Shoukat Ali solingi

Bitcoin Market Outlook: Why I’m Still Cautious About the Next Move

Over the next seven days, I believe Bitcoin is approaching one of the most important price zones of the current market structure. While many traders are expecting a clean breakout toward 86k, I think the market may first deliver a deceptive move before revealing its real direction.

At the moment, there is a significant liquidity cluster resting above the previous weekly high around 78.2k. Most retail traders are watching this area closely and expecting an instant continuation rally once the level breaks. However, from my perspective, that move looks more like a bearish retest than the beginning of a sustainable breakout.

This does not mean Bitcoin cannot revisit the 78k–80k range. In fact, I still expect price to move into that region. The difference is in the path price may take before getting there.

My primary focus remains around the 79k level, but I do not expect Bitcoin to move there immediately. Before any major upside expansion, I believe the market could first sweep liquidity below the previous weekly low near 74.3k. After that liquidity grab, price may push higher into the 79k–80k region.

What happens above 79k will be extremely important for determining the next major trend. That area could confirm whether Bitcoin is preparing for a larger monthly high sweep or if the market is simply creating a distribution range before a deeper correction.

For more than a week, I have been targeting the 82.8k monthly high sweep, and I still believe Bitcoin reaches that zone before forming a significant market top. If that scenario plays out, the move could trap late breakout buyers before a larger downside move begins.

Another reason I remain cautious in the long term is the monthly candle structure. Historically, Bitcoin has struggled to maintain three strong consecutive green monthly closes without experiencing a meaningful retracement afterward. Because of this, I believe price could eventually close back below the monthly open before retesting the highs again next month to complete a

Bitcoin Market Outlook: Why I’m Still Cautious About the Next Move

Over the next seven days, I believe Bitcoin is approaching one of the most important price zones of the current market structure. While many traders are expecting a clean breakout toward 86k, I think the market may first deliver a deceptive move before revealing its real direction.

At the moment, there is a significant liquidity cluster resting above the previous weekly high around 78.2k. Most retail traders are watching this area closely and expecting an instant continuation rally once the level breaks. However, from my perspective, that move looks more like a bearish retest than the beginning of a sustainable breakout.

This does not mean Bitcoin cannot revisit the 78k–80k range. In fact, I still expect price to move into that region. The difference is in the path price may take before getting there.

My primary focus remains around the 79k level, but I do not expect Bitcoin to move there immediately. Before any major upside expansion, I believe the market could first sweep liquidity below the previous weekly low near 74.3k. After that liquidity grab, price may push higher into the 79k–80k region.

What happens above 79k will be extremely important for determining the next major trend. That area could confirm whether Bitcoin is preparing for a larger monthly high sweep or if the market is simply creating a distribution range before a deeper correction.

For more than a week, I have been targeting the 82.8k monthly high sweep, and I still believe Bitcoin reaches that zone before forming a significant market top. If that scenario plays out, the move could trap late breakout buyers before a larger downside move begins.

Another reason I remain cautious in the long term is the monthly candle structure. Historically, Bitcoin has struggled to maintain three strong consecutive green monthly closes without experiencing a meaningful retracement afterward. Because of this, I believe price could eventually close back below the monthly open before retesting the highs again next month to complete a ma

Die Spannungen zwischen Iran 🇮🇷 und den Vereinigten Staaten 🇺🇸 sind erneut angestiegen, nachdem in den letzten 48 Stunden eine Reihe von US-Luftangriffen in der Provinz Hormozgan und der Straße von Hormuz gemeldet wurden. Iran hat die Angriffe scharf verurteilt und sie als schwerwiegende Verletzung des Waffenstillstands und als gefährlichen Schritt bezeichnet, der die Region weiter destabilisieren könnte.

Laut einer Erklärung des iranischen Außenministeriums richteten sich die US-Angriffe gegen Raketeninstallationen in der Provinz Hormozgan sowie gegen Boote, die angeblich versuchten, Seeminen in der Straße von Hormuz zu verlegen. Während die iranischen Beamten keine vollständigen operativen Details preisgaben, warnte Teheran, dass es entschieden auf alle Aktionen reagieren würde, die seine Souveränität und nationale Sicherheit bedrohen.

Die Vereinigten Staaten hingegen beschrieben die Operationen als defensive Maßnahmen, die darauf abzielen, die Verlegung von Seeminen in einem der strategisch wichtigsten Wasserwege der Welt zu verhindern. Washington erklärte auch, dass derzeit Anstrengungen unternommen werden, um bestehende Seeminen aus der Straße von Hormuz zu entfernen.

Die wachsende Konfrontation hat bereits Besorgnis auf den globalen Energiemärkten ausgelöst. Die Öl- und Erdölpreise steigen weiter aufgrund der Befürchtungen über weitere Störungen in der Straße von Hormuz, einem wichtigen Transportweg für internationales Öl. Analysten warnen, dass jede langfristige Instabilität in der Region erhebliche wirtschaftliche Folgen weltweit haben könnte, was die Unsicherheit und Volatilität auf den globalen Märkten erhöht.