a major high, it has really strong bearish potential.
Why will Bitcoin go up while #GOLD goes down?
While Bitcoin was going down—late 2025 through early 2026—Gold was moving up.
When Gold peaked, Bitcoin hit bottom.
As Bitcoin now trades at support, Gold trades at resistance.
When Gold starts to crash-down, Bitcoin will start to move up.
Here we see a classic inverse correlation. It goes further.
Nvidia is trading close to its all-time high while the altcoins market is trading at new all-time lows. When Nvidia goes down, the altcoins will recover and grow.
Tesla is crashing from recent highs while #bitcoin is recovering from major lows, etc.
The reason why Crypto will grow when everything goes down, is because Crypto already crashed, it crashed ahead of the conventional markets. Crypto is simply moving ahead, revealing what the rest of finance is about to face.
Gold right now has a very strong bearish bias after a lower high and bearish continuation. $4,100 is the next target.
#TrendingTopic #BTCVSGOLD
While Bitcoin continues to show really strong bullish potential as it is coming out of a major low, Gold (XAUUSD) is facing quite the opposite situation. Coming out of a major high, it has really strong bearish potential.
Why will Bitcoin go up while #GOLD goes down?
While Bitcoin was going down—late 2025 through early 2026—Gold was moving up.
When Gold peaked, Bitcoin hit bottom.
As Bitcoin now trades at support, Gold trades at resistance.
When Gold starts to crash-down, Bitcoin will start to move up.
Here we see a classic inverse correlation. It goes further.
Nvidia is trading close to its all-time high while the altcoins market is trading at new all-time lows. When Nvidia goes down, the altcoins will recover and grow.
Tesla is crashing from recent highs while #bitcoin is recovering from major lows, etc.
The reason why Crypto will grow when everything goes down, is because Crypto already crashed, it crashed ahead of the conventional markets. Crypto is simply moving ahead, revealing what the rest of finance is about to face.
Gold right now has a very strong bearish bias after a lower high and bearish continuation. $4,100 is the next target.
#TrendingTopic #BTCVSGOLD
#bitcoin
📉$BTC on the verge of a historic anti-record: 6 weeks left
The crypto market is entering a turbulent zone. If February closes in the "red zone", we will have a fifth consecutive month of decline - the longest series of failures since 2018. March will be the moment of truth: either a reversal, or an official repetition of the worst period in BTC history.
What is happening to the "digital gold"?
Bitcoin is currently trading around $68,800, which is almost 45% below the October peak of $126,000. The market has changed: after the appearance of spot ETFs, Bitcoin began to correlate with the macroeconomics and Fed rates. Over the past 3 weeks, net outflows from ETFs have been around $2 billion.
🗺 Three scenarios for the next 4–12 weeks:
1. ⚖️ Stabilization (Sidewalk):
• Condition: Slowing outflows from ETFs, protection of the support zone by buyers.
• Levels: Maintaining the corridor $66,900 – $70,600.
2. 🐻 Deep dive (Deleveraging):
• Condition: Surrender at current levels, continuation of the Fed’s “high rates” policy.
• Levels: Test $60,000, with a potential drop to the “realized price” of $55,800. Some analysts (Barron’s) see the bottom of the cycle around $49,000.
3. 🚀 Reclaim:
• Condition: Return of institutional capital and softening of the rhetoric of macro regulators.
• Target: Consolidation above $80,200.
⚠️ Extreme Forecasts
Ned Davis Research analysts warn that if the current cycle repeats the classic "cryptozyme" scenario (84% drop), the price could slide to $31,000. Zacks strategists also do not rule out a path to $40,000 in the event of worsening liquidity.
📉$BTC on the verge of a historic anti-record: 6 weeks left
The crypto market is entering a turbulent zone. If February closes in the "red zone", we will have a fifth consecutive month of decline - the longest series of failures since 2018. March will be the moment of truth: either a reversal, or an official repetition of the worst period in BTC history.
What is happening to the "digital gold"?
Bitcoin is currently trading around $68,800, which is almost 45% below the October peak of $126,000. The market has changed: after the appearance of spot ETFs, Bitcoin began to correlate with the macroeconomics and Fed rates. Over the past 3 weeks, net outflows from ETFs have been around $2 billion.
🗺 Three scenarios for the next 4–12 weeks:
1. ⚖️ Stabilization (Sidewalk):
• Condition: Slowing outflows from ETFs, protection of the support zone by buyers.
• Levels: Maintaining the corridor $66,900 – $70,600.
2. 🐻 Deep dive (Deleveraging):
• Condition: Surrender at current levels, continuation of the Fed’s “high rates” policy.
• Levels: Test $60,000, with a potential drop to the “realized price” of $55,800. Some analysts (Barron’s) see the bottom of the cycle around $49,000.
3. 🚀 Reclaim:
• Condition: Return of institutional capital and softening of the rhetoric of macro regulators.
• Target: Consolidation above $80,200.
⚠️ Extreme Forecasts
Ned Davis Research analysts warn that if the current cycle repeats the classic "cryptozyme" scenario (84% drop), the price could slide to $31,000. Zacks strategists also do not rule out a path to $40,000 in the event of worsening liquidity.
BITCOIN The 0.382 Fibonacci consolidation rule.
We have already shown on various recent analyses how Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is replicating the Bear Cycle of 2022. Our latest finding is a very unique feat that BTC does after every major Low.
As this chart shows, when the 1W RSI turns oversold (below 30.00), Bitcoin starts a lengthy consolidation that extends primarily up to the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level. This range (0.0 - 0.382 Fib) constitutes a Consolidation phase. It was even present on the last Low before the Bull Cycles of 2021 and 2025 topped.
Right now it appears we have just started the 2nd Consolidation phase of the Bear Cycle following the early February crash (RSI again oversold even below 20.00). So far this '0.382 Fib consolidation rule' has been validated as the initial rebound tested the 0.382 Fib and got rejected back into range.
Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea!
$BTC #BTC #bitcoin #BTCUSD #BTCUSDT
As this chart shows, when the 1W RSI turns oversold (below 30.00), Bitcoin starts a lengthy consolidation that extends primarily up to the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level. This range (0.0 - 0.382 Fib) constitutes a Consolidation phase. It was even present on the last Low before the Bull Cycles of 2021 and 2025 topped.
Right now it appears we have just started the 2nd Consolidation phase of the Bear Cycle following the early February crash (RSI again oversold even below 20.00). So far this '0.382 Fib consolidation rule' has been validated as the initial rebound tested the 0.382 Fib and got rejected back into range.
Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea!
$BTC #BTC #bitcoin #BTCUSD #BTCUSDT
$BITCOIN dropped $1,250 in fifteen minutes — and the speed mattered more than the size.
The move wasn’t gradual panic. It was a sudden liquidity vacuum: bids pulled, leverage unwound, and price sliced through levels that had looked stable hours earlier. When this kind of move happens that fast, it usually says less about sentiment and more about positioning that was already fragile.
Nothing structural changed in fifteen minutes. But the market showed where it was thin — and where too many traders were leaning the same way.
Price moves like this don’t just shake charts. They expose how the market was built underneath.
#BTC #bitcoin #MarketUpdate #CryptoNews #FINKY
The move wasn’t gradual panic. It was a sudden liquidity vacuum: bids pulled, leverage unwound, and price sliced through levels that had looked stable hours earlier. When this kind of move happens that fast, it usually says less about sentiment and more about positioning that was already fragile.
Nothing structural changed in fifteen minutes. But the market showed where it was thin — and where too many traders were leaning the same way.
Price moves like this don’t just shake charts. They expose how the market was built underneath.
#BTC #bitcoin #MarketUpdate #CryptoNews #FINKY
MIKE MCGLONE WARNING: Could Bitcoin Crash to $10,000?
The "buy the dip" era that has defined markets since 2008 might be coming to an end. Bloomberg Intelligence Senior Macro Strategist Mike McGlone has issued a stark warning: $BTC could plummet to $10,000 as the U.S. economy faces mounting recessionary pressures.
Why the Bearish Outlook?
McGlone’s analysis highlights several "red flags" that suggest a major shift in the financial landscape:
Market Cap-to-GDP at Extremes: U.S. stock market capitalization relative to GDP has reached levels last seen nearly a century ago, suggesting the "bubble" is stretched to its limit.
Low Equity Volatility: Historically low volatility in the S&P 500 often precedes a sharp correction. McGlone warns that if equities crack, $BTC (as a high-beta asset) could suffer the most.
The Gold Signal: $GOLD is "grabbing alpha" at a velocity not seen in 50 years. Traditionally, when the "stupid rock" outperforms, it signals deep-seated economic instability and a rotation out of risk assets like crypto.
Failed Rallies: After failing to maintain levels above $100,000, McGlone views current price action not as a new bull run, but as a "showing of strength" before a potential return to the mean—which he places at the $10,000 mark.
Contagion Risk
The concern isn't just for crypto. McGlone suggests that the "imploding crypto bubble" could act as a leading indicator for a broader stock market correction. If the $SPX drops toward the 5,600 level, BTC is unlikely to hold its current support.
Is this a "healthy correction" or the end of the cycle? While institutional heavyweights remain bullish, McGlone’s data suggests that 2026 could mirror the turbulence of 2008.
What’s your move? Are you holding through the storm or moving to $USDT ?
#writetoearn #BTC #bitcoin #CryptoMarketMoves #Write2Earn
The "buy the dip" era that has defined markets since 2008 might be coming to an end. Bloomberg Intelligence Senior Macro Strategist Mike McGlone has issued a stark warning: $BTC could plummet to $10,000 as the U.S. economy faces mounting recessionary pressures.
Why the Bearish Outlook?
McGlone’s analysis highlights several "red flags" that suggest a major shift in the financial landscape:
Market Cap-to-GDP at Extremes: U.S. stock market capitalization relative to GDP has reached levels last seen nearly a century ago, suggesting the "bubble" is stretched to its limit.
Low Equity Volatility: Historically low volatility in the S&P 500 often precedes a sharp correction. McGlone warns that if equities crack, $BTC (as a high-beta asset) could suffer the most.
The Gold Signal: $GOLD is "grabbing alpha" at a velocity not seen in 50 years. Traditionally, when the "stupid rock" outperforms, it signals deep-seated economic instability and a rotation out of risk assets like crypto.
Failed Rallies: After failing to maintain levels above $100,000, McGlone views current price action not as a new bull run, but as a "showing of strength" before a potential return to the mean—which he places at the $10,000 mark.
Contagion Risk
The concern isn't just for crypto. McGlone suggests that the "imploding crypto bubble" could act as a leading indicator for a broader stock market correction. If the $SPX drops toward the 5,600 level, BTC is unlikely to hold its current support.
Is this a "healthy correction" or the end of the cycle? While institutional heavyweights remain bullish, McGlone’s data suggests that 2026 could mirror the turbulence of 2008.
What’s your move? Are you holding through the storm or moving to $USDT ?
#writetoearn #BTC #bitcoin #CryptoMarketMoves #Write2Earn
📉 BTC / USDT — 30M
Bitcoin is trading around $68,900, with price pressing into the highlighted resistance zones where supply has previously capped momentum. The chart shows clear hesitation at these levels, and the reaction here will determine whether buyers can sustain control or if sellers step back in.
Key levels to monitor:
$70,983 — recent high and upper resistance
$67,314 — marked support and immediate liquidity pocket
Blue zones — supply areas where price has reversed before
The structure is straightforward: if $BTC fails to break and hold above the resistance zones, the bias shifts toward a rejection back into $67,314. A clean defense of that support would be required to stabilize price; otherwise, deeper downside could open.
This is a disciplined setup — letting BTC test resistance, watching for confirmation, and positioning only once the market shows its hand.
#MarketRebound #bitcoin
Bitcoin is trading around $68,900, with price pressing into the highlighted resistance zones where supply has previously capped momentum. The chart shows clear hesitation at these levels, and the reaction here will determine whether buyers can sustain control or if sellers step back in.
Key levels to monitor:
$70,983 — recent high and upper resistance
$67,314 — marked support and immediate liquidity pocket
Blue zones — supply areas where price has reversed before
The structure is straightforward: if $BTC fails to break and hold above the resistance zones, the bias shifts toward a rejection back into $67,314. A clean defense of that support would be required to stabilize price; otherwise, deeper downside could open.
This is a disciplined setup — letting BTC test resistance, watching for confirmation, and positioning only once the market shows its hand.
#MarketRebound #bitcoin
BoBaTV:
Ótimo Artigo. Obrigado por compartilhar. =)
Bitcoin Prediction 2026: The Road to $250,000
#$BITCOIN
Several top financial experts and billionaire investors believe that by 2026, Bitcoin could reach a price of $250,000 (approx. ₹2.1 Crore). While the market remains volatile, several fundamental factors support this massive price target.
Here are the 3 primary reasons why Bitcoin could hit $250k:$BITCOIN
1. Institutional Adoption (Big Money Inflow)
Bitcoin is no longer just for retail investors. Major financial institutions like BlackRock and Fidelity have integrated Bitcoin into their portfolios. Experts like Charles Hoskinson (Founder of Cardano) suggest that as more countries and corporations add Bitcoin to their balance sheets, the massive demand will drive the price toward new all-time highs.
2. Scarcity and the Halving Effect
Bitcoin’s supply is hard-capped at 21 million. The Bitcoin Halving event, which occurs every four years, reduces the rate at which new Bitcoins are created. Following the 2024 halving, the supply crunch is expected to peak around 2025-2026. This "supply vs. demand" imbalance is a key driver for the $250,000 prediction.
3. Top Expert Predictions$BITCOIN
Tim Draper: The billionaire venture capitalist has long maintained a forecast of $250,000, citing that Bitcoin's use as a hedge against inflation will eventually make it the global standard.
Tom Lee (Fundstrat): Lee predicts that Bitcoin could hit $150,000 in the short term and easily cross $250,000 by 2026 due to the success of Spot Bitcoin ETFs.
Robert Kiyosaki: The author of Rich Dad Poor Dad frequently advocates for Bitcoin, predicting it will reach $250k-plus as the value of fiat currency (the Dollar) continues to decline.#bitcoin
Conclusion:#PEPEBrokeThroughDowntrendLine
While the $250,000 target is backed by many heavyweights, some analysts suggest a more conservative range of $150,000 to $180,000 depending on global regulations. As always, because crypto markets are high-risk, it is essential to do your own research before investing.b
Several top financial experts and billionaire investors believe that by 2026, Bitcoin could reach a price of $250,000 (approx. ₹2.1 Crore). While the market remains volatile, several fundamental factors support this massive price target.
Here are the 3 primary reasons why Bitcoin could hit $250k:$BITCOIN
1. Institutional Adoption (Big Money Inflow)
Bitcoin is no longer just for retail investors. Major financial institutions like BlackRock and Fidelity have integrated Bitcoin into their portfolios. Experts like Charles Hoskinson (Founder of Cardano) suggest that as more countries and corporations add Bitcoin to their balance sheets, the massive demand will drive the price toward new all-time highs.
2. Scarcity and the Halving Effect
Bitcoin’s supply is hard-capped at 21 million. The Bitcoin Halving event, which occurs every four years, reduces the rate at which new Bitcoins are created. Following the 2024 halving, the supply crunch is expected to peak around 2025-2026. This "supply vs. demand" imbalance is a key driver for the $250,000 prediction.
3. Top Expert Predictions$BITCOIN
Tim Draper: The billionaire venture capitalist has long maintained a forecast of $250,000, citing that Bitcoin's use as a hedge against inflation will eventually make it the global standard.
Tom Lee (Fundstrat): Lee predicts that Bitcoin could hit $150,000 in the short term and easily cross $250,000 by 2026 due to the success of Spot Bitcoin ETFs.
Robert Kiyosaki: The author of Rich Dad Poor Dad frequently advocates for Bitcoin, predicting it will reach $250k-plus as the value of fiat currency (the Dollar) continues to decline.#bitcoin
Conclusion:#PEPEBrokeThroughDowntrendLine
While the $250,000 target is backed by many heavyweights, some analysts suggest a more conservative range of $150,000 to $180,000 depending on global regulations. As always, because crypto markets are high-risk, it is essential to do your own research before investing.b
$BTC / USDT — 30M Update
Bitcoin is still reacting inside the same supply zones highlighted earlier, and the new 30M chart confirms that sellers are defending these areas once again. Price is hovering around $66,800–$68,000, showing hesitation each time it taps into the blue resistance blocks.
The structure hasn’t changed — BTC continues to reject from supply, and the candles are showing clear signs of absorption rather than strength.
Updated View Based on the Chart
As long as BTC remains capped below these resistance zones, the downside scenario stays valid. The chart projection points toward a continuation lower, and the move back to $66,000 is possible — that becomes the target on this trade.
This aligns perfectly with the earlier idea:
let BTC test resistance, wait for confirmation, and only position once the reaction is clear.
Summary
BTC is still rejecting from supply
No clean break above resistance
Structure favors sellers
$66,000 is the next logical target
A disciplined setup — letting the market come to you instead of forcing entries.
#bitcoin #BTC
Bitcoin is still reacting inside the same supply zones highlighted earlier, and the new 30M chart confirms that sellers are defending these areas once again. Price is hovering around $66,800–$68,000, showing hesitation each time it taps into the blue resistance blocks.
The structure hasn’t changed — BTC continues to reject from supply, and the candles are showing clear signs of absorption rather than strength.
Updated View Based on the Chart
As long as BTC remains capped below these resistance zones, the downside scenario stays valid. The chart projection points toward a continuation lower, and the move back to $66,000 is possible — that becomes the target on this trade.
This aligns perfectly with the earlier idea:
let BTC test resistance, wait for confirmation, and only position once the reaction is clear.
Summary
BTC is still rejecting from supply
No clean break above resistance
Structure favors sellers
$66,000 is the next logical target
A disciplined setup — letting the market come to you instead of forcing entries.
#bitcoin #BTC
📉 BTC / USDT — 30M
Bitcoin is trading around $68,900, with price pressing into the highlighted resistance zones where supply has previously capped momentum. The chart shows clear hesitation at these levels, and the reaction here will determine whether buyers can sustain control or if sellers step back in.
Key levels to monitor:
$70,983 — recent high and upper resistance
$67,314 — marked support and immediate liquidity pocket
Blue zones — supply areas where price has reversed before
The structure is straightforward: if $BTC fails to break and hold above the resistance zones, the bias shifts toward a rejection back into $67,314. A clean defense of that support would be required to stabilize price; otherwise, deeper downside could open.
This is a disciplined setup — letting BTC test resistance, watching for confirmation, and positioning only once the market shows its hand.
#MarketRebound #bitcoin
Bitcoin is trading around $68,900, with price pressing into the highlighted resistance zones where supply has previously capped momentum. The chart shows clear hesitation at these levels, and the reaction here will determine whether buyers can sustain control or if sellers step back in.
Key levels to monitor:
$70,983 — recent high and upper resistance
$67,314 — marked support and immediate liquidity pocket
Blue zones — supply areas where price has reversed before
The structure is straightforward: if $BTC fails to break and hold above the resistance zones, the bias shifts toward a rejection back into $67,314. A clean defense of that support would be required to stabilize price; otherwise, deeper downside could open.
This is a disciplined setup — letting BTC test resistance, watching for confirmation, and positioning only once the market shows its hand.
#MarketRebound #bitcoin
🚨 $BTC Update – $68,042 🚨
Bitcoin is trading around $68,042 and moving up & down with strong volatility. Bulls and bears are fighting at key levels.
📊 Watch Levels:
Support: $67K
Resistance: $69K–$70K
Break above $70K = strong bullish momentum 🚀
Lose $67K = possible dip 📉
💬 What do you think – breakout or pullback?
Comment Bullish or Bearish
#bitcoin #BTC #crypto #cryptotrading #MarketUpdate
Bitcoin is trading around $68,042 and moving up & down with strong volatility. Bulls and bears are fighting at key levels.
📊 Watch Levels:
Support: $67K
Resistance: $69K–$70K
Break above $70K = strong bullish momentum 🚀
Lose $67K = possible dip 📉
💬 What do you think – breakout or pullback?
Comment Bullish or Bearish
#bitcoin #BTC #crypto #cryptotrading #MarketUpdate
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