Kann Pump.fun den stündlichen R1 bei 0,003507 $ überwinden, während der Tagetrend neutral bleibt?

The Cryptonomist · 2026-11-13T19:20:22.000Z

Am 13. November 2026 wird PUMP auf Binance bei 0,003506 $ gehandelt. Der Kurs von Pump.fun zeigt eine Erholung im Tagesverlauf, das Hauptszenario bleibt jedoch neutral mit defensiver Tendenz: Der Kurs liegt über dem täglichen EMA200, aber unter dem EMA20 und EMA50. Wichtigste Erkenntnisse PUMP wird bei 0,003506 $ gehandelt und liegt damit über dem täglichen EMA200 (0,003426 $), aber unter den darüberliegenden täglichen EMAs 20 und 50 Der Fear-&-Greed-Index bei 20 (Extreme Angst) lässt die Erholung eher defensiv als von Überzeugung getragen erscheinen Der stündliche R1 bei 0,003507 $ ist der unmittelbare bullische Auslöser; der stündliche Pivot bei 0,003489 $ markiert die bärische Schwelle

As of November 13, 2026, PUMP trades at $0.003506 on Binance. The Pump.fun price shows an intraday recovery, though the main scenario stays neutral with a defensive bias: price sits above the daily EMA200 but below the EMA20 and EMA50.
Key takeaways
PUMP trades at $0.003506, above the daily EMA200 ($0.003426) but below the daily EMA20 and EMA50 overhead
Fear & Greed Index at 20 (Extreme Fear) frames the rebound as defensive rather than conviction-driven
Hourly R1 at $0.003507 is the immediate bullish trigger; the hourly pivot at $0.003489 marks the bearish threshold
Daily RSI at 36.3 confirms weak momentum without reaching oversold territory
The 15-minute EMAs are bullishly aligned, though this faster timeframe alone cannot confirm a daily reversal
The immediate test is whether the recovery can clear nearby hourly resistance. The strongest trend alignment sits on the 15-minute chart, while the daily chart still lacks confirmation. This looks more like a rebound within a weak structure than an established change of trend.
Extreme Fear provides a defensive backdrop for the rebound
The Extreme Fear reading of 20 supports a cautious interpretation of PUMP’s intraday strength without confirming either a reversal or further downside. A short-term rebound was reported on November 8, 2026. That provides context for the current recovery attempt, but it does not establish an uninterrupted advance or a new catalyst behind the present move.
CoinGecko puts total crypto market capitalization at $2.35 trillion and Bitcoin dominance at 58.95%. Alternative.me’s Fear & Greed Index reads 20, classified as Extreme Fear. That sentiment backdrop favors a cautious reading of PUMP’s strength; it does not, by itself, confirm either a reversal or further downside.
Pump.fun price strength is concentrated in the shorter timeframes
PUMP’s bullish signals are concentrated in the shorter timeframes, with the 15-minute chart showing aligned EMAs while the daily picture remains neutral. Binance-based daily readings place PUMP below the daily EMA20 at $0.003968 and daily EMA50 at $0.004254, but above the daily EMA200 at $0.003426. The averages are not aligned. In practice, the longer-term average offers support beneath price, while the shorter daily averages remain overhead barriers. That combination supports a neutral classification, not a textbook bearish or bullish trend.
The hourly chart improves the immediate picture without resolving the daily weakness. Price is above the hourly EMA20 at $0.003444 and hourly EMA50 at $0.003453, but below the hourly EMA200 at $0.003650. The hourly averages remain bearishly stacked, so the rebound has recovered the shorter averages without overturning the underlying trend structure. On the 15-minute chart, price is above all three EMAs and their ordering is bullish. That supports the rebound’s execution context, but this faster chart cannot establish a daily reversal on its own. The disagreement is clear: near-term strength is running ahead of broader confirmation.
Momentum improves, but the daily recovery remains incomplete
Momentum indicators have improved on the hourly chart, yet the daily recovery remains incomplete with RSI at 36.3 and a still-negative MACD histogram. The daily MACD histogram remains negative while narrowing across the completed readings. Selling momentum is easing, but easing pressure is not the same as positive momentum.
Hourly RSI is rising and stands at 57.9, while the hourly MACD histogram is positive with a flat trend reading. This is firmer momentum than the daily chart offers, although the histogram does not confirm acceleration. On the 15-minute chart, RSI is 56.1 and the positive MACD histogram is widening, reinforcing the short-term recovery rather than settling the larger trend question. The daily Bollinger Bands run from $0.003334 to $0.004658, with the midpoint at $0.003996. Price remains in the lower half of that range, so a rebound toward the middle would still be consistent with mean reversion inside a weak daily setup. Daily ATR is $0.0004049, compared with hourly ATR of $0.00006285. These readings put the tight spacing between nearby hourly levels into perspective: crossing a nearby threshold alone would be weak evidence of a lasting move.
Hourly R1 defines the bullish trigger; the hourly pivot guards the downside
An hourly close above R1 at $0.003507 would confirm a bullish breakout, while a close below the pivot at $0.003489 would weaken the intraday recovery. The last completed hourly candle closed at $0.003494, so that bullish trigger has not yet been satisfied.
Bullish scenario: an hourly close above hourly R1 at $0.003507 would confirm a break of the nearest overhead level. The next upside references are the hourly Bollinger upper band at $0.003562 and daily R1 at $0.003572. An hourly close back below the hourly pivot at $0.003489 would invalidate this breakout scenario.
Bearish scenario: an hourly close below the hourly pivot at $0.003489 would weaken the recovery and expose hourly S1 at $0.003475. A deeper decline would bring the daily pivot at $0.003428 into focus, with the daily EMA200 just beneath it. An hourly close above hourly R1 at $0.003507 would invalidate that breakdown scenario. The likeliest false signal in this setup is a brief push through hourly R1 that fails to hold into the close. The daily structure remains unconfirmed, and the bullish 15-minute alignment does not remove that risk. Conversely, losing the hourly pivot would damage the intraday rebound without automatically establishing a daily downtrend.
FAQ
Is PUMP oversold on the daily chart?
No. Daily RSI is 36.3, indicating weak momentum but not an oversold reading. The negative daily MACD histogram also keeps the broader momentum assessment defensive.
Does the quoted price represent a completed candle close?
No. The quoted Binance price is a live reading from an open candle. The bullish and bearish scenarios require completed hourly closes, not simply a live price crossing a level.
What is the immediate bullish trigger for PUMP?
An hourly close above hourly R1 at $0.003507 would confirm a breakout. The last completed hourly candle closed at $0.003494, so this trigger remains unmet. The next upside references are the hourly Bollinger upper band at $0.003562 and daily R1 at $0.003572.
Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice, an investment recommendation, or a solicitation to buy or sell any financial instrument or cryptocurrency. The analysis provided is not indicative of future results. Investing in crypto assets and financial markets carries a high risk of capital loss. Always do your own research (DYOR) and consult a qualified financial advisor before making any decision.
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Article produced with the assistance of artificial intelligence and reviewed by the editorial team.