US September CPI Rises to 3.7%, Exceeding Forecasts and Pressuring Financial Markets

📊 Data released on October 14 showed US CPI rising 0.6% month-over-month and 3.7% year-over-year in September, up from 3.4% in August and above the 3.6% forecast.

⛽ Gasoline prices surged 9.1%, driving much of the increase. Core CPI rose 0.3% monthly and 2.6% annually, both exceeding expectations, indicating inflationary pressures beyond energy.

🏦 Markets raised the probability of a Fed rate hike at its late-October meeting from around 22% to 40–50%, reflecting expectations of tighter monetary policy.

📉 The US 10-year Treasury yield climbed to approximately 5.31%, Nasdaq 100 futures fell 0.65%, and Bitcoin dropped toward $82,800. The dollar strengthened while gold came under pressure.

🔎 Higher-than-expected inflation increases the risk of prolonged Fed tightening, potentially maintaining pressure on risk asset valuations.

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