Saeed1213

Bitcoin is hovering around $70,000, less than 1% away from a level that has defined every single cycle in its history.
The previous cycle’s all-time high sits near $69,000, and there is one rule Bitcoin has never violated: no bear market has ever established a sustained downtrend below the prior cycle’s ATH.
This isn’t superstition or narrative bias it’s pure market structure.
In 2014, the bear market bottom respected the 2013 peak. In 2018, price bottomed well above the 2013 ATH. In 2022, despite one of the most violent macro drawdowns ever, Bitcoin still held above the 2017 ATH around $20k on a macro basis.
Every time, the previous ATH flipped from resistance into long-term support psychologically, structurally, and institutionally.
Now Bitcoin is sitting directly on that same historical line.
If price begins accepting below $69k, this would mark the first cycle in Bitcoin’s history to break that rule. That’s not just a bearish headline it would signal a potential market regime shift.
Long-term cycle models get questioned, funds de-risk faster, positioning pivots from accumulation to protection, and the classic four-year rhythm weakens.
This is where bull markets prove themselves.
Strength defends structure. A clean hold and reclaim above $70k keeps the higher-low structure intact and the macro bull thesis alive.
Lose it decisively, and fear won’t come from news or narratives it will come from a rule Bitcoin has never broken… finally breaking.
This is the moment bulls step in.
Or let Bitcoin do something it has never done before.
What do you think structural defense or regime change?
#BTC #CryptoAnalysis #CryptoAnalysis" $BTC #ADPDataDisappoints