Bitcoin hat den Tagesschlusskurs über ~$82500 erzielt. Das war eine notwendige Entwicklung auf niedrigeren Zeitebenen, damit BTC beginnen kann, ~$82500 auf Wochenbasis zu verteidigen.
Der Preis ist jedoch noch nicht über den Berg, denn das ist nur der erste Schritt auf einer niedrigeren Zeitebene.
Für einen Anstieg von hier aus muss Bitcoin außerdem den Tagesschlusskurs über ~$83400 erzielen und dieses Niveau anschließend als Unterstützung erneut testen, um sich wieder mit der Tagesrange von ~$83400–$86700 in Einklang zu bringen.
Bitcoin muss vermeiden, bei ~$83400 (rot) abgewiesen zu werden, denn das würde den Preis erneut unter ~$82500 drücken.
Bislang bewegt sich BTC schließlich zwischen der orangefarbenen Zone und dem roten Niveau bei $83400. Das wird so weitergehen, bis eines der beiden Bereiche eindeutig durchbrochen wird.
$BTC Loves following this pattern. During 2023-2025 we saw the same during the entire run up.
1. Volatility low, compression high, sentiment worsens 2. Sweep local lows (sometimes several times) 3. Retake previous low 4. Quick move towards top of range 5. Big move outside of range into new highs
Yet, during every consolidation, calls for a top happen and people willingly sell their coins. The easiest thing to not have this happen to you is to wait for candle closes and to see if a "break" below sees any follow through.
As you can see in these cases we had a few small breakdowns and price action below the initial support levels. Yet, there was never any considerable follow through lower. This means a lot of absorption is taking place.
Then when price recovers, sellers are mostly out and it flies with added short fuel too.
In today's case, $83K is a good first level for the daily closes to watch. From there, if bullish, you'd want to see quick acceleration to $87K+ without too much hesitation. Generally this takes less than a few days if the past 2 cases are of any indication.
I know the market has been barely moving the past few days vs the stronger candles we had earlier.
Hence why things might get quite repetitive what I say as this means there's little new to update on a day to day basis.
But if I had to repeat one thing and show again it's that there is very little we right now need to do besides just looking at the chart below.
It's one of the only fair representation we need right now.
Lower time frame price action might be flip-flipping up and down right now but zooming out things are extremely clear.
- An end to the downtrend - Regained momentum - Very similar formation as last time
The fact that we are actually having this price action with the less than ideal news we've had lately (macro escalations, interest rates up, clarity act refused) only proves further that we have left the earlier bear/downtrend market we had before.
Objectively I will still say that the majority off the market isn't in a true bullish environment just yet but the majors certainly are.
And if they prove once again to be a leading indicator we could still have some fireworks from the little soldiers.
Professional Technical Breakdown (Educational / Market Update) Best for: Position/swing traders, technical analysis accounts, and building trading authority.
Gold CFD Update ($XAUUSD) — Oct 18, 2026 🟡
Current Price: ~$4,166 Market Bias: Bearish overall, but watching key zones for reaction. 🔑 Key Levels to Watch:• Resistance: $4,174 / $4,235 / $4,284 • Support: $4,117 / $4,078 / $4,041
🎯 Trading Scenarios:1️⃣ Short: Rejection around $4,174–$4,200 ➔ Targets: $4,148 / $4,117 2️⃣ Long: Clean break + retest of $4,174 ➔ Targets: $4,199 / $4,235 ⚡ Mind spreads on Sunday session open! What timeframe are you executing on today? 👇
Many people may ask what were our confluences to enter this trade?
1 • The price was reaching a HTF POI. 2 • The swing high raided and swept all the BSL in lower TFs. 3 • The price broke the structure and formed a huge imbalance which is labeled as MSS (Market Structure Shift), indicated a bearish trend! 4 • The price came back near our POI and made an accumulation range. 5 • The price caught the accumulation BSL and reached our printed POI.
Boom! the price rapidly took our TP and with almost zero drawdown! ✅⚡