Hossamk

$BTC is maintaining the upward trend that began in late March and is showing signs of a bull market. A trading range has opened up between $79,000 and $95,000

The geopolitical backdrop is unstable, but Bitcoin has proven to be a fairly confident player in the current market; however, when compared to the movement of U.S. stock indices, which are the driver for the flagship asset, it is lagging behind. Nevertheless, after a prolonged consolidation, the market has entered a growth phase. The local high has been updated to 82,800, but at the same time, a false breakout of the local resistance at 81,700 has formed. The result is a correction and a retest of the liquidity zone and the strong support area at 79,485. The long squeeze, in turn, shifts the balance of power toward buyers and allows the market to consolidate. The structure remains intact, and after local consolidation or a retest of the zone of interest, growth may continue

Support levels: 79,700, 79,450, 78,800
Resistance levels: 80,480, 81,750, 82,830

The market is consolidating near the key resistance level of 80,480. A breakout and close above this zone could trigger a continuation of the uptrend toward 81,750–82,830. However, I do not rule out an attempt to retest the 79,700 zone of interest before a bullish run.$BTC
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$BTC
Wichtige Punkte:
David Duong von Coinbase sagte, dass Bitcoin beginnt, sich von den US-Aktien zu entkoppeln, da die BTC-Aktien-Korrelation aufgrund der Iran-getriebenen Volatilität abnimmt.
Duong ist neutral für Q2 2026, aber kurzfristig bullish aufgrund der verbesserten Liquidität und unterstützenden makroökonomischen Bedingungen.
Langfristige BTC-Hodler haben im Q1 weiterhin akkumuliert, während das STRC-Produkt von Strategy angeblich schneller kaufte, als der Markt verkaufte.
David Duong von Coinbase Institutional sagte, dass Bitcoin und der breitere Kryptomarkt sich von den US-Aktien entkoppeln, während die headline-gesteuerte Volatilität durch den Iran-Konflikt die Risikoanlagen beim Milk Road Show am Samstag streut.

Der XRP-Preis bleibt im Bereich gefangen, wie in den letzten Wochen. Zum Zeitpunkt des Schreibens hat der XRP-Preis um 1,86% innerhalb des letzten Tages zugelegt, konnte jedoch den Widerstand von $1,60 nicht durchbrechen. Trotz dieser scheinbaren Trägheit vollzieht sich jedoch ein bemerkenswerter Wandel auf Binance, der weltweit führenden Krypto-Börse nach Handelsvolumen.
Der Binance Whale vs Retail Spread fällt auf 88%
In einem QuickTake-Beitrag auf CryptoQuant teilt Analyst Amr Taha ein Update zum XRP-Markt auf der Binance-Börse. Der relevante Indikator in diesem Szenario ist der XRP Binance Whale vs Retail Spread.

Binance-Mitgründer Changpeng „CZ“ Zhao sagte, er sei sich nicht sicher, ob er von US-Präsident Donald Trump nach einer viermonatigen Haftstrafe im Jahr 2024 wegen Verstößen gegen die US-Geldwäschegesetze begnadigt werden würde.
„Man weiß nie, weil wir tatsächlich sehr starken Anti-Lobbyismus von einigen unserer wahrgenommenen Konkurrenten in den USA hatten“, sagte Zhao zu Ran Neuner im Crypto Banter Podcast, der am Samstag auf YouTube veröffentlicht wurde.
„Die anderen Krypto-Börsen in den USA wollen nicht, dass ich eine Begnadigung bekomme“, sagte Zhao und argumentierte, dass sie besorgt seien, dass Binance nach dem Ausstieg im November 2023 wieder in den US-Markt eintreten könnte. Der Abgang folgte einer Einigung über 4,3 Milliarden Dollar mit Binance und der US-Regierung wegen Verstößen gegen das Bankgeheimnisgesetz (BSA) und das International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA) sowie wegen der Nichregistrierung als Geldübermittlungsunternehmen.

Bitcoin is seeing an explosive rise in Open Interest, with derivatives activity now surpassing peak session levels recorded during the 2025 all-time high. This explosive growth reflects rising trader participation and increased leverage that is often seen during periods of heightened anticipation for major price moves. As positions rise across futures and perpetual markets, the spike in open interest points to a market gearing up for volatility.
Can Bitcoin Sustain Momentum With Leverage Rising This Fast?
Bitcoin is experiencing its strongest Open Interest expansion of 2026, with derivatives actively now surpassing even 2025’s all-time highs. A verified CryptoQuant author, known as Darkfost on X, has noted that the BTC market remains heavily driven by futures. Data shows that BTC’s recent bullish momentum has been driven largely by a steady return of investors to the derivatives markets.
Despite funding rates remaining broadly negative for weeks, open interest has recorded its strongest increase since the beginning of 2026. What makes the move particularly notable is that the current increase in open interest is already larger than the expansion seen during BTC’s previous ATH formation.
Major platforms like Binance continue to dominate the majority of capital in the segment, reportedly accounting for approximately 34% of total market share, with a monthly average surging to around $2.5 billion on May 5. Meanwhile, a similar trend is also visible across other exchanges, such as Gate.io, which has a record of $1.75 billion, and Bybit, with a record of $1.15 billion.
According to Darkfost, comparing the more defensive market conditions seen earlier in the year, the latest data shows optimism is gradually returning to the market, encouraging traders to increase their risk exposure. The growing dependence on leverage also introduces fragility into the market structure. Thus, leveraged positions are rarely built to last longer, and their liquidation could significantly amplify volatility and the risks associated with the market.
Why Holding Above Current Levels Is Critical For Bitcoin Bulls
The Bitcoin price is currently in a critical retest phase after successfully breaking above the previous highs earlier this week. A crypto trader known as Max Trades on X noted that this level is acting as a key support zone, and holding above it is essential for buyers to sustain momentum and push the broader uptrend price higher.
As long as BTC maintains support above the reclaimed range, the likelihood of a liquidity sweep toward the $82,800 highs will continue to increase. However, a breakdown back below the retest zone would weaken the bullish structure and likely shift market focus toward the next major liquidity area between the $75,000 and $76,000 zone. This region remains one of the most significant liquidity downside targets if support fails.
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Crypto bullish chatter on social media has surged to levels that, according to crypto sentiment platform Santiment, could signal the current market uptrend may be short-lived.
“Rallies that arrive with a confident crowd tend to fade faster than those climbing a "wall of worry,” Santiment said in a report published on Saturday. “Those climbing skepticism tend to extend,” Santiment added.
Santiment said the ratio of bullish to bearish crypto-related comments on social media is currently around 1.5 to 1, based on a sample of active crypto accounts tracked across multiple platforms. It comes as Bitcoin (BTC) has increased 11.50% over the past 30 days, trading at $80,628 at the time of publication, according to CoinMarketCap.
A confident market tends to see rallies fade fast
Market participants often watch overall crypto sentiment to gauge whether it may be a good time to buy or sell, or to look for clues about where the market could be headed in the coming weeks.
The Crypto Fear & Greed Index, which tracks overall crypto market sentiment, posted a “Neutral” score of 47 on Sunday after slipping back into “Fear” territory on Thursday, signaling investors are cautious about the crypto market.

The Crypto Fear & Greed Index fell to a "Fear" score of 38 on Friday. Source: alternative.me
Santiment said the best scenario for Bitcoin right now is not to break out further. “The team's ideal setup is a pullback to $75k that flushes late longs, resets sentiment, and builds a healthier base,” Santiment said.
Bitcoin supply on exchanges rises
Meanwhile, Santiment pointed to a recent increase in Bitcoin supply on crypto exchanges, potentially signaling that holders are viewing current price levels as an opportunity to take profits.
“On-chain activity is broadly quiet, but Bitcoin supply on exchanges has ticked up over the past five days after an extended decline. The reversal could indicate early profit-taking,” Santiment said. Analysts are divided on whether it will fall into that price range or continue higher.
MN Trading Capital founder Michael van de Poppe said he “wouldn't be surprised that we retest lower at $70-75K before we continue to run.”
Crypto analyst Matthew Hyland said that Bitcoin is “likely” to reach between $87,000 and $95,000 before June.
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Market analysts are identifying new catalysts that could propel XRP to explosive highs. A leaked footage shared by Crypto analyst Don Digital Finance highlights two catalysts from a theorized pricing model that could trigger a massive price surge for XRP. Meanwhile, other experts are focusing more on XRP’s payment rails and utility, predicting a price rally to $3.
While most XRP price projections in the market are often based on speculation and hype, the leaked model treats the cryptocurrency as a functional tool for banks and institutions. This means that a higher XRP price is required or even mandated for the system to remain efficient.
Leaked Model Predicts XRP Price Rally Between $5 and $4,300
In a post on X, Don Digital Finance shared details regarding leaked footage featuring Teucrium CEO Sal Gilbertie. The video captures Gilbertie discussing various legitimate pricing models for XRP that suggest a valuation range starting from $5 to $4,300.
These pricing models primarily focus on XRP’s institutional adoption and velocity, which measures how many times it is used within a specific period. Explaining the theory governing the model, Don Digital Finance said that if the XRP network settles trillions of dollars in global payments, the speed of these transfers would dictate how many tokens must be available at any given second.
Notably, when institutions move large sums of money, they need deep liquidity to prevent the price from swinging wildly during a single trade. This suggests that if XRP’s price remains low, banks would need to move a massive number of tokens to settle a single multi-billion-dollar payment. This strategy would create a huge functional problem because there are not enough tokens in circulation to support that volume of wealth at a low price point.
However, Gilbertie’s mathematical models suggest that for XRP to handle massive institutional flows, the price needs to be high enough for the existing supply to cover all transactions. A higher price means global banks can use fewer coins to transfer very large amounts of money. According to his calculations, the required price for this system to work is between $5 to $4,300.
Analyst Projects XRP Surge To $3 Then Higher
In a separate X post, market expert XRP Queen stated that XRP is positioning for a significant breakout. She predicts that the cryptocurrency could first reach its 2018 all-time high of $3.84, then ultimately target an ambitious $227.
According to XRP Queen, the catalyst behind this rally is XRP’s growing role as a global payment asset. She noted that the XRP Ledger (XRPL) has recently entered a $2.7 trillion market that encompasses payments, decentralized media, and the broader Web3 ecosystem. She believes that XRP could become a core payment rail within this space, potentially fueling substantial price growth.

$BTC Bitcoin’s climb back above $82,000 has led to bullish conviction among investors. However, an interesting technical analysis suggests that the rally may still be part of a corrective structure, not the start of a clean impulsive breakout.
That difference is important, because the analysis shows that Bitcoin is now approaching a resistance band that could decide whether the rebound continues or turns into another trap for late buyers.
Bitcoin Heads Into Major Resistance Zone
The BTC price climbed back above $80,000 this week, with the move supported by strong inflows into Spot Bitcoin ETFs. However, crypto analyst Tara is not convinced this bullish move tells the full story.
Tara’s outlook is built around Bitcoin’s reaction to the macro 0.382 retracement level. According to the analyst, the Bitcoin price broke above this level without first establishing stronger support below it. That has created a setup where the price action can still push higher, but the move may be vulnerable because the foundation below the rally is not as strong as bulls would want.
Therefore, Bitcoin’s failure to establish solid support after breaking above a key macro Fibonacci level has left the asset exposed, now pressing into a major resistance zone spanning between $85,200 and $93,000.
The short-term structure has clearly improved from the early February lows around $60,000, but Tara’s chart points to several overhead levels that now matter. The first major red resistance line is around $85,288, which corresponds with the 0.382 retracement on the projected structure. Above that, the 0.5 retracement level near $93,099 becomes the bigger test.
Based on the analyst’s count, the current rally should be a counter Wave B move within a larger corrective ABC trend. The analyst described Wave B as one of the most deceptive phases of a market cycle because it can make traders believe the correction is already over. However, the range between $85,200 and $93,000 represents the region where the Wave B rally could start to lose strength.
What Comes Next? The Crash Risk
Now that the Bitcoin price is approaching resistance, the outlook is what to expect based on what could happen if it is rejected at that zone. The next phase can turn lower and punish buyers who entered too late.
The chart sketches this exact possibility with two projected downward paths from the upper resistance region. One begins around $85,000, and the other begins closer to the $93,000 level. Both paths suggest that a rejection from the resistance band could bring the Bitcoin price below $60,000.
A sustained break above $85,200 would bring the $93,000 region into action. A clean move above $93,000 would then weaken the bearish corrective setup. At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at $79,742, down by 2% in the past 24 hours.$BTC

$STRK Starknet is launching strkBTC on 12 May 2026 and turning the debut into a live global event with streams and local watch parties to explain what the product is, how it works, and why it matters, as detailed in the official announcement. Positioning strkBTC as a flagship BTC-related asset on Starknet suggests it is intended to become a key DeFi primitive, potentially feeding into lending, yield, and derivatives protocols. If strkBTC gains adoption, it can increase Starknet TVL and on-chain activity, improving STRK’s ecosystem narrative. Traders should monitor launch-day usage, integrations by major dApps, and STRK spot/derivatives flows for momentum or “sell-the-news” reactions.$STRK

$STRK Starknet will unlock about 2.26% of its total STRK supply at 7:00 UTC, releasing previously locked tokens into circulation. According to the unlock schedule on DeFiLlama, these tokens are part of a planned vesting stream, likely for early stakeholders or ecosystem incentives. Mechanically, this increases the circulating supply in a single, time-clustered event, which can create short-term sell pressure if recipients choose to realize profits. Traders should monitor on-chain flows and order books around the unlock time, as liquidity depth will matter for how strongly this supply expansion translates into price impact.$STRK

Starknet's price has surged nearly 35% in the past 24 hours, reaching intraday highs of $0.061, with this coming amid a 400% spike in daily volume.
Gains have pushed the STRK token’s price to a robust 71% uptick over the past month, mirroring renewed interest in privacy-focused assets.
Notably, the upward trajectory mirrors strong performances for Zcash (ZEC) and Dash (DASH). The two coins have advanced 63% and 40%, in the past week.
Starknet touts post-quantum wallet readiness
Zcash once again leads the upward momentum in privacy coins, with bulls looking for a decisive breakout above $600 following this week’s retest of the supply zone.
On Friday, ZEC traded above $571 amid news of Zcash’s quantum-recoverable wallets.
With privacy and quantum threats a key narrative in the market, the focus is on wallet-level updates to bolster defenses against future quantum threats.
It is adding momentum to leading projects.
“With the lack of government trust at the moment, the privacy sector has been seeing a boost in interest from retail traders. The crowd is increasingly viewing privacy-focused assets as a hedge against growing surveillance concerns, tighter exchange regulations, and expanding AI-driven data tracking across financial platforms,” Santiment noted.
Starknet has positioned itself with the rollout of post-quantum secure wallets on its mainnet, which went live as the Shinobi upgrade (v0.14.2) launched in April 2026.
This upgrade introduced critical infrastructure for private transactions, enabling shielded assets under the new STRK20 framework.
The release supports privacy-preserving ERC-20 tokens while maintaining DeFi compatibility.
Analysts say these developments could transform Starknet from a high-performance Layer-2 rollup into a privacy-centric engine.
STRK price gained on May 8, amid the project’s post about this milestone
Starknet price outlook
Overall market sentiment is bullish on leading privacy coins.
Apart from this, STRK is benefiting from Starknet's growing traction in Bitcoin DeFi and staking features.
The launch of strkBTC to allow Bitcoin holders to tap into decentralized finance via a secure, shielded environment highlights Starknet’s potential to lead the BTCFi market.
strkBTC goes live on May 12, 2026, and bullish sentiment around the event could cascade into STRK price performance.
The altcoin has jumped nearly 75% from its all-time low in mid-April.
However, bulls remain well off the highs of $0.28 reached in November 2025 and the all-time peak of $3.66 in February 2024.

Technically, STRK exhibits prolonged accumulation, with bears capping a recent upside just above $0.051.
However, the latest surge signals a potential breakout from the range, and $0.060 a key hurdle.
If the privacy narrative persists, $0.093-$0.105 will be a crucial retest zone.
However, a pullback is likely due to widespread profit-taking across altcoins. The scenario could see STRK revisit $0.030.
STRK price hovered around $0.057 at the time of writing.

$ONDO
The price of Ondo has been trending higher alongside a wave of institutional developments tied to real-world asset (RWA) infrastructure.
The token currently trades at around $0.3664, marking a 5.7% gain in 24 hours, while maintaining a broader 7-day increase of about 37.5%.
Institutional settlement pilot strengthens ONDO’s RWA narrative
Sentiment around ONDO strengthened following a major announcement from Ondo Finance involving a cross-institutional pilot transaction that connected traditional banking infrastructure with blockchain-based settlement rails.
The pilot included Ondo Finance working alongside JPMorgan Chase, Mastercard, and Ripple.
The collaboration demonstrated how tokenised US Treasuries could move through a hybrid system combining public blockchain infrastructure and traditional financial rails.
In the transaction flow, Ondo processed a redemption of tokenised Treasury exposure (OUSG) on the XRP Ledger.
The integration of the XRP Ledger allows the tokenised asset to be issued and redeemed across XRPL, improving settlement speed and enabling broader institutional access to yield-bearing digital assets.
Mastercard’s Multi-Token Network then coordinated settlement instructions, which were routed through JPMorgan’s Kinexys infrastructure.
Final fiat settlement was delivered to Ripple’s Singapore banking account, completing the cross-border transfer.
This structure effectively linked three layers of finance in a single transaction: tokenised assets on a public blockchain, institutional messaging systems from Mastercard, and fiat settlement handled through JPMorgan’s banking network.
The result was a near real-time transfer of value outside traditional banking cut-off windows.
ONDO price technical analysis
From a technical perspective, ONDO has been in a strong upward phase but is showing signs of short-term overheating.
The daily RSI reading of 86.96 places the asset firmly in overbought territory, suggesting that profit-taking pressure may increase after the recent rally.
However, longer-term momentum paints a different picture.
The weekly RSI levels are closer to 37.15, indicating that on a broader timeframe the asset is still recovering from earlier downside conditions rather than entering a fully mature cycle.
Price action is also aligned with a bullish short-term structure, seeing that ONDO is currently trading above its 10-day, 20-day, 50-day, and 100-day exponential moving averages (EMAs).
The only major resistance on this framework remains the 200-day EMA, which continues to act as a macro ceiling.
ONDO price outlook
The near-term outlook for Ondo now sits at a critical decision point between continuation and consolidation.
Holding above $0.3400 remains essential for maintaining the current bullish structure.
If bulls defend this level with sustained volume, analysts project that the next immediate test is expected near $0.3923, which has historically acted as a key resistance zone.
A confirmed breakout above $0.3923 would open the path toward $0.4620, a level that aligns with the next major liquidity band in recent price history.
Beyond that, $0.5829 stands as a higher resistance area if broader momentum continues to expand.
In case of a correction, especially since the altcoin has already entered the overbought region in the daily chart, a break below $0.3400 would signal short-term exhaustion and increase the probability of a pullback toward $0.3104.
If $0.3104 fails to hold, then a deeper support near $0.2089 remains the next historical zone of interest.

$BTC
BTC is currently testing a critical support zone around 80,000, which is acting as a key psychological level for today’s session.
As long as price remains stable above this area, the probability favors a short-term bullish rebound toward higher resistance levels.
Trade Setup:
Entry Zone
80,200 – 80,600
Targets
Target 1: 81,700
Target 2: 82,500
Target 3: 83,200
Stop Loss
79,350
Trade Logic
The 80K level is a major support zone attracting buying interest, and holding above it could trigger upward momentum toward the 82K–83K region.
Risk Warning
If BTC breaks below 79,300 with strong confirmation, this bullish setup becomes invalid.
In that case, downside pressure may push price toward:
77,800
76,500
Execution Strategy
Enter gradually rather than full size at once.
Additional confirmation comes if price stabilizes above 81,200 before pushing higher.
This setup is based on current market structure and short-term momentum.
Discipline and strict risk management remain essential.

$BTC Bitcoin handelt derzeit nahe 79.866 und zeigt Anzeichen von kurzfristiger Schwäche, nachdem er es nicht geschafft hat, über den wichtigen gleitenden Durchschnitten im 1H-Candlestick-Chart zu bleiben.
Nachdem BTC kürzlich ein Hoch von etwa 82.850 erreicht hat, befindet sich der Kurs in einer Korrekturphase. Der Preis handelt jetzt unter den wichtigsten kurzfristigen Durchschnitten, was darauf hindeutet, dass der bärische Druck weiterhin besteht, es sei denn, die Käufer übernehmen bald die Kontrolle.
Wichtige Widerstandsniveaus:
80.200 – 80.600
81.200 – 81.600
82.300 – 82.850
Wichtige Unterstützungsniveaus:
79.500
78.900
78.000 – 77.600
Erwartete Richtung heute:

$ETH Ethereum is currently undergoing a short-term corrective phase after a strong bullish move that reached a recent high around 2423. The rejection from this level pushed the price back toward the 2320–2330 support area, where buyers are now attempting to stabilize the market and form a potential rebound.

The current price action suggests consolidation after volatility rather than a full trend reversal. Ethereum is still trading above the major moving average (MA99), which keeps the broader structure slightly bullish. However, short-term momentum has weakened due to the failure to sustain above 2400.

Key Support Levels

2320 is the immediate support zone where price is currently reacting.

2300 is a psychological level and a major liquidity area.

2280 represents the next deeper support if selling pressure continues.

Key Resistance Levels

2355 to 2360 is the first strong resistance zone where moving averages are clustered.

2380 is the next supply area if price breaks above short-term resistance.

2423 remains the main structural high and the critical breakout level for continuation.

Bullish Scenario

If Ethereum manages to reclaim and hold above 2360, the market may shift momentum back upward. In this case, price could retest 2380 and potentially 2400, followed by another attempt toward 2423. This would confirm continuation of the broader uptrend.

Bearish Scenario

If the price fails to break above 2360 and gets rejected again, selling pressure may push it back toward 2320. A breakdown below 2300 would increase downside momentum and open the way toward 2280.

Market Structure Insight

The current movement is best described as a corrective pullback inside a broader uptrend. Buyers are still defending key levels, but momentum is temporarily weakening. The next breakout from the 2360 to 2400 zone will likely determine the next major direction.

Ethereum is currently at a decision zone where the market is balancing between continuation of the bullish trend or a deeper correction phase.
#ETH

$BTC  Bitcoin is currently trading around 81,600 USD, after a strong bullish move that recently tested the 82,800 USD resistance zone. The market is now at a critical decision point that will determine the next short-term direction.

The overall trend remains bullish in both short and medium term, as price continues to hold above key support levels and major moving averages. However, momentum is slowing as price approaches a strong resistance area, indicating a potential consolidation phase.

At the moment, Bitcoin is moving within a tight range between 80,000 and 82,800 USD, reflecting market indecision and reduced volatility ahead of a potential breakout.

A confirmed breakout above 82,800 USD would likely trigger continuation toward 85,000, 88,000, and 91,000 USD, signaling renewed bullish strength.

On the other hand, failure to break resistance may lead to a corrective move toward 80,000, 78,200, and 76,300 USD, which would still be considered a healthy pullback within the broader uptrend as long as price remains above 74,000 USD.

Overall, the market remains bullish, but is currently in a compression phase that requires a clear breakout or breakdown to define the next move.

#BTC #triding