Sarwat Khalil
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#FOMC
👀 LIVE: The Fed's FOMC minutes drop TODAY at 11PM PST
This was Kevin Warsh’s first rate hike as Fed Chair in a unanimous 12-0 vote to raise rates to 3.75%-4.00%.
What we already know:
- dot plot shows one more hike in 2026
- inflation is still running too hot at ~3.7%
- Oct hike probability had fallen to 22%
- markets see 86% chance of another hike by Dec
What to look for:
1️⃣ Did any officials want an even BIGGER hike?
- YES: Bearish for stocks and crypto, bullish for the USD
- NO: Relief rally possible
2️⃣ How many officials want more hikes?
- "Many" or "Most": Higher odds of an October hike, risk assets could fall
- "Some" or "Few": Lower odds of an October hike, risk assets could rise
3️⃣ Are they worried inflation is getting worse?
- YES: More hikes priced in, pressure on stocks and crypto
- NO: Markets may start pricing an end to hikes
Expect volatility
#FOMC
👀 LIVE: The Fed's FOMC minutes drop TODAY at 11PM PST
This was Kevin Warsh’s first rate hike as Fed Chair in a unanimous 12-0 vote to raise rates to 3.75%-4.00%.
What we already know:
- dot plot shows one more hike in 2026
- inflation is still running too hot at ~3.7%
- Oct hike probability had fallen to 22%
- markets see 86% chance of another hike by Dec
What to look for:
1️⃣ Did any officials want an even BIGGER hike?
- YES: Bearish for stocks and crypto, bullish for the USD
- NO: Relief rally possible
2️⃣ How many officials want more hikes?
- "Many" or "Most": Higher odds of an October hike, risk assets could fall
- "Some" or "Few": Lower odds of an October hike, risk assets could rise
3️⃣ Are they worried inflation is getting worse?
- YES: More hikes priced in, pressure on stocks and crypto
- NO: Markets may start pricing an end to hikes
Expect volatility
👀 LIVE: The Fed's FOMC minutes drop TODAY at 11PM PST
This was Kevin Warsh’s first rate hike as Fed Chair in a unanimous 12-0 vote to raise rates to 3.75%-4.00%.
What we already know:
- dot plot shows one more hike in 2026
- inflation is still running too hot at ~3.7%
- Oct hike probability had fallen to 22%
- markets see 86% chance of another hike by Dec
What to look for:
1️⃣ Did any officials want an even BIGGER hike?
- YES: Bearish for stocks and crypto, bullish for the USD
- NO: Relief rally possible
2️⃣ How many officials want more hikes?
- "Many" or "Most": Higher odds of an October hike, risk assets could fall
- "Some" or "Few": Lower odds of an October hike, risk assets could rise
3️⃣ Are they worried inflation is getting worse?
- YES: More hikes priced in, pressure on stocks and crypto
- NO: Markets may start pricing an end to hikes
Expect volatility
3
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#Ai_sector
#DigitalAssets
🇸🇬 DAS: Justin Sun says AI will be making onchain decisions and managing crypto wallets within five years.
#Ai_sector
#DigitalAssets
🇸🇬 DAS: Justin Sun says AI will be making onchain decisions and managing crypto wallets within five years.
#DigitalAssets
🇸🇬 DAS: Justin Sun says AI will be making onchain decisions and managing crypto wallets within five years.
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#cryptooinsigts
$550,000,000 liquidated from the crypto market in the past 24 hours.
#cryptooinsigts
$550,000,000 liquidated from the crypto market in the past 24 hours.
$550,000,000 liquidated from the crypto market in the past 24 hours.
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#SpaceX
SpaceX has added nearly $1T in market cap over the past two months
#SpaceX
SpaceX has added nearly $1T in market cap over the past two months
SpaceX has added nearly $1T in market cap over the past two months
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#Token2049Singapore
🇸🇬 TOKEN2049: Maelstrom’s Arthur Hayes says, “Agents are going to power the next wave of human economy.”
#Token2049Singapore
🇸🇬 TOKEN2049: Maelstrom’s Arthur Hayes says, “Agents are going to power the next wave of human economy.”
🇸🇬 TOKEN2049: Maelstrom’s Arthur Hayes says, “Agents are going to power the next wave of human economy.”
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🚨 NEW: Aave Labs founder and CEO Stani Kulechov says DeFi's long-term edge is a better cost structure, letting lending run as a business at a lower cost than traditional finance.
🚨 NEW: Aave Labs founder and CEO Stani Kulechov says DeFi's long-term edge is a better cost structure, letting lending run as a business at a lower cost than traditional finance.
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$BTC just did something it NEVER did before Three straight Summer months closed green: - June - July - August Uptober just started and it is already green It is no coincidence...
#BTC🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥
$BTC just did something it NEVER did before Three straight Summer months closed green: - June - July - August Uptober just started and it is already green It is no coincidence...
#BTC🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥
#BTC🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥
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#CryptoNewss
LATEST: 📈 Tom Lee told CNBC that "crypto doing so well" amid tightening monetary conditions signals markets are "anticipating easier financial conditions ahead."
#CryptoNewss
LATEST: 📈 Tom Lee told CNBC that "crypto doing so well" amid tightening monetary conditions signals markets are "anticipating easier financial conditions ahead."
LATEST: 📈 Tom Lee told CNBC that "crypto doing so well" amid tightening monetary conditions signals markets are "anticipating easier financial conditions ahead."
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#Supercycle2026
#Supercycle2027
Former UBS Asia investment banking chief Joseph Chee expects China to reopen crypto access
Chee says a policy shift could unleash a new crypto “supercycle” as Chinese capital and investors return to the market.
#Supercycle2026
#Supercycle2027
Former UBS Asia investment banking chief Joseph Chee expects China to reopen crypto access
Chee says a policy shift could unleash a new crypto “supercycle” as Chinese capital and investors return to the market.
#Supercycle2027
Former UBS Asia investment banking chief Joseph Chee expects China to reopen crypto access
Chee says a policy shift could unleash a new crypto “supercycle” as Chinese capital and investors return to the market.
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#ONDO
LATEST: ⚡️ Ondo unveiled Ondo Private Markets, offering eligible investors tokenized notes tied to private companies, starting with one pre-IPO AI company.
#ONDO
LATEST: ⚡️ Ondo unveiled Ondo Private Markets, offering eligible investors tokenized notes tied to private companies, starting with one pre-IPO AI company.
LATEST: ⚡️ Ondo unveiled Ondo Private Markets, offering eligible investors tokenized notes tied to private companies, starting with one pre-IPO AI company.
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#SolanaJourney
LATEST: ⚡️ The Solana Foundation launched Solana DvP, an open-source escrow program that aims to let institutions settle trades in a single atomic transaction, with input from JPMorgan.
#SolanaJourney
LATEST: ⚡️ The Solana Foundation launched Solana DvP, an open-source escrow program that aims to let institutions settle trades in a single atomic transaction, with input from JPMorgan.
LATEST: ⚡️ The Solana Foundation launched Solana DvP, an open-source escrow program that aims to let institutions settle trades in a single atomic transaction, with input from JPMorgan.
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#CLARITYAct
LATEST: 🇺🇸 Tom Lee told CNBC his "contrarian take" is that Democrats will flip to support the CLARITY Act after the midterms.
#CLARITYAct
LATEST: 🇺🇸 Tom Lee told CNBC his "contrarian take" is that Democrats will flip to support the CLARITY Act after the midterms.
LATEST: 🇺🇸 Tom Lee told CNBC his "contrarian take" is that Democrats will flip to support the CLARITY Act after the midterms.
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🇺🇸 OPINION: America needs crypto rules that outlast whoever controls Washington.
Former New York Gov. Andrew M. Cuomo argues agency action can fill the gap left by the stalled CLARITY Act, but only Congress can create a durable US market structure.
What happens when political control changes?
Read more: https://ct.com/opinion/us-crypto-rules-need-to-survive-the-next-election.
#CLARITYAct
🇺🇸 OPINION: America needs crypto rules that outlast whoever controls Washington.
Former New York Gov. Andrew M. Cuomo argues agency action can fill the gap left by the stalled CLARITY Act, but only Congress can create a durable US market structure.
What happens when political control changes?
Read more: https://ct.com/opinion/us-crypto-rules-need-to-survive-the-next-election.
#CLARITYAct
Former New York Gov. Andrew M. Cuomo argues agency action can fill the gap left by the stalled CLARITY Act, but only Congress can create a durable US market structure.
What happens when political control changes?
Read more: https://ct.com/opinion/us-crypto-rules-need-to-survive-the-next-election.
#CLARITYAct
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🇺🇸CFTC Chair Mike Selig says, “I am absolutely disappointed in Congress... but we've got statutory authority and we're going to use it.”
CLARITY may have stalled, but the CFTC & SEC plan to use every bit of authority they can to push crypto oversight forward.
#CLARITYAct
🇺🇸CFTC Chair Mike Selig says, “I am absolutely disappointed in Congress... but we've got statutory authority and we're going to use it.”
CLARITY may have stalled, but the CFTC & SEC plan to use every bit of authority they can to push crypto oversight forward.
#CLARITYAct
CLARITY may have stalled, but the CFTC & SEC plan to use every bit of authority they can to push crypto oversight forward.
#CLARITYAct
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#ShareYourThoughtOnBTC
Technische Zusammenfassung zu Bitcoin (BTC)
Aktuelle Kursbewegung: BTC konsolidiert nahe 85.600–85.900 $, wobei die Tendenz innerhalb einer engen Spanne leicht bullisch ist.
Wichtiger Widerstand: 87.000–87.250 $ (ein Ausbruch könnte Kurse von über 90.000 $ anvisieren).
Wichtige Unterstützung: 85.200 $ (Gleichgewicht in der Mitte der Spanne) und 82.800–83.000 $ (Verteidigungszone nach unten).
Indikatoren: Der RSI (~45–60) ist neutral, der Kurs liegt über den wichtigen gleitenden Durchschnitten (50-/200-Tage-SMAs), und der ADX (<20) weist auf eine geringe Trendstärke hin. Das signalisiert eine Bewegung innerhalb einer Handelsspanne vor einem größeren Ausbruch.
#ShareYourThoughtOnBTC
Technische Zusammenfassung zu Bitcoin (BTC)
Aktuelle Kursbewegung: BTC konsolidiert nahe 85.600–85.900 $, wobei die Tendenz innerhalb einer engen Spanne leicht bullisch ist.
Wichtiger Widerstand: 87.000–87.250 $ (ein Ausbruch könnte Kurse von über 90.000 $ anvisieren).
Wichtige Unterstützung: 85.200 $ (Gleichgewicht in der Mitte der Spanne) und 82.800–83.000 $ (Verteidigungszone nach unten).
Indikatoren: Der RSI (~45–60) ist neutral, der Kurs liegt über den wichtigen gleitenden Durchschnitten (50-/200-Tage-SMAs), und der ADX (<20) weist auf eine geringe Trendstärke hin. Das signalisiert eine Bewegung innerhalb einer Handelsspanne vor einem größeren Ausbruch.
Technische Zusammenfassung zu Bitcoin (BTC)
Aktuelle Kursbewegung: BTC konsolidiert nahe 85.600–85.900 $, wobei die Tendenz innerhalb einer engen Spanne leicht bullisch ist.
Wichtiger Widerstand: 87.000–87.250 $ (ein Ausbruch könnte Kurse von über 90.000 $ anvisieren).
Wichtige Unterstützung: 85.200 $ (Gleichgewicht in der Mitte der Spanne) und 82.800–83.000 $ (Verteidigungszone nach unten).
Indikatoren: Der RSI (~45–60) ist neutral, der Kurs liegt über den wichtigen gleitenden Durchschnitten (50-/200-Tage-SMAs), und der ADX (<20) weist auf eine geringe Trendstärke hin. Das signalisiert eine Bewegung innerhalb einer Handelsspanne vor einem größeren Ausbruch.
33
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FedMinutesFocusOnOctoberPause
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🚨 HOHE ALARMSTUFE ‼️ BITTE HANDELT IN DER NÄCHSTEN STUNDE NICHT BLIND 🚨
Leute, in weniger als einer Stunde werden die FOMC-Protokolle veröffentlicht.
Nach der Volatilität, die wir heute bereits erlebt haben, möchte ich wirklich nicht, dass jemand kurz vor der Veröffentlichung irgendwelche zufälligen Positionen mit hohem Hebel eröffnet.
Die stärkste Reaktion erwarte ich bei Gold (XAU), Silber (XAG), BTC und ETH. Coins wie SOL und andere stark gehebelte Altcoins mit mittlerer oder niedriger Marktkapitalisierung können jede Bewegung von BTC noch verstärken.
Gold und Silber reagieren heute Abend besonders empfindlich, weil der Markt bereits auf den US-Dollar und die Renditen von US-Staatsanleihen reagiert und beide Metalle vor der Veröffentlichung der Fed-Protokolle stark unter Druck standen.
Kurz gesagt:
📉 FOMC-Protokolle mit falkenhaftem Ton → Dollar und Renditen können steigen → Druck auf BTC, Krypto, Gold und Silber
📈 FOMC-Protokolle mit taubenhaftem Ton → Dollar und Renditen können nachgeben → BTC, Gold, Silber und andere Risikoanlagen können kräftig steigen.
Und bitte denkt daran: Die erste Kerze kann eine Falle sein. Es kann zunächst zu einem Pump kommen, dann zu einem sofortigen Dump, Liquidationen auf beiden Seiten und erst danach zur tatsächlichen Richtungsbewegung.
Schützt also vorerst eure Positionen, reduziert unnötigen Hebel und springt nicht aus FOMO auf die erste Bewegung auf.
Heute Abend beobachte ich zuerst $XAU , $XAG und $BTC . An ihnen werden wir sehr schnell erkennen, wie der Markt die Fed einschätzt.
Ich halte euch rechtzeitig auf dem Laufenden.
Folgt @Panda Traders und aktiviert jetzt eure Benachrichtigungen.
#FedMinutesFocusOnOctoberPause
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