THX738

I don’t advise futures trading — not because it’s impossible to win, but because it’s structurally designed to destroy small capital.
Let’s start with leverage. Futures amplify everything: gains, losses, emotions, and mistakes. A 1–2% price move against you can wipe out weeks or months of progress. According to exchange statistics, over 70–90% of retail futures traders lose money, and most of those losses come from leverage, fees, and liquidations — not bad analysis.
Now compare this with trading alpha coins (spot or no leverage).
Alpha coins move differently.
It’s normal to see 20–100% moves over days or weeks. Volatility works for you, not against you. There are no liquidations, no funding fees, and no forced closes. Your position can survive noise, manipulation, and time.
Risk vs Reward Comparison
Futures trading:
Small price moves (1–3%)High leverageFunding fees every 4-8 hours (1hour)High commissions due to overtradingLiquidation risk = total lossTime works against you
Alpha coin trading (spot):
Large asymmetric movesNo liquidationNo funding feesLower psychological pressureTime can work in your favorCapital remains alive
Now let’s talk about micro balances.
Most people don’t trade futures because it’s smart — they trade them because their capital is small. When you have $200 or $500, slow growth feels meaningless. So people chase leverage, hoping for fast results. What they actually chase is their last chance.
That’s how poor traders get poorer.
I know this firsthand.
Over three years of futures trading, I irreversibly lost more than $15,000. Not in one blow — slowly, through fees, funding, overtrading, and liquidations. On futures, once you’re liquidated, the money is gone forever. U may be more lucky, and win all time thinking u are smart enough, untill smth unpredictable happened...
With alpha coins, even bad entries leave you something: time and probability. A new cycle, a new narrative, a second chance. Futures offer none of that.
The Real Lesson
Trading is not about maximizing profit.
It’s about surviving long enough to let probability work.
Capital preservation beats any strategy.
Because without capital, skill doesn’t matter.
Futures don’t forgive mistakes.Spot alpha sometimes does.
And that difference decides who stays in the market — and who disappears from it.
#PreciousMetalsTurbulence #ALPHA🔥 #USIranStandoff #MarketCorrection

Why Most “Trading Advice” Accounts Don’t Trade at All
Many accounts that give trading advice don’t actually trade. In reality, around 90% of them risk nothing but their reputation. They make money not from the market, but from #Write2Earn posts, referrals, ads, and paid groups. When their ideas fail, it’s not their capital on the line — it’s yours. This creates a dangerous imbalance: followers take real financial risk, while “gurus” collect views and engagement. Their goal is consistency in content, not consistency in profits. Always remember: if someone truly had a reliable edge, they wouldn’t need to give #signals daily.
Only ~48.5 % of copy-trading followers were profitable over the period.
While ~97 % of leaders showed positive profit on their own accounts, only **~43.6 % of those leaders actually generated positive returns for followers.
This means even among traders people choose to follow, fewer than half delivered profitable results for the followers.
In a small competition reported on a trading platform (not Binance itself), only 19 out of 100 “top influencers” remained profitable, and many lost most of their starting capital.
They Don’t Trade — You Do (With Your Money)!
#MarketCorrection #PreciousMetalsTurbulence #USIranStandoff $BTC

#TrumpCancelsEUTariffThreat

A couple of months ago, I was being "smart" and closed all my spot positions (you can find my post about that) to wait it out in cash.
Of course, that didn’t stop me from losing all that cash on futures during this time.
But admit it — the idea itself was correct, right?
Don’t ask me how I came to the conclusion that 2026 will be the year of a crypto collapse.
In my worldview, it is an obvious scenario, just like for someone else 2×2=5.
So what will happen when $BTC falls further?
That’s when real panic and crypto devaluation will begin.
All those funds, ETFs, crypto optimists, and “experts” will either sit in losses for years hoping for recovery (and hope may not work), or they will panic.
There will also be the incurable ones who will keep buying every new bottom.
And if you remember Vitalik Buterin, who believes that any token without real-world utility will eventually go to zero (hello memecoin lovers and ...), the near-term outlook for the crypto market looks bleak.
So what will you do when the crypto market collapses because Bitcoin drops to 68,000, and then lower and lower?
What is your plan for 2026?
My personal plan: I’m not opening spot longs at least until autumn 2026.
On futures, I only catch shorts.
God bless those who believe Bitcoin will be worth $1M. Amen.
#WhenWillBTCRebound #BitcoinETFWatch #MarketCorrection #USIranStandoff

Last sell-off hit metals, crypto, and equities simultaneously.
Gold and silver dropped sharply, crypto saw billions in forced liquidations, and stocks repriced risk in minutes.
Liquidations snapshot:
Crypto: ~$3–6B liquidated across majors in 24h ($BTC , $ETH , alt leverage)Futures markets: >80% retail positions wiped on high leverageMetals & equities: correlated risk-off move across macro desks
Why Strategy Breaks in Regime Shifts
Trading systems work in stable regimes.
When macro order collapses—policy shocks, tariff wars, fiscal chaos—markets stop behaving statistically.
At that point, profit is variance, not skill.
The Real Edge: No Position
In systemic disorder, the best trade is often no trade.
Not closing positions—never opening them during regime breakdowns.
Trying to trade while global policy architecture is being rewritten is not trading.
It’s gambling with a narrative. Many “market gurus” claim they can model chaos.
In reality, they are selling religion to traders who need faith.
“Chaos can be modeled,” they say.
That’s not analysis. That’s a sales pitch for desperate traders.
Gurus don’t predict chaos. They monetize your need to believe someone can.
Retail Reality
70–90% of retail traders lose money long-termOver 80% of leveraged accounts are wiped within a yearFinancial stress spikes after major crashes; studies after 2008 and 2020 link market losses to rising depression and suicide risk.
Final Take
When the macro order breaks, markets stop being a game of probabilities and turn into a game of survival.
In such phases, participation itself becomes the risk.
Not trading is not fear. It is strategic absence.
Sitting out chaos is often the highest form of discipline.
If you lost everything, it doesn’t make you stupid—it makes you a participant in a system designed to transfer capital from many to few.
The market will reset, narratives will change, new cycles will start.
But capital that survives chaos is the only capital that can exploit the next cycle.
Everything else is just tuition paid to volatility.
#PreciousMetalsTurbulence #USIranStandoff #WhoIsNextFedChair #MarketChaos #Liquidations

Ein Shutdown der US-Regierung tritt ein, wenn der Kongress es versäumt, einen Bundeshaushalt zu verabschieden.
Ergebnis: Teile der Regierung hören buchstäblich auf zu arbeiten. Mitarbeiter werden beurlaubt, Dienstleistungen frieren ein, Märkte werden nervös.
Es ist kein Unfall. Es ist politische Kriegsführung.
Wer profitiert von Shutdowns?
1) Politiker
Shutdowns sind ein Hebel. Jede Seite nutzt sie, um Zugeständnisse zu erzwingen, Wähler zu mobilisieren und die andere Partei zu beschuldigen.
2) Händler und Hedgefonds
Volatilität steigt. Anleiherenditen, Gold und USD-Volatilitätshandels werden profitabel.

Iran ist nicht das Ziel. Es ist das Mittel.
Die verborgene Kontinuität
Auf den ersten Blick sehen die Spannungen rund um Iran wie ein separates Kapitel in der globalen Geopolitik aus.
In Wirklichkeit fügen sie sich in einen längeren Energie-Strategiezyklus ein, der zuvor in Lateinamerika stattgefunden hat.
Die Druckkampagne gegen Venezuela zeigte, wie Preis, Sanktionen und Zugang zu Ressourcen als geopolitische Werkzeuge eingesetzt werden können. Ein neuer Schock im Nahen Osten würde dieser Logik nicht widersprechen - er würde sie vervollständigen.
Preis als strategisches Instrument
Energiemärkte sind nicht nur wirtschaftliche Systeme.

Lass uns ehrlich sein:
Für die meisten Menschen auf diesem Planeten ist es niemandem egal, wer die Fed leitet oder ob der US-Zins bei 4%, 5% oder 1% liegt. Miete, Essen, Energie, Schulden – das ist die Realität. Powell, Zinsen, Dot-Plots – Hintergrundgeräusch.
Aber Märkte kümmern sich.
Und genau da beginnt das Problem.
Die Federal Reserve wurde so konzipiert, dass sie unabhängig ist. Heute ist sie es nicht. Sie ist gefangen – von der Politik, von den Märkten, von Erwartungen, die sie nicht mehr kontrollieren kann. Wenn Gerüchte kursieren, dass ein BlackRock-Manager der nächste Fed-Vorsitzende werden könnte, wird Unabhängigkeit zum Witz. Das ist keine Geldpolitik – das ist Machtkonsolidierung.

Der neueste Krypto-Crash geschah nicht isoliert. Der scharfe Rückgang von Bitcoin, der aggressive Anstieg von Gold, Trumps manipulative Zinserhetorik und Japans monetäre Verzerrung sind alles Teile des gleichen Systemdrucks.
Beginnen Sie mit $BTC
Der Rückgang beruhte nicht auf Fundamentaldaten. Es ging um die Positionierung. Der Hebel war extrem, insbesondere am Wochenende. Als die Liquidität abnahm, fiel der Preis nicht, sondern rutschte durch leere Bücher und löste Zwangsliquidationen aus. Bitcoin fungierte als Druckventil des globalen Risikos, genau wie immer.

If someone publishes futures setups everyday, they are not trading — they are producing content.
Most of these “experts” focus on short-term moves of 1–3%. On paper it looks easy. In reality, fees, funding, slippage, and bad timing turn those tiny moves into consistent losses. According to exchange data and independent studies, 70–90% of retail futures traders lose money, and the majority of losses come from overtrading and short holding periods.
High-frequency setups mean:
More trades
More fees
More funding payments
More emotional mistakes
Even if the win rate looks decent, the risk-reward is terrible. One bad liquidation wipes out ten “successful” trades.
Now the obvious question:
If these people are real trading experts, why don’t they trade the same few pairs?
Experienced traders usually specialize. They master one market, one asset, one behavior pattern. It’s easier, more predictable, and more profitable. But content gurus jump from coin to coin every day — because new coins mean new charts, new hype, and new engagement.
They are not optimizing profits. They are optimizing attention.
A single high-conviction trade held for several days often outperforms dozens of tiny futures scalps. Fewer fees, less funding, clearer structure, better psychology.
Real traders wait.
Content traders post.
And the market knows the difference.

Der Handel am Wochenende ist eine perfekte Illusion. Charts bewegen sich, Kerzen drucken, Hoffnung überlebt – aber dein Kontostand stirbt leise. Während du auf „den großen Move“ wartest, #FundingRates erledigen ihre Arbeit und fressen dein Konto einen Zyklus nach dem anderen.
Die Liquidität am Wochenende ist dünn. Sehr dünn. Das bedeutet breitere Spreads, zufällige Wicks und Preisbewegungen, die nur existieren, um Stops zu jagen. Kein echtes Volumen, kein echter Trend – nur Lärm und Fallen. Technische Analyse? Dekorativ.
Der Preis kann zwei Tage lang stabil bleiben, doch dein Kontostand schrumpft. Nicht weil du falsch lagst, sondern weil du offen geblieben bist. Finanzierung kümmert sich nicht um Richtung, Vorurteile oder Geduld. Sie berechnet dir Gebühren für das Bestehen.

Gold does not believe in speeches, summits, or “historic peace agreements.” It reacts only to risk. Every major war of the last century proves the same rule: when global order cracks, gold reprices instantly.
During World War II, gold-backed currencies became the last anchor of trust. During the Iraq War (2003), gold rose over 25% in two years as oil shocks and military spending exploded deficits. After 2020, amid global conflict escalation and sanctions warfare, central banks bought over 1,000 tons of gold annually, the highest level in modern history.
Markets understand something politicians won’t say: modern wars are economic first. Sanctions freeze reserves, debt replaces diplomacy, and fiat currencies are weaponized. This is why $XAU /USDT matters. It removes banks, borders, and governments from the equation — pure fear pricing against a synthetic dollar.
“Peace” usually brings short-term pullbacks. Ceasefires reduce headlines, yields rise, and gold pauses. But unresolved debt, fractured supply chains, and multipolar power struggles keep long-term pressure intact.
Gold doesn’t rally because war starts.
Gold rallies because the system breaks.
XAU/USDT is not optimism.
It’s a hedge against lies. $BTC
#WEFDavos2026 #GoldSilverAtRecordHighs

Why a 2026 Crypto #BullRunAhead Is a Delusion
Every major crypto cycle has peaked 12–18 months after a Bitcoin halving. By historical standards, 2026 sits firmly in the late-stage decay of the cycle, where liquidity exits and narratives replace fundamentals. Betting on a fresh bull run at this point is not analysis — it’s denial.
This time, the macro backdrop is worse. The world is sliding into political fragmentation and a new, unstable global order. US politics resemble a reality show, with figures like Trump injecting chaos, ego, and unpredictability into markets that depend on trust and stability.
Meanwhile, US Treasuries are being quietly dumped and monetized, exposing structural cracks in the global financial system. This is not the environment where speculative assets explode upward. Without expanding liquidity and political coherence, a 2026 bull run isn’t delayed — it’s structurally impossible.
Number of Failed #Cryptocurrencies by Year
➡️ 2021: 2,584 tokens
➡️ 2022: 213,075 tokens
➡️ 2023: 245,049 tokens
➡️ 2024: 1,382,010 tokens
➡️ 2025: 11,564,909 tokens
$BTC $ETH #TrumpTariffs

#TrumpTariffsOnEurope #TrumpCancelsEUTariffThreat #StrategyBTCPurchase

Der Handel mit Futures auf #Binance kann attraktiv erscheinen, aufgrund der hohen Hebelwirkung und dem Versprechen schneller Gewinne, aber für die meisten Trader ist es ein verlustbringendes Spiel. Das Haupt Risiko ist der Hebel selbst. Selbst kleine Marktbewegungen können eine gesamte Position auslöschen, was zu schnellen #Liquidations führt, die keinen Raum für eine Erholung lassen.
Ein weiteres Problem sind die Finanzierungskosten. Viele Anfänger unterschätzen, wie diese regelmäßigen Zahlungen langsam ihr Guthaben aufbrauchen, selbst wenn der Markt seitwärts läuft. Im Laufe der Zeit verwandelt sich der Handel in ein Negativsummenspiel für Einzelhandelsbenutzer.