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$SPCXB Another attempt to break through the $150 resistance. Let’s see if SPCX can break through this time. Long setup.
Entry: $146 - $148
TP: $150 - $152 - $154 - $157 - $160 - $180 - $200
SL: $140 it is

CPI is about to become the next big volatility trigger, and after the latest Nonfarm Payrolls came in stronger than expected, I think the Fed has a much harder decision in front of it.

A strong jobs market gives the Fed more room to keep rates higher for longer, but that doesn’t automatically mean a rate hike is coming. For me, the key number is still inflation. If CPI comes in hotter than expected, markets could quickly price out rate-cut expectations and push Treasury yields and the dollar higher. That could create pressure on risk assets and crypto, while gold could also face short-term volatility.

My base case right now is HOLD rather than an immediate hike. But if CPI surprises significantly to the upside, the probability of a more hawkish Fed response increases.

I’m watching gold closely around the current levels. A softer CPI could support gold and risk assets, while a hot CPI could trigger a sharp pullback.

So I’m cautiously bullish, but I’m not chasing the move before CPI.

What’s your call — Fed Hike or Hold? Bullish or Bearish?

Always DYOR and manage risk. #CPIWatch