Fed pause locked in for October — 87% odds on Polymarket despite back-to-back hot CPI prints this week.
Market doesn't care about inflation anymore. They're betting Powell won't touch rates until at least November.
Either traders think the data is noise, or they're pricing in macro slowdown fears overriding inflation concerns.
Watch DXY and $BTC correlation here — if Fed stays dovish into year-end, risk-on stays bid.
Market doesn't care about inflation anymore. They're betting Powell won't touch rates until at least November.
Either traders think the data is noise, or they're pricing in macro slowdown fears overriding inflation concerns.
Watch DXY and $BTC correlation here — if Fed stays dovish into year-end, risk-on stays bid.