The Fed paused. Nobody cared. $BTC is still bleeding, and I think we see $77K before any real bounce. 👇
Here’s how I’m reading it:
1️⃣ Rates held at 3.75–4.0%, but the market is already worried about a December hike. That’s what’s weighing on price, not the pause itself.
2️⃣ BTC.D and USDT.D are both climbing. Money is leaving alts and going to stables. That’s risk-off, plain and simple.
3️⃣ H4 and D1 are both still bearish. No reason yet to call a bottom.
📍 Levels I’m watching:
• $80K–80.5K: retest zone. If price rejects here, that’s my short trigger.
• $81K–82K: major resistance. Bulls need to reclaim this to change my mind.
• $77K–78K: my downside target, and where I’ll start looking for longs.
📍 My plan:
• Shorts: not chasing the dump. Waiting for a clean rejection at $80K.
• Longs: no bottom fishing. I want a higher low or a bullish CHoCH around $77–78K first.
• Spot: sticking to my DCA plan for the 2027 cycle. Dips like this are why I have one.
When am I wrong? If BTC reclaims $82K, the bearish case is off. But if we get 2 H4 closes below $77K, I’m looking at $75K or lower.
On alts: ETH lost $2,300, and the D1 MA200 is the next thing to watch. NEAR and WLD look weak while dominance rises. I’m not touching leveraged alt longs right now.
Next on my radar: PCE, oil, and anything the Fed says about December.
🗳️ Your call: $77K first, or a squeeze back to $82K? Tell me below and I’ll check back tonight.
NFA. Use a stop loss and keep leverage low.
$BTC
$ETH #FOMC #FAMTrading