SC02 M5 - pending Long order. Entry contains POC + not affected by any weak zone, the current support zone is around 1.38% wide. The uptrend has lasted 1 day 40 minutes, with the largest recorded price increase at 10.41%. If price loses this support zone, the trend will likely reverse downward.
SC02 M15 - pending Long order. Entry lies within HVN + not affected by any weak zone, the current support zone is around 3.79% wide. The uptrend has lasted 4 days 11 hours 45 minutes, with the largest recorded price increase at 63.56%. If price loses this support zone, the trend will likely reverse downward.
U.S. employment unexpectedly falls in July, weakening expectations for further Fed tightening
📉 The U.S. economy lost 23,000 jobs in July, sharply missing expectations for a gain of around 80,000–85,000. May and June payrolls were also revised lower by a combined 103,000, suggesting the hiring slowdown extends beyond a single month.
👥 The unemployment rate edged down to 4.1%, while labor force participation fell to 61.4%, its lowest level in more than five years. Private payrolls still added around 30,000 jobs, indicating that broad-based layoffs have yet to emerge.
💵 Annual wage growth slowed to 3.2%, the weakest pace since May 2021, reinforcing signs that labor market and wage pressures are cooling.
📊 The report pressured Treasury yields and the U.S. dollar while supporting equities and other risk assets. Expectations for a Fed rate hike in September declined significantly, with markets leaning more toward a hold.
🔎 The 7-day liquidation map shows approximately 280–290 million in short liquidations above the current price, significantly exceeding roughly 80 million in long liquidations below. Liquidity is also much more concentrated on the upside, giving the short-sweep scenario a clearer near-term advantage.
📈 Short-liquidation density begins increasing across 1.042–1.066, with the strongest nearby concentration around 1.050–1.058. Another major cluster appears across 1.082–1.098, particularly near 1.086–1.090. Holding above 1.058 could open the way toward 1.074 and then 1.086–1.094.
📉 Below the market, the nearest long-liquidation zone sits around 1.026–1.018, followed by a denser area across 1.010–1.002. Losing 1.026 would increase downside risk toward 1.018 and then 1.010–1.002, although total downside liquidity remains substantially smaller than the liquidity above.
🧭 The higher-probability scenario is an initial test of 1.042–1.058. A breakout could trigger a short-liquidation sweep toward 1.074–1.090, while rejection followed by a loss of 1.026 would raise the probability of a long-liquidation sweep toward 1.018–1.010. Traders may wait for confirmation while maintaining an appropriate stop-loss.
SC02 M1 - ausstehender Long-Order. Der Einstieg liegt innerhalb der HVN und ist von keiner schwachen Zone betroffen; die aktuelle Unterstützungszone hat eine Breite von etwa 0,25%. Der Aufwärtstrend dauert seit 3 Stunden 35 Minuten, wobei der größte aufgezeichnete Kursanstieg bei 2,44% liegt. Wenn der Kurs diese Unterstützungszone verliert, wird der Trend voraussichtlich nach unten kippen.
SC02 M15 - pending Long order. Entry lies within LVN + not affected by any weak zone, the current support zone is around 6.27% wide. The uptrend has lasted 1 day 10 hours 30 minutes, with the largest recorded price increase at 38.56%. If price loses this support zone, the trend will likely reverse downward.
Iran kritisiert Trumps „Theaterdiplomatie“, während Uneinigkeiten um Hormus fortbestehen
🇮🇷 Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, der Parlamentspräsident Irans und eine zentrale Person im Verhandlungsprozess, kritisierte den Ansatz von US-Präsident Donald Trump, bei dem militärische Drohungen mit Forderungen nach Gesprächen kombiniert werden. Er bezeichnete dies als wiederholte „Theaterdiplomatie“.
🤝 Die Äußerungen erfolgten, nachdem Trump gesagt hatte, ein großer Angriff sei abgesagt worden und dass sich die grundlegenden Eckpunkte einer Vereinbarung herausbildeten. Teheran hat jedoch bislang nicht signalisiert, dass die beiden Seiten ihre Differenzen in Bezug auf die Regelungen für die Straße von Hormus deutlich verringert haben.
🛢️ Die Ölpreise blieben höher, da die Märkte weiterhin Versorgungsrisiken einpreisten. Brent wurde bei etwa 83 US-Dollar pro Barrel gehandelt, während WTI nahe 78 lag.
📈 Bis klare Bedingungen für die Wiedereröffnung von Hormus vereinbart sind, dürften geopolitische Risikoprämien in der nahen Zukunft ein wichtiger Treiber der Ölpreise bleiben.
🔎 The 7-day liquidation map shows approximately 380–390 million in short liquidations above the current price, slightly exceeding nearly 360 million in long liquidations below. Liquidity is relatively balanced on both sides, but the largest nearby clusters are concentrated around 74.4–75.6, giving the short-sweep scenario a modest edge.
📈 Short-liquidation density begins increasing around 74.0–74.4 and becomes significantly stronger across 74.8–75.6, with 74.8 standing out as the largest nearby cluster. Holding above 75.6 could open the way toward 76.0–77.3.
📉 Below the market, the nearest long-liquidation area appears around 73.3–72.9, followed by a much denser zone across 72.3–71.5. The strongest downside clusters sit near 72.1–72.3. Losing 72.9 would increase downside risk toward 72.3 and then 71.9–71.5.
🧭 The higher-probability scenario is an initial test of 74.4–74.8. A breakout could trigger a short-liquidation sweep toward 75.2–75.6, while rejection followed by a loss of 72.9 would raise the probability of a long-liquidation sweep toward 72.3–71.9. Traders may wait for confirmation while maintaining an appropriate stop-loss.
SC02 M1 - pending Long order. Entry lies within LVN + meets positive simplification with a previously highly profitable Long order, the current support zone is around 0.49% wide. The uptrend has lasted 2 hours 44 minutes, with the largest recorded price increase at 3.46%. If price loses this support zone, the trend will likely reverse downward.
SC02 M1 - pending Long order. Entry lies within HVN + not affected by any weak zone, the current support zone is around 0.54% wide. The uptrend has lasted 3 hours 32 minutes, with the largest recorded price increase at 3.19%. If price loses this support zone, the trend will likely reverse downward.
Copper Nears Record Close as Global Supply Tightens
📈 Copper prices on the LME rose as much as 0.9%, surpassing the record closing level set in mid-May and heading toward a potential new record close. On COMEX, copper was also trading around $6.71/lb, near its historical high.
⛏️ The main driver is tightening supply, as Congo restricts concentrate exports while disruptions at Codelco’s El Teniente mine continue to raise concerns over near-term availability.
⚡ On the demand side, AI data centers, power grid upgrades, and electrification continue to provide structural support, making the market more sensitive to supply disruptions.
👀 The outlook remains supported, though investors are closely watching the U.S. dollar, U.S. economic data, and whether supply constraints in Congo or Chile begin to ease.
$ETH – Liquidationskarte (7 Tage) – Index ~1.911,9
🔎 Die 7-Tage-Liquidationskarte zeigt etwa 3 Milliarden Long-Liquidationen unter dem aktuellen Preis, deutlich mehr als die nahezu 1,4 Milliarden Short-Liquidationen oberhalb. Allerdings liegt der nächstliegende relevante Liquiditäts-Cluster auf der Aufwärtsseite näher, wodurch ein anfängliches Short-Sweep-Szenario einen leichten Vorteil hat.
📈 Die Dichte der Short-Liquidationen steigt schlagartig über 1.928,9–1.958,3, wobei die stärkste nahe Konzentration bei etwa 1.928,9–1.943,6 liegt. Ein Halten über 1.958,3 würde vor dem nächsten Bereich um 1.973–1.987,7 relativ dünnere Liquidität hinterlassen.
📉 Unter dem Markt ist die Liquidität für Long-Liquidationen stark um 1.886,9–1.857,5 konzentriert, wobei 1.886,9 als einer der größten Cluster hervorsteht. Weitere Konzentrationen sind über 1.842,8–1.813,4 zu erkennen. Das Verlieren von 1.886,9 würde das Abwärtsrisiko in Richtung 1.872,2 und anschließend 1.857,5 erhöhen.
🧭 Das Szenario mit der höheren Wahrscheinlichkeit ist ein erster Test von 1.928,9–1.943,6, da dieser Cluster näher liegt. Ein Ausbruch könnte den Short-Liquidation-Sweep in Richtung 1.958,3 ausdehnen, während eine Zurückweisung gefolgt vom Verlust von 1.886,9 die Wahrscheinlichkeit eines tieferen Long-Liquidation-Sweeps in Richtung 1.872,2–1.857,5 erhöhen würde. Händler können auf Bestätigung warten und gleichzeitig einen angemessenen Stop-Loss beibehalten.
SC02 M1 - pending Long order. Entry lies within LVN + not affected by any weak zone, the current support zone is around 2.15% wide. The uptrend has lasted 2 hours 7 minutes, with the largest recorded price increase at 14.11%. If price loses this support zone, the trend will likely reverse downward.
SC02 M15 - pending Long order. Entry lies within HVN + not affected by any weak zone, the current support zone is around 10.83% wide. The uptrend has lasted 5 days 7 hours 30 minutes, with the largest recorded price increase at 322.07%. If price loses this support zone, the trend will likely reverse downward.
Asian Stocks Turn Cautious as Oil Rises and Markets Await U.S. Jobs Data
📉 Asian equities traded cautiously, with MSCI Asia-Pacific ex-Japan down 0.1%, while the Nikkei and KOSPI both fell 0.5%. China’s CSI 300 gained 0.8%, supported by a 23.9% year-on-year increase in July exports.
🛢️ Brent crude rose 1.5% to around $83.78 a barrel after gaining 3.8% in the previous session. Risks surrounding the Strait of Hormuz continued to support oil prices as Iran considers restrictions on vessels deemed hostile, although there is no indication of a full closure of the key shipping route.
📊 Attention now turns to the U.S. jobs report, with economists expecting around 80,000 new jobs and the unemployment rate to remain at 4.2%. Stronger data could push Treasury yields and the dollar higher, adding pressure to equities and other risk assets. 👀 In the near term, the reaction in U.S. yields and oil prices following the jobs report is likely to shape global risk sentiment.
🔎 The 7-day liquidation map shows roughly 5.5 billion in long liquidations below the current price, nearly twice the approximately 2.9 billion in short liquidations above. However, the largest nearby liquidity cluster sits immediately above price, giving an initial short-sweep scenario a modest edge.
📈 Short-liquidation density rises sharply across 65,046–65,850, with the strongest nearby concentration around 65,046. Additional clusters appear across 66,252–67,458. Holding above 65,850 could open the way toward 66,252–67,056.
📉 Below the market, the nearest long-liquidation zone is concentrated around 63,840–63,036, with liquidity becoming denser across 62,634–61,830. Lower clusters near 61,428 also remain notable. Losing 63,840 would increase downside risk toward 63,036 and then 62,634–61,830.
🧭 The higher-probability scenario is an initial test of 65,046–65,850 because this cluster is both close and prominent. A breakout could trigger a short-liquidation sweep toward 66,252–67,056, while rejection followed by a loss of 63,840 would raise the probability of a long-liquidation sweep toward 63,036–62,634. Traders may wait for confirmation while maintaining an appropriate stop-loss.
SC02 H1 - pending Short order. Entry lies within HVN + not affected by any weak zone, the current resistance zone is around 11.88% wide. The downtrend has lasted 10 days 11 hours, with the largest recorded price decline at 69.76%. If price breaks above this resistance zone, the trend will likely reverse upward.
SC02 H1 - pending Long order. Entry lies within HVN + not affected by any weak zone, the current support zone is around 14.10% wide. The uptrend has lasted 7 days 17 hours, with the largest recorded price increase at 116.35%. If price loses this support zone, the trend will likely reverse downward.
Zoetis Cuts 2026 Outlook as U.S. Pet Healthcare Demand Weakens
📉 Zoetis lowered its full-year revenue forecast to $9.12–$9.32 billion and adjusted EPS guidance to $6.15–$6.25, marking its second outlook reduction in 2026.
🐾 Second-quarter revenue was broadly flat at $2.5 billion, while companion animal sales declined 5%, including an 11% drop in the U.S. Adjusted EPS reached $1.87, only slightly above expectations.
💰 The company cited fewer veterinary visits, greater price sensitivity among pet owners, intensifying competition and pressure from generic alternatives across key product categories.
🌍 Livestock and international operations continued to grow, but were not enough to fully offset weakness in the U.S. The revised outlook suggests Zoetis may remain under near-term pressure until pet healthcare demand begins to stabilize.
🔎 The 7-day liquidation map shows approximately 2.1 million in short liquidations above the current price, exceeding nearly 1.6 million in long liquidations below. Meaningful liquidity is also concentrated closer on the upside, giving the short-sweep scenario a higher near-term probability.
📈 Short-liquidation clusters begin appearing around 0.225–0.231 and become significantly denser across 0.233–0.243. The strongest concentrations sit near 0.235 and 0.237–0.239. Holding above 0.231 could open the way toward 0.233–0.239.
📉 Below the market, the 0.221–0.212 area remains relatively thin. Long-liquidation density becomes more notable across 0.210–0.198, particularly near 0.202–0.204. Losing 0.212 would increase downside risk toward 0.210 and then 0.204–0.202.
🧭 The higher-probability scenario is an initial test of 0.225–0.231. A breakout could trigger a short-liquidation sweep toward 0.233–0.239, while rejection followed by a loss of 0.212 would raise the probability of a long-liquidation sweep toward 0.210–0.202. Traders may wait for confirmation while maintaining an appropriate stop-loss.