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Rayan humayon
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Rayan humayon

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#BTC Bitcoin hat den Tagesschlusskurs über ~$82500 erzielt. Das war eine notwendige Entwicklung auf niedrigeren Zeitebenen, damit BTC beginnen kann, ~$82500 auf Wochenbasis zu verteidigen. Der Preis ist jedoch noch nicht über den Berg, denn das ist nur der erste Schritt auf einer niedrigeren Zeitebene. Für einen Anstieg von hier aus muss Bitcoin außerdem den Tagesschlusskurs über ~$83400 erzielen und dieses Niveau anschließend als Unterstützung erneut testen, um sich wieder mit der Tagesrange von ~$83400–$86700 in Einklang zu bringen. Bitcoin muss vermeiden, bei ~$83400 (rot) abgewiesen zu werden, denn das würde den Preis erneut unter ~$82500 drücken. Bislang bewegt sich BTC schließlich zwischen der orangefarbenen Zone und dem roten Niveau bei $83400. Das wird so weitergehen, bis eines der beiden Bereiche eindeutig durchbrochen wird. $BTC #Bitcoin❗
#BTC

Bitcoin hat den Tagesschlusskurs über ~$82500 erzielt. Das war eine notwendige Entwicklung auf niedrigeren Zeitebenen, damit BTC beginnen kann, ~$82500 auf Wochenbasis zu verteidigen.

Der Preis ist jedoch noch nicht über den Berg, denn das ist nur der erste Schritt auf einer niedrigeren Zeitebene.

Für einen Anstieg von hier aus muss Bitcoin außerdem den Tagesschlusskurs über ~$83400 erzielen und dieses Niveau anschließend als Unterstützung erneut testen, um sich wieder mit der Tagesrange von ~$83400–$86700 in Einklang zu bringen.

Bitcoin muss vermeiden, bei ~$83400 (rot) abgewiesen zu werden, denn das würde den Preis erneut unter ~$82500 drücken.

Bislang bewegt sich BTC schließlich zwischen der orangefarbenen Zone und dem roten Niveau bei $83400. Das wird so weitergehen, bis eines der beiden Bereiche eindeutig durchbrochen wird.

$BTC #Bitcoin❗
Übersetzung ansehen
$BTC Loves following this pattern. During 2023-2025 we saw the same during the entire run up. 1. Volatility low, compression high, sentiment worsens 2. Sweep local lows (sometimes several times) 3. Retake previous low 4. Quick move towards top of range 5. Big move outside of range into new highs Yet, during every consolidation, calls for a top happen and people willingly sell their coins. The easiest thing to not have this happen to you is to wait for candle closes and to see if a "break" below sees any follow through. As you can see in these cases we had a few small breakdowns and price action below the initial support levels. Yet, there was never any considerable follow through lower. This means a lot of absorption is taking place. Then when price recovers, sellers are mostly out and it flies with added short fuel too. In today's case, $83K is a good first level for the daily closes to watch. From there, if bullish, you'd want to see quick acceleration to $87K+ without too much hesitation. Generally this takes less than a few days if the past 2 cases are of any indication.
$BTC Loves following this pattern. During 2023-2025 we saw the same during the entire run up.

1. Volatility low, compression high, sentiment worsens
2. Sweep local lows (sometimes several times)
3. Retake previous low
4. Quick move towards top of range
5. Big move outside of range into new highs

Yet, during every consolidation, calls for a top happen and people willingly sell their coins. The easiest thing to not have this happen to you is to wait for candle closes and to see if a "break" below sees any follow through.

As you can see in these cases we had a few small breakdowns and price action below the initial support levels. Yet, there was never any considerable follow through lower. This means a lot of absorption is taking place.

Then when price recovers, sellers are mostly out and it flies with added short fuel too.

In today's case, $83K is a good first level for the daily closes to watch. From there, if bullish, you'd want to see quick acceleration to $87K+ without too much hesitation. Generally this takes less than a few days if the past 2 cases are of any indication.
Übersetzung ansehen
I know the market has been barely moving the past few days vs the stronger candles we had earlier. Hence why things might get quite repetitive what I say as this means there's little new to update on a day to day basis. But if I had to repeat one thing and show again it's that there is very little we right now need to do besides just looking at the chart below. It's one of the only fair representation we need right now. Lower time frame price action might be flip-flipping up and down right now but zooming out things are extremely clear. - An end to the downtrend - Regained momentum - Very similar formation as last time The fact that we are actually having this price action with the less than ideal news we've had lately (macro escalations, interest rates up, clarity act refused) only proves further that we have left the earlier bear/downtrend market we had before. Objectively I will still say that the majority off the market isn't in a true bullish environment just yet but the majors certainly are. And if they prove once again to be a leading indicator we could still have some fireworks from the little soldiers.
I know the market has been barely moving the past few days vs the stronger candles we had earlier.

Hence why things might get quite repetitive what I say as this means there's little new to update on a day to day basis.

But if I had to repeat one thing and show again it's that there is very little we right now need to do besides just looking at the chart below.

It's one of the only fair representation we need right now.

Lower time frame price action might be flip-flipping up and down right now but zooming out things are extremely clear.

- An end to the downtrend
- Regained momentum
- Very similar formation as last time

The fact that we are actually having this price action with the less than ideal news we've had lately (macro escalations, interest rates up, clarity act refused) only proves further that we have left the earlier bear/downtrend market we had before.

Objectively I will still say that the majority off the market isn't in a true bullish environment just yet but the majors certainly are.

And if they prove once again to be a leading indicator we could still have some fireworks from the little soldiers.
Übersetzung ansehen
Professional Technical Breakdown (Educational / Market Update) Best for: Position/swing traders, technical analysis accounts, and building trading authority. Gold CFD Update ($XAUUSD) — Oct 18, 2026 🟡 Current Price: ~$4,166 Market Bias: Bearish overall, but watching key zones for reaction. 🔑 Key Levels to Watch:• Resistance: $4,174 / $4,235 / $4,284 • Support: $4,117 / $4,078 / $4,041 🎯 Trading Scenarios:1️⃣ Short: Rejection around $4,174–$4,200 ➔ Targets: $4,148 / $4,117 2️⃣ Long: Clean break + retest of $4,174 ➔ Targets: $4,199 / $4,235 ⚡ Mind spreads on Sunday session open! What timeframe are you executing on today? 👇
Professional Technical Breakdown (Educational / Market Update)
Best for: Position/swing traders, technical analysis accounts, and building trading authority.

Gold CFD Update ($XAUUSD) — Oct 18, 2026 🟡

Current Price: ~$4,166 Market Bias: Bearish overall, but watching key zones for reaction.
🔑 Key Levels to Watch:• Resistance: $4,174 / $4,235 / $4,284 • Support: $4,117 / $4,078 / $4,041

🎯 Trading Scenarios:1️⃣ Short: Rejection around $4,174–$4,200 ➔ Targets: $4,148 / $4,117 2️⃣ Long: Clean break + retest of $4,174 ➔ Targets: $4,199 / $4,235
⚡ Mind spreads on Sunday session open! What timeframe are you executing on today? 👇
Übersetzung ansehen
Many people may ask what were our confluences to enter this trade? 1 • The price was reaching a HTF POI. 2 • The swing high raided and swept all the BSL in lower TFs. 3 • The price broke the structure and formed a huge imbalance which is labeled as MSS (Market Structure Shift), indicated a bearish trend! 4 • The price came back near our POI and made an accumulation range. 5 • The price caught the accumulation BSL and reached our printed POI. Boom! the price rapidly took our TP and with almost zero drawdown! ✅⚡
Many people may ask what were our confluences to enter this trade?

1 • The price was reaching a HTF POI.
2 • The swing high raided and swept all the BSL in lower TFs.
3 • The price broke the structure and formed a huge imbalance which is labeled as MSS (Market Structure Shift), indicated a bearish trend!
4 • The price came back near our POI and made an accumulation range.
5 • The price caught the accumulation BSL and reached our printed POI.

Boom! the price rapidly took our TP and with almost zero drawdown! ✅⚡
Übersetzung ansehen
Not easy for analysts to get this move right... As a TRADER I'm not participating to this Price Action. I have a rule to not trade CPI NEWS as simple as that. This is how I lost a 300k prop firm account (as explained in my pinned Tweet Prop Trader Journey documentation) The 1st pic shows my first Tweet after 3 months break. There was clearly a high chance to revisit 27k. But I NOW believe that we could be in an ending diagonal wave C as shown yesterday (2nd pic) And yes we're not going to 13k just right now ... I just saw a comment "we're not going to 13k mate"... Please stop... I'm sharing ideas. Being RIGHT or WRONG in trading does NOT make sense. Do we have to go there? Not at all. Do I care? Not really. I like to do analysis but I'm a HIGH STAKE Short Term Trader and I only use naked charts when I trade. Elliott Waves TA serves as a guidance. Timing (Trading sessions) is what matters to me. My trading style: I stay an average of 2.5 hours in my trade. I also use very tight SL as well that's why my win rate is below 50% (3rd pic). What matters is how much you make when you win and how much you make when you lose. As simple as that. Looking to see a rejection around 27k for #BTC in the price imbalance.
Not easy for analysts to get this move right...

As a TRADER I'm not participating to this Price Action.

I have a rule to not trade CPI NEWS as simple as that.

This is how I lost a 300k prop firm account (as explained in my pinned Tweet Prop Trader Journey documentation)

The 1st pic shows my first Tweet after 3 months break. There was clearly a high chance to revisit 27k.

But I NOW believe that we could be in an ending diagonal wave C as shown yesterday (2nd pic)

And yes we're not going to 13k just right now ...

I just saw a comment "we're not going to 13k mate"... Please stop... I'm sharing ideas.

Being RIGHT or WRONG in trading does NOT make sense.

Do we have to go there? Not at all.

Do I care? Not really.

I like to do analysis but I'm a HIGH STAKE Short Term Trader and I only use naked charts when I trade.

Elliott Waves TA serves as a guidance. Timing (Trading sessions) is what matters to me.

My trading style:

I stay an average of 2.5 hours in my trade. I also use very tight SL as well that's why my win rate is below 50% (3rd pic).

What matters is how much you make when you win and how much you make when you lose.

As simple as that.

Looking to see a rejection around 27k for #BTC in the price imbalance.
Übersetzung ansehen
Gold is trading around the 4,070 area after bouncing strongly from the 3,959 - 3,972 support zone. Buyers showed a strong reaction from support, but price is now testing a key broken support zone that has turned into resistance. Top-down levels I’m watching: 🔴 Major Supply: 4,178 - 4,194
🔴 Supply Zone: 4,131 - 4,144
🔴 Support Turned Resistance: 4,090 - 4,098
⚪ Support Zone: 3,959 - 3,972 The key zone right now is 4,090 - 4,098. Gold previously held this area as support, but after breaking below it, price pushed back into the zone and started rejecting. That rejection shows sellers are still respecting the broken support area. 🔴 Bearish Scenario:
If Gold continues rejecting from 4,090 - 4,098, sellers could push price back toward 3,959 - 3,972. 🟢 Bullish Scenario:
If Gold breaks and holds above 4,090 - 4,098, buyers may push price toward 4,131 - 4,144. Current view: Gold bounced from support, but it is still facing resistance.
Gold is trading around the 4,070 area after bouncing strongly from the 3,959 - 3,972 support zone.

Buyers showed a strong reaction from support, but price is now testing a key broken support zone that has turned into resistance.

Top-down levels I’m watching:
🔴 Major Supply: 4,178 - 4,194
🔴 Supply Zone: 4,131 - 4,144
🔴 Support Turned Resistance: 4,090 - 4,098
⚪ Support Zone: 3,959 - 3,972

The key zone right now is 4,090 - 4,098.

Gold previously held this area as support, but after breaking below it, price pushed back into the zone and started rejecting.

That rejection shows sellers are still respecting the broken support area.

🔴 Bearish Scenario:
If Gold continues rejecting from 4,090 - 4,098, sellers could push price back toward 3,959 - 3,972.

🟢 Bullish Scenario:
If Gold breaks and holds above 4,090 - 4,098, buyers may push price toward 4,131 - 4,144.

Current view: Gold bounced from support, but it is still facing resistance.
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