Was, wenn die nächste große Bitcoin-Rallye mit einem letzten Shakeout beginnt?
Bitcoin nähert sich in diesem Chart der Widerstandszone bei 87.000 $. Doch die interessantere Frage ist nicht, ob der Kurs sie durchbricht.
Sondern was passiert, wenn der Ausbruch scheitert.
Ein mögliches Szenario: BTC wird zurückgewiesen, Panikverkäufe nehmen zu und der Markt fällt vor einer Erholung erneut in die Zone zwischen 58.000 und 53.000 $.
Das andere: Käufer fangen den Verkaufsdruck auf, der Widerstand wird zur Unterstützung und der Markt kommt den tieferen Kursniveaus gar nicht erst nahe.
Der Chart deutet auf einen dramatischen Verlauf hin, doch Märkte folgen selten einem klaren Drehbuch. Und ein prognostizierter „Tiefpunkt“ erscheint meist erst im Rückblick offensichtlich.
Deshalb interessieren mich zwei unterschiedliche Einschätzungen:
Sehen wir hier einen möglichen letzten Shakeout vor dem nächsten großen Aufwärtsschub, oder ist genau diese Art pessimistischer Prognose der Grund, warum Trader einen echten Ausbruch nicht erkennen?
Bullen und Bären: Bringt eure Argumente vor. Was würde euer Szenario widerlegen? #BTC #BTC🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥
$AVA, +35% in a single candle today, respecting the bullish bias I shared weeks ago.
The buyback catalyst is now playing out, and the daily just printed a strong bullish engulfing candle.
This is why I was cautious about shorting into a catalyst with a history of driving significant upside.
The move I anticipated has now played out, so it’s reasonable to start looking for shorts here.
Much of this rally looks like a futures-driven short squeeze rather than spot demand. If that’s the case, the rally could struggle to hold once the squeeze runs out of steam.
For anyone looking to short this, it’s best to watch for signs of exhaustion and a potential reversal before entering.
The funny part? Just yesterday when I made and shared my unlocks-to-watch list for this month… $WAL was supposed to be on it.
32.71M tokens unlocking on the 26th ($1.2M / 1.27% of circulating supply).
I opened the chart, saw price sitting dead flat consolidating on support… and just like that, I omitted it from the list. Told myself, “this one’s not moving anytime soon.”
Then boom! Over 40% in one candle the very next day.
The same coin I looked at yesterday and completely wrote off. The crypto market is indeed crazy!
Now that this has already played out… I’m adding $WAL back to the list.
One pattern I’ve been noticing lately: Certain tokens with unlocks approaching often pump hard first… then the real dump usually starts a few days before the actual unlock date.
The market starts pricing in the supply shock early. Look at $W, unlock is on the 16th (2 days from now), but the dump already started two days ago.
Same story with $STRK; unlock is today, yet price began dumping two days earlier.
The same pattern could easily play out on $WAL. Unlock is on the 26th… so the clock is already ticking. Keep a close eye; there might be a clean opportunity forming.
On that note…$ZK unlock is on the 17th, and price has already started showing a strong decline. Could this be the same early dump signal we just saw on $W and $STRK?
$APR is another one with a massive unlock coming this month on different dates.
I also deliberately skipped it... chart is flat and price is already dumping hard right now. But we never really know what to expect in crypto… so I’ll be sharing its unlock details soon. #WALUSD #WALUSDT
After a sharp rally to $0.0175, $ZK printed a clear Double Top on the 4H and is now under heavy distribution pressure, pulling back to retest near support around $0.0152.
With the token unlock set for October 17th, sell-side supply could intensify and put further pressure on price.
I’m watching for short setups under two key scenarios:
Nach einer Rallye auf 0,1266 $ ist $STRK um über 35 % auf 0,0805 $ gefallen. Die Tageskerze zeigt eine starke bärische Dynamik.
Nun könnte ein möglicher Verkaufsimpuls bevorstehen: Heute werden 226,36 Mio. Token im Wert von 20,3 Mio. $ freigeschaltet (3,27 % des Umlaufangebots).
Falls die freigeschalteten Token zu weiteren Verkäufen führen, könnte der Verkaufsdruck zunehmen.
Ich halte unter zwei Szenarien nach Short-Setups Ausschau:
Despite the recent market pullback, $VANA's higher-timeframe structure remains bullish.
Despite the recent market pullback, $VANA's higher-timeframe structure remains bullish. I’m currently watching the chart closely for a potential long entry in the $1.0350–$1.0550 demand zone, provided price prints a clear bullish reversal candle on the 15m or 1H timeframe. Take-profit targets: - $1.1200 - $1.1630 Stop-Loss: $0.9950 NFA. Manage your risk and trade responsibly.
Starting your crypto journey? Here are three important lessons:
1. Research a cryptocurrency before investing. 2. Understand the risks because crypto prices can change quickly. 3. Never invest money you cannot afford to lose.
Today I'm learning more about Bitcoin ($BTC) and the crypto market.
What advice would you give someone starting their crypto journey?
Bitcoin ($BTC) is the world's best-known cryptocurrency. Before buying or trading any crypto, it's important to understand how the market works, the risks involved, and why prices can change quickly.
Here are 3 things every beginner should learn:
- Research: Understand the project before investing. - Risk management: Never risk money you cannot afford to lose. - Patience: Avoid making decisions based on hype or fear.
I'm starting my crypto learning journey and sharing useful lessons along the way. What was the first thing you learned about crypto?