$XAU: Is Gold Setting Up a Bull Trap Before a Deeper Correction?

Gold's recent rebound from $3,900 raises an important question: Is this the beginning of a sustainable recovery, or another rally that sellers could exploit?

My conditional roadmap:

$4,070 → $4,230 → $3,800 → $3,400 → $6,500

The first two levels represent a potential recovery and resistance test.

If buyers fail to sustain momentum near $4,230, a bearish reversal could bring $3,800 into focus, followed by $3,400 in a more aggressive downside scenario.

The eventual $6,500 objective is a separate, highly speculative long-term bullish scenario—not a guaranteed recovery.

A sustained breakout above resistance would challenge the immediate bearish outlook.

The key is confirmation. A rebound alone doesn't establish a new bullish trend.

Would you expect gold to reject near $4,230 or continue higher?

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